International Trade Law and the “Carbon Leakage” Problem: Are Unilateral U.S. Import Restrictions the Solution? Bernd G

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International Trade Law and the “Carbon Leakage” Problem: Are Unilateral U.S. Import Restrictions the Solution? Bernd G Sustainable Development Law & Policy Volume 8 Article 7 Issue 2 Winter 2008: Climate Law Reporter 2008 International Trade Law and the “Carbon Leakage” Problem: Are Unilateral U.S. Import Restrictions the Solution? Bernd G. Janzen Follow this and additional works at: http://digitalcommons.wcl.american.edu/sdlp Part of the Environmental Law Commons, International Law Commons, and the International Trade Law Commons Recommended Citation Janzen, Bernd G. “International Trade Law and the “Carbon Leakage” Problem: Are Unilateral U.S. Import Restrictions the Solution?” Sustainable Development Law & Policy, Winter 2008, 22-26, 84-85. This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Washington College of Law Journals & Law Reviews at Digital Commons @ American University Washington College of Law. It has been accepted for inclusion in Sustainable Development Law & Policy by an authorized administrator of Digital Commons @ American University Washington College of Law. For more information, please contact [email protected]. INTE R NATIONAL TR A D E LAW AN D THE “CA R BON LEAKAGE ” PR OBLEM : AR E UNILATE R AL U.S. IMPO R T RE S T R ICTION S THE SOLUTION ? by Bernd G. Janzen* IN T RO D UC ti ON manufacturing from the former to the latter. This could lead to t the December 2007 United Nations Climate Change the reduction of such production in developed countries and an Conference in Bali, Indonesia, negotiators overcame increase in exports of GHG-intensive goods from developing Atremendous differences to agree on a “Bali Roadmap” to developed countries.9 In the context of China’s massive and process intended to determine a successor to the Kyoto Proto- growing trade surpluses and its emergence as the world’s larg- 10 col to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate est emitter of CO2, lawmakers in the United States and other Change (“UNFCCC”),1 whose current commitments to reduce developed countries face a tricky challenge—how to proceed global greenhouse gas (“GHG”) with the urgent task of imposing emissions expire in 2012.2 While meaningful national curbs on the United States rejected the GHG emissions while ensuring Kyoto Protocol,3 there appear to that domestic industries are not be decent prospects that it will In the United States, disadvantaged by imports pro- join its post-2012 successor.4 duced pursuant to less onerous Among other ambitious unilateral trade emissions requirements. goals, the Bali Roadmap pro- In the United States, uni- cess, through the “Bali Action restrictions appear to be lateral trade restrictions appear Plan” agreement, calls for the to be emerging as a mechanism development of both national emerging as a mechanism of choice as Congress evalu- and international measures to of choice as Congress ates its options for legislating a mitigate climate change, based solution to the carbon leakage on a “shared vision for long- evaluates its options problem. However, it is far from term cooperative action.”5 clear if the trade restrictions However, reflecting a deep rift for legislating a solution under consideration comply between developed and devel- or conflict with current global oping countries, the Bali Action to the carbon trading rules under the World Plan prescribes “common but Trade Organization (“WTO”). differentiated responsibilities”6 leakage problem. Such restrictions also do not in which developed countries appear to mesh well with U.S. commit to quantified and veri- trade policy, which generally fiable GHG emission reduc- favors trade liberalization. Uni- tions, but developing countries are only required to contribute laterally imposed national trade restrictions would also, at first “appropriate mitigation actions . in the context of sustainable blush, appear inconsistent with the goal established in the Bali development.”7 In short, under the Bali Roadmap, only devel- Action Plan of a globally coordinated approach to the reduction oped countries must actually reduce GHG emissions. of greenhouse gas emissions. This Article examines the most This core doctrine of “common but differentiated respon- visible proposed legislative solution to carbon leakage currently sibilities” in the Bali Roadmap may have been politically indis- under consideration in the United States in light of WTO rules, pensable to reaching agreement in Bali, but it has substantial U.S. trade policy, and the multilateral goals espoused in the Bali complicating implications for international trade in goods and Action Plan. This Article also proposes that current U.S. trade the competitiveness of U.S. industries. The problem, in a phrase, remedy laws provide a useful analogy for understanding and is “carbon leakage.”8 If developed economies like the United addressing the concerns of domestic manufacturing industries as States and EU impose higher costs on carbon dioxide (“CO2”) they grapple with the carbon leakage problem. and other GHG emissions (the economic consequence of set- ting and tightening caps on such emissions) than do developing countries, one result will be an incentive to shift GHG-intensive * Bernd G. Janzen is Counsel in the International Trade Group at Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld LLP in Washington, D.C. WI N T ER 2008 22 REGULA ti NG U.S. IMPOR T S T O ENSURE to the U.S. market. While these added import compliance costs FA I R COMPE titi ON (in essence, constituting a trade restriction) would be justified Of the various recent legislative proposals that would reduce from the U.S. perspective as attempting to restore the competi- U.S. emissions of GHGs, the most prominent is the America’s tive balance of U.S. industries harmed by imports from coun- Climate Security Act of 2007 (“ACSA”), introduced by Senators tries with less stringent emissions restrictions, it seems unlikely Joe Lieberman (D-CT) and John Warner (R-VA) on October 18, that U.S. trading partners would willingly accept such unilateral 2007.11 ACSA would establish a national emissions cap on six import restrictions. GHGs, including CO2, which would decline from 2012 through ACSA’s import restrictions are not the only type of mecha- 2050,12 and would institute mechanisms to allocate emissions nism under consideration as the U.S. Congress examines how allowances to a range of covered U.S. GHG-emitting indus- to address competitive disadvantages to U.S. industries result- tries.13 Senators Lieberman and Warner introduced ACSA in the ing from the carbon leakage problem. The U.S. House of Rep- Senate two months prior to the release of the Bali Action Plan, resentatives Committee on Energy and Commerce identified and the ACSA is not expressly tied to that multilateral process. two other possible mechanisms to address the competitiveness However, both measures are a clear reflection of the strong polit- concerns for U.S. industry associated with carbon leakage in a ical will in the United States widely cited January 2008 White and in many other countries to Paper.18 One is the adoption of move quickly and in a globally carbon intensity standards for coordinated fashion to reduce energy-intensive products, which GHG emissions and stave off would apply to all such products the worst expected effects of The EU is also sold in the United States regard- climate change. contemplating unilateral less of their origin.19 Fees would Recognizing the adverse presumably be imposed on prod- competitive effects that could trade measures that could ucts that do not meet those carbon result to U.S. manufacturing intensity standards, to compel industries competing against restrict imports as part of the sale in the United States of foreign industries not subject only those products that do meet to such measures—i.e., the car- its ambitious drive those standards.20 The American bon leakage problem—ACSA Iron and Steel Institute and the would require the Administra- to reduce carbon emissions Steel Manufacturers Association tion to urge other countries to are major proponents of carbon adopt comparable measures to across a wide range intensity standards, and have reduce GHG emissions.14 Oth- criticized the proposed ACSA erwise, U.S. industries would of industries by twenty import mechanism for, among have systemically higher com- percent by 2020. other things, encouraging foreign pliance costs than their for- governments to provide subsidies eign competitors—and such an to their exporters to the United imbalance would only increase States of greenhouse gas-inten- over time as U.S. emissions sive goods.21 caps decline. But also recognizing that a globally coordinated The third possible option for addressing carbon leakage approach to reducing GHG emissions may or may not occur, identified in the White Paper would make foreign countries’ ACSA would, as of 2020, require importers of GHG-intensive access to U.S. carbon markets contingent on their imposition of products to declare to U.S. Customs and Border Protection GHG emissions restrictions comparable to those adopted in the (“CBP”) either that: (1) the imported goods are covered by spe- United States.22 Such incentives could take several forms, such cial international allowances created under ACSA,15 or (2) the as more generous terms of access for countries that agree more exporting country is one deemed under ACSA to have taken quickly to emissions caps comparable to those imposed in the measures to reduce GHG emissions comparable to those taken United States.23 However, import restrictions along the lines of by the United States.16 The import provisions expressly cover those proposed by ACSA, while contentious, are generally seen GHG-intensive manufactured goods such as iron, steel, alumi- at this point as having the best chances of passage in the U.S. num, cement, bulk glass, and paper, and would extend to any Congress. manufacturing production process that generates GHG emis- The EU is also contemplating unilateral trade measures that sions “comparable” to the expressly covered products.17 Thus, could restrict imports as part of its ambitious drive to reduce ACSA has the obvious potential to impose very substantial carbon emissions across a wide range of industries by twenty compliance costs on U.S.
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