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Rahmenplangebiet Der Hansestadt Rostock Abschlußbericht

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Rahmenplangebiet Der Hansestadt Rostock Abschlußbericht UNIVERSITÄT ROSTOCK Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Fakultät UCEF Institut für Soziologie Unabhängiges Centrum für empirische Wirtschafts-, Sozial- und Medienforschung GmbH Sozialstudie zum URBAN- Rahmenplangebiet der Hansestadt Rostock Abschlußbericht Johann Gerdes • Matthias Kirk • Karl-Otto Richter Sozialstudie zum URBAN-Rahmenplangebiet im Auftrag der Hansestadt Rostock April 1997 Autoren Dr. Johann Gerdes Dipl. Soz.wiss. Matthias Kirk Dr. Karl-Otto Richter Auftragnehmer Unabhängiges Centrum für empirische Universität Rostock Wirtschafts-, Sozial- und Medienforschung GmbH Institut für Soziologie Augustenstraße 48a, 18055 Rostock 18051 Rostock Geschäftsführer und Projektleiter: Projektleiter: Dr.phil.habil. Karl-Otto Richter Dr.rer.pol. Johann Gerdes Sozialstudie URBAN - Abschlußbericht I Inhaltsverzeichnis Seite Verzeichnis der Abbildungen .............................................................................................. IV Verzeichnis der Tabellen .................................................................................................... VI 1 Einleitung .....................................................................................................................1 2 Revitalisierung als komplexer sozio-ökonomischer Prozeß 2.1 Zwischen „Gentrification“ und „incumbent upgrading“......................................... 3 2.2 Zwischen Erhalt und Veränderung ...................................................................... 5 2.3 Probleme der Steuerung bei der materiellen Aufwertung der Kröpeliner-Tor-Vorstadt....................................................................................... 6 2.4 Der Einfluß der Nachfrage................................................................................... 8 2.5 Der Mechanismus der Verdrängung und das Verdrängungspotential ................ 9 2.6 Mobilitätspotentiale.............................................................................................. 10 2.7 Interessenstrukturen und Handlungspotentiale................................................... 11 2.8 Erhalt des Wohnmilieus....................................................................................... 14 2.9 Zusammenfassung der Fragen ........................................................................... 15 2.10 Methodische Umsetzung..................................................................................... 15 3 Die Struktur des Wohnraumangebotes im Rahmenplangebiet 3.1 Der Wohnungsbestand in der Kröpeliner-Tor-Vorstadt........................................ 17 3.2 Eigentumsstrukturen ............................................................................................ 19 3.3 Sanierungsfortschritt............................................................................................. 22 3.4 Mietpreise ............................................................................................................. 26 4 Sozialstruktur und soziale Lage der Einwohner des Rahmenplangebietes 4.1 Demographische Daten 4.1.1 Einwohner nach Haupt- und Nebenwohnsitz ............................................ 30 4.1.2 Ausländer .................................................................................................. 31 4.1.3 Einwohner nach Geschlecht...................................................................... 32 4.1.4 Altersstrukturen ......................................................................................... 33 4.1.5 Familienstand............................................................................................ 37 4.2 Sozialstrukturelle Merkmale der Einwohner des Rahmenplangebietes 4.2.1 Behinderung .............................................................................................. 38 4.2.2 Schulbildung.............................................................................................. 39 4.2.3 Berufliche Qualifikation ............................................................................. 40 4.2.4 Erlernte Berufe .......................................................................................... 41 4.3 Erwerbsbeteiligung und Erwerbsstatus 4.3.1 Nichtwerwerbspersonen............................................................................ 43 4.3.2 Erwerbspersonen ...................................................................................... 45 4.3.3 Methodischer Exkurs................................................................................. 45 Unabhängiges Centrum für empirische Universität Rostock Wirtschafts-, Sozial- und Medienforschung Institut für Soziologie II 4.3.4 Erwerbslose 4.3.4.1 Sozialhilfeempfänger..................................................................... 47 4.3.4.1 Arbeitslose .................................................................................... 49 4.3.5 Fortbildung/Umschulung (FuU)................................................................. 51 4.3.6 Erwerbstätige ............................................................................................ 52 4.3.7 Erwerbsverläufe ........................................................................................ 54 4.4 Struktur der Haushalte 4.4.1 Anzahl der Haushalte................................................................................ 57 4.4.2 Haushaltsgrößen und Belegungsdichten .................................................. 58 4.4.3 Mieten und Mietbelastungen ..................................................................... 59 4.4.4 Haushaltseinkommen ............................................................................... 61 4.4.5 Einkommenssteueranalyse für das URBAN-Gebiet ................................. 63 4.4.6 Zusammensetzung des Haushaltseinkommens....................................... 68 4.4.7 Typisierung der Haushalte ........................................................................ 72 4.4.7.1 Alleinstehende............................................................................... 73 4.4.7.2 Alleinerziehende............................................................................ 75 4.4.7.3 Paarhaushalte ............................................................................... 76 4.4.7.4 Familien......................................................................................... 78 4.4.7.5 Wohngemeinschaften ................................................................... 79 4.4.7.6 Singles und DINKS ....................................................................... 82 5 Sozialräumliche Prozesse im Rahmenplangebiet 5.1 Veränderungen der Sozialstruktur........................................................................ 83 5.2 Herkunft der Bewohner ........................................................................................ 87 5.3 Umzugsabsichten................................................................................................. 88 5.4 Abschätzung von Verdrängungspotentialen 5.4.1 Abschätzung von Verdrängungspotentialen aus den vorhandenen sozialen Strukturen ............................................................. 89 5.4.2 Abschätzung von Verdrängungspotentialen aus der Analyse von Sanierung und Mieterumschlag.......................................................... 91 5.5 Einschätzung der weiteren sozialräumlichen Entwicklung im Rahmen- plangebiet ............................................................................................................. 105 6 Besonderheiten des Stadtteilmilieus 6.1 Untersuchungsansatz und Milieubegriff .............................................................. 108 6.2 Einflußfaktoren auf die Ausprägung von Stadtteilmilieu im URBAN-Gebiet 6.2.1 Lage und bauliche Merkmale.................................................................... 110 6.2.2 Mischung von Funktionen ......................................................................... 112 6.2.3 Heterogenität der Bevölkerung ................................................................. 114 6.2.4 Bevölkerungsdynamik ............................................................................... 119 6.2.5 Kommunikation und Verhalten.................................................................. 122 6.2.6 Veränderungsdruck und Perspektiven...................................................... 124 6.3 Charakteristik des Stadtteilmilieus ....................................................................... 129 Sozialstudie URBAN - Abschlußbericht III 7 Erwartungen und Interessen der Wohnbevölkerung bei der Revitalisierung 7.1 Stadtteilbindungen................................................................................................ 135 7.2 Soziale Netzwerke und soziale Einbettung........................................................... 138 7.3 Subjektiv eingeschätzte Vor- und Nachteile des Rahmenplangebietes ............... 141 7.4 Erwartungen an die weitere Entwicklung.............................................................. 145 8 Interessenlagen und Bürgerbeteiligung 8.1 Interessenlagen und Konfliktlinien........................................................................ 148 8.2 Exkurs: Wahlbeteiligung und Wahlergebnisse im URBAN-Gebiet 1994 ............. 152 8.3 Meinungen der Experten zum URBAN-Planungsprozeß ..................................... 155 8.4 Bürgerbeteiligung - Meinungen und Perspektiven aus Sicht der Bevölkerung.......................................................................................................... 156 9 Zusammenfassung und Handlungsempfehlungen.....................................................
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