COMMERCIAL ENGINES TURBOFAN FOCUS IN ASSOCIATION WITH 2019 COMMERCIAL ENGINES 2019 COMMERCIAL ENGINES 2019
CONTENTS
ENGINE EVENTS Memorable recent events and future entry into service 4-5
ANALYSIS & NEWS Engine deliveries in 2018 6-7 Engine market shares for Airbus and Boeing 8-9 Commercial engines: manufacturer market share 10 Engine market share by market group 11 The questions around sole-source power and the NMA 12-13 A380 flights set to fall for first time in 2019 14-17 Engine makers prep for next narrowbody launch 18-19 P&W and CFM boost output despite supply-chain stress 21 News from FlightGlobal 22-44
REFERENCE INFORMATION The information contained in our databases and Airliner turbofan engines: production timeline 45 used in this presentation has been assembled from many sources, and whilst reasonable care has been Engine options by commercial aircraft 46 taken to ensure accuracy, the information is supplied on the understanding that no legal Commercial aircraft by engine type 47 liability whatsoever shall attach to FlightGlobal, its offices, or employees in respect of any error or omission that may have occurred. ENGINE CENSUS © 2019 FlightGlobal, Operator listing by commercial engine type 48-59 part of Reed Business Information Ltd
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ENGINE EVENTS
April 2019 July 2018 December 2018 GTF-powered ACJ319neo sets new Airbus secures extended twin- GE Aviation does second January 2019 distance record, with the mission engined operations clearance August 2018 round of GE9X flight testing Rolls-Royce starts lasting 16h 10min. The re-engined beyond 3h for the A350-1000. Russian developers commence on Boeing 747-400 testbed. installing a redesigned VIP narrowbody (MSN8612) flew The -1000 is the larger of the a third stage of flight testing The GE9X-105B variant of intermediate pressure from Airbus headquarters in two A350 family variants, and is with the Aviadvigatel PD-14 the engine will power the compressor blade Toulouse to northern Greenland powered by the Rolls-Royce Trent engine on an Ilyushin Il-76 777-9, which Boeing expects design on certain and back on 26 April. The previous XWB-97 engine testbed aircraft. The PD-14 is will achieve first flight in 2019 Trent 1000 engines, record was set in 1999, when an set to be installed on the Irkut and enter service in 2020 following approval Airbus-crewed ACJ319 made a 15h MC-21 from European and US 15min flight from Santiago to Paris regulators
May May 2018 Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar 2019 | | | | | | | | | | | | | Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr
December 2018 February 2019 The Trent 7000-powered A330neo October 2018 Rolls-Royce starts ground makes its first commercial flight Australian Transport Safety tests of a composite fan with TAP Air Portugal Bureau states that an in-flight system for its UltraFan future engine shutdown involving a engine programme. R-R Qantas Airbus A380 on 20 May previously said that it will use 2017 has been traced back to a Trent 1000 – an option for FUTURE ENTRY INTO SERVICE cracking caused by corrosion the Boeing 787 – as a donor AIRCRAFT ENGINE YEAR resulting from cleaning engine for the trial Embraer E-Jet E195-E2 Pratt & Whitney PW1900G 2019 chemical residues in one of its Irkut MC-21 Pratt & Whitney PW1400G 2020 Rolls-Royce Trent 900 engines Mitsubishi MRJ Pratt & Whitney PW1200G 2020 Boeing 777X GE Aviation GE9X 2020 Embraer E-Jet E175-E2 Pratt & Whitney PW1700G 2021 Comac C919 CFM International Leap-1C 2020-21 Comac C919 ACAE CJ-1000AX 2022 Airbus
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DAtA comPilAtion AnD AnAlySiS Antoine FAFArd FliGhtGlobAl Powering ahead Last year saw engine deliveries speed past the 3,000 mark as the backlog topped 27,000 units. CFM International continues to dominate, accounting for 58% of the deliveries in unit terms alongside more than half of the global powerplant backlog. With narrowbody arrivals outpacing those of widebodies, Pratt & Whitney overtook Rolls-Royce, GE and IAE in the 12-month manufacturer delivery rankings, jumping from fifth to second place
A330 engine manufacturer share Engine manufacturer rankings 2018 2018 deliveries Backlog* 2018 deliveries Backlog* Engine Manufacturer Aircraft Share Aircraft Share Rank Manufacturer Engines Share Engines Share General Electric 4 9% 7 3% 1 CFM International 1,860 58% 13,936 52% Rolls-Royce 40 91% 252 91% 2 Pratt & Whitney 436 14% 4,116 15% Undecided -- 19 7% 3 Rolls-Royce 424 13% 2,302 9% Total 44 278 4 General Electric 332 10% 1,792 7% Notes: *At 31 December 2018. Excludes corporate and military 5 International Aero Engines 138 4% 32 0.1% operators. Includes A330neo Source: Cirium’s Fleets Analyzer 6 Engine Alliance 4 0.1% 12 0.1% Undecided - - 4,834 18%
A380 engine manufacturer share Royce Rolls Total 3,194 27,024 2018 deliveries Backlog* Notes: *At 31 December 2018. Data for installed engines based on Airbus/Boeing types. Excludes corporate and military operators Engine Manufacturer Aircraft Share Aircraft Share Source: Cirium’s Fleets Analyzer Airbus/Boeing fleet by engine manufacturer 15,000 Engine Alliance 1 8% 3 3% A320 family engine manufacturer share Rolls-Royce 11 92% 46 53% 12,491 Undecided -- 38 44% 12,000 Total 12 87 Notes: *At 31 December 2018. Excludes corporate and military 11% operators Source: Cirium’s Fleets Analyzer 37% 9,000 36% 30% 767 engine manufacturer share 2018 Backlog* 6,000 2018 deliveries Backlog* deliveries 3,136 3,136 3,000 2,461 2,096 Engine Manufacturer Aircraft Share Aircraft Share ATR General Electric 17 63 100% 59% 0.3% 26% 130 Pratt & Whitney ---- 0 Total 17 63 CFM International International General Electric Rolls-Royce Pratt & Whitney Engine Alliance Notes: *At 31 December 2018. Excludes corporate and military Aero Engines operators Source: Cirium’s Fleets Analyzer Notes: In-service and parked fleet at 31 December 2018. Boeing data includes former MDC types. Excludes corporate and military operators Notes: *At 31 December 2018. Excludes corporate and military operators. Source: Cirium's Fleets Analyzer Source: Cirium's Fleets Analyzer Airb s total: 10,276 oeing total: 13,174 Grand total: 23,450 CFM International Pratt & Whitney International Aero Undecided Total deliveries: 625 Engines Total backlog: 6,047 787 engine manufacturer share Regional aircraft engine manufacturer market share
12% 4% 56% 47% 40% Lines Air Delta 40% 24% 2018 **
GE 2018 * Backlog * Backlog deliveries deliveries 42% 60% 20% 56%
Notes: *Airframe. **At 31 December 2018. Excludes corporate and military operators. ***Including P&W Canada. Notes: *At 31 December 2018. Excludes corporate and military operators. Source: Cirium's Fleets Analyzer Data for firm orders for ATR, Bombardier, Comac, Embraer, Mitsubishi, Sukhoi and Viking Air. Source: Cirium's Fleets Analyzer
Total deliveries: 23 Total deliveries: 144 General Electric Pratt & Whitney Po er et Rolls-Royce General Electric Undecided Total backlog: 1,226 Total backlog: 620
Andy Rain/EPA EFE/REX/Shutterstock Rain/EPA Andy Caption Alastair Philip Wiper/View/REX/ShutterstockPhilip Alastair
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Airbus A320neo family orders by engine manufacturer and region CFM dominates the Boeing backlog, but Max grounding will hit deliveries
Asia-Pacific Unannounced
Data talks Europe P&W
The modern turbofan generates thrust – along with vast Latin America CFM quantities of information on its performance and condition. North America But any one powerplant says nothing about its position in the market – so we consult Cirium’s Fleets Analyzer to Middle East check on the relative health of the engine producers Africa
Airbus A320neo family orders by Boeing 787 orders by engine Unknown engine manufacturer manufacturer 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 Notes: In-service fleet and order backlog at 1 May 2019 Source: Cirium's Fleets Analyzer (May 2019) 9% CFM International Pratt & Whitney Unannounced 29% 31% 34% Hartman/AP/Shutterstock Matt 5,394 1,338 Boeing 787 orders by engine manufacturer and region Total Total 57% Asia-Pacific Unannounced 40% Europe R-R
Notes: In-service fleet and order backlog at 1 May 2019 Notes: In-service fleet and order backlog at 1 May 2019 Middle East GE Source: Cirium's Fleets Analyzer (May 2019) Source: Cirium’s Fleets Analyzer (May 2019)
North America CFM International Pratt & Whitney Unanno nced GE Aviation Rolls-Royce Unanno nced 2,150 1,6 9 1,555 763 449 126 Latin America
Airbus/Boeing order backlog by engine manufacturer Africa
Unannounced Unknown Airb s International Aero Engines General Electric 0 100 200 300 400 500 Rolls-Royce P&WPr trailsatt &in Whitney A320neo stakes, but Notes: In-service fleet and order backlog at 1 May 2019 oeing Source: Cirium's Fleets Analyzer (May 2019) unannouncedCFM Internationa orders couldl tip balance Anthony Pecchi/Airbus Anthony GE Aviation Rolls-Royce Unannounced 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000
Source: Cirium's Fleets Analyzer (May 2019) CFM International Pratt & Whitney Rolls-Royce GEnx genius: US supplier is
GE Aviation International Aero Engines Unanno nced dominant on the Dreamliner
Airbus/Boeing in-service fleet by engine manufacturer
Engine Alliance Airb s International Aero Engines General Electric Rolls-Royce Pratt & Whitney oeing CFM International
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 ,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000
Notes: In-service fleet at 1 May 2019. Boeing data includes former MDC types. A total of 383 CFM Leap-powered 737 Max aircraft were stored on 1 May 2019 and do not appear here. Source: Cirium’s Fleets Analyzer (May 2019)
CFM International Pratt & Whitney Rolls-Royce In Europe, 787 customers have chosen GE Aviation International Aero Engines Engine Alliance Rolls-Royce over GE by nearly two to one Stanislaw Kowalczuk/Shutterstock Stanislaw AirTeamImages
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AT A GLANCE Engine market share by market group Commercial engines: manufacturer market share COMMERCIAL NARROWBODY AIRCRAFT Other MANUFACTURER AIRCRAFT ENGINES (1%) CFM International 11,470 22,944 3% 7% International Aero Engines 3,044 6,088 EUROPE Pratt & Whitney 1,037 2,116 MANUFACTURER AIRCRAFT ENGINES Rolls-Royce 538 1,076 19% CFM International 3,337 6,782 MIDDLE EAST Other 53 149 32,373 GE Aviation 1,155 2,548 MANUFACTURER AIRCRAFT ENGINES TOTAL 16,142 32,373 NORTH AMERICA ENGINES MANUFACTURER AIRCRAFT ENGINES Rolls-Royce 624 1,486 GE Aviation 496 1,026 CFM International 2,687 5,374 International Aero Engines 698 1,396 CFM International 373 758 71% GE Aviation 2,438 5,138 Pratt & Whitney 265 577 Rolls-Royce 197 446 Rolls-Royce 824 1,648 Other 201 521 Engine Alliance 110 440 Pratt & Whitney 750 1,594 TOTAL 6,280 13,310 International Aero Engines 118 236 International Aero Engines 762 1,524 Other 55 199 Other 8 28 TOTAL 1,372 3,114 TOTAL 7,469 15,306 AFRICA ASIA-PACIFIC MANUFACTURER AIRCRAFT ENGINES MANUFACTURER AIRCRAFT ENGINES COMMERCIAL WIDEBODY AIRCRAFT CFM International 4,028 8,068 CFM International 416 860 MANUFACTURER AIRCRAFT ENGINES (0.1%) SOUTH AMERICA 3% Rolls-Royce 158 336 GE Aviation 1,103 2,414 GE Aviation 3,002 6,750 4% MANUFACTURER AIRCRAFT ENGINES GE Aviation 161 325 International Aero Engines 1,183 2,366 Rolls-Royce 1,738 3,900 CFM International 713 1,438 Pratt & Whitney 44 107 Rolls-Royce 1,014 2,142 Pratt & Whitney 720 1,663 13% GE Aviation 295 591 International Aero Engines 39 78 Pratt & Whitney 513 1,095 Engine Alliance 130 520 International Aero Engines 244 488 Other 16 64 Other 63 232 CFM International 84 336 Pratt & Whitney 131 278 13,185 TOTAL 834 1,770 TOTAL 7,896 16,284 Aviadvigatel 4 16 51% Rolls-Royce 98 196 ENGINES TOTAL 5,678 13,185 Other 22 74 TOTAL 1,503 3,065 30%
Other COMMERCIAL REGIONAL JET WORLD COMMERCIAL JET AIRCRAFT MANUFACTURER AIRCRAFT ENGINES MANUFACTURER AIRCRAFT ENGINES (3%) GE Aviation 2,646 5,292 CFM International 11,554 23,280 3% (1%) 7% Rolls-Royce 639 1,278 GE Aviation 5,648 12,042 Honeywell 100 400 Rolls-Royce 2,915 6,254 12% (0.4%) Powerjet 101 202 International Aero Engines 3,044 6,088 5% 44% Ivchenko-Progress 30 83 Pratt & Whitney 1,762 3,789 52,849 Other 18 36 Other 431 1,396 12% ENGINES 18% TOTAL 3,534 7,291 TOTAL 25,354 52,849 7,291 ENGINES 23% 71%
NOTE: Information for active commercial jets. Information includes narrowbody, widebody and regional jets in NOTE: Information for in-service commercial jets. Information includes narrowbody, widebody and regional passenger, freighter, combi and quick change roles jets in passenger, freighter, combi and quick change roles SOURCE: Cirium’s Fleets Analyzer (May 2019) SOURCE: Cirium’s Fleets Analyzer (May 2019)
10 | FlightGlobal FlightGlobal | 11 COMMERCIAL ENGINES COMMERCIAL ENGINES SpecialCOMMERCIAL report ENGINES 2019 COMMERCIALPowerplant ENGINES selection 2019
but some airlines may object initially,” says Airbus/Boeing backlog single- and twin-aisle segments. “Here I Rob Morris, global head of consultancy at would expect a single-source situation with Ascend by Cirium. “However, I’ve not heard GE/CFM International in the lead,” he says. anyone complain that the 737 Max or A350 6,951 “I believe GE/CFM have made exclusivity do not give them a choice.” part of their offering.” single source Richard Aboulafia, vice-president for Morris believes that “logically” the aero- analysis at Teal Group, says he is not 13,422 engine market will consolidate around two convinced that the 787 will be the last Grand total major OEM groupings: GE/CFM versus R-R/ dual-engine source platform and wonders 523 2,37 Pratt & Whitney. “The NMA decision [should how a possible move by Airbus to counter 1,142 it go to CFM] will likely see P&W finally the 777X with its R-R Trent XWB-powered 2,096 exiting the high-thrust market, just as R-R has or multiple choice? A350 family could be structured: “If Airbus exited narrowbodies.” really does follow through on an A350 Aboulafia concurs about possible consoli- If Boeing launches its NMA, the airframer may well follow a trend and tie the aircraft to an re-engining, that platform’s sole-source sta- Source: Cirium's Fleets Analyzer (March 2019) dation: “The idea of an engine merger makes tus might change.” CFM International Undisclosed P&W