Revisiting the Synoptic-Scale Predictability of Severe European
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'Lothar Successor' - the Forgotten Storm After Christmas 1999
Phenomenological examination of 'Lothar Successor' - the forgotten storm after Christmas 1999 by F. Welzenbach Institute for Meteorology and Geophysics Innsbruck 04 April 2010, preliminary version Abstract The majority of scientific research to the notorious storms in December 1999 focuses on 'Lothar' and 'Martin' causing most of the damage to properties and fatalities in Central Europe. Few studies have been performed in the framework of the passage of storm 'Lothar Successor' (introduced in a case study of the Manual of synoptic satellite meteorology featured by ZAMG) between these two events being responsible for some gusts in exceed of 90 km/h between Northern France, Belgium and Southwestern Germany. The present study addresses to the phenomenology and possible explanations of that secondary cyclogenesis just after the passage of 'Lothar' and well before the arrival of 'Martin'. Facing different theories and findings in several papers it will be shown that the storm possessed a closed circulation and a fully developed frontal system. That key finding is especially in contrast to the analysis of the German Weather Service which suggested that solely a 'trough line' crossed Germany. The point whether a warm or a cold conveyor belt cyclogenesis produced the storm could not be entirely clarified. Finally, reasons are given for which 'Lothar Successor' had not become a 'second Lothar', amongst others the unfavourable position between two jetstreams with lack of sufficient cyclonic vorticity advection. 1. Introduction The motivation for reviewing the events from late December 1999 is mainly due to personal experience between the passage of 'Lothar' (26.12.1999) and 'Martin' (28.12.1999) in Lower Franconia close to Miltenberg (at the river Main between Frankfurt and Wuerzburg). -
CSL Peer-Reviewed Publications 2015-2020
NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory 2015 – 2020 Peer-Reviewed Publications sorted by year of publication, then alphabetical by first author 2020 Akherati, A., Y. He, M. Coggon, A. Koss, A. Hodshire, K. Sekimoto, C. Warneke, J. de Gouw, L. Yee, J. Seinfeld, T. Onasch, S. Herndon, W. Knighton, C. Cappa, M. Kleeman, C. Lim, J. Kroll, J. Pierce, and S. Jathar, Oxygenated aromatic compounds are important precursors of secondary organic aerosol in biomass burning emissions, Environmental Science & Technology, 54(14), 8568-8579, doi:10.1021/acs.est.0c01345, 2020. Angevine, W.M., J.M. Edwards, M. Lothon, M.A. LeMone, and S. Osborne, Transition periods in the diurnally-varying atmospheric boundary layer over land, Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 177, 205-223, doi:10.1007/s10546-020-00515-y, 2020. Angevine, W.M., J. Olson, J. Gristey, I. Glenn, G. Feingold, and D. Turner, Scale awareness, resolved circulations, and practical limits in the MYNN-EDMF boundary layer and shallow cumulus scheme, Monthly Weather Review, 148(11), doi:10.1175/MWR-D-20-0066.1, 2020. Angevine, W.M., J. Peischl, A. Crawford, C. Loughner, I. Pollack, and C. Thompson, Errors in top-down estimates of emissions using a known source, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20, 11855-11868, doi:10.5194/acp-20-11855-2020, 2020. Archibald, A.T., J.L. Neu, Y. Elshorbany, O.R. Cooper, P.J. Young, H. Akiyoshi, R.A. Cox, M. Coyle, R. Derwent, M. Deushi, A. Finco, G.J. Frost, I.E. Galbally, G. Gerosa, C. Granier, P.T. Griffiths, R. Hossaini, L. Hu, P.Jöckel, B. Josse, M.Y. -
Annu Al Repor T 201 1-201 2
ANNUAL REPORT 2011-2012 ANNUAL Goddard Earth Sciences Technology and Research Studies and Investigations GESTAR STAFF Abuhassan, Nader Jethva, Hiren Radcliff, Matthew Achuthavarier, Deepthi Jin, Jianjun Randles, Cynthia Anyamba, Assaf Jones, Randall Reale, Oreste Baird, Steve Jusem, Juan Carlos Retscher, Christian Barahona, Donifan Kekesi, Alex Reyes, Malissa Beck, Jefferson Kim, Dongchul Rousseaux, Cecile Bell, Benita Kim, Hyokyung Sayer, Andrew Belvedere, Debbie Kim, Kyu-Myong Schiffer, Robert Bindschadler, Robert Kniffen, Don Schindler, Trent Bridgman, Tom Korkin, Sergey Selkirk, Henry Brucker, Ludovic Kostis, Helen-Nicole Sharghi, Kayvon Brunt, Kelly Kowalewski, Matthew Shi, Jainn Jong (Roger) Buchard-Marchant, Virginie Kreutzinger, Rachel Sippel, Jason Burger, Matthew Kucsera, Tom Smith, Sarah Celarier, Edward Kurtz, Nathan Soebiyanto, Radina Chang, Yehui Kurylo, Michael Sokolowsky, Eric Chase, Tyler Lait, Leslie Southard, Adrian Chern, Jiun-Dar Lamsal, Lok Starr, Cynthia Chettri, Samir Laughlin, Daniel Steenrod, Stephen ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Colombo, Oscar Lawford, Richard Stoyanova, Silvia Corso, William Lee, Dong Min Strahan, Susan Cote, Charles Lentz, Michael Strode, Sarah Dalnekoff, Julie Lewis, Katherine Sun, Zhibin Damoah, Richard Li, Feng Swanson, Andrew De Lannoy, Gabrielle J. Li, Xiaowen Taha, Ghassan de Matthaeis, Paolo Liang, Qing Tan, Qian Diehl, Thomas Liao, Liang Tao, Zhining Draper, Clara Lim, Young-Kwon Tian, Lin Duberstein, Genna Lin, Xin Ungar, Stephen Eck, Thomas Lyu, Chen-Hsuan (Joseph) Unninayar, Sushel Errico, Ronald -
How Long Could We Survive Without It?
Urban Insight is an initiative launched by Sweco The theme for 2019 is Urban Energy, describing In our insight reports, written by Sweco’s 2019 to illustrate our expertise – encompassing both various facets of sustainable urban develop- experts, we explore how citizens view and local knowledge and global capacity – as the ment about energy usage, renewable energy use urban areas and how local circumstances URBAN ENERGY leading adviser to the urban areas of Europe. and energy efficiency – with future challenges can be improved to create more liveable, This initiative offers unique insights into and opportunities in the new energy land- sustainable cities and communities. REPORT sustainable urban development in Europe, scape. from the citizens’ perspective. Please visit our website to learn more: ELECTRICITY: swecourbaninsight.com HOW LONG COULD WE SURVIVE WITHOUT IT? SWECOURBANINSIGHT.COM URBAN INSIGHT 2019 URBAN INSIGHT 2019 URBAN ENERGY URBAN ENERGY ELECTRICITY: ELECTRICITY: HOW LONG COULD WE HOW LONG COULD WE SURVIVE WITHOUT IT? SURVIVE WITHOUT IT? ELECTRICITY: HOW LONG COULD WE SURVIVE WITHOUT IT? ERKKI HÄRÖ SANNA-MARIA JÄRVENSIVU JUSSI ALILEHTO PASI HARAVUORI iii 1 URBAN INSIGHT 2019 URBAN INSIGHT 2019 URBAN ENERGY URBAN ENERGY ELECTRICITY: ELECTRICITY: HOW LONG COULD WE HOW LONG COULD WE SURVIVE WITHOUT IT? SURVIVE WITHOUT IT? CONTENTS 1 INTRODUCTION 4 CLIMATE CHANGE IS 2 CASE STUDY: WAKING UP WITHOUT ELECTRICITY 6 3 CONSEQUENCES OF POWER FAILURE: SET TO INCREASE HOMES, OFFICES AND SCHOOLS 12 4 CONSEQUENCES OF POWER FAILURE: THE LIKELIHOOD OF GROCERY STORES AND HOSPITALS 18 5 CONSEQUENCES OF POWER FAILURE: SEVERE WEATHER POWER AND PRODUCTION PLANTS 22 6 CHALLENGES ON THE NATIONAL LEVEL 26 AND THEREBY MORE 7 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 36 8 ABOUT THE AUTHORS 40 FREQUENT DAMAGE 9 REFERENCES 42 TO ELECTRICAL SYSTEMS AFFECTING HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS OF PEOPLE. -
Ucp Abstractbook.Pdf
Index Acquistapace, Claudia ................... 1 Henneberg, Olga ..........................67 Preissler, Jana ............................ 133 Adamidis, Panagiotis ..................... 2 Hernandez-Deckers, Daniel ........68 Pressel, Kyle ............................... 134 Adler, Bianca.................................. 3 Herzog, Michael ...........................69 Protat, Alain ............................... 135 Ament, Felix ................................... 4 Hohenegger, Cathy ......................70 Quaas, Johannes........................ 136 Baars, Holger ................................. 5 Holloway, Chris ............................71 Randall, Dave ............................. 137 Ban, Nikolina ................................. 6 Hoose, Corinna ............................72 Raschke, Ehrhard....................... 138 Bao, Jian-Wen................................ 7 Imamovic, Adel ............................73 Reichardt, Isabelle ..................... 139 Barthlott, Christian........................ 8 Jakob, Christian ............................74 Retsch, Matthias Heinz ............. 140 Baumgartner, Manuel................... 9 Jakub, Fabian ...............................75 Richard, Evelyne ........................ 141 Becker, Tobias ............................. 10 Jaruga, Anna.................................76 Romakkaniemi, Sami ................. 142 Beekmans, Christoph .................. 11 Jensen, Michael ...........................77 Romps, David ............................. 143 Behrendt, Andreas ..................... -
Program Summary
Sunday, September 22, 2013 Dinner (6:00 – 8:00 PM) ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ Monday, September 23, 2013 Breakfast (7:00 – 8:00 AM) Session 1: Midlatitude Cyclone Structure, Evolution and Processes (8:00 – 10:00 AM) Chair: Andrea Lang Time Presenter Title 8:00 – 8:20 Gyakum A Reanalysis of Extreme Cyclone Processes: Tropical, Extratropical, and Otherwise 8:20 – 8:40 Plante Storm Tracks across Eastern Canada Characteristics of Northeast Winter Cyclones Associated With Significant Upper Level 8:40 – 9:00 Mitchell Easterly Wind Anomalies 9:00 – 9:20 Ferreira Structure and Propagation of Midlatitude Cyclones in the Southeastern United States 9:20 – 9:40 Cohen The Evolution of Fronts and Cyclones over the U.S. 2012-2013 9:40 – 10:00 Hewson Why Rainfall May Reduce When the Ocean Warms Coffee Break (10:00 – 10:20 AM) Session 2: Jets, Fronts and Airstreams (10:20 AM – 12:20 PM) Chair: Steven Cavallo Time Presenter Title A Lagrangian Climatology of Tropical and Extratropical Forcing of the Northern 10:20 – 10:40 Martius Hemisphere Subtropical Jet 10:40 – 11:00 Griffin Examining Preferred Modes of Intraseasonal Variability of the North Pacific Jet A Potential Vorticity Perspective on the Motion of Midlatitude Surface Cyclones: 11:00 – 11:20 Rivière Theory and Real Case Studies 11:20 – 11:40 Attard A Climatology of Lower Stratospheric Fronts in North America 11:40 – 12:00 Christenson A Synoptic-Climatology of Northern Hemisphere Jet Superposition Events Investigation of the -
A Summary of Flooding Events in Boston
1810 flooding (4-10 fatalities) - http://www.lincolnshirelive.co.uk/200-years-flood-end-floods/story-11195470-detail/story.html the text below from the website does mention Fishtoft and Fosdyke as areas that were affected: "AS many as 10 people may have died during the great flood of 1810, which engulfed the area in the pitch black of night and without warning. The total loss of life has only now been revealed, following research into archived material. Historian Hilary Healey has researched the incident and uncovered details of the deaths, which reveal the body count to be much more than the four believed to have perished. In Fosdyke, a servant girl of farmer Mr Birkett found herself surrounded by the sea in a pasture while milking cows and was washed away. Also in Fosdyke, an elderly woman in the course of the night was washed out of an upper window of her cottage and drowned. At Fishtoft, Mr Smith Jessop, a farmer's son, was drowned while trying to rescue some of his father's sheep. Accounts of the flood are few, but the Stamford Mercury recorded some inquests which may have been held at Boston court. These included a youth, William Green, about 16 years old, who drowned at Fishtoft, another unidentified boy, thought to have been from a fishing boat called the Amber Blay, and John Jackson and William Black, also from a wrecked vessel. Inquests were also held into the deaths of two women from Fosdyke, Esther Tunnard and Ann Burton, drowned by the flood inundating their cottages (one of them may have been the person referred to above). -
Local Flow Conditions in the Bergen Valley Based on Observations And
Local flow conditions in the Bergen valley based on observations and numerical simulations Master Thesis in Meteorology Aslaug Sk˚alevikValved October 2012 ER SI IV T A N U S B E S R I G E N S UNIVERSITY OFBERGEN GEOPHYSICAL INSTITUTE The picture on the front page was taken during field work at the site of the Ulriksbakken Automatic Weather Station in December 2011. Mount Løvstakken is standing tall above the clouds on the opposite side of the Bergen valley. Acknowledgements I would like to express my gratitude for all help given by my supervisor, Joachim Reuder, throughout this study. His ideas, advices, guidance and particularly all the long hours of work at the end of this project, are highly appreciated. In addition, I would like to thank for the opportunity to work with a subject that is of great interest for me, and for making this a reality. I am also grateful for all the help given by my co-supervisor, Marius Opsanger Jonassen. All technical support from him with WRF and Matlab has been of enormous help. Without his effort, this thesis would not have been as comprehensive as it is now. I would also like to thank for his guidance along the way, his proof-reading at the end, and for including me in his article. Another important contributor to this thesis is Anak Bhandari. I highly appreciate all his work and help with the weather stations and rawdata. It is due to him that this study now has long time series with observations. I am also very glad for being included in the field work, which has been a great experience that I would not have missed out on. -
Title, Modify
Customers Interruption Costs in Power Systems Abdelgani Al-Jayyousi School of Engineering Thesis submitted for examination for the degree of Master of Science in Technology 31.12.2020 Supervisor and advisor: Prof. Matti Lehtonen AALTO UNIVERSITY ABSTRACT OF THE SCHOOL OF ENGINEERING MASTER’STHESIS Author: Abdelgani Al-Jayyousi Title: Customers Interruption Costs in Power Systems Date: 31.12.2020 Language: English Number of pages: 7+47 Advanced Energy Solutions Major: Sustainable Energy Conversion Processes Code: ENG-3069 Supervisor and advisor: Prof. Matti Lehtonen Daily life activities require a continuous supply of electric power. The demand for continuous electric supply has become vital and necessary for all societies. To achieve the demand for the electric power required, there must be a well- developed power system to deliver sustainable, affordable prices, and more reliable electricity to customers. Therefore, previous studies have been stud- ied in order to present methods used to interrupt customer interruption costs. Nonetheless, there are common challenges among all studies, such as the strate- gic responses with customer survey methods. Furthermore, previous research aims to use the data gathered from the customer surveys and integrate it with an indirect analytical method. The motivation behind this work is that when an outage occurs, companies suffer from significant losses, but if factors that can minimize the losses are well studied, then companies would know how to be prepared for blackouts with a minimum amount of losses. Consequently, a comparison between customer interruption costs calculations was conducted for the industry sector. The comparison conducted was based on a critical review analysis. Furthermore, after the critical review was made, all possible solutions researches has reached to were listed in order to seek opportunities for further developments. -
The XWS Open Access Catalogue of Extreme European Windstorms from 1979 to 2012
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 2487–2501, 2014 www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/14/2487/2014/ doi:10.5194/nhess-14-2487-2014 © Author(s) 2014. CC Attribution 3.0 License. The XWS open access catalogue of extreme European windstorms from 1979 to 2012 J. F. Roberts1, A. J. Champion2, L. C. Dawkins3, K. I. Hodges4, L. C. Shaffrey5, D. B. Stephenson3, M. A. Stringer2, H. E. Thornton1, and B. D. Youngman3 1Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK 2Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK 3College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK 4National Centre for Earth Observation, University of Reading, Reading, UK 5National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading, Reading, UK Correspondence to: J. F. Roberts (julia.roberts@metoffice.gov.uk) Received: 13 January 2014 – Published in Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.: 7 March 2014 Revised: 8 August 2014 – Accepted: 12 August 2014 – Published: 22 September 2014 Abstract. The XWS (eXtreme WindStorms) catalogue con- 1 Introduction sists of storm tracks and model-generated maximum 3 s wind-gust footprints for 50 of the most extreme winter wind- European windstorms are extratropical cyclones with very storms to hit Europe in the period 1979–2012. The catalogue strong winds or violent gusts that are capable of produc- is intended to be a valuable resource for both academia and ing devastating socioeconomic impacts. They can lead to industries such as (re)insurance, for example allowing users structural damage, power outages to millions of people, and to characterise extreme European storms, and validate cli- closed transport networks, resulting in severe disruption and mate and catastrophe models. -
Catastrophe Modelling and Climate Change
Catastrophe Modelling and Climate Change Key Contacts Trevor Maynard Head of Exposure Management & Reinsurance Telephone: +44 (0)20 7327 6141 [email protected] Nick Beecroft Manager, Emerging Risks & Research Telephone: +44 (0)20 7327 5605 [email protected] Sandra Gonzalez Executive, Emerging Risks & Research Telephone: +44 (0)20 7327 6921 [email protected] Lauren Restell Exposure Management Executive Telephone: +44 (0)20 7327 6496 [email protected] Contributing authors: Professor Ralf Toumi is Professor of Atmospheric Physics at the Department of Physics, Imperial College London. He is also a director of OASIS LMF Ltd which promotes open access for catastrophe modelling. Lauren Restell has worked in catastrophe modelling in the London market since 2006. Prior to joining Lloyd’s Exposure Management, she held positions with Aon Benfield and Travelers following completion of an MSc in Climate Change at the University of East Anglia. Case studies: The case studies were provided by Professor James Elsner (Climatek), Madeleine-Sophie Déroche (Climate – Knowledge Innovation Centre), Dr Ioana Dima and Shane Latchman (AIR), Professor Rob Lamb, Richard Wylde and Jessica Skeggs (JBA), Iain Willis (EQECAT) and Dr Paul Wilson (RMS). Acknowledgements: Lloyd’s would also like to thank Matthew Foote (Mitsui Sumitomo), Steven Luck (W. R. Berkley Syndicate) and Luke Knowles (Catlin) for their input to the report. Disclaimer This report has been produced by Lloyd's for general information purposes only. While care has been taken in gathering the data and preparing the report, Lloyd's does not make any representations or warranties as to its accuracy or completeness and expressly excludes to the maximum extent permitted by law all those that might otherwise be implied. -
Scientific Program
IUGG XXIV GENERAL ASSEMBLY Perugia, July 2-13, 2007 02 July, 2007 J. Taylor, Matt J. Bailey, Natalia Solorzano, Thomas Jeremy, Robert H. 02:16 pm Geophysical survey of the Fagnano pluton. Tierra del UL001 Our Changing Climate: A Global Policy Issue, Holzworth, Steven Cummer, Nicolas Jaugey, Osmar Pinto, Nelson J. Schuch, Fuego. Argentina Robert W. Corell: Invited Speacher Marcos Michels, Vinicius T. Rampinelli. Speaker Sao Sabbas Fernanda Vilas Juan Francisco, Tassone A., Peroni J. I., Lippai H., Oral 2 July, 2007 from 08:30 AM to 09:30 AM - Rectorate Main Hall 12:15 pm Investigating Sprite Halo Optical Signatures and Menichetti M, Lodolo E. Speaker Vilas Juan Francisco US001 Our Changing Planet (Part 1) Associated Lightning Characteristics over South America Conveners: Peltier Richard Taylor Michael, S. Cummer, J. Li, F. Sao Sabbas, J. Thomas, 02:32 pm Paleomagnetism of Late Tertiary lava flows from Oral 2 July, 2007 from 09:30 AM to 12:30 AM - Rectorate Main Hall R. Holzworth, O. Pinto, N. Schuch. Speaker Taylor Michael Lundarhals, Storutjarnir, and Su durdalur, Iceland 09:30 am Solar Forcing Of Global Climate Over The Instrumental Era Oral 2 July, 2007 from 02:00 PM to 05:30 PM - Department of Physics Kono Masaru. Speaker Kono Masaru Lean Judith. Speaker Lean Judith Room B 02:48 pm Break-up of Pangea and early Mesozoic plate motions in 09:55 am Monitoring the Variability in the Atlantic Meridional 02:00 pm Balloon electric field measurements in the vicinity of an the central Atlantic, Atlas and Tethys regions Overturning Circulation at 25_N active convective storm Schettino Antonio, Eugenio Turco.