What's Interesting and Diflerent About Australian Meteorology?*

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What's Interesting and Diflerent About Australian Meteorology?* What's interestingand diflerentabout Australianmeteorology?* Peter G. Baines President,Australian Meteorological and OceanographicSociety CSIRO Division of AtmosphericResearch, Aspendale, Australia (Manuscript received February 1990) Introduction This article is an attempt to summarisethe pro- south of the continent. A significant difference gressthat has beenmade in the past fifteenyears betweenthe two showsin the latitude of the mean or so in the understandingof Australia'sweather. high pressurebelt and the associatedsynoptic dis- It is necessarilya personalselection, but I have turbances,which are much further south in sum- tried to be comprehensiveand to covera long list mer. These synoptic disturbancesdominate the of topics briefly, but I hope not too superficially. flow patternon a day-to-daybasis, and the arrows Phenomenawhich occuron the hemisphericscale are(presumably) intended to representa resultant have been omitted in order to concentrateon of them. The summer pattern is, of course,also those confined to the Australian region. I have affectedby the northernmonsoon, and by greater alsoomitted recentwork in the tropics associated continentalheating which is discussedbelow. wirh the AMEX, EMEX and STEP etc. exper- iments,since most of the publishedresults are de- scriptiveand interpretationof the observationsis still in progress,and it would not be possibleto do justice to this work at this stage.The main accent hereis on a dynamicalexplanation for the various phenomenadescribed. Most of the work already existsin publishedform, and I must apologisein Fig. I A schematicinterpretation of the characterof the atmospheric flow in the Australian region in advanceto anyonewhose work hasbeen omitted, July. From lrlas of Australian Resources, Third misrepresentedor inadequatelyreferenced. Some Series,Vol. 4, 1986,Division of National Map- outstandingunsolved problems are indicated. ping, Canberra, I have endeavouredto cater for a fairly broad (professional and non-professional)group of readers,but haveincluded technical details where I thought them interesting and important. Large-scaleflow patterns 'cartoon' FiguresI and 2 showin form the nature of the atmospheric flows in July and January re- spectively.It is not possibleto provide precise meaningsto the arrows which dominatethe dia- grams,but the drawingsdo show,in a schematic manner,the differencebetween the summerand winter flow patterns. Both show easterlytrade winds in tropical latitudes and westediesto the * This article is adapted from the President'sAddress to the Australian Meteorological and OceanographicSociety on 23 November1989. e 38:2June a typical Fig.2 As for Fig. 1, but for January. Fig.3 Analysed synoptic charts showing - example of blocking in the Australian region (a) MSL pressureat 0000 UTC on 14 March f979. (b) 500 hPa height (dam)for 1200UTC on iJli'-:il; 13 March 1979. Note the relatively barotropic f nature ofthe flow in the blocking region. This overall mean flow and synoptic pattern is establishedby the factorswhich maintain the gen- eral circulation of the earth's atmosphere. This circulationcontains several unresolved mysteries in itself (e.g.Lorenz 1967),but we will passover them here to look at the regional effectsthat exist within this overall circulation. We will start at the larger scales and then, in a general way, move down the scaleto look at smaller phenomena. Much of the progressin recent years has been in the field of mesoscalephenomena, and I havediv- ided them up into three main areas;continental heating efects, cold fronts, and topographic ef- fects.Before addressingthese, however, we must considerthe phenomenonof blocking. Blocking Synoptic-scateblocking is probably the most sig- nificant problem for weather forecasting world- wide becauseof its generalunpredictability, and the large length scalesand lifetimes of the phe- It generallyconsists of a synoptichigh- nomenon. 'blocks' low pair which becomes stationary and the flow, thereby requiring other synoptic disturb- The main problems concerningblocking are: place?; ancesto pass around it. In the northern hemi- what causesthe block to form in the first spherethe phenomenonoccurs on a much larger and, why does it persist once it has formed? scaleand may last for much longer(several weeks) Numerical WeatherPrediction (NWP) modelsin than is common in the southern,to the extentthat use around the world still have great difflculty in patterns. it is usually regardedas a hemisphere-wideevent forecasting the onset of blocking in the northern hemisphere.In the southern hemi- However; the proposal by Frederiksen (1982, 1989and referencestherein) that blocking is due to an instability processwhich is analogousto cyclogenesisseems to be gaining generalaccept- ance. The consequentproblem of recognising which {low states are likely to develop growing and Australia). There doesnot appearto be any disturbancesofthis type has,however, seen little correlation betweenthe occurrencesof blocking progress and is still difficult for both manual in thesethree regions.A representativeexample analystsand NWP models. for the Australian region,where the longitudeof The secondproblem of why blocking patterns most common and long-lastingevents is in the can be so long-lasting once they become estab- Tasman Sea,is shown in Fig. 3. lished has been the subjectofa number oftheo- Baines:What's interestingand differentabout Australianmeteorology? 125 retical studies in recent years,but again signifi- Fig. 4 A synopticexample of summerheat lows over the (a) MSL cant progresshas been elusive.A major factor Australian contin€ntin light winds. pressurefor 0000 UTC on 26 December 1973. to be that a dipole structure(with the low seems (b) 700 hPa height (dam)for the sametime. Note a westerlyzonal flow equatorwardofthe high) in the shallowdepth of the surfaceheat lowswhich tends to be a stable flow configuration in fluid havebeen replaced by heights at 700 hPa. From mechanicsin general,in a manner analogousto a Leslie (1980). vortex pair or a smokering. A surveyof the state ofthe subjectis given in Baines(1983). Hence,although the blockingphenomenon is a globalproblem, the Australianversion is regional in characterwith its own peculiarities,and it de- servesstudy in its own right. Studiesof specific casesare few and havemainly beencarried out via numericalmodelling (e.g. Noar 1983). Continental heating effects The efect of the Australian continent on the atmosphereis mainly felt in the way in which it affectsthe heating, becauseofthe marked change in surfacecharacteristics compared with the sur- rounding oceans (this may be contrasted with New Zealand,where topographic effects are rela- tively much more important).Heating results in a numberof atmosphericphenomena which we will examinein a sequencewith decreasingscale. Heat lows and troughs When the externally imposed mean winds are weak,the relativelyhigh albedoof the Australian land surfaceand the common occurrenceof clear skiesimply that the air column over the continent losesmore heatby radiation than it gainsfrom the combinedeffects of radiation and surfaceheating Fig.5 Ten-yearmean MSL pressurefor 0900 in Jan- uary. The trough lines are shown dotted. From Fandry and l*slie (f984). two main centresfor heatlows are commonly seen - one centredin the northwestof WesternAus- tralia, and the other in westernQueensland. It is a combined radiation/dynamical phenomenon and, with its complexvertical structure,is not as well understoodas it shouldbe. When the externallyimposed zonal winds are not soweak, the'heat loweffect'manifestsitself in the form of surfacetroughs. The summer zonal flow consistsof easterliesat low levelsand wes- terlies at upper levels,and as for the heat lows, thereare frequently two troughsembedded within the easterlies.Figure 5 showsa 10-yearmean at 0900 for Januarywhich showshow common the phenomenonis - it showsup in mean flow pat- terns as well as synopticones. Fandry and Leslie 126 AustralianMeteorological Magazine 38:2 June 1990 (1984)have made a studyofthese effects using a Fig.7 (a) Iower layer flow pattern from the model of twoJayer quasi-geostrophicmodel with easterlies Fandryand lrslie (1984)for theforcing shown in in the lower layer and westerliesin the upper.The Fig. 6 and a spatial pattern approximatingAus- tralia. pattern (uniform) motion of the lower layerwas perturbed This shouldbe comparedwith Fig. 5. (b) As for (a) but for the upper layer. by realistic topography,and the heatingwas also representedby an'equivalent topography,'where heating : holes, cooling : mountains. The re- sulting'topography'inthe modelis shownin Fig. 6. This parametrisationis crudeand hasyet to be properly justified, but it seemsto give the right answer,as shown in the correspondingflow pat- ternsin the lower and upperlayers in Fig. 7 where the trough lines are reproducedreasonably well. Heatingcauses the westerntrough (overwhelming the effect of the local topography),whereas the 'Cloncurry eastern low' is due to the combined effectsof the easternrange and inland heating. Fig.6 Verticaleast-west section from the centrelinein the two-layerquasi-geostrophic model of Fandry and Leslie (1984)showing the forcingdue to topographyand heating(represented by topo- graphy).The horizontalpattern approximateb the Australiancontinent. l' upper tayer Wesl + lower layer F ,{(.. - \\ heating topography Daly Waters,NT, hasextended this dataset to the tropical environment.Here katabaticeffects due These studies indicate that we have a partial to nocturnalcooling and small
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