Artificial Intelligence Development, Impacts, Ethics, and Regulation

The Future of Artificial Intelligence Development, Impacts, Ethics, and Regulation

Rohit Talwar Fast Future

AI and the Future Digital Single Market

International Institute of Communications Telecommunications and Media Forum Brussels - 24th April 2018

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Fast Future Contents Presentation p 4 About Fast Future p 41 Slide Sources p 60 What We Do

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1-12 Months 1-3 Years 4-10+ Years Operational Search for Understand Excellence Growth Future Drivers Build Mindset, Talent, Agility, and Innovation Culture

[email protected] @fastfuture Images: Cberry / Information Age / Kgwings How Well do our Assumptions Serve us?

[email protected] @fastfuture Images: Angeles Santos Torroella / Rafal Olbinski The Mind Trap - Just Because I Think it…

• It doesn’t mean it’s true • It doesn’t mean I have to believe it • It may not be my / the best thought • It may not be valid for very long

[email protected] @fastfuture Images: dramaaroundtheglobe / Amsterdam Street Art Artificial Nanotechnology / 3D / 4D Intelligence / Atomically Precise New Computing Printing Conscious Manufacturing Architectures Technology Food Chain Transformation A Possibility Explosion Hyperconnected Internet of Energy from Universally Available Humanity Innovation Exponential Immersivity / Robotics / Science and Technology Mixed Reality Drones Developments Living Blockchain Brain Healthcare Synthetic and Uploading Human Transformation Augmentation Biology Cryptocurrencies rohit@fastfuture @fastfuture Image: Wikipedia Artificial Intelligence Why all the Fuss?

Artificial intelligence (AI) is an area of computer science that emphasizes the creation of intelligent machines that work and react like humans. E.g. Speech recognition, visual perception, learning, reasoning, inference, strategising, planning, intuition, decision-making, and language Better AI Algorithms, translation. Big Data, Cloud, Hardware Capability, Massive Money [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Staticworld China Targetting a US$150Bn AI Sector by 2030

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Vertex Core Underlying Technologies

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Deloitte The Hype is Blurring Seven Categories of AI

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Velka 1. Expert / Rules-Based Systems / RPA

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Gerd Altman 2. Domain Specific E.g. DeepMind AlphaGo Zero

rohit@fastfuture .com @fastfuture Image: Medium 3. Context Awareness and Retention E.G. Chatbots and Robo-Advisors

• RBS Luvo • Future • Swedbank Advisor Nina • Betterment • Mizuho • 8Now Pepper • Wahed

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: wealth-hack 4. Theory of Mind / Reasoning Machines

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Sergey Guneev 5. Self-Aware - Artificial General Intelligence

rohit@fastfuture .com @fastfuture Image: Channel 4 6. SuperIntelligence

rohit@fastfuture .com @fastfuture Image: Gerd Altman 7. Singularity / Transcendence

rohit@fastfuture .com @fastfuture Image: Kai Kalhh New Strategies = New Mindsets

Pipes and Platforms and Services Investment, Direct Offerings Infrastructure Venturing and E.g. FinTech Incubation Telecoms Applications Domains

Self-managing / optimising networks Software defined networks Network function virtualisation Internet of Things Deep neural networks for deep expertise tasks Remote premises management Predictive maintenance Customer service Subscriber profiling and targeting

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: HFS Research Media Application Domains

In show purchases IoT - Integrate every ‘in room’ object into entertainment experiences Integration of user content Superposition of viewers into shows Multi-layered augmented and immersive multi-sensory content Asset management Personalised programming Predicting customer behaviour

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Aylanetworks Major Current Fields of Development

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: PwC Alibaba / Microsoft Team Outperforming Humans on Stanford Question Answering Database Test

[email protected] @fastfuture Images: Milk / Citfraw Japan – Mind Reading Neural Network

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Thenextweb Decentralized Artificial Intelligence

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: SingularityNET What’s Next: Now to 2020

• Real Time Translation • Smart Machines, Sensors, Objects • Self-Editing Software • Fully Automated Smart Corporations (Decentralized Autonomous Organizations) • AI Adopted by Most Firms • Intelligent Agents Manage Our Lives / Guard Our Data • Swarm Robotics

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: kellepics What’s Next: 2021 to 2025

• 70-90% of Customer Interactions Managed by AI • Product Development Increasingly Done / Tested by AI • Crowd Defined and Designed Financial Services Products • AI Deployed Across all of Government / Courts • Autonomous Vehicles Everywhere

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Pete Linforth What’s Next: 2026 to 2035

• Globally Approved Crypto Tokens • Fully Autonomous DAO Banks • AI Penetrates all Sectors • Artificial Animal and Ecosystem Intelligence • Self-Aware / Self-Replicating Software Systems and Robots • Artificial General Intelligence? • Artificial Superintelligence?? • The Singularity????

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Funky Focus AI is Enabling New Business Concepts E.g. Self-Owning, Self-Insuring, Self-Repairing Autonomous Vehicles

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Fast Company ‘Smart Machines’ will be Central to our Existence Access to Our Data May be Strictly Controlled

Individuals Organizations Existing and Nations as Within an AI Constantly App Cocoon Evolving App and Protected Ecosystems by Intelligent Agents

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Stephan Keller Regulatory Concerns

Weaponisation of AI Unethical applications of the technology Discrimination, privacy, authenticity, and agency Do senior management genuinely understand it? Will it behave as intended? Can its decisions be explained? Can humans intervene if problems occur?

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Velka Preparing for the AI Economy

International Competition Nationalization of AI Job Creation Research and Development for Tomorrow’s Sectors Encouraging New Ventures The Post-AI Economy

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Gerd Altmann Addressing the Human Impacts of AI

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Gerd Altmann Cultural And Ethical Challenges

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Pixabay PublicDomainPictures Bias

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: John Hain Rethinking Education Systems and Reskilling the Workforce

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Jonny Lindner Unemployment

Guaranteed Basic Incomes

New Taxation Models

Total Employment Responsibility

[email protected] @fastfuture Image: Basicincome Dealing With The Mental Health Impacts

rohit@fastfuture .com @fastfuture Image: Shawn Cross The Revolution will not be Predictable (or Televised)

[email protected] @fastfuture @fastfutureedu Image: V for Vendetta Thank You

[email protected] @fastfuture Images: Fast Future About Fast Future Fast Future - Books

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• Drivers of change • Science and technology advances • Customer expectations • Innovation priorities • Strategies and business models • Surveys to test ideas and scenarios on a global audience • Models for managing tomorrows airport ecosystem • http://www.amadeus.com/airlineit/resources/reinventing_the_airport_e cosystem/index.html?OADS=78 Designing Your Future - Key Trends, Challenges and Choices

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• European Commission project • Examined 87 potential developments and trends Futurium • Clustered into 11 overarching future societal themes • Content identified through a combination of crowdsourcing via the Futurium web platform, suggestions from the EC, and ideas proposed by our team • http://ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/futurium/ ACCA / IMA – 100 Drivers of Change

• Identifies 100 drivers of change impacting business and the accounting profession • Outlines future scenarios for the accounting function • Highlights strategic imperatives for business and the accounting function • ‘5 minutes on’ executive summary • Report: www.accaglobal.co.uk/en/research- insights/accountancy-futures/drivers- change.html Hotels 2020

• Identifying key drivers of change for the globally branded hotel sector over the next decade • Examining the implications for: ➢ Hotel strategy ➢ Brand portfolio ➢ Business models ➢ Customer targeting ➢ Innovation ➢ http://www.amadeus.com/hotelit/beyond- segmentation.html Rohit Talwar • Global futurist and founder of Fast Future Research. • Award winning speaker on future insights and strategic innovation – addressing leadership audiences in 40 countries on 5 continents • Author of Designing Your Future • Profiled by UK’s Independent Newspaper as one of the Top 10 Global Future Thinkers • Led futures research, scenario planning and strategic consultancy projects for clients in telecommunications, technology, pharmaceuticals, banking, travel and tourism, environment, food and government sectors • Clients include 3M, BBC, BT, BAe, Bayer, Chloride, DTC De Beers, DHL, EADS, Electrolux, E&Y, GE, Hoover, Hyundai, IBM, ING, Intel, KPMG, M&S, Nakheel, Nokia, Nomura, Novartis, OECD, Orange, Panasonic, Pfizer, PwC, Samsung, Shell, Siemens, Symbian, Yell , numerous international associations and governments agencies in the US, UK, Finland, Dubai, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and Singapore. • To receive Fast Future’s newsletters please email [email protected] Videos of Rohit Exploring the Future ➢Artificial Intelligence: What Every CEO Should Be Asking (24 mins) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9kUWxgL0UBA ➢A Very Human Future - Humans and Technology in Collaboration (36 mins) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jhbSE4BaMck ➢The World in 2025 - Driving Forces, Global Challenges and Potential Disruptions (35 mins) http://vimeo.com/93302584 ➢Anticipating 2025 - Driving forces, global challenges and potential disruptions (30 mins): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kwcLQCIfxpY ➢A World in Transition (60 mins): http://www.colliers.com/en-gb/uk/insights/multimedia ➢Future of Travel (22 mins) http://www.travelmole.tv/watch_vdo.php?id=14300 ➢Parallel Revolutions Impacting Global Labor: Bloomberg TV Interview (4 mins): http://www.bloomberg.com/video/parallel-revolutions-impacting-global-labor-talway- T0tJZRX6TpGIxjKShTzv~w.html Useful Sources • Genetic profiling - https://www.23andme.com/ • X Prize - Breakthrough innovation projects - http://www.xprize.org/ • Google brain uploading - http://digitaljournal.com/article/352787 • Brain mapping projects - http://www.technologyreview.com/news/513011/why-obamas-brain-mapping-project-matters/ • Global Future 2045 (immortality) http://2045.com/ • Human enhancement - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_enhancement • Wearable technology – Google Project Glass - http://www.google.com/glass/start/ • Emotiv Epoc Brain-Computer Interface - http://www.emotiv.com/ • AI Essay Grading Software - http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/05/science/new-test-for-computers-grading-essays-at- college-level.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0 • Digital / Crypto currencies – • http://www.abc.net.au/technology/articles/2013/09/25/3855973.htm • http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cryptocurrency • http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cryptocurrencies • Autonomous cars - • http://www.engineering.com/DesignerEdge/DesignerEdgeArticles/ArticleID/6357/Tesla-Working-on-Autonomous- Car.aspx • http://www.popsci.com/cars/article/2013-09/google-self-driving-car Contact Information

Email [email protected] Phone +44 (0)7973 405145 Web http://www.fastfuture.com http://www.fastfuturepublishing.com Twitter http://twitter.com/fastfuture Blog http://www.fastfuturepublishing.com/blog LinkedIn http://www.linkedin.com/in/talwar Past presentations http://www.slideshare.net/fastrohit Newsletter signup http://www.fastfuture.com Slide Sources Slide Sources Page number 4. http://cberry.co.uk/portfolio/runway1.html http://www.information-age.com/technology/information-management/123457962/staying-afloat-sea-big-data http://www.kgwings.com/hawkeye/hawkeye05.jpg 5. https://i.pinimg.com/originals/89/f9/1f/89f91f45dd24a92374a2f12837653350.jpg https://i.pinimg.com/originals/27/aa/88/27aa882e5828ffd799eec419785df254.jpg 6. http://www.dramaaroundtheglobe.com/uploads/2/6/9/4/26940663/published/trump-napoleon.jpg?1486404174 https://i.pinimg.com/originals/21/05/86/21058677018c112df27d9062e4c7a451.jpg 7. Fast Future Publishing Ltd 8. http://core0.staticworld.net/images/article/2014/10/artificial_intelligence_circuit_board_face_thinkstock-100528007-primary.idge.jpg 9. https://image.slidesharecdn.com/vertexperspectives-aichinajul2017-170711091507/95/vertex-perspectives-artificial-intelligence-in-china-jul-2017-9- 638.jpg?cb=1499765504 10. https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/insights/us/articles/what-is-cognitive-technology/DUP_1030-Figure-1_Cognitive-technologies.jpg 11. https://www.publicdomainpictures.net/pictures/230000/velka/cyborg-frau.jpg#.Wp1_YEXM2Zw.link 12. https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2015/08/31/08/37/display-dummy-915135_960_720.jpg 13. https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/1600/1*O6jsNMrkIacFfK2WGJFT7A.png 14. https://wealth-hack.com/save-money-in-bank-or-invest-with-a-robo-advisor/ 15. http://www.sott.net/image/s22/440616/full/putin_robot.jpg 16. http://digitalspyuk.cdnds.net/15/20/980x490/landscape_uktv-humans-ad-campaign-10.jpg 17. https://pixabay.com/en/binary-one-cyborg-cybernetics-1536624/ 18. https://pixabay.com/en/forward-robot-2083419/ 19. http://www.buro247.hr/local/images/burohr/julienilustracije-21_jpg_1372427842.jpg 20. https://www.hfsresearch.com/storage/app/uploads/public/5a5/880/083/5a5880083fd63285108452.png 21. Image source: https://www.aylanetworks.com/blog/assets/blt6624d62c1313461e/network-connected-devices-the-internet-of-things-1.png 22. http://usblogs.pwc.com/emerging-technology/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/Twitter_Next-in-Tech_Top-AI-trends.png 23. https://milk.xyz/articles/googles-robot-made-sad-spectral-poetry-you-need-to-read/ https://citfraw.com/2018/01/12/will-artificial-intelligence-boon-or-bane/ 24. https://thenextweb.com/artificial-intelligence/2018/01/10/you-think-it-and-a-robot-sees-it-the-future-is-here-with-mind-reading-ai/ 25. http://singularitynetagi.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/singularitynet.io_.png 26. https://pixabay.com/en/fantasy-bridge-planet-woman-2955494/ by kellepics is licensed under CC0 27. https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2018/04/10/17/13/futuristic-3308094_960_720.jpg 28. https://pixabay.com/en/mobile-phone-smartphone-3d-1875813/ Slide Sources 2 Page number 29. http://e.fastcompany.net/multisite_files/fastcompany/imagecache/slideshow_large/slideshow/2015/01/3040442-slide-s-4-why-mercedess-self-driving-car-is-so.jpg 30. https://pixabay.com/en/fantasy-portrait-clock-time-2790666/ 31. https://www.publicdomainpictures.net/pictures/150000/velka/cyborg.jpg#.Wp2AuHu4_w8.link licensed under CC0 1.0 Universal (CC0 1.0) 32. https://pixabay.com/en/city-panorama-smartphone-control-3213676/ 33. https://pixabay.com/en/binary-code-privacy-policy-woman-2175285/ 34. https://pixabay.com/es/animales-mono-negro-inteligente-17474/ 35. https://pixabay.com/en/handcuffed-arrest-oppression-racism-1251664/ 36. https://pixabay.com/es/narrativa-la-historia-sueño-decir-794978/ 37. https://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/BN-OH910_INCOME_12S_20160603114740.jpg 38. https://s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/originals/f7/52/1b/f7521bc4d13f34edca18096f9944ba73.jpg 39.https://www.google.co.uk/search?biw=1920&bih=925&tbm=isch&sa=1&q=V+for+vendetta&oq=V+for+vendetta&gs_l=img.3...10332.13052.0.13935.0.0.0.0.0.0.0.0..0.0 ....0...1c.1.64.img..0.0.0.Y3YLnl7IStI#imgrc=2HTIz00AgFfc7M: