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De Confiance Politique Baromètre de confiance politique Mai 2021 Baromètre de confiance politique - mai 2021 Méthodologie d’enquête : Enquête réalisée en ligne du 25 au 27 mai 2021 Échantillon de 1025 personnes, représentatif des Français âgés de 18 ans et plus. Méthode des quotas et redressement appliqués aux variables suivantes : sexe, âge, catégorie socioprofessionnelle et région de l’interviewé(e). Aide à la lecture des résultats détaillés : ▪ Les chiffres présentés sont exprimés en pourcentage. ▪ Les évolutions sont calculées par rapport à la précédente vague du Baromètre de confiance politique réalisée du 27 au 29 avril 2021 auprès de 1041 personnes Libellés des questions de confiance : ▪ « Faites-vous tout à fait confiance, plutôt confiance, plutôt pas confiance ou pas du tout confiance à Emmanuel Macron/ Jean Castex en tant que Président de la République / Premier ministre pour mener une bonne politique pour la France ? » ▪ « Faites-vous tout à fait confiance, plutôt confiance, plutôt pas confiance ou pas du tout confiance à chacune des personnalités suivantes pour mener une bonne politique en tant que Ministre ? » ▪ « Faites-vous tout à fait confiance, plutôt confiance, plutôt pas confiance ou pas du tout confiance à chacune des personnalités suivantes pour faire des propositions qui vont dans le bon sens ? » Baromètre de confiance politique - mai 2021 Intervalle de confiance : Taille de l’échantillon 5% ou 95% 10% ou 90% 20% ou 80% 30% ou 70% 40% ou 60% 50% 100 interviews 4,4 6,0 8,0 9,2 9,8 10 200 interviews 3,1 4,3 5,7 6,5 6,9 7,1 300 interviews 2,5 3,5 4,6 5,3 5,7 5,8 400 interviews 2,2 3,0 4,0 4,6 4,9 5,0 500 interviews 2,0 2,7 3,6 4,1 4,4 4,5 600 interviews 1,8 2,4 3,3 3,8 4,0 4,1 800 interviews 1,5 2,1 2,8 3,2 3,4 3,5 1 000 interviews 1,4 1,8 2,5 2,9 3,0 3,1 2 000 interviews 1,0 1,3 1,8 2,1 2,2 2,3 3 000 interviews 0,8 1,1 1,5 1,7 1,8 1,8 4 000 interviews 0,7 0,9 1,3 1,5 1,6 1,6 Note de lecture : dans le cas d’un échantillon de 1 000 personnes, si le pourcentage mesuré est de 10%, la marge d’erreur est égale à 1,8. Il y a donc 95% de chance que le pourcentage réel soit compris entre 8,2% et 11,8% (plus ou moins 1,8 points). La confiance envers le Président de la République Baromètre de confiance politique - mai 2021 Confiance en Emmanuel Macron 48% 70 59 6057 51 52 52 50 51 50 49 48 49 49 47 49 49 48 48 50 46 46 44 44 45 45 46 45 46 46 42 41 43 42 43 40 39 38 38 40 40 40 39 40 40 38 40 36 34 35 33 32 31 30 20 10 0mai-17 juil.-17 sept.-17 nov.-17 janv.-18 mars-18 mai-18 juil.-18 sept.-18 nov.-18 janv.-19 mars-19 mai-19 juil.-19 sept.-19 nov.-19 janv.-20 mars-20 mai-20 juil.-20 sept.-20 nov.-20 janv.-21 mars-21 mai-21 Baromètre de confiance politique - mai 2021 Confiance en Emmanuel Macron 48% 43 { +15 48 { +6 53 { +4 93 { +1 44 20 Baromètre de confiance politique - mai 2021 Raisons de la confiance en Emmanuel Macron « Je trouve qu’il n’a pas si mal géré la crise sanitaire et la campagne de vaccination. » « Il est moderne, il est courageux, il gère correctement une crise sans précédent. » « C’est un bon Président, malheureusement il n’est pas tombé pendant la meilleure période avec le covid. » « Il fait de son mieux. » Baromètre de confiance politique - mai 2021 Raisons de la non-confiance en Emmanuel Macron « Très absent depuis le début de la crise, il a pris de mauvaises décisions tout au long de l'évolution de celle ci, il n'écoute pas les Français. » « Il a une politique trop vers la droite, vers les riches. » « Aucune promesse tenue, il a accéléré « Très mauvaise gestion la dégradation des conditions de vie en de la crise sanitaire. » France. » La confiance envers le Premier ministre Baromètre de confiance politique - mai 2021 Confiance en Jean Castex 40 % 60 56 50 47 46 43 43 42 41 41 40 40 40 40 30 20 10 0 juil.-20 août-20 sept.-20 oct.-20 nov.-20 déc.-20 janv.-21 févr.-21 mars-21 avr.-21 mai-21 Baromètre de confiance politique - mai 2021 Confiance en Jean Castex 40 % 38 { +13 41 u stable 45 y -1 80 { +3 43 { +7 15 y -3 Baromètre de confiance politique - mai 2021 Raisons de la confiance en Jean Castex « Je pense que si Emmanuel Macron l’a choisi comme Premier Ministre, il a raison et cela est cohérent. » « Il fait bien son travail. » « Jean Castex est à sa place en tant que Premier Ministre, il gère bien son rôle de Premier Ministre. » « Il applique la politique du Président. » Baromètre de confiance politique - mai 2021 Raisons de la non-confiance en Jean Castex « Il ne fait que suivre les ordres de Macron. » « Parce qu’il ne fait qu’appliquer la politique du Président, sans se poser de question, et même si elle ne prend pas en compte l’intégralité des intérêts de chacun. » « Le Premier Ministre n'a pas de marge de manœuvre face à un Président omnipotent. « Il nous a trop menti et n’a pas l’autorité et le Sa politique est celle du Président. » charisme nécessaires pour le poste. » La confiance envers les ministres Baromètre de confiance politique - mai 2021 Confiance dans les ministres 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Bruno Le Maire 47 = Elisabeth Borne 34 = Roselyne Bachelot 46 +2 Marlène Schiappa 31 -2 Jean-Yves Le Drian 46 -2 Elisabeth Moreno 30 +1 Olivier Véran 41 +3 Julien Denormandie 29 = Gabriel Attal 39 +3 Barbara Pompili 28 -1 Jean-Michel Blanquer 39 +1 Frédérique Vidal 28 +2 Gérald Darmanin 38 +2 Sébastien Lecornu 25 -1 Florence Parly 36 +1 Jacqueline Gourault 25 -2 Eric Dupond-Moretti 35 -1 Amélie de Montchalin 23 +1 Roxana Maracineanu 34 -2 Annick Girardin 23 -2 Baromètre de confiance politique - mai 2021 Confiance dans les ministres En % mai-20 juin-20 juil-20 août-20 sept-20 oct-20 nov-20 déc-20 janv-21 févr-21 mars-21 avr-21 mai-21 Evolution Bruno Le Maire 41 42 49 43 44 41 46 46 46 46 43 47 47 = Roselyne Bachelot - - 51 48 49 46 51 47 45 43 42 44 46 +2 Jean-Yves Le Drian 45 45 52 47 44 47 48 51 47 49 48 48 46 -2 Olivier Véran 42 40 49 42 40 39 43 42 38 42 37 38 41 +3 Gabriel Attal - - 16 18 16 18 19 19 21 25 36 36 39 +3 Jean-Michel Blanquer 36 36 42 39 37 40 40 38 38 40 39 38 39 +1 Gérald Darmanin 35 33 35 35 33 38 39 35 36 37 36 36 38 +2 Florence Parly 33 34 40 36 39 36 40 37 39 39 39 35 36 +1 Eric Dupond-Moretti - - 41 38 38 34 38 40 39 42 42 36 35 -1 Roxana Maracineanu 35 35 39 37 35 32 38 35 37 39 37 36 34 -2 Elisabeth Borne 25 26 30 31 30 30 33 33 34 33 33 34 34 = Marlène Schiappa - - 34 31 32 30 33 31 31 31 32 33 31 -2 Elisabeth Moreno - - 28 28 28 28 32 29 30 29 29 29 30 +1 Julien Denormandie 23 24 29 27 26 27 29 27 29 32 30 29 29 = Barbara Pompili - - 31 27 27 27 28 25 28 25 25 29 28 -1 Frédérique Vidal 25 25 28 25 27 26 28 25 28 29 28 26 28 +2 Sébastien Lecornu 24 23 25 25 25 22 26 24 27 26 27 26 25 -1 Jacqueline Gourault 22 23 28 25 24 23 28 25 24 25 26 27 25 -2 Amélie de Montchalin - - 24 21 24 21 25 21 23 23 24 22 23 +1 Annick Girardin 24 24 25 25 25 22 27 25 26 26 25 25 23 -2 La confiance envers d’autres personnalités politiques Baromètre de confiance politique - mai 2021 Confiance dans les personnalités politiques Édouard Philippe 47 -2 Gérard Larcher 23 +1 Nicolas Hulot 38 = Jordan Bardella 22 +1 Valérie Pécresse 33 = Ségolène Royal 22 +2 Xavier Bertrand -3 32 Olivier Besancenot 21 +1 François Baroin 31 -1 Eric Ciotti 20 = Nicolas Sarkozy 31 +2 Olivier Faure 19 = François Bayrou 29 +2 François Ruffin 19 -2 Bernard Cazeneuve 28 -3 Richard Ferrand 19 Marine Le Pen 28 +1 +2 Florian Philippot 19 Marion Maréchal 27 +3 +2 Jean-Luc Mélenchon Martine Aubry 27 = 19 +2 Christian Estrosi 26 +3 Christian Jacob 18 -2 Benoît Hamon 26 +2 Bruno Retailleau 18 = François Hollande 25 = François de Rugy 17 +2 Christiane Taubira 25 -4 Jean-Christophe Lagarde 16 -1 Rachida Dati 24 +1 Adrien Quatennens 15 +1 Yannick Jadot 24 +1 Fabien Roussel 15 +2 Arnaud Montebourg 24 = Éric Piolle 14 +2 Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 24 +3 Julien Bayou 14 +1 Anne Hidalgo 24 +1 Stanislas Guerini 13 +3 Laurent Wauquiez 24 +2 Guillaume Peltier 12 = Baromètre de confiance politique - mai 2021 Confiance dans les personnalités politiques En % mai-20 juin-20 juil-20 août-20 sept-20 oct-20 nov-20 déc-20 janv-21 févr-21 mars-21 avr-21 mai-21 Évolutions Édouard Philippe 49 51 50 44 45 46 48 50 46 48 46 49 47 -2 Nicolas Hulot 39 42 42 43 40 39 39 41 39 43 38 38 38 = Valérie Pécresse 31 31 33 31 29 29 32 28 29 31 30 33 33 = Xavier Bertrand 36 35 37 36 33 36 37 35 34 35 35 35 32 -3 François Baroin 34 33 34 34 33 33 35 32 32 33 30 32 31 -1 Nicolas Sarkozy 32 33 34 35 31 31 33 32 32 31 28 29 31 +2 François Bayrou 27 25 28 26 25 27 27 28 25 26 26 27 29 +2 Bernard Cazeneuve 27 30 31 31 31 31 32 32 29 29 29 31 28 -3 Marine Le Pen 23 22 23 26 22 26 25 23 24 25 24 27 28 +1 Marion Maréchal 24 24 23 26 23 25 26 24 22 26 23 24 27 +3 Martine Aubry 27 30 28 28 30 29 29 27 28 28 28 27 27 = Christian Estrosi 24 27 27 27 24 26 29 26 28 28 26 23 26 +3 Benoît Hamon 25 28 24 27 26 24 25 26 24 26 27 24 26 +2 François Hollande 22 23 22 24 22 23 25 24 22 24 22 25 25 = Christiane Taubira 29 28 28 32 29 27 29 33 28 29 29 29 25 -4 Rachida Dati 28 28 26 25 26 24 25 24 23 24 22 23 24 +1 Yannick Jadot 24 26 27 24 25 22 21 25 21 23 22 23 24 +1 Arnaud Montebourg 23 26 26 27 26 27 28 25 25 25 25 24 24 = Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 21 22 25 25 22 22 24 22 23 23 21 21 24 +3 Anne Hidalgo 24 27 28 31 29 27 28 26 25 28 25 23 24 +1 Laurent Wauquiez 21 22 20 22 20 23 25 21 22 24 21 22 24 +2 Baromètre de confiance politique - mai 2021 Confiance dans les personnalités politiques En % mai-20 juin-20 juil-20 août-20 sept-20 oct-20 nov-20 déc-20 janv-21 févr-21 mars-21 avr-21 mai-21 Évolutions Gérard Larcher 22 22 23 24 23 24 27 25 24 24 21 22 23 +1 Jordan Bardella 18
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