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GDELT Global Material Conflict 48-Hour Trend Report: 12/28/2019

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GDELT Global Material Conflict 48-Hour Trend Report: 12/28/2019 GDELT Global Material Conflict 48-Hour Trend Report: 12/28/2019 This report reflects major trends in global Material Conflict over the last 48 hours (12/26/2019 - 12/27/2019) compared with the preceding 48 hours (12/24/2019 - 12/25/2019) as reported by the GDELT (Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone) (http://gdeltproject.org/) event database. The top 10 countries exhibiting the greatest increase in Material Conflict in the last 48 hours compared with the previous 48 hours are examined in more detail in individual Country Detail briefings on the following pages. To better approximate the most "important" developments of each day, this report is based on the aggregate volume of global news articles reporting Material Conflict events in each country, rather than on the raw number of unique events. For example, the 2011 Egyptian Tahir Square protest would count as only a single "event," which would make Egypt appear relatively stable from a raw event count standpoint, but by measuring the volume of news coverage of that protest event, its global significance is immediately clear. Thus, from a technical standpoint, this report synthesizes macro-level change across the entire global news system each morning to identify those countries undergoing the greatest change in media coverage of Material Conflict events and thereby offers a reasonable approximation of the daily global consensus view of the most "important" emerging Material Conflict developments across the entire world. For each country, the light grey map at top left of its profile page shows all Material Conflict events from the previous 48 hours for that country and the surrounding region. The black map to its right shows a gridded trend analysis where the region is broken into a regular grid and for each grid cell the difference in the number of Material Conflict events for that location in the last 48 hours is compared with the previous 48 hours. Grid cells that have not changed substantially or for which few events were reported during both periods are hidden, while cells with significant increases in conflict events are displayed in red and those with significant decreases are displayed in green. The size of the dot indicates the magnitude of the change, with larger dots indicating greater change. The colored barchart below the maps breaks down the affiliations of the Initiator (Actor1) and Victim (Actor2) of all events for the last and previous 48 hour periods, examining changes in the actors involved. To the right of the barchart are two tables drawn from the GDELT Global Knowledge Graph which display the themes and global locations appearing in coverage of Material Conflict for that country which exhibited the greatest increase in the most recent 48 hours. The Related Geography table compiles a list of all locations worldwide that are mentioned in coverage of Material Conflict events in that country and lists those that have increased the most. It is important to note that this table lists all locations mentioned in that coverage, irrespective of whether they were directly related to the Material Conflict events themselves. The end result is that this table captures the geographic "contextualization" of Material Conflict, of those locations inside and out of the country being swept up in that discussion, which could offer insights into related events, centerpoints of support or criticism, partnerships, and even potential contagion locations. Finally, at the bottom of the page is a timeline plotting a smoothed 48-hour rollowing window average of the number of articles reporting Material Conflict events for that country over the last 30 days, instantly contextualizing the significance of the current increase. Please note that that this report is designed specifically to identify emerging global conflict trends and thus countries with sustained ongoing conflicts may have a lower ranking than a country with far less violence if the levels of unrest in the country have remained relatively stable over the past 48 hours compared with the preceeding 48 hours. In other words, this is not a report on the most unstable countries, but rather a report on those countries undergoing the greatest change in media attention to their instability. This report is provided as a highly experimental prototype service so please use caution when utilizing its findings. Change in Conflict Events Last 48 Hours vs Previous 48 Hours Worldwide GDELT Global Material Conflict Trend Report: 12/28/2019 http://gdeltproject.org Country Detail - Kazakhstan (Material Conflict) All Conflict Events Last 48 Hours Change in Conflict Events Last 48 Hours vs Previous 48 Hours Theme +% Location +% CRISISLEX_T03_DEAD 81% Astana, Gorod Astana, Kazakhstan 75% CRISISLEX_T01_CAUTION_ADVICE 81% Almaty, Almaty Qalasy, Kazakhstan 71% WB_1804_AIRPORTS 80% Litvinova, Bryanskaya Oblast', Russia 31% SOC_POINTSOFINTEREST_AIRPORT 80% Texas, United States 7% WB_2024_ANTI_CORRUPTION_AUTHORITIES 79% Hawaii, United States 5% WB_832_ANTI_CORRUPTION 79% Tehran, Tehran, Iran 4% WB_2025_INVESTIGATION 79% Gulf Of Oman, Iran (General), Iran 4% KILL 79% Andermatt, Switzerland (General), Switzerland 4% CRISISLEX_T02_INJURED 78% Zurich, ZüSz, Switzerland 4% ECON_BANKRUPTCY 78% Connecticut, United States 2% CRISISLEX_O02_RESPONSEAGENCIESATCRISIS 76% California, United States 0% TAX_WORLDLANGUAGES_KAZAKH 69% Afghanistan 0% WB_1803_TRANSPORT_INFRASTRUCTURE 68% Australia 0% TAX_FNCACT_OFFICIALS 66% Bishkek, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan 0% UNGP_JOB_OPPORTUNITIES_WORKING_CONDITIONS 66% Kokshetau, SoltüQazaqstan, Kazakhstan 0% CRISISLEX_C03_WELLBEING_HEALTH 63% Nevada, United States 0% WB_1014_CRIMINAL_JUSTICE 62% Talgar, Kazakhstan (General), Kazakhstan 0% EXTREMISM 62% Pakistan 0% TAX_FNCACT_PILOT 62% Baghuz, Al ?Asakah, Syria 0% TAX_FNCACT_PRIME_MINISTER 61% South China Sea, Brunei (General), Brunei 0% WB_135_TRANSPORT 60% San Diego County, California, United States 0% TAX_FNCACT_DEPUTY 60% Tejon Pass, California, United States 0% CRISISLEX_C04_LOGISTICS_TRANSPORT 59% Spain 0% GOV_LOCALGOV 59% Ventura Harbor, California, United States 0% WB_1281_MANUFACTURING 59% Manila, Manila, Philippines 0% WB_840_JUSTICE 59% Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany 0% MEDIA_SOCIAL 59% Norway 0% MANMADE_DISASTER_IMPLIED 58% Houston, Texas, United States 0% WB_1921_PRIVATE_SECTOR_DEVELOPMENT 58% Qeshm, Kordestan, Iran 0% BAN 57% Dubai, Dubayy, United Arab Emirates 0% WB_346_COMPETITIVE_INDUSTRIES 55% South Africa 0% WB_818_INDUSTRY_POLICY_AND_REAL_SECTORS 55% Donbas, Ukraine (General), Ukraine 0% WB_1406_DISEASES 54% Hungary 0% New Zealand 0% Thematic Focus (Last/Prev) Yemen 0% Related Geography (Last/Prev) Conflict Actor Breakdown 30-Day Material Conflict Coverage Timeline GDELT Global Material Conflict Trend Report: 12/28/2019 http://gdeltproject.org Country Detail - Israel (Material Conflict) All Conflict Events Last 48 Hours Change in Conflict Events Last 48 Hours vs Previous 48 Hours Theme +% Location +% ELECTION 36% Ashkelon, Hadarom, Israel 24% TAX_POLITICAL_PARTY_LIKUD 35% Ashdod, Hadarom, Israel 14% TAX_FNCACT_PRIME_MINISTER 33% Russia 9% CORRUPTION 33% Tel Aviv, Tel Aviv, Israel 8% WB_2020_BRIBERY_FRAUD_AND_COLLUSION 31% Libya 7% WB_2019_ANTI_CORRUPTION_LEGISLATION 31% Tripoli, Tarabulus, Libya 7% TAX_FNCACT_MINISTER 31% Tunis, (Ts26), Tunisia 6% TAX_FNCACT_LEADER 30% Tunisia 5% TAX_FNCACT_SUPPORTERS 28% Turkey 5% USPEC_UNCERTAINTY1 26% Syria 5% LEADER 26% Iraq 4% POLITICAL_TURMOIL 23% Moscow, Moskva, Russia 3% USPEC_POLITICS_GENERAL1 22% Rishon Lezion, Hamerkaz, Israel 3% EPU_POLICY_POLITICAL 20% Tampa International Airport, Florida, United States 3% WB_831_GOVERNANCE 20% Tampa Bay, Florida, United States 3% WB_832_ANTI_CORRUPTION 20% Orlando, Florida, United States 3% WB_1920_FINANCIAL_SECTOR_DEVELOPMENT 20% Hillsborough County, Florida, United States 3% WB_328_FINANCIAL_INTEGRITY 20% Afghanistan 3% SECURITY_SERVICES 18% Ankara, Ankara, Turkey 3% TAX_FNCACT_CANDIDATE 18% Miami, Florida, United States 3% MEDIA_MSM 17% Ethiopia 3% CRISISLEX_O01_WEATHER 17% Karmiel, Ha?Afon, Israel 2% WB_694_BROADCAST_AND_MEDIA 17% Greece 2% WB_133_INFORMATION_AND_COMMUNICATION_TECHNOLOGIES 17% Hebrew University, Yerushalayim, Israel 2% MEDIA_SOCIAL 17% Nasiriyah, Dhi Qar, Iraq 2% WB_2082_LAW_ENFORCEMENT 17% Idlib, Idlib, Syria 2% EPU_POLICY_REGULATORY 17% Morocco 2% WB_678_DIGITAL_GOVERNMENT 17% Iran 2% TAX_FNCACT_OFFICIALS 16% Jordan Valley, Israel (General), Israel 2% GENERAL_GOVERNMENT 16% Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq 2% TRIAL 16% Casablanca, Grand Casablanca, Morocco 2% TAX_FNCACT_LEADERS 16% Hirak, Faryab, Afghanistan 2% WB_696_PUBLIC_SECTOR_MANAGEMENT 16% Settat, Region De Chaouia-Ouardigha, Morocco 2% TAX_FNCACT_POLITICIAN 15% Pakistan 2% Thematic Focus (Last/Prev) Naama, Hamerkaz, Israel 2% Related Geography (Last/Prev) Conflict Actor Breakdown 30-Day Material Conflict Coverage Timeline GDELT Global Material Conflict Trend Report: 12/28/2019 http://gdeltproject.org Country Detail - Japan (Material Conflict) All Conflict Events Last 48 Hours Change in Conflict Events Last 48 Hours vs Previous 48 Hours Theme +% Location +% EPU_POLICY_GOVERNMENT 29% Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan 34% DEATH_PENALTY 28% Fukuoka, Fukuoka, Japan 26% TAX_FNCACT_MAN 26% Ginowan, Okinawa, Japan 19% PUBLIC_TRANSPORT 25% Okinawa, Okinawa, Japan 18% TAX_TERROR_GROUP_AUM_SHINRIKYO 24% Futenma, Okinawa, Japan 13% TAX_FNCACT_CHILDREN 23% Henoko, Okinawa, Japan 13% TAX_WORLDLANGUAGES_JAPANESE 22% Gulf Of Oman, Iran (General), Iran 11% CRISISLEX_T03_DEAD 22% Iran 10% CRIME_COMMON_ROBBERY 22% Arabian Sea, India
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