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Aug 92 Acquired Immune Environment Which Health Kindergarten Through DOCUMENT RESUME ED 361 053 JC 930 440 AUTHOR Friedel, J. N., Ed. TITLE An Environmental Scan Update, 1992-93.2020: Perfect Vision for theNext Century. INSTITUTION Eastern Iowa Community Coll. District,Davenport. Office of AcademicAffairs and Planning. PUB DATE Aug 92 NOTE 130p. PUB TYPE Collected Works - Serials (022)-- Information Analyses (070)-- Reports - Research/Technical JOURNAL CIT An Environmental (143) Scan Update; vln1-10 Sep-Mly 1991-92 vl n1-91992-93 EDRS PRICE MF01/PC06 PlusPostage. DESCRIPTORS Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome;*Allied Health Occupations Education;*College Planning; Colleges; Computers; Community *Employment Opportunities; *EnvironmentalInfluences; Futures (of Health Conditions; Society); Health Occupations;Information Technology; InstitutionalMission; Labor Market; Range Planning; Long Strategic Planning;Two Year Colleges IDENTIFIERS *Eastern IowaCommunity College Trends District; Economic ABSTRACT A key component to Eastern IowaCommunity College District's (EICCD)strategic planning Perfect Vision for process, called "2020 Vision:A the Future,"was the publication of Environmental Scan"in 1989, which the report "An in the external summarized majortrends occurr:ag environment whichmay impact the community the industriesand communities it college, political structures serves, and social, economic,and and processes. Itsummarized these events, and issuesin five broad trends, categories: (1) thechanging population anddemographics; (2) the political, societal, changing workforce; (3) and ecologicalchanges; (4) changing technologies and theinformation explosion; economy. In September and (5) the world 1991, the EICCD began Scan, each addressing publishing updatesto the a specific theme and trends, and projections summarizing events, affecting the district. presented here contain The 2 volumes a combined total of 19updates. The following topics are addressedin volume 1: (1) AcquiredImmune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS)--globalspread and implications health care--thecrisis in rural for health care; (2) medical care, alternativecare, and national trends; (3)health services--growth prospects; (4) joLs--business areas and employment trends, fast growing trends, educational jobs, economic requirements; (5) the scene--implications for American political community colleges; (6) technology--information new information and technology and technologytransfer; (7) computer technology;(8) employment personnel; (9) the prospects for computertechnology Iowa economy--largestemployers in the state, wages, Iowa's goods-and service-producing health occupations--EICCD's industries; and (10) service area, and national occupations. Topics health covered in volume 2concern: (1) the most important issuesfacing the EICCD--political changes, educational challenges, job skillsof the future, globalization, work forceand demographic changes,health and health volunteerism; (2) care, societal issues, kindergarten through12th grade education--high school graduationrates, illiteracy, the global drugs and violence,funding; (3) population--family planning, population growth andthe environment, primaryhealth care needs, refugees; (4) the gap between rich andpoor, national population--199() and state population census data, immigration projections; (5) theMidwest and Iowa populations; (6) thepopulation and demographics area; (7) Iowa's economic of EICCD's service and employment future; States economy--job (8) the United markets, defense industry, protection; and (9) environmental the restructuring ofthe American workforce--temporary workers, joblessness, stress,and standards of living. In bothvolumes, references (PAA) are listed with eachupdate. PERFECT VISION FOR THE NEXT CENTURY AN ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN UPDATE VOLUME 1, NUMBERS 1-10 VOLUME 2, NUMBERS 1-9 1992-93 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION Office of Educational Research and Improvement "PERMISSION TO REPRODUCE THIS EOU ATIONM. RESOURCES INFORMATION MATERIAL HAS BEEN GRANTED BY CENTER (ERIC) his document has been reproduced as received from the Person or organization FR D e originating it C Minor changes have been mode to improve reprOduction quality Points of view or opimonsstated in this dm. ment do not necessarily represent official OERI position or pohcy TO THE EDUCATIONAL RESOURCES INFORMATION CENTER (ERIC)." IllanEASTERN IOWA COMMUNITY COLLEGEDISTRICT MI/ AUGUST 1992 2 BEST 94-5 AN ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN UPDATE VOLUME 1, NUMBERS 1-10 9) EASTERNIOWA COMMUNITY COLLEGE DISTRICT DISTRICT OFFICE OF ACADEMIC AFFAIRS AND PLANNING AUGUST 1992 3 TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 AIDS ALDS: Its Global Spread 3 AIDS in the U.S. 4 AIDS and Health Care Workers 5 Trends and Consequences 5 Impact & Questions 7 1.2Health Care Crisis in Rural Medical Care 9 Recommended Action 10 Primary Care Doctor Shortages 10 Alternative Health Care 11 Hospice Care 11 National Health Trends 12 MeC:cal Schools 13 Impact & Questions 13 1.3 The Health Services The Health Services: A Growing Profession 15 Nursing: Field of High Demand and Low Supply 16 Employment Prospects for Health Professionals 18 Health Care Pay 20 Impact & Questions 21 1.4 Jobs Business Trends for the 1990s 23 The Top 50 Fastest Growing Jobs in the U S. 25 Hottest Career Tracks 26 Trends in Major Sectors of the Economy 26 Educational Requirements for the New Job3 28 Impact & Questions 28 1.5 Special Issue: Reflections on the American Political Scene Reflections and Implications for Community Colleges 29 The Future 31 Implications for Community Colleges 32 4 1.6 New Information and Technology The Information Explosion 33 Information Technology 34 Technology Transfer 34 Impact & Questions 36 1.7 Computer Technology Growing Use 37 Personal Computers 38 Technological Advances and Uses 38 Computers: Friend or Foe? 40 Virtual Reality 41 Impact & Questions 42 1.8 Employment Prospects for Computer Technology Personnel National Labor Market Data 43 Hard-to-Fill Jobs 45 Local Labor Market Data 46 Emerging Local Trends in the Field of Computers 47 Are Computers Taking Jobs? 47 Impact & Questions 48 1.9 Iowa Where the Jobs Are 49 Iowa's Base Goods-Producing Industries 50 Iowa's Service-Producing Industries 50 Impact & Questions 52 1.10 Health Occupations The EICCD Service Area 53 National Health Occupations 54 Impact & Questions 56 5 INTROD6CTION' In September 1989, the Eastern Iowa Community College District (EICCD) initiated its c,+xategic planning process 2020 Vision: A Perfect Vision for the Future. This eighteen-month process involved all employees of the Eastern Iowa Community College District, as well as its Board of Directors and community members. This process was undertaken in response to the belief that community college educators must become initiators in shaping their future and the future of their institution; that strategies must be developed to znsure that the community college will be responsive to the needs of the people in the year 2000 and beyond. To do so requires an examination of the external environment and what is known about the future. The key component in the Eastern Iowa Community College District's development of its 2020 Vision and its revision of its Mission and Goals was the publication and dissemination of An Environmental Scan. This document summarized major changes occurring in the external environment which may impact the community college, the industries and communities that it serves, and social, economic, and political structures and processes. It summarized these trends, events, and issues in five broad categories: 1. The Changing Population and Demographics 2. The Changing Work Force/Work Place 3.Political, Societal, and Ecological Changes 4. The Changing Technologies and the Information Explosion 5. Tho World Economy The scanning information was used by the Eastern Iowa Community College District administration, faculty, staff, Board of Directors, and community members in the formulation of its "vision." This vision is reflected in the revised Mission and the new Institutional Goals of the Eastern Iowa Community College District. Specific objectives to be undertaken to accomplish these goalswere formulated, and published in the strategic plan. Since the publication of An Environmental Scan in 1989, the District Office of Academic Affairs and Planning has conducted numerous workshops for Pastern Iowa Community College District administrators, faculty, professional and support staff, the Board of Directors, and community members regarding how to scan the external environment, and the use of this scanning information in forecasting and planning. The goal is to develop a futures perspectiveacross the entire institution by identifying those trends of most consequence to the Eastern Iowa Community College District for both short- and long-range planning purposes. An update to the strategic plan is published every six months, and includes a progress report for each objective, and any nt.:w objectives formulated since the previous planning cycle. The Eastern Iowa Community College District's District Office of Academic Affairs and Planning began publishing updates to An Environmental Scan in September 1991.Each Update addresses a specific theme, and summarizes events, trends, and projections whichmay impact the community college. Bibliographic information is included for each entryso that the reader may refer to its source for further clarification and data.Each Update concludes with a section which asks questions regarding the impact of these trends and events on the community college. 6 An Environmental Scan Update is
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