Climate Change Adaptation Action Plan of Bogdan Village
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Climate Change Adaptation Action Plan of Bogdan village 2017 Content 1. Brief description of Rakhiv district …………………………………………....3 Terrain …………………………………………………………………………....4 Climate ……………………………………………………………………………4 Flora and fauna ……………………………………………………………….…..4 Mineral resources …………………………………………………………..……..5 Population ………………………………………………………………………...6 Economy……………………………………………………………………..……6 Tourism and Recreation……………………………………………….…….…….7 2. Regional trends of Climate Change…………………………….........................8 2.1 Characteristics of the climatic conditions…………………………………..…8 2.2 Analysis of changes in climatic conditions (based on the materials of V. Balabukh)………………….....................................................................................9 Thermal mode and extreme weather phenomena associated with temperature………………………………………………………………………..9 Humidification regime and extreme weather phenomena associated with precipitation ………………………………………………………………….…...11 Atmospheric weather phenomena…………………………………………………12 Snow cover………………………………………………………………………...12 Water regime of rivers……………………………………………………………..12 2.3. Tendencies of future changes in climatic conditions …………………………13 Thermal regime and extreme weather phenomena associated with temperature………………………………………………………............…………13 The regime of humidification and extreme weather phenomena associated with precipitation ……………………………………………………….14 Water regime of the rivers…………………………………………………………..16 3. General overview and characteristics of Bogdan village………………………...17 Geographical position ………………………………………………………….…...17 Economy…………………………………………………………………………….18 Agriculture…………………………………………………………………………..19 State of the environment…………………………………………………………….19 Medical institutions………………………………………………………………….20 Education……………………………………………………………………..……..20 Culture and Tourism…………………………………………………………….….20 Religion…..................................................................................................................21 Problematic issues of Bogdan village community ....................................................21 4. Characteristics of Climate Change in Bogdan village ……….………………...22 5. Climate change adaptation measures in Bogdan village.………………….……26 Vulnerability to heat stress ………………………………………………….….…27 Vulnerability to flooding……….…………….………………………………..…..28 Vulnerability of society to manifestation of natural meteorological phenomena………………………………………………………………………….30 Vulnerability of village community to risk of reducing the quantity and quality of drinking water……………………………………………………………31 Conclusion……………………………………………………………………….…33 List of references ………………………………………………………….....….….34 2 1. Brief description of Rakhiv district Rakhiv district, administrative-territorial unit in the southeast part of Transcarpathia region, is located in the highest part of Ukrainian Carpathians. The population here is 91 726 people (as of August 1, 2013). The area is 1892 km ². Rakhiv city is the center of the district. Pic. 1 - Map of the Rakhiv district 3 Terrain Rakhiv area is located in the most high-mountainous part of Ukrainian Carpathians. Internal Gorgans1 rise in the north part, Svydovets - in the west, Chornohora (the mountainous parts of Polonynsky Range)2 in the northeast and Rakhiv Mountains in the south. Hoverla Mountain is the highest peak of Ukrainian Carpathians and throughout Ukraine (2061 m above the sea level). Hoverla is 40 km from Rakhiv, Chornohora array. There are five more peaks of the two-thousandths along the way: Brebeneskul, Petros, Pip Ivan Chornohirsky (Black Mountain), Rebra (Ribs), Gutyn-Tomnatyk and Menchul. The relief of highland is marked by traces of ancient glaciation with typical glacial forms – ice cars and trough3 valleys. Climate The climate in Rakhiv region is moderately continental. The period with a temperature of more than 10 °C is 147 days in total. According to "Rakhiv" weather station (430 m above the sea level), the average temperature of January is minus 4.8 °C, July – plus 18.0 °C, the average annual air temperature – plus 7.4°C. The average annual precipitation is 1212 mm; the maximum is in June-July. The winds of western and southwestern directions predominate here. With increasing altitude, the air temperature decreases, and the amount of precipitation increases. Flora and fauna Rakhiv area is the most wooded region in Ukraine. One third of the species composition of Ukraine's flora, half of the Red Book species of plants and animals 1 Gorgans - ridges system in the outer band of the Ukrainian Carpathians located in the Ivano-Frankivsk and Transcarpathia regions. 2 Polonynsky Range (also known as the Polonynskyi Beskid) is a mountain massif (a system of ridges) in the internal belt of the Ukrainian Carpathians, within the Transcarpathia region. 3 Trough (from the German. Trog) - River Valley of trough-shaped cross-section, formed by the passage of glacier. 4 of the Carpathians are concentrated here. On the rocks Blyznyts, Hereshasky, Nyenyesky, Kuziy and Pip Ivan grow several dozen plants, which cannot be found anywhere else in Ukraine, including the legendary edelweiss (silk braid). The unique forests and high-mountainous meadow systems of Carpathian Biosphere Reserve are assigned into the most valuable ecosystems on the planet and to the International Biosphere Reserves Network of UNESCO. These beautiful places are the last bastion of large predators in Europe, like a bear, a wolf and a lynx. More than 1000 species of higher vascular plants, 64 species of mammals, 173 species of birds, 9 species of reptiles, 13 species of amphibians, 23 species of fish, and about 15,000 species of invertebrate animals are protected in the Reserve. The Reserve noted 64 species and 72 animal species listed in the Red Book of Ukraine and the European Red List. Mineral resources Rakhiv region has a real ecological phenomenon and extremely powerful natural resource potential. Here are the highest peak of Ukraine – Hoverla (2061 m) and all six Ukrainian Carpathian peaks exceeding 2,000 meters above the sea level. About 68% of the region's territory is covered by high-performance forests. Here you can also meet a half of the Ukrainian Carpathians plants and animals species, which are listed in the Red Book. Rakhiv region (Rakhivshchyna) refers to areas with a high level of water availability. One of the largest tributaries of the Danube – the river Tisa – originates in the Rakhiv region. Flowing across the expanses of Europe, it gives clean drinking water to the population of Ukraine, Romania, Hungary, Slovakia and Yugoslavia. Rakhivshchyna has extremely favorable conditions for the development of mountain skiing, and the Dragobrat mountain range can become the venue for the Winter Olympics in its parameters. “Kvasy” health resort complex, which was built on the base of mineral water containing arsenic, has only two analogues in the world. 5 Among the mineral resources promising for development there are deposits of gold, dolomite, marbled dolomite and the bottling of mineral water as well. Population There are more than 90 thousand inhabitants in Rakhiv region. The national composition is as follows: Ukrainians (hutsuls) – 83.8%; Romanians – 11.6%, Hungarians – 3.2%. Romanians live compactly in three rural councils in the south- west; two of them are mono-national (Bila Tserkva and Serednyo Vodyane villages). The Hungarians are dispersed in the district center and in several other settlements. The district is classified as demographically well off. The dynamics of the population is as follows: 1970 – 76.1 thousand, 1989 – 86, 1 thousand (+13, 2%), 2001 – 90, 9 thousand (+5, 6%), 2014 – 91, 9 thousand (+1, 1%). For 1970 – 2014, the increment was 20, 8%, for 1989 - 2014 – 6, 7%. The age structure of Rakhiv district (2016) urban settlements urban settlements rural areas and rural areas all 92 685 100% 36 670 100% 56 015 100% population 0-14 20 851 22,50 8 352 22,78 12 499 22,31 0-15 22 008 23,74 8 780 23,94 13 228 23,62 0-17 24 417 26,34 9 684 26,41 14 733 26,30 15-64 62 342 67,26 24 640 67,19 37 702 67,31 16-59 56 910 61,40 22 289 60,78 34 621 61,81 16 and 70 677 76,26 27 890 76,06 42 787 76,38 older 18 and 68 268 73,66 26 986 73,59 41 282 73,70 older 60 and 13 767 14,85 5 601 15,27 8 166 14,58 older 65 and 9 492 10,24 3 678 10,03 5 814 10,38 older 6 Economy Rakhiv district economic complex is poorly developed. Industry prevails in the gross social product. Forestry and woodworking are the leading branches of industry here. Small businesses are dynamically developing in recent years. The peculiarity of agriculture in Rakhiv district is a very low supply of land. It is accounted only 0.01 hectares of arable land (while this figure is 0.14 hectares in Transcarpathia and 0.63 hectares in Ukraine) for one inhabitant of the district. The local population has been engaged in livestock farming since ancient times. Therefore, the entire high-mountainous part of the district is occupied by Polonyna farming. Exit to the pasture occurs in May and lasts until September. Polonyna(s) are the hills, opened and not covered by forests parts high in the mountains. It is here, the local residents (hutsuls) graze cattle – cows, sheep, goats and horses – for many centuries. The center of grazing here is Kolyba – the seasonal buildings (which are the home for shepherds who live and lead the farm under the guidance of their leader-shepherd. Here you can see and try the process of making various products from milk – brynza, vurda, zhentytsya. Tourism and Recreation Mild climate and contrast-expressed