COMMERCIAL ENGINES TURBOFAN FOCUS IN ASSOCIATION WITH 2019 COMMERCIAL ENGINES 2019 COMMERCIAL ENGINES 2019 CONTENTS ENGINE EVENTS Memorable recent events and future entry into service 4-5 ANALYSIS & NEWS Engine deliveries in 2018 6-7 Engine market shares for Airbus and Boeing 8-9 Commercial engines: manufacturer market share 10 Engine market share by market group 11 The questions around sole-source power and the NMA 12-13 A380 flights set to fall for first time in 2019 14-17 Engine makers prep for next narrowbody launch 18-19 P&W and CFM boost output despite supply-chain stress 21 News from FlightGlobal 22-44 REFERENCE INFORMATION The information contained in our databases and Airliner turbofan engines: production timeline 45 used in this presentation has been assembled from many sources, and whilst reasonable care has been Engine options by commercial aircraft 46 taken to ensure accuracy, the information is supplied on the understanding that no legal Commercial aircraft by engine type 47 liability whatsoever shall attach to FlightGlobal, its offices, or employees in respect of any error or omission that may have occurred. ENGINE CENSUS © 2019 FlightGlobal, Operator listing by commercial engine type 48-59 part of Reed Business Information Ltd TM TRUEngine. Safran Protect your asset. Think outside the box Optimum performance isn’t just about individual parts. It’s about the entire engine system. TRUEngine qualification is available for CFM engines maintained to our precise standards. This assures expedited technical support, unmatched product knowledge and peace of mind. With as much as 50% higher residual value*, it’s easy to see how our TRUEngine program helps to protect your overall investment. Take part now at cfmaeroengines.com/services *Based on CFM, GE and independent third-party research. CFM International is a 50/50 joint company between GE and Safran Aircraft Engines Unmatched Experience | World-Class Support | Exceptional Value FlightGlobal | 3 C40799.023_CFM_TRUE_CommEngDir_27May_267x197_v1.indd 1 17/05/2019 16:28 COMMERCIAL ENGINES 2019 COMMERCIAL ENGINES 2019 ENGINE EVENTS April 2019 July 2018 December 2018 GTF-powered ACJ319neo sets new Airbus secures extended twin- GE Aviation does second January 2019 distance record, with the mission engined operations clearance August 2018 round of GE9X flight testing Rolls-Royce starts lasting 16h 10min. The re-engined beyond 3h for the A350-1000. Russian developers commence on Boeing 747-400 testbed. installing a redesigned VIP narrowbody (MSN8612) flew The -1000 is the larger of the a third stage of flight testing The GE9X-105B variant of intermediate pressure from Airbus headquarters in two A350 family variants, and is with the Aviadvigatel PD-14 the engine will power the compressor blade Toulouse to northern Greenland powered by the Rolls-Royce Trent engine on an Ilyushin Il-76 777-9, which Boeing expects design on certain and back on 26 April. The previous XWB-97 engine testbed aircraft. The PD-14 is will achieve first flight in 2019 Trent 1000 engines, record was set in 1999, when an set to be installed on the Irkut and enter service in 2020 following approval Airbus-crewed ACJ319 made a 15h MC-21 from European and US 15min flight from Santiago to Paris regulators May May 2018 Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar 2019 | | | | | | | | | | | | | Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr December 2018 February 2019 The Trent 7000-powered A330neo October 2018 Rolls-Royce starts ground makes its first commercial flight Australian Transport Safety tests of a composite fan with TAP Air Portugal Bureau states that an in-flight system for its UltraFan future engine shutdown involving a engine programme. R-R Qantas Airbus A380 on 20 May previously said that it will use 2017 has been traced back to a Trent 1000 – an option for FUTURE ENTRY INTO SERVICE cracking caused by corrosion the Boeing 787 – as a donor AIRCRAFT ENGINE YEAR resulting from cleaning engine for the trial Embraer E-Jet E195-E2 Pratt & Whitney PW1900G 2019 chemical residues in one of its Irkut MC-21 Pratt & Whitney PW1400G 2020 Rolls-Royce Trent 900 engines Mitsubishi MRJ Pratt & Whitney PW1200G 2020 Boeing 777X GE Aviation GE9X 2020 Embraer E-Jet E175-E2 Pratt & Whitney PW1700G 2021 Comac C919 CFM International Leap-1C 2020-21 Comac C919 ACAE CJ-1000AX 2022 Airbus 4 | FlightGlobal FlightGlobal | 5 AIRCRAFT & engInes PoweRPlAnT mARkeTs COMMERCIAL ENGINES 2019 COMMERCIAL ENGINES 2019 DAtA comPilAtion AnD AnAlySiS Antoine FAFArd FliGhtGlobAl Powering ahead Last year saw engine deliveries speed past the 3,000 mark as the backlog topped 27,000 units. CFM International continues to dominate, accounting for 58% of the deliveries in unit terms alongside more than half of the global powerplant backlog. With narrowbody arrivals outpacing those of widebodies, Pratt & Whitney overtook Rolls-Royce, GE and IAE in the 12-month manufacturer delivery rankings, jumping from fifth to second place A330 engine manufacturer share Engine manufacturer rankings 2018 2018 deliveries Backlog* 2018 deliveries Backlog* Engine Manufacturer Aircraft Share Aircraft Share Rank Manufacturer Engines Share Engines Share General Electric 4 9% 7 3% 1 CFM International 1,860 58% 13,936 52% Rolls-Royce 40 91% 252 91% 2 Pratt & Whitney 436 14% 4,116 15% Undecided -- 19 7% 3 Rolls-Royce 424 13% 2,302 9% Total 44 278 4 General Electric 332 10% 1,792 7% Notes: *At 31 December 2018. Excludes corporate and military 5 International Aero Engines 138 4% 32 0.1% operators. Includes A330neo Source: Cirium’s Fleets Analyzer 6 Engine Alliance 4 0.1% 12 0.1% Undecided - - 4,834 18% A380 engine manufacturer share Royce Rolls Total 3,194 27,024 2018 deliveries Backlog* Notes: *At 31 December 2018. Data for installed engines based on Airbus/Boeing types. Excludes corporate and military operators Engine Manufacturer Aircraft Share Aircraft Share Source: Cirium’s Fleets Analyzer Airbus/Boeing fleet by engine manufacturer 15,000 Engine Alliance 1 8% 3 3% A320 family engine manufacturer share Rolls-Royce 11 92% 46 53% 12,491 Undecided -- 38 44% 12,000 Total 12 87 Notes: *At 31 December 2018. Excludes corporate and military 11% operators Source: Cirium’s Fleets Analyzer 37% 9,000 36% 30% 767 engine manufacturer share 2018 Backlog* 6,000 2018 deliveries Backlog* deliveries 3,136 3,136 3,000 2,461 2,096 Engine Manufacturer Aircraft Share Aircraft Share ATR General Electric 17 63 100% 59% 0.3% 26% 130 Pratt & Whitney ---- 0 Total 17 63 CFM International International General Electric Rolls-Royce Pratt & Whitney Engine Alliance Notes: *At 31 December 2018. Excludes corporate and military Aero Engines operators Source: Cirium’s Fleets Analyzer Notes: In-service and parked fleet at 31 December 2018. Boeing data includes former MDC types. Excludes corporate and military operators Notes: *At 31 December 2018. Excludes corporate and military operators. Source: Cirium's Fleets Analyzer Source: Cirium's Fleets Analyzer Airbus total: 10,276 Boeing total: 13,174 Grand total: 23,450 CFM International Pratt & Whitney International Aero Undecided Total deliveries: 625 Engines Total backlog: 6,047 787 engine manufacturer share Regional aircraft engine manufacturer market share 12% 4% 56% 47% 40% Lines Air Delta 40% 24% 2018 ** GE 2018 * Backlog * Backlog deliveries deliveries 42% 60% 20% 56% Notes: *Airframe. **At 31 December 2018. Excludes corporate and military operators. ***Including P&W Canada. Notes: *At 31 December 2018. Excludes corporate and military operators. Source: Cirium's Fleets Analyzer Data for firm orders for ATR, Bombardier, Comac, Embraer, Mitsubishi, Sukhoi and Viking Air. Source: Cirium's Fleets Analyzer Total deliveries: 238 Total deliveries: 144 General Electric Pratt & Whitney*** Powerjet Rolls-Royce General Electric Undecided Total backlog: 1,226 Total backlog: 620 Andy Rain/EPA EFE/REX/Shutterstock Rain/EPA Andy Caption Alastair Philip Wiper/View/REX/ShutterstockPhilip Alastair 48 | Airline Business | April 2019 flightglobal.com/airlines flightglobal.com/airlines April 2019 | Airline Business | 49 6 | FlightGlobal FlightGlobal | 7 ABU_220319_048-049.indd 48 15/03/2019 16:47 ABU_220319_048-049.indd 49 15/03/2019 16:47 COMMERCIAL ENGINES COMMERCIAL ENGINES SpecialCOMMERCIAL report ENGINES 2019 COMMERCIALFleets ENGINES and orders 2019 Airbus A320neo family orders by engine manufacturer and region CFM dominates the Boeing backlog, but Max grounding will hit deliveries Asia-Pacific Unannounced Data talks Europe P&W The modern turbofan generates thrust – along with vast Latin America CFM quantities of information on its performance and condition. North America But any one powerplant says nothing about its position in the market – so we consult Cirium’s Fleets Analyzer to Middle East check on the relative health of the engine producers Africa Airbus A320neo family orders by Boeing 787 orders by engine Unknown engine manufacturer manufacturer 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 Notes: In-service fleet and order backlog at 1 May 2019 Source: Cirium's Fleets Analyzer (May 2019) 9% CFM International Pratt & Whitney Unannounced 29% 31% 34% Hartman/AP/Shutterstock Matt 5,394 1,338 Boeing 787 orders by engine manufacturer and region Total Total 57% Asia-Pacific Unannounced 40% Europe R-R Notes: In-service fleet and order backlog at 1 May 2019 Notes: In-service fleet and order backlog at 1 May 2019 Middle East GE Source: Cirium's Fleets Analyzer (May 2019) Source: Cirium’s Fleets Analyzer (May 2019) North America CFM International Pratt & Whitney Unannounced GE Aviation Rolls-Royce Unannounced