Study on the Requirement for Retail Outlet Centre(S) in the Cork Metropolitan Area

Study on the Requirement for Retail Outlet Centre(s) in the Cork Metropolitan Area Draft Final Report October 2019 Document Control Sheet Prepared by: MC/CMK/JG/JB Checked by: JB Project Title: Study on the Requirement for Retail Outlet Centre(s) in the Cork Metropolitan Area Project No: 2022 Rev No. Comments Date 0 Draft for Comment 23/07/19 1 Revised Final Draft 01/10/19 2 Final Draft 09/10/19 3 Submitted Final 18/10/19 MacCabe Durney Barnes 20 Fitzwilliam Place, Dublin 2 T:+353 1 6762594 F +353 1 6762310 W: www.mdb.ie Confidentiality Statement This report has been prepared for the exclusive use of the commissioning party and unless otherwise agreed in writing by MacCabe Durney Barnes, no other party may copy, reproduce, distribute, make use of, or rely on the contents of the report. No liability is accepted by MacCabe Durney Barnes for any use of this report, other than for the purposes for which it was originally prepared and provided. Opinions and information provided in this report are on the basis of MacCabe Durney Barnes using due skill, care and diligence in the preparation of the same and no explicit warranty is provided as to their accuracy. It should be noted and is expressly stated that no independent verification of any of the documents or information supplied to MacCabe Durney Barnes has been made. Study on the Requirement for Retail Outlet Centre(s) in the Cork Metropolitan Area–Draft Final Report TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Background ................................................................................................................................. 1 1.2 Key Objectives of the Study ........................................................................................................ 2 1.3 Principal Issues ........................................................................................................................... 2 1.4 Deliverables ................................................................................................................................ 3 1.5 Overall Approach and Study Methodology .................................................................................. 3 1.6 Preliminary Consultation ............................................................................................................. 5 1.7 Structure of Report ...................................................................................................................... 6 2 POLICY FRAMEWORK ............................................................................................................................ 7 2.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 7 2.2 National ....................................................................................................................................... 7 2.3 Regional .................................................................................................................................... 12 2.4 Sub Regional ............................................................................................................................ 17 2.5 Local ......................................................................................................................................... 21 2.6 Conclusion ................................................................................................................................ 24 3 RETAIL AND TOURISM REVIEW .......................................................................................................... 25 3.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 25 3.2 Overview of UK ROC Sector ..................................................................................................... 25 3.3 Case Studies............................................................................................................................. 26 3.4 Tourism ..................................................................................................................................... 29 3.5 Impact of Online Shopping ........................................................................................................ 30 3.6 Review of Centres in the Study Area ........................................................................................ 32 4 TRANSPORT NETWORK OVERVIEW .................................................................................................. 36 4.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 36 4.2 Existing Cork Metropolitan Area Road Network ........................................................................ 36 4.3 Existing Cork Metropolitan Area Rail Network .......................................................................... 37 4.4 Proposed Cork Metropolitan Area Road Network ..................................................................... 39 4.5 Proposed Cork Metropolitan Area Heavy Rail Network ............................................................ 40 4.6 Potential Light Rail Link ............................................................................................................ 41 5 CATCHMENT ANALYSIS AND RETAIL CAPACITY ASSESSMENT ................................................... 43 5.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 43 5.2 Step 1: Identification of Catchment ........................................................................................... 43 5.3 Step 2: Population Forecasts ................................................................................................... 47 5.4 Step 3: Estimate of available expenditure within the study area ............................................... 47 5.5 Step 4 – Estimate of Turnover of Existing and Permitted Floor Area within the Catchment ..... 49 5.6 Step 5: Estimate of Additional Comparison Floor Area Potential .............................................. 51 i Study on the Requirement for Retail Outlet Centre(s) in the Cork Metropolitan Area–Draft Final Report 6 STRATEGIC TRANSPORT IMPACT ASSESSMENT ............................................................................ 52 6.1 Introduction and Methodology ................................................................................................... 52 6.2 Transport Impact Model Structure ............................................................................................ 52 6.3 Transport Impact Assessment Scenarios ................................................................................. 55 6.4 Development Traffic Generation and Origin-Destination Patterns ............................................ 56 6.5 Cork ROC – Forecast Transport Impact ................................................................................... 60 7 STRATEGIC LOCATION ASSESSMENT AND SITE SELECTION ....................................................... 64 7.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 64 7.2 Strategic Locational Assessment .............................................................................................. 64 7.3 Site Selection ............................................................................................................................ 65 8 SITE/LOCATION ASSESSMENTS ......................................................................................................... 67 8.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 67 8.2 Retail Impact Assumptions ....................................................................................................... 67 8.3 Site/Location Assessment ......................................................................................................... 68 9 CONCLUSIONS OF STUDY ................................................................................................................... 72 9.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 72 9.2 Retailing .................................................................................................................................... 72 9.3 Tourism and Leisure Synergy ................................................................................................... 73 9.4 Traffic and Transport ................................................................................................................. 73 9.5 Sites and Locations ................................................................................................................... 74 10 VISION AND DEVELOPMENT CRITERIA ............................................................................................. 75 10.1 Vision ........................................................................................................................................ 75 10.2 Assessing Retail Outlet Centre Proposals ...............................................................................

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