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Distributed Defense: New Operational Concepts for Integrated Air And COVER PHOTO U.S. ARMY JANUARY 2018 1616 Rhode Island Avenue NW Washington, DC 20036 202 887 0200 | www.csis.org Distributed Lanham • Boulder • New York • London 4501 Forbes Boulevard Lanham, MD 20706 Defense 301 459 3366 | www.rowman.com New Operational Concepts for Integrated Air and Missile Defense AUTHORS Thomas Karako Wes Rumbaugh ISBN 978-1-4422-8043-4 A Report of the Ë|xHSLEOCy280434z v*:+:!:+:! CSIS MISSILE DEFENSE PROJECT Blank JANUARY 2018 Distributed Defense New Operational Concepts for Integrated Air and Missile Defense AUTHORS Thomas Karako Wes Rumbaugh A REPORT OF THE CSIS MISSILE DEFENSE PROJ ECT Lanham • Boulder • New York • London 594-72631_ch00_3P.indd 1 12/6/17 9:49 AM About CSIS For over 50 years, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) has worked to develop solutions to the world’s greatest policy challenges. T oday, CSIS scholars are providing strategic insights and bipartisan policy solutions to help decisionmakers chart a course toward a better world. CSIS is a nonprofit organ ization headquartered in Washington, D.C. The Center’s 220 full- time staff and large network of affiliated scholars conduct research and analy sis and develop policy initiatives that look into the future and anticipate change. Founded at the height of the Cold War by David M. Abshire and Admiral Arleigh Burke, CSIS was dedicated to finding ways to sustain American prominence and prosperity as a force for good in the world. Since 1962, CSIS has become one of the world’s preeminent international institutions focused on defense and security; regional stability; and transnational challenges ranging from energy and climate to global health and economic integration. Thomas J. Pritzker was named chairman of the CSIS Board of Trustees in November 2015. Former U.S. deputy secretary of defense John J. Hamre has served as the Center’s president and chief executive officer since 2000. CSIS does not take specific policy positions; accordingly, all views expressed herein should be understood to be solely those of the author(s). © 2017 by the Center for Strategic and International Studies. All rights reserved. ISBN: 978-1-4422-8043-4 (pb); 978-1-4422-8044-1 (eBook) Center for Strategic & International Studies Rowman & Littlefield 1616 Rhode Island Ave nue, NW 4501 Forbes Boulevard Washington, DC 20036 Lanham, MD 20706 202-887-0200 | www . csis . org 301 - 459 - 3366 | www . rowman . com 594-72631_ch00_3P.indd 2 12/6/17 9:49 AM Contents iv List of Figures v List of Tables vi List of Acronyms viii Acknowl edgments 1 CHAPTER 1 | After Integration, What? 1 New Operating Environment 2 Multi-Domain Battle 4 The Specter of Suppression 4 Concepts for More Distributed Operations 9 CHAPTER 2 | Shortcomings in the Current Force 10 Stovepipes of Excellence 10 Single Points of Failure 12 Under- Focus on Non- Ballistic Threats 13 High Cost, Low Capacity 14 Sectored, Ground- Based Radar Coverage 15 Long-Recognized Challenges 18 CHAPTER 3 | New Operational Concepts for IAMD 18 Network Centrism: Any Sensor, Best Shooter 23 Ele ment Dispersal: Redefine the Firing Unit 25 Mixed Loads: Layered Defense in a Box 28 Offense- Defense Launchers: Any Launcher, Any Mission 32 Multi- Mission Shooters: Any Missile, Any Target 34 Containerized Launchers: Any Launcher, Anywhere 37 Passive Defense Shell Game: Some Full, Many Empty 42 CHAPTER 4 | Toward More Distributed IAMD Operations 45 About the Authors III 594-72631_ch00_3P.indd 3 12/6/17 9:49 AM List of Figures 3 1.1. Multi- Domain Battle 5 1.2. Defining Integrated Air and Missile Defense 7 1.3. Mark 41 Vertical Launching System 11 2.1. Stovepiping in Air and Missile Defense 12 2.2. Crashed North Korean Drone 15 2.3. Patriot and Terminal High Altitude Area Defense Radars 16 2.4. Medium Extended Air Defense System Radar 17 2.5. Calls for Joint Integrated Air and Missile Defense 19 3.1. Terminal High Altitude Area Defense Launcher 22 3.2. Sentinel Radar System 24 3.3. Israel’s Iron Dome Launcher 26 3.4. Multi- Mission Launcher 27 3.5. Patriot Launcher Configurations 29 3.6. Multiple Launch Rocket System 30 3.7. Notional Distributed Defense Launcher Concepts 31 3.8. Ground- Based Test of the Vertical Launching System 33 3.9. Standard Missile-6 35 3.10. Containerized Launcher Concept 36 3.11. Non Line of Sight Launch System 38 3.12. British Tank Decoy 39 3.13. MX Peacekeeper Basing Mode Concept 40 3.14. Rus sian Club- K Containerized Launcher 43 4.1. Post– Gulf War Highway of Death IV 594-72631_ch00_3P.indd 4 12/6/17 9:49 AM List of Tables 6 1.1. Material and Operational Concepts for Distributed Defense 37 3.1. Container and Canister Dimensions V 594-72631_ch00_3P.indd 5 12/6/17 9:49 AM List of Acronyms A2/AD anti- access/area denial AMD air and missile defense AMRAAM Advanced Medium- Range Air- to- Air Missile ARCIC Army Capabilities Integration Center ATACMS Army Tactical Missile System BMDS Ballistic Missile Defense System C2 command and control C2BMC Command and Control, Battle Management, and Communications CEC Cooperative Engagement Capability DOTMLPF doctrine, organ ization, training, materiel, leadership and education, personnel, and facilities DPICC Dismounted Patriot Information Coordination Central ECS Engagement Control Station ELES Enhanced Launcher Electronics System ENBAD Extended- range Non- Ballistic Air Defense ESSM Evolved Seasparrow Missile FCS Future Combat System GBI Ground- based Interceptor GEM Guidance Enhanced Missile GMD Ground- based Midcourse Defense HAWK Homing All the Way Killer HIMARS High Mobility Artillery Rocket System IAMD integrated air and missile defense IBCS Integrated Air and Missile Defense Battle Command System ICBM intercontinental ballistic missile ICC Information Coordination Central IFPC Indirect Fire Protection Capability VI 594-72631_ch00_3P.indd 6 12/6/17 9:49 AM ISR intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance JIAMDO Joint Integrated Air and Missile Defense Organization JLENS Joint Land Attack Cruise Missile Defense Elevated Netted Sensor LRASM Long- Range Antiship Missile MDAP Major Defense Acquisition Program MDB Multi- Domain Battle MEADS Medium Extended Air Defense System MLRS Multiple Launch Rocket System MML Multi- Mission Launcher MSE Missile Segment Enhancement NASAMS National Advanced Surface- to- Air Missile System NIFC- CA Navy Integrated Fire Control- Counter Air NLOS- LS Non Line of Sight Launch System OIF Operation Iraqi Freedom PAC-3 Patriot Advanced Capability-3 PACOM Pacific Command RAM rocket, artillery, and mortar SEAD suppression of enemy air defenses SHORAD short- range air defense SLAMRAAM Surface- Launched AMRAAM SM Standard Missile SMDC U.S. Army Space and Missile Defense Command THAAD Terminal High Altitude Area Defense TRADOC U.S. Army Training and Doctrine Command UAV unmanned aerial vehicle VLS Vertical Launching System List of Acronyms VII 594-72631_ch00_3P.indd 7 12/6/17 9:49 AM Acknowl edgments The authors would like to recognize and thank all of t hose who reviewed drafts of the report or provided background thoughts for the research, including Dick Formica, Rick Glitz, Brian Green, Kathleen Hicks, Arch Macy, Fran Mahon, Melanie Marlowe, and others. The authors would also like to acknowledge Ian Williams, Daniel Cebul, Shaan Shaikh, and Jessica Harmon for their assistance with this proj ect. This report is made pos si ble by general support to CSIS. No direct sponsorship contributed to its publication. VIII 594-72631_ch00_3P.indd 8 12/6/17 9:49 AM 01 After Integration, What? A new prob lem has arisen: the prospect of conflict with near- peer adversaries who have spent two de cades going to school on the American way of war. Although a conversation is now under way about how to adapt the U.S. military to this new strategic environment, air and missile defense (AMD) forces have been all too absent from that conversation. Against near- peer threats, today’s AMD force is unfortunately far too susceptible to suppression. One ave nue for transformation is with new and more imaginative operational concepts. More distributed AMD operations would improve their flexibility and resilience and in turn strengthen the broader joint force. NEW OPERATING ENVIRONMENT Joint Staff and Ser vice publications have long pointed to the emergence of high- end technology threats, and some of those predictions have now materialized.1 Potential adversaries like Rus sia and China have acquired a spectrum of air and missile capabilities and emulated U.S. concepts for using deep precision strike to fracture ground and naval forces. Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), for instance, might be used to provide reconnaissance and targeting data to enable cruise missile, artillery, and ballistic missile strikes.2 Salvos or swarms may be used si mul ta neously, creating a complex, cluttered, and confusing battlespace. Advanced surface- to- air missiles could also hinder U.S. air operations, as well as the transport and supply of ground forces. 1. ​John M. Shalikashvili, Joint Vision 2010 (Washington, DC: The Joint Staff, 1996), 22–24; Jonathan W. Greenert and Raymond T. Odierno, “Adjusting the Ballistic Missile Defense Strategy,” Memorandum for Secretary of Defense, Novem- ber 5, 2014; Martin E. Dempsey, Joint Integrated Air and Missile Defense: Vision 2020 (Washington, DC: The Joint Staff, 2013), 1; Kevin D. Scott, Joint Publication 3-01: Countering Air and Missile Threats (Washington DC: Joint Chiefs of Staff, 2017). 2. ​Amos Fox, “Understanding Modern Rus sian War: Ubiquitous Rocket, Artillery to Enable Battlefield Swarming, Siege Warfare,” Fires Bulletin (September– October 2017): 23. 1 594-72631_ch01_3P.indd 1 12/6/17 9:50 AM A missile- heavy threat set already forms the backbone of the anti- access and area denial (A2/AD) capabilities that complicate American power projection, but t hose complications are growing. Although tenets of the Cold War– era AirLand Battle doctrine still have impor tant applications and have worked well in smaller operations against lesser threats, the new operating environment has many contested domains.
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