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Durham E-Theses Socal Characterstcs for Mltancy: The Case of Turksh Hezbollah Dogan, Azimet How to cite: Dogan, Azimet (2016) Socal Characterstcs for Mltancy: The Case of Turksh Hezbollah, Durham theses, Durham University. Available at Durham E-Theses Online: http://etheses.dur.ac.uk/11539/ Use policy The full-text may be used and/or reproduced, and given to third parties in any format or medium, without prior permission or charge, for personal research or study, educational, or not-for-prot purposes provided that: • a full bibliographic reference is made to the original source • a link is made to the metadata record in Durham E-Theses • the full-text is not changed in any way The full-text must not be sold in any format or medium without the formal permission of the copyright holders. Please consult the full Durham E-Theses policy for further details. Academic Support Oce, Durham University, University Oce, Old Elvet, Durham DH1 3HP e-mail: [email protected] Tel: +44 0191 334 6107 http://etheses.dur.ac.uk SOCIAL CHARACTERISTICS FOR MILITANCY: THE CASE OF TURKISH HEZBOLLAH By: AZIMET DOGAN Thesis submitted in fulfilment of the requirements for the award of Philosophy of Doctorate at Durham University School of Government and International Affairs 2015 Abstract Terrorism is a complex and multi-facet problem that negatively affects countries around the world. Turkey has suffered from terrorist activities from different polar of political spectrum. Turkish Hezbollah is one those terrorists threats for Turkey. To move closer toward the prevention of terrorism with the primary goal of eradicating terrorist groups, countries need to direct their efforts toward identifying the not only macro scale political issue but also the social characteristics of individuals at micro level in addition to the psychological and socio-psychological underpinnings of terrorism. In furtherance of social characteristics at the recruitment level, the impacts of those characteristics in engaging in violent activities is the focus of this study. Through using individual level data the underlying social characteristics that are influential in a TH member’s deployment (or choice) into military wing for violent activities or into political activities are identified. These include knowing the characteristics that where Turkish Hezbollah members come from, what motivates them towards Hezbollah’s ideology, their family background, and their demographics. This study mainly found that individual characteristics that are considered determinative for an individual to engage in terrorist activity are not much different for Turkish Hezbollah. In that most of the social characteristics of age, marital status, economic status, whether moved from hometown, lifestyle of members before organization, and crime history have similar effect with the generic sense of the related literature of average terrorist in the Middle East. In terms of the individual and collective impact of the social characteristics into the dichotomous deployment of military vs. political wing within the TH, this study found that age, marital status, economic status, whether moved from hometown, lifestyle of members before organization, and crime history have same effect in opting for (or being deployed) military vs. political wing positions in the organization at both, individual and collective level. In that, TH members are either choose or be intentionally/deliberately deployed into political and military wings of the TH based on certain social characteristics of younger age, in unmarried status, with lower educational attainment, with lower level work and in turn economic status. Table of contents Chapter 1 - Introduction 5 1.1. Problem Statement and Purpose of the Study 6 1.2. Significance of the Study 8 1.3. Definition of terms 10 Chapter 2 – Literature Review 12 2.1. Terrorist Member Characterization 12 2.1.1. Terrorist Member Characteristics --------------------------------------------------------------------------13 2.1.2. Relevant Theories ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------23 2.2. Turkish Hezbollah 31 2.2.1. Ideology of the Turkish Islamic Movement --------------------------------------------------------------31 2.2.2. History of the Turkish Islamic Movement ----------------------------------------------------------------32 2.2.3. The Growth of Turkish Hezbollah --------------------------------------------------------------------------35 2.2.4. The Iranian Connection ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------39 2.2.5. Ideology and Goals ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------39 2.2.6. Strategic Structuring -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------40 2.2.7. Commanding the Goodness, Preventing the Evilness ------------------------------------------------44 2.2.8. Violence-Based Revolution-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------46 2.2.9. The Leadership of Ulema (Pioneer Staff) -----------------------------------------------------------------48 2.2.10. Community (Mass Structuring) -----------------------------------------------------------------------------49 2.2.11. Organizational Structure --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------52 2.2.12. Security Structure of the Organization -------------------------------------------------------------------61 2.2.13. Actions of Organization ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------75 2.2.14. Characteristics of Armed Assaults --------------------------------------------------------------------------82 2.2.15. Financial Structure ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------83 2.3. Terrorism and Fundamentalism 84 2.3.1. Recent Terrorist Events ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------84 2.3.2. Definition of Terrorism ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------87 2.3.3. Early History of Terrorism ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 100 2.3.4. Contemporary Terrorism ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 102 2.3.5. The Causes of Terrorism ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 103 2.3.6. Fundamentalism ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 105 Chapter 3 – Methodology 119 3.1. Research Questions and Hypotheses 121 3.2. Conceptual Model 123 3.3. Data 125 3.4. Sample 126 3.5. Measurements 128 3.5.1. Dependent Variables ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 128 3.5.2. Independent Variables -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 128 3.6. Research Design 136 3.7. Data Analysis 137 3 3.8. Multivariate Analysis: Logistic Regression 138 3.9. Reliability and Validity Issues 139 Chapter 4 – Analysis and Findings 141 4.1. Descriptive Findings 141 4.2. Bivariate Correlation 146 4.3. Cross-Tabulations 146 4.4. Logistic Regression Analyses 156 Chapter 5 – Discussions and Conclusion 162 5.1. Discussions 162 5.2. Policy Implications 175 5.3. Recommendations for the Future Studies 179 REFERENCES 181 4 Chapter 1 - Introduction Terrorism is a complex problem that affects countries around the world. It has the potential to negatively impact the political and social welfare as well as the economic stability of an entire country. The effects of terrorism can overburden systems designed to protect citizens and place significant demands on already strained criminal justice systems. According to a study completed by the Congressional Budget Office in 2002, the federal government of the United States spent $37 billion after the September 11th attack and planned to spend more than ten (10) times this amount for fighting terrorism over the next decade (Stevenson, 2002). The military budget of the United States increased 2.5 percent between the years 1998 and 2001, in response to the terrorist attack in New York; the budget increased 36 percent within following two years (2001-2003). By 2005, the total increase of the budget approached 70 percent (Erdogdu, 2003). Terrorism has the potential to divide groups or countries based on those who sympathize with the terrorist ideologies and those who do not. With all of these negative consequences, it is important to prevent the spread of terrorism. Terrorism differs from traditional crime in its causes; such as ideology, beliefs, and differences in political view ((Deflem, 2004). Additionally, terrorism differs significantly from traditional crime with regard to research. Terrorism research is in its infancy, whereas traditional crime research has a considerable knowledge base. As the knowledge base begins to expand, and policy evolves, fighting terrorism slowly shifts away from the use of traditional criminal justice sanctions (e.g., arrest, imprisonment) to include counter- terrorism strategies (e.g., counter-insurgency strategies). To be more effective in counter- insurgency strategies, it is imperative that we understand what motivates the individual to join the terrorist movement. This new understanding should help systems to move away from the tradition of strictly