02 Editorial Information 03 Commentary Co-Operation
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This month’s cover ... shows scenes from the UK oil industry, where government policies have shifted taxation from upstream to downstream (see article on page 16). Vol XXXIV, No 1 ISSN 0474-6279 January/February 2003 02 Editorial Information 03 Commentary Co-operation flourishes 123rd OPEC 04 Noticeboard Conference decides to raise quotas by 1.5m b/d (p6) 05 Press Release nd Resolutions of the 122 (Extraordinary) Conference 06 Conference Notes rd 123 OPEC Conference decides to raise quotas by 1.5m b/d to ensure sufficient supplies 10 Forum OPEC policies and prospects for greater co-operation between oil producing and consuming nations IEA Executive Director, Claude Mandil, visits the OPEC Secretariat (p27) The problem of fuel subsidies in Indonesia (p12) Liberalising upstream oil and gas: the UK experience and its implications (p16) Some economic aspects of risk management in a deregulated electric market (p23) 27 Newsline Reuters/Raheb Oil and gas news from OPEC 38 Environment Notebook Iran and EU hold meetings to One hundred countries have now ratified the Kyoto Protocol improve political and economic co-operation (p63) 40 Market Review Covering November/December 63 Member Country Focus Development and economic news from OPEC OPEC Fund supports Bangladesh 68 Secretariat Notes textile factory with $2m loan (p69) Mahin Group/A Jewel 69 OPEC Fund News January/February 2003 1 COMMENTARY Publishers Editorial policy OPEC The OPEC Bulletin is published by the Pub- Organization of the Petroleum Exporting lic Relations & Information Department. Countries, Obere Donaustrasse 93, The contents do not necessarily reflect 1020 Vienna, Austria the official views of OPEC or its Member Telephone: +43 1 211 12/0 Countries. Names and boundaries on any Telefax: +43 1 216 4320 maps should not be regarded as authorita- Public Relations & Information tive. No responsibility is taken for claims Department fax: +43 1 214 9827 or contents of advertisements. Editorial E-mail: [email protected] material may be freely reproduced (unless E-mail: OPEC News Agency: [email protected] copyrighted), crediting the OPEC Bulletin Web site: http://www.opec.org as the source. A copy to the Editor-in-Chief Hard copy subscription: $70/12 issues would be appreciated. Secretariat officials Membership and aims Editorial staff Secretary General OPEC is a permanent, intergovernmental Or- Dr Alvaro Silva Calderón Editor-in-Chief ganization, established in Baghdad, September Dr Omar Farouk Ibrahim 10–14, 1960, by IR Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Director, Research Division Editor Arabia and Venezuela. Its objective is to co-ordi- Dr Adnan Shihab-Eldin Graham Patterson nate and unify petroleum policies among Mem- Deputy Editor ber Countries, in order to secure fair and stable Head, Petroleum Market Analysis Philippa Webb-Mügge prices for petroleum producers; an efficient, Department Production economic and regular supply of petroleum to Javad Yarjani Diana Lavnick consuming nations; and a fair return on capital Design to those investing in the industry. Head, Data Services Department Elfi Plakolm The Organization comprises the five Dr Muhammad A Al Tayyeb Founding Members and six other Full Mem- Web site: www.opec.org bers: Qatar (joined in 1961); Indonesia (1962); Head, Administration & SP Libyan AJ (1962); United Arab Emirates Human Resources Department Visit the OPEC Web site for the latest news (Abu Dhabi, 1967); Algeria (1969); and Senussi J Senussi and information about the Organization and its Nigeria (1971). Ecuador joined the Organiza- Member Countries. Recent and back issues of tion in 1973 and left in 1992; Gabon joined Head, Energy Studies Department the OPEC Bulletin are available free of charge in 1975 and left in 1995. Mohamed Hamel on the site in PDF format. Contributions Head, PR & Information Department Dr Omar Farouk Ibrahim The OPEC Bulletin welcomes original contri- butions on the technical, financial and envi- Legal Officer ronmental aspects of all stages of the energy Dolores Dobarro industry, including letters for publication, research reports and project descriptions with Head, Office of the Secretary General Indexed and abstracted in PAIS International supporting illustrations and photographs. Karin Chacin Printed in Austria by Ueberreuter Print and Digimedia Advertisements The OPEC Bulletin reaches the decision-makers in Member Countries. For details of its reasonable advertisement rates see the appropriate page at the end of the magazine. Orders from Member Countries should be sent directly to the Editor-in-Chief at the Secretariat address. Otherwise, orders should be placed through the Advertising Representatives, whose contact details are at the end of the magazine. 2 OPEC Bulletin January/February 2003 3 COMMENTARY Co-operation flourishes Co-operation, which OPEC has been promoting for years, is now spreading to all areas of the energy industry s winter gives way to a new ited the OPEC Secretariat in Vienna tion include the ongoing producer- spring, there is reason to recently. The IEA and OPEC also consumer dialogue, in which respect be cautiously optimistic. participated together with four other a permanent secretariat for the Inter- A OPEC’s market stabiliza- organizations in an exercise aimed national Energy Forum is to be set up tion measures agreed in December and at improving the transparency and in the Saudi Arabian capital Riyadh. January are having the desired effect, reliability of oil industry information, Moreover, instances of OPEC national and despite the supply disruptions in and a joint OPEC/IEA workshop oil companies (NOCs) working to- certain parts of the world, no-one on investment is to be held this gether with international oil compa- has gone short of oil. The market summer. nies (IOCs) are numerous. And one has remained sufficiently supplied at Other organizations with which should not forget the participation of all times, thanks to OPEC’s efforts. OPEC has strengthened its ties include major non-OPEC oil producers such Indeed, if there is a price risk, it is the Energy Charter and UNCTAD. as Mexico, Norway, Russia and others on the downside rather than on the These are just a few examples from in the ongoing efforts to stabilize the upside. many. market. Full confidence in the Organiza- In the past, efforts at promoting Good ideas do not need promot- tion’s ability to stabilize the market co-operation were sometimes focused ing. They seem to spread of their own has been expressed by senior energy rather narrowly on oil output. Now, volition, like spring flowers taking officials in the consuming nations, however, not only does OPEC (and, root and suddenly blossoming. All such as the new Executive Director increasingly, its non-OPEC partners) this serves to underline what OPEC of the International Energy Agency take prompt and proactive measures to has been saying for many years: that (IEA), Claude Mandil. This is hardly stabilize the oil market, but the type everyone with a stake in the global surprising, for when one looks at the of joint efforts that the Organization energy industry — producers and recent expansion of co-operation be- has been so tirelessly promoting over consumers, OPEC and non-OPEC, tween OPEC and bodies such as the the years is spreading to other areas NOCs and IOCs — can gain far more IEA, there is good cause to be optimistic too. All sides now appear genuinely by co-operating than they ever could about the future course of 2003 and committed to pursuing policies that are by opposing one another. It is this beyond. in the best interests of both producers simple realization that gives us reason Both the IEA’s Mandil and his and consumers of oil. to be optimistic that co-operation will predecessor, Robert Priddle, have vis- Other examples of such co-opera- continue to flourish. 2 OPEC Bulletin January/February 2003 3 NOTICEBOARD PRESS RELEASE Forthcoming events Moscow, Russian Federation, May 19–20, Luanda, Angola, May 20–23, 2003, 7th African 2003, Russian gas forum. Details: IBC oil & gas trade & finance conference and showcase. Energy Conferences, Informa House, 30-32 Details: ITE Group PLC, 105 Salusbury Rd, Tashkent, Uzbekistan, May 6–8, 2003, 7th Mortimer Street, London W1W 7RE, UK. London NW6 6RG, UK. Tel: +44 (0)207 Uzbekistan international oil & gas exhibition. Tel: +44 (0)207 017 4027; fax: +44 (0)207 596 5233; fax: +44 (0)207 596 5106; e-mail: Details: ITE Group PLC, 105 Salusbury Rd, 436 8377; e-mail: [email protected]; [email protected]; Web London NW6 6RG, UK. Tel: +44 (0)207 Web site: www.ibcenergy.com. site: www.ite-exhibitions.com/og. 596 5233; fax: +44 (0)207 596 5106; e-mail: [email protected]; Web Brussels, Belgium, May 19–21, 2003, World Frankfurt, Germany, May 22–23, 2003, The site: www.ite-exhibitions.com/og. fuels conference Europe: European refining and chemical and petrochemical industries of Russia, automotive issues — what’s next for refiners, the CIS and CEE. Details: Global Business London, UK, May 6–9, 2003, Energy price risk automakers and technology suppliers? Details: Forums (UK), Yulia Khoroshilova, 5/F, 63-66 management. Details: Petroleum Economist Hart World Fuels Conferences, 1201 Seven Hatton Garden, London EC1N 8LE, UK. Ltd, 15/17 St Cross Street, London EC1N Locks Rd, Suite 300, Potomac, MD 20854, Tel: +44 20 7404 2430; fax: +44 20 7405 8UW, UK. Tel: +44 (0)20 7831 5588; fax: USA. Tel: +1 301 354 2045; fax: +1 301 424 5913; e-mail: [email protected]; Web +44 (0)20 7831 4567 or 7831 5313; e-mail: 7260; e-mail: [email protected]; site: www.gbusforums.com. [email protected]; Web site: Web site: www.worldfuels.com. www.petroleum-economist.com. Seoul, South Korea, May 22–23, 2003, Marine transport logistics for oil. Details: London, UK, May 14–15, 2003, Floating Jakarta, Indonesia Conference Connection Administrators Pte production systems.