Quel Visage À Droite Pour La Présidentielle De 2022 ? » : Compte-Rendu De L’Enquête Réalisée Par Oser La France

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Quel Visage À Droite Pour La Présidentielle De 2022 ? » : Compte-Rendu De L’Enquête Réalisée Par Oser La France « Quel visage à droite pour la présidentielle de 2022 ? » : compte-rendu de l’enquête réalisée par Oser la France Enquête menée du 18 au 23 octobre 2020 Remarques : o Les résultats de cette enquête proviennent d’un ensemble de 16 317 personnes ayant répondu à cette consultation. o Tous les résultats de cette enquête sont arrondis au centième. 1 1. Qui êtes-vous ? 1. Qui sont les électeurs ayant répondu au sondage ? (en %). 69,47 70 60 50 40 30 20 18,18 10 7,28 3,59 1,01 0,38 0 Adhérent Les Ex-adhérent Les Adhérent Oser la Ex-adhérent Les Sympathisant de Adhérent Oser la Républicains (à Républicains / France non LR Républicains droite France / jour) Adhérent Oser la Adhérent Les France Républicains Adhérent Les Républicains (à jour) Ex-adhérent Les Républicains / Adhérent Oser la France Adhérent Oser la France non LR Ex-adhérent Les Républicains Sympathisant de droite Adhérent Oser la France / Adhérent Les Républicains 2 2. En 2017, lors de la primaire de la Droite et du Centre, pour qui aviez-vous voté au 1er tour ? 2. Les répondants et leur vote au premier tour de la primaire (en %). 50 45 43,12 43,62 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5,31 5 3,5 2,64 0,56 0,35 0,87 0 Nicolas Sarkozy François Fillon Alain Juppé Bruno Le Maire Jean-François Copé Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet Jean-Frédéric Poisson Absence de participation 3 3. En 2017, lors de la primaire de la Droite et du Centre, pour qui aviez-vous voté au 2nd tour ? 3. Les répondants et leur vote au second tour de la primaire (en %). 90 83,85 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 8,22 7,9 0 François Fillon Alain Juppé Absence de participation François Fillon Alain Juppé Absence de participation 4 4. En 2019, pour quel candidat avez-vous voté aux élections internes des Républicains ? 4. Les répondants et leur vote aux élections internes des Républicains (en %). 45 40 39,31 35 30 25,79 25 24 20 15 10,84 10 5 0 Christian Jacob Guillaume Larrivé Julien Aubert Absence de participation Christian Jacob Guillaume Larrivé Julien Aubert Absence de participation 5 5. Selon vous, quelle doit être la stratégie de la droite ? (Plusieurs choix possibles) 5. Les répondants et le choix de la stratégie électorale que la droite devrait adopter (en %). 45 41,87 40,44 40 35 30 24,75 25 19,93 20 15 10 5,55 5 0 Alliance avec LAREM Alliance avec LC ou Pas d'alliance Alliance avec DLF Alliance avec le RN ou MODEM UDI particulière sans le RN Alliance avec LAREM ou MODEM Alliance avec LC ou UDI Pas d'alliance particulière Alliance avec DLF sans le RN Alliance avec le RN 6 6. Quel(s) système(s) de départage préféreriez-vous en 2022 ? (Plusieurs choix possibles) 6. Les répondants et le choix du système de départage que la droite devrait adopter (en %). 35 30,03 30 25 20,19 20 18,11 16,14 15 12,66 12,3 10 8,7 8,83 5 0 Primaire ouverte Primaire fermée Primaire SO + certains mouvements de droite Primaire SO + sympathisants de droite Désignation par le BP Vote du CN de LR Vote du Collège spécial Aucun mode de désignation spécifique 7 7. Parmi les candidats déclarés ou supposés, lesquels seraient susceptibles d’obtenir vos suffrages ? (Plusieurs choix possibles) 7. Les répondants et leur choix de candidat(s) pour 2022 (en %). 50 45,2 45 44,08 40 35 33,4 30 25 20,58 20 17,46 15 10,84 10 7,44 5 0 Xavier Bruno Valérie Guillaume Philippe Juvin Rachida Dati Autre candidat Bertrand Retailleau Pécresse Peltier Xavier Bertrand Bruno Retailleau Valérie Pécresse Guillaume Peltier Philippe Juvin Rachida Dati Autre candidat 8 .
Recommended publications
  • The Sarkozy Effect France’S New Presidential Dynamic J.G
    Politics & Diplomacy The Sarkozy Effect France’s New Presidential Dynamic J.G. Shields Nicolas Sarkozy’s presidential campaign was predicated on the J.G. Shields is an associate professor of need for change in France, for a break—“une rupture”—with the French Studies at the past. His election as president of the French Republic on 6 University of Warwick in England. He is the first May 2007 ushered in the promise of a new era. Sarkozy’s pres- holder of the American idency follows those of the Socialist François Mitterrand Political Science Associ- ation's Stanley Hoff- (1981-95) and the neo-Gaullist Jacques Chirac (1995-2007), mann Award (2007) for who together occupied France’s highest political office for his writing on French more than a quarter-century. Whereas Mitterrand and Chirac politics. bowed out in their seventies, Sarkozy comes to office aged only fifty-two. For the first time, the French Fifth Republic has a president born after the Second World War, as well as a presi- dent of direct immigrant descent.1 Sarkozy’s emphatic victory, with 53 percent of the run-off vote against the Socialist Ségolène Royal, gave him a clear mandate for reform. The near-record turnout of 84 percent for both rounds of the election reflected the public demand for change. The legislative elections of June 2007, which assured a strong majority in the National Assembly for Sarkozy’s centre-right Union pour un Mouvement Populaire (UMP), cleared the way for implementing his agenda over the next five years.2 This article examines the political context within which Sarkozy was elected to power, the main proposals of his presidential program, the challenges before him, and his prospects for bringing real change to a France that is all too evidently in need of reform.
    [Show full text]
  • Rachida Dati's Paternity Case Illustrates the Extent of Sexist
    blo gs.lse.ac.uk http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2012/11/29/rachida-datis-paternity-case/ Rachida Dati’s paternity case illustrates the extent of sexist attitudes toward female politicians in France. by Blog Admin A ruling is due next week on the court case involving the paternity of former French justice minister Rachida Dati’s child. Nabila Ramdani writes that the case is just the latest in a series of stories about sex scandals and affairs that have dominated the press in a country where female politicians have a terrible public image. Beyond the criminal allegations being aimed at f ormer president Nicolas Sarkozy, the most explosive legal case in France at the moment is centered on his protegee, Rachida Dati. Lawyers f or the f ormer conservative justice minister will be at the Tribunal de Grande Instance in Versailles next week, where judges will hand down a ruling with potentially massive f inancial consequences. Dati has named the casino and restaurant tycoon Dominique Desseigne as the f ather of her only child, now three. Desseigne, who is one of France’s richest men, is reportedly ref using to take a DNA test, but the court ruling could order him to co-operate. A positive result would entitle both mother and child to a multimillion-euro stake in his f ortune. If it already sounds like a Gallic Dallas, it gets worse. Desseigne has of f ered the names of seven other “f amous men” who were said to have had overlapping af f airs with Dati in the year during which the child was conceived – f rom other big-shot businessmen, through a TV star and Qatari prosecutor, to a younger brother of Sarkozy.
    [Show full text]
  • In Hollande's New Government, Women Have Half the Jobs, but Less
    blogs.lse.ac.uk http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2012/05/22/hollande-new-cabinet-women/ In Hollande’s new government, women have half the jobs, but less real power than under Sarkozy. May 22 2012 Many commentators have praised France’s new president François Hollande for appointing half of his cabinet and government’s posts to women. However, Rainbow Murray argues that these appointments are actually less favourable to women than the first Sarkozy government in 2007; most of the key ministerial posts have been given to men. Last week, the newly elected French president François Hollande unveiled France’s first parity government. Women now hold nine out of eighteen cabinet posts (excluding the (male) prime minister), and 17 out of a total of 34 government posts. This landmark moment comes in the wake of several unfulfilled promises of political parity in France. However, while there is much to be welcomed, the portfolios allocated to women demonstrate that French women still do not enjoy political equality with men. France first passed a parity law in 2000, requiring all French parties to field equal numbers of men and women to most elections. The law has led to significant improvements in women’s representation in local politics, but has been thwarted repeatedly at the national level, with parties placing women in unwinnable seats and, in some cases, sacrificing millions of euros in state subsidies rather than selecting more women candidates. As a result, the French National Assembly still only has 18.5% women MPs, although this is likely to rise sharply in June’s parliamentary elections.
    [Show full text]
  • Report of REVOLVING DOORS DIGITAL -Min.Pdf
    REVOLVING DOORS AND THE FOSSIL FUEL INDUSTRY TIME TO TACKLE CONFLICTS OF INTEREST IN CLIMATE POLICY-MAKING Greens/EFA Group in the European Parliament AUSTRIA BELGIUM CZECH REPUBLIC FRANCE GERMANY HUNGARY ITALY POLAND SPAIN SWEDEN NORWAY DENMARK THE UNITED KINGDOM Revolving Doors and the Fossil Fuel Industry: Time to tackle conflicts of interest in climate policy-making May 2018 Authors (in order of appearance) Mathias Huter Alex Polfliet Patrick Cummins-Tripodi Ondřej Kopečný Linda Gandalovičová Cyril Lecerf Julian Müller Orsolya Fülöp Alessandro Zagarella Kacper Szulecki Óscar Reyes Niels Selling Andy Rowell Commissioned by The Greens/EFA Group in the European Parliament Editing and additional texts by Pam Bartlett Quintanilla Patrick Cummins-Tripodi Design and layout Rubén Aguilera Raquel Lozano [email protected] Special thanks to Max Andersson, Rikard Allvin REVOLVING DOORS AND THE FOSSIL FUEL INDUSTRY TIME TO TACKLE CONFLICTS OF INTEREST IN CLIMATE POLICY-MAKING REVOLVING DOORS AND THE FOSSIL FUEL INDUSTRY TIME TO TACKLE CONFLICTS OF INTEREST IN CLIMATE POLICY-MAKING CONTENTS 08 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 09 INTRODUCTION 10 MAIN FINDINGS 11 KEY RECOMMENDATIONS 12 THE REVOLVING DOOR AND ITS POTENTIAL EFFECTS ON POLICY-MAKING TABLES REVOLVING DOORS RULES IN THE COUNTRIES ASSESSED: OVERVIEW OF APPLICABLE LEGISLATION 18 STATISTICS ON CLIMATE POLICIES IN THE COUNTRIES ASSESSED MAP COMPANIES AND THE REVOLVING DOOR IN EACH COUNTRY TABLE SUBSIDIES TO FOSSIL FUELS PER COUNTRY TABLE CLIMATE CHANGE PERFORMANCE INDEX RESULTS 2018 GRAPHS ENERGY MIX PER COUNTRY — COUNTRY CHAPTERS 30 AUSTRIA 40 BELGIUM 48 CZECH REPUBLIC 60 FRANCE 72 GERMANY 80 HUNGARY 88 ITALY 96 POLAND 108 SPAIN 118 SWEDEN—NORWAY—DENMARK 128 THE UNITED KINGDOM REVOLVING DOORS 8 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY his report was commissioned by the Greens/EFA Group European country in order to increase their reach, or they in the European Parliament in response to allegations take part in industry associations that have links to ex-pu- Tthat the European Union and its Member States have blic-office-holders.
    [Show full text]
  • Le Huffpost Baromètre Mensuel
    Le HuffPost Baromètre mensuel L'enquête a été réalisée sur 1041 personnes représentatives de la population nationale française âgée de 18 ans et plus. Le sondage a été effectué en ligne, sur le panel propriétaire YouGov France du 3 au 4 août 2020. Age Genre Région Rappel Total juillet 2020 Région 18-34 35-54 55+ Homme Femme Nord-Est Nord-Ouest Sud-Est Sud-Ouest Parisienne De quelles personnalités politiques avez-vous une opinion POSITIVE ? Veuillez sélectionner autant de réponses que vous le souhaitez parmi la liste suivante Echantillon brut 984 990 224 314 452 445 545 238 206 161 282 103 Echantillon pondéré 985 998 255 332 411 477 522 234 230 183 246 105 Edouard Philippe - 28% 28% 26% 28% 30% 26% 23% 27% 31% 28% 33% Roselyne Bachelot - 22% 12% 23% 27% 23% 21% 20% 22% 24% 23% 19% Nicolas Hulot 26% 22% 14% 25% 23% 20% 23% 23% 21% 21% 21% 21% Marine Le Pen 16% 19% 14% 21% 21% 21% 17% 23% 17% 14% 22% 17% Xavier Bertrand 13% 15% 7% 13% 20% 16% 13% 20% 16% 10% 13% 9% Marion Maréchal 14% 15% 7% 13% 20% 20% 9% 13% 12% 10% 23% 10% Bruno Le Maire 14% 14% 10% 13% 17% 17% 11% 9% 15% 19% 13% 15% Jean-Luc Mélenchon 15% 14% 16% 15% 11% 14% 13% 13% 16% 12% 11% 17% Eric Dupont-Morretti - 13% 8% 10% 18% 15% 10% 10% 13% 14% 14% 12% Christine Lagarde 14% 12% 5% 9% 20% 14% 11% 7% 16% 12% 12% 17% Christiane Taubira 12% 11% 9% 11% 13% 13% 10% 9% 16% 11% 8% 16% Rachida Dati - 11% 8% 10% 15% 14% 9% 6% 15% 15% 13% 5% François Baroin 14% 11% 6% 8% 16% 14% 8% 9% 10% 11% 15% 6% Anne Hidalgo 12% 10% 10% 11% 10% 10% 10% 12% 8% 14% 8% 13% Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 12%
    [Show full text]
  • He Rise of French Populism: an Election in a Most Fractured
    he Rise of French Populism: An Election in a Most TFractured Landscape Recent Popular Social Movements Populism Benoît Hamon Jean-Luc Mélenchon François Fillon Marine Le Pen Emmanuel Macron Conclusion Ramadan - Shawwal 1438 31 June - July 2017 2 © KFCRIS, 2017 ISSN: 1658-6972 Issue No. 31 - 20/06/2017 L.D. No: 1438/2868 Ramadan - Shawwal 1438 - June - July 2017 Ramadan - Shawwal 1438 - June - July 2017 3 opulism is said to be the major new political trend. From PBrexit to the election of Donald Trump in the United States, old ideas and conceptions of the Left and Right are being deconstructed before our eyes faced with populist mantras. The French presidential election of 2017 was a story of a pro-European, pro-business, globalist centrist candidate and underdog, Emmanuel Macron, defeating the favored right-wing candidate, decimating the Socialist left, and going on to win a super majority in the National Assembly, with a movement- turned-party he only recently created. However, what is not told, are the populist elements and narratives, coopted by all candidates in the French presidential election, and how this aided Macron where it delegitimized most others. This paper analyses does just that, in exploring and analyzing populist narratives in all the major French presidential candidates’ campaigns, as well as the context and evolution of populist sentiment in contemporary France in general to better understand how we have arrived at this point, and perhaps to better understand the direction Macron will take France and Europe. Ramadan - Shawwal 1438 - June - July 2017 Ramadan - Shawwal 1438 - June - July 2017 4 “The ultimate measure of a man is not where he stands in moments of comfort and convenience, but where he stands at times of challenge and controversy.”— Dr.
    [Show full text]
  • Nirj Deva 20 Bendt Bendtsen 22 Paul Rübig
    Whose representatives? MEPs on the industry payroll Whose representatives? 1 Whose representatives? MEPs on the industry payroll Table of contents 4 Introduction 5 Class of 2014 - 2019: Overview 6 More questions than answers 7 DoFIs revealing potential conflicts of interest 7 Michał Boni 9 Renato Soru 11 Birgit Collin-Langen 12 Guy Verhofstadt 14 Dariusz Rosati 16 New Parliament, old problems 17 Rachida Dati 18 Nirj Deva 20 Bendt Bendtsen 22 Paul Rübig 24 Conclusion and recommendations 25 Endnotes 31 Credits Whose representatives? 3 Introduction In this report we focus on nine Members of the European Parliament (MEPs) whose side jobs or outside interests, in our view, give rise to concerns over potential conflicts of interest. Pursuant to Article 3 of the Code of Conduct for Members of the European Parliament with respect to financial interests and con- flicts of interest, “A conflict of interest exists where a Member of the European Parliament has a personal interest that could improperly influence the performance of his or her duties as a Member.”1 We express the belief that any MEP in the pay of commercial organisations directly or indirectly involved in influenc- ing EU decision making, at the best will not be perceived as maintaining “disinterest” (“disinterest” being one of the Guiding Principles in Article 1 of the Code) and at worst may actually come under commercial influence. In this report we highlight the risk of actual or perceived conflicts of interest developing and call for changes to the Code including a complete ban on side jobs with companies or groups involved in EU lobbying.
    [Show full text]
  • Annual Report 2009
    European Court of Human Rights ANNUAL REPORT 2009 Registry of the European Court of Human Rights Strasbourg, 2010 All or part of this document may be freely reproduced with acknowledgment of the source “Annual Report 2009 of the European Court of Human Rights, Council of Europe”. Photographs: Council of Europe Cover: the Human Rights Building (Architect: Richard Rogers Partnership) ISBN: 978-92-871-9996-6 Printed in France, May 2010 CONTENTS Page Foreword ............................................................................................................................. 5 I. History and development of the Convention system................................................. 7 II. Composition of the Court .......................................................................................... 19 III. Composition of the Sections...................................................................................... 23 IV. Speech given by Mr Jean-Paul Costa, President of the European Court of Human Rights, on the occasion of the opening of the judicial year, 30 January 2009 .......... 29 V. Speech given by Dame Rosalyn Higgins, President of the International Court of Justice, on the occasion of the opening of the judicial year, 30 January 2009.......... 39 VI. Speech given by Ms Rachida Dati, Garde des Sceaux, French Minister of Justice, on the occasion of the opening of the judicial year, 30 January 2009....................... 47 VII. Visits.........................................................................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • MEP Code of Conduct Is Not Effectively Enforced
    © European Parliament / Pietro Naj-Oleari Mind the gap MEP code of conduct is not effectively enforced Briefing, May 2014, written by: Natacha Cingotti (Friends of the Earth Europe) with contributions from Max Bank (LobbyControl), Vicky Cann (Corporate Europe Observatory), Paul de Clerck (Friends of the Earth Europe), Olivier Hoedeman (Corporate Europe Observatory) We gratefully acknowledge financial assistance from the Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs (DGIS) and the Isvara foundation for this publication. The contents of this document are the sole responsibility of the authors and cannot be regarded as reflecting the position of the funder(s) mentioned above. The funders cannot be held responsible for any use which may be made of the information this document contains. Contents Summary 3 Introduction: a recap on the code of conduct 5 Mind the gap: what the code says versus how the code has been interpreted 6 A track-record of poor implementation of the rules 8 Conduct of former MEPs: Former Members’ Association 8 MEPs filing amendments drafted by industry lobby groups: the case of Louis Michel 8 Concerns about potential cases of individual conflicts of interest 9 MEP cashing in industry stock options: Jean-Luc Dehaene and ABInBev 9 MEPs with outside employment and other outside financial interests 9 Unanswered questions over Rachida Dati’s links with energy group GDF Suez 10 Gifts and hospitality paid by third parties: MEPs’ paid trip to Azerbaijan 11 Conclusions and recommendations 12 2 Summary The introduction of the first-ever Code of Conduct for Members of the European Parliament (MEPs) in January 2012 came as a breakthrough.
    [Show full text]
  • French Government Statement of Purpose
    Your Guide to the French Government Statement of Purpose The French-American Foundation is the principal non-governmental link between France and the United States at leadership levels and across the full range of the French-American relationship. The purpose of the French-American Foundation is to strengthen the French-American relationship as a vital component of the trans-Atlantic partnership. Founded in 1976, the French-American Foundation is also committed to ensuring that the French-American relationship should be vivid and relevant for the new generations that have come of age since the end of the Cold War. MAYA press www.mayapress.net - t: 212-260-5869 Cover photos: Alain Mengus. All rights reserved. Your Guide to the French Government INTRODUCTION France, a founding member of the European Union, has a population of 62.8 million (including overseas territories) and is the sixth largest economy in the world. In spring 2007, a year before the highly anticipated American presidential elections, France held its presidential and legislative elections. Elected in May 2007, President Nicolas Sarkozy represents a generational shift in France’s leadership. What follows is your guide to the French government and a brief overview of the French political system. French-American Foundation 1 © Philippe Warrin – La Documentation Française © Philippe Warrin French President Nicolas Sarkozy 2 Your Guide to the French Government EXECUTIVE BRANCH France is a republic of which the U.S. President who is elected indirectly executive branch is led both by a by the Electoral College, the French President and a Prime Minister. Current President is elected directly by universal President Nicolas Sarkozy and Prime suffrage for a five-year term and serves Minister François Fillon belong to the as the Head of State.
    [Show full text]
  • France Report
    Sustainable Governance SGI Indicators 2009 France report SGI 2009 | 2 France report Executive summary There are fundamental changes ahead for France’s political system as well as its economy and society. The public debate over the EU constitution showed that a large proportion of the French population as well as the country’s political elite were aware that reform was needed. However, during and after the failed referendum, it remained unclear how France could implement reforms within the framework of the existing system. France’s politics and culture are greatly influenced by a large gap between the group known as the political elite (people involved in politics, economics or the media) and the rest of the population, the majority of whom thinks economic reform is a reaction to global pressures of “hypercapitalism.” The debate over the EU constitution was a sort of preparatory battle for the 2007 parliamentary and presidential elections. It anticipated the debate on the need for a political break (“rupture”) that conservative party presidential candidate Nicolas Sarkozy had alluded to during his campaign. As a result, the political mood and debate in the country clearly changed in 2005-2007. While political paralysis was evident during the final phases of Jacques Chirac’s presidency and the governments under Prime Minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin and Prime Minister Dominique de Villepin, the 2005 debates over the EU constitution and the 2007 electoral campaign offered the possibility to prepare reforms in the public sphere. The debate leading up to the referendum undoubtedly showed that the policies of the European Union, aimed at liberalization and privatization, are met with substantial criticism in France.
    [Show full text]
  • Natalya Vince, Colonial and Post-Colonial Identities
    Colonial and Post-Colonial Identities 153 Colonial and Post-Colonial Identities: Women Veterans of the “Battle of Algiers” Natalya Vince* When seventeen-year-old student Baya Hocine was put on trial in Algiers in late 1957, accused of planting bombs for the Algerian Front de Libération Nationale (FLN), the French colonial authorities sought out her school reports for the case file. Baya Hocine’s teachers describe an excellent student: extremely intelligent with a lively personality, although reluctant to express any unhappy emotions.1 Could her teachers have guessed that this high-achieving pupil of the French education system in colonial Algeria would go on to commit such a violent expression of anti- colonialism, planting a bomb in an Algiers stadium that killed two people and injured 24 others? It seems unlikely. Unrepentant, Baya Hocine was condemned to death, then reprieved, and passed the rest of the liberation struggle in prison until Algerian Independence was finally won in 1962. Twenty years later, she was a deputy in the Algerian National Assembly during the debates around the introduction of a Family Code. Baya Hocine energetically argued against the Code, which institutionalized gender inequality and reduced women to the status of minors for life, only to be * Natalya Vince received her Ph.D. in 2008 from the University of London (Queen Mary) for her thesis, “To be a Moudjahida in Independent Algeria: Itineraries and Memories of Women Veterans of the Algerian War.” Her research interests lie in twentieth century French and North African history, politics and society. She is a lecturer in the School of Languages and Area Studies at the University of Portsmouth.
    [Show full text]