Artificial Intelligence Development, Impacts, Ethics, and Regulation
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The Future of Artificial Intelligence Development, Impacts, Ethics, and Regulation Rohit Talwar Fast Future AI and the Future Digital Single Market International Institute of Communications Telecommunications and Media Forum Brussels - 24th April 2018 [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Fast Future Contents Presentation p 4 About Fast Future p 41 Slide Sources p 60 What We Do • Publishing - books about the future • Research - tailored programmes and studies • Consultancy – strategy reviews, deep dives and capability development to build exponential organisations • Inspiration – speaking and leadership events • Education - future focused leadership development and executive coaching ‘Future Proofed’ Organisations Work on Three Horizons in Parallel 1-12 Months 1-3 Years 4-10+ Years Operational Search for Understand Excellence Growth Future Drivers Build Mindset, Talent, Agility, and Innovation Culture [email protected] @fastfuture Images: Cberry / Information Age / Kgwings How Well do our Assumptions Serve us? [email protected] @fastfuture Images: Angeles Santos Torroella / Rafal Olbinski The Mind Trap - Just Because I Think it… • It doesn’t mean it’s true • It doesn’t mean I have to believe it • It may not be my / the best thought • It may not be valid for very long [email protected] @fastfuture Images: dramaaroundtheglobe / Amsterdam Street Art Artificial Nanotechnology / 3D / 4D Intelligence / Atomically Precise New Computing Printing Conscious Manufacturing Architectures Technology Food Chain Transformation A Possibility Explosion Hyperconnected Internet of Energy from Universally Available Humanity Innovation Exponential Immersivity / Robotics / Science and Technology Mixed Reality Drones Developments Living Blockchain Brain Healthcare Synthetic and Uploading Human Transformation Augmentation Biology Cryptocurrencies rohit@fastfuture @fastfuture Image: Wikipedia Artificial Intelligence Why all the Fuss? Artificial intelligence (AI) is an area of computer science that emphasizes the creation of intelligent machines that work and react like humans. E.g. Speech recognition, visual perception, learning, reasoning, inference, strategising, planning, intuition, decision-making, and language Better AI Algorithms, translation. Big Data, Cloud, Hardware Capability, Massive Money [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Staticworld China Targetting a US$150Bn AI Sector by 2030 [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Vertex Core Underlying Technologies [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Deloitte The Hype is Blurring Seven Categories of AI [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Velka 1. Expert / Rules-Based Systems / RPA [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Gerd Altman 2. Domain Specific E.g. DeepMind AlphaGo Zero rohit@fastfuture .com @fastfuture Image: Medium 3. Context Awareness and Retention E.G. Chatbots and Robo-Advisors • RBS Luvo • Future • Swedbank Advisor Nina • Betterment • Mizuho • 8Now Pepper • Wahed [email protected] @fastfuture Image: wealth-hack 4. Theory of Mind / Reasoning Machines [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Sergey Guneev 5. Self-Aware - Artificial General Intelligence rohit@fastfuture .com @fastfuture Image: Channel 4 6. SuperIntelligence rohit@fastfuture .com @fastfuture Image: Gerd Altman 7. Singularity / Transcendence rohit@fastfuture .com @fastfuture Image: Kai Kalhh New Strategies = New Mindsets Pipes and Platforms and Services Investment, Direct Offerings Infrastructure Venturing and E.g. FinTech Incubation Telecoms Applications Domains Self-managing / optimising networks Software defined networks Network function virtualisation Internet of Things Deep neural networks for deep expertise tasks Remote premises management Predictive maintenance Customer service Subscriber profiling and targeting [email protected] @fastfuture Image: HFS Research Media Application Domains In show purchases IoT - Integrate every ‘in room’ object into entertainment experiences Integration of user content Superposition of viewers into shows Multi-layered augmented and immersive multi-sensory content Asset management Personalised programming Predicting customer behaviour [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Aylanetworks Major Current Fields of Development [email protected] @fastfuture Image: PwC Alibaba / Microsoft Team Outperforming Humans on Stanford Question Answering Database Test [email protected] @fastfuture Images: Milk / Citfraw Japan – Mind Reading Neural Network [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Thenextweb Decentralized Artificial Intelligence [email protected] @fastfuture Image: SingularityNET What’s Next: Now to 2020 • Real Time Translation • Smart Machines, Sensors, Objects • Self-Editing Software • Fully Automated Smart Corporations (Decentralized Autonomous Organizations) • AI Adopted by Most Firms • Intelligent Agents Manage Our Lives / Guard Our Data • Swarm Robotics [email protected] @fastfuture Image: kellepics What’s Next: 2021 to 2025 • 70-90% of Customer Interactions Managed by AI • Product Development Increasingly Done / Tested by AI • Crowd Defined and Designed Financial Services Products • AI Deployed Across all of Government / Courts • Autonomous Vehicles Everywhere [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Pete Linforth What’s Next: 2026 to 2035 • Globally Approved Crypto Tokens • Fully Autonomous DAO Banks • AI Penetrates all Sectors • Artificial Animal and Ecosystem Intelligence • Self-Aware / Self-Replicating Software Systems and Robots • Artificial General Intelligence? • Artificial Superintelligence?? • The Singularity???? [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Funky Focus AI is Enabling New Business Concepts E.g. Self-Owning, Self-Insuring, Self-Repairing Autonomous Vehicles [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Fast Company ‘Smart Machines’ will be Central to our Existence Access to Our Data May be Strictly Controlled Individuals Organizations Existing and Nations as Within an AI Constantly App Cocoon Evolving App and Protected Ecosystems by Intelligent Agents [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Stephan Keller Regulatory Concerns Weaponisation of AI Unethical applications of the technology Discrimination, privacy, authenticity, and agency Do senior management genuinely understand it? Will it behave as intended? Can its decisions be explained? Can humans intervene if problems occur? [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Velka Preparing for the AI Economy International Competition Nationalization of AI Job Creation Research and Development for Tomorrow’s Sectors Encouraging New Ventures The Post-AI Economy [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Gerd Altmann Addressing the Human Impacts of AI [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Gerd Altmann Cultural And Ethical Challenges [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Pixabay PublicDomainPictures Bias [email protected] @fastfuture Image: John Hain Rethinking Education Systems and Reskilling the Workforce [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Jonny Lindner Unemployment Guaranteed Basic Incomes New Taxation Models Total Employment Responsibility [email protected] @fastfuture Image: Basicincome Dealing With The Mental Health Impacts rohit@fastfuture .com @fastfuture Image: Shawn Cross The Revolution will not be Predictable (or Televised) [email protected] @fastfuture @fastfutureedu Image: V for Vendetta Thank You [email protected] @fastfuture Images: Fast Future About Fast Future Fast Future - Books Available Now in Our store! 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