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Intergovernmental Relations Committee Monday, November 16, 2020, 2:00 p.m. CMGC Room 267 The public and the media can view the meeting on the Government Channel or City’s YouTube page. Committee Members: Tariq Bokhari, Co-Chair Braxton Winston, Co-Chair Larken Egleston James Mitchell Matt Newton Staff Resource: Dana Fenton, City Manager’s Office Agenda Item Time Call to Order & Introductions 2 minutes Federal Post-Election Briefing 30 minutes • Committee will receive a presentation from federal lobbyists Holland & Knight State Post-Election Briefing 30 minutes • Committee will receive a presentation from state lobbyists Kilpatrick Townsend Committee Referral: Citizens Review Board Process and Subpoena Power 20 minutes • Continue discussing legislative strategy to advance granting Subpoena Power for the Citizens Review Board • Committee will receive a presentation Debrief from November 9 Action Review 10 minutes • November 9 Action Review Presentation is attached Committee Discussion 5 minutes Upcoming Opportunities 2 minutes Next Committee Meeting 1 minute • Monday, December 21, 2:00 pm, Virtual • Committee meetings in January, February, March, April, May and June will be added to Committee members calendars Distribution: Mayor & City Council City Manager City Attorney City Manager’s Executive Team UPCOMING COMMITTEE TOPICS Items Intergovernmental Relations City Council Committee Discussion / Adoption / Strategy Session / Business Information / Recommendation Action Review / Meeting Joint Meeting Other Council adopts state and December 14 federal legislative agendas IRC Meeting: December 21 Referral – Criminal Justice Advisory Group General Assembly Targeting Delegation Briefing January 19 – 29 IRC Meeting January 19 (Tuesday) IRC Meeting February 15 Congressional Briefings Targeting March 7 – 10 IRC Meeting March 15 IRC Meeting April 19 IRC Meeting May 17 IRC Meeting June 21 11/16/2020 Post-Election Analysis November 2020 Prepared for the City of Charlotte, North Carolina by Holland & Knight Presented by Rich Gold, Shawna Watley, and Lisa Hawke President President President-Elect Donald J. Trump Joseph R. Biden Trump: 214 Biden: 290 2 Source: Bloomberg, as of 6:00 PM EST on Nov. 10, 2020 1 11/16/2020 New House of Representatives Democrats: 215 Republicans: 201 Uncalled races: 19 Source: Bloomberg, as of 6:00 PM EST on Nov. 10, 2020 3 New U.S. Senate Republicans: 49 Democrats: 48 Uncalled races: 3 Winners in BOLD, asterisk indicates incumbent Results from Bloomberg, as of 6:00 PM EST on Nov. 10, 2020 NC Senate race called by AP, Washington Post, CNN, Fox on Nov. 10, 2020 4 2 11/16/2020 Charlotte Delegation Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) Sen. Richard Burr (R-NC) • Senate Committee on Veterans' Affairs • Senate Select Committee on Intelligence • Senate Committee on Armed Services • Senate Committee on Finance • Senate Committee on the Judiciary • Senate Committee on Health, Education, • Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Labor, and Pensions Affairs • Senate Special Committee on Aging Rep. Dan Bishop (R-NC-09) Rep. Alma Adams (D-NC-12) • House Committee on Small Business • House Committee on Agriculture • House Committee on Homeland Security • House Committee on Education & Labor • House Committee on Financial Services 5 Key Gubernatorial Race Results Republicans: 27 Democrats: 23 • Delaware: Gov. John Carney Jr. (D) defeated Julianne Murray (R) • Indiana: Gov. Eric Holcomb (R) defeated Woody Myers (D) • Missouri: Gov. Mike Parson (R) defeated Nicole Galloway (D) • Montana: Greg Gianforte (R) defeated Mike Cooney (D) D→R • New Hampshire: Chris Sununu (R) defeated Dan Feltes (D) • North Carolina: Gov. Roy Cooper (D) defeated Dan Forest (R) • North Dakota: Doug Burgum (R) defeated Shelley Lenz (D) • Utah: Spencer Cox (R) defeated Chris Peterson (D) • Vermont: Gov. Phil Scott (R) defeated David Zuckerman • Washington: Gov. Jay Inslee (D) defeated Loren Culp (D) • West Virginia: Gov. Jim Justice (R) defeated Ben Salango (D) Source: Bloomberg, as of 2:07 PM EST on Nov. 4, 2020 6 3 11/16/2020 Control of State Legislatures • Despite a concerted effort by Democrats to flip state legislatures, only two chambers changed control, both in New Hampshire. The House and Senate both went from Democratic control to Republican control. New Hampshire’s legislature often changes control and has flipped in six of the last eight elections. • Democrats were hoping to deliver wins in multiple statehouses – Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Texas. • Control of state legislatures will be particularly critical this year due to redistricting following the decennial census. Most states redraw their electoral maps in their state legislature, and a few use nonpartisan or bipartisan commissions to draw the lines. Winners in BOLD, asterisk indicates incumbent Source: National Council of State Legislatures as of 6:00 PM EST on Nov. 10, 2020 Map is being updated as results are confirmed. States in gray are uncalled, with the exception of Nebraska, which has a nonpartisan legislature. 7 The Lame Duck Session ▪ Unfinished Business ▪ Important Dates ▪ Nov 9: House and Senate return ▪ COVID-19 Relief ▪ Federal Spending Bill ▪ Nov 23-30: Thanksgiving ▪ National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) ▪ Dec. 10: House target adjournment ▪ Dec. 11: Current continuing resolution expires ▪ Dec. 21: Senate target adjournment 8 4 11/16/2020 2021 Legislative Priorities & Important Dates ▪ Priorities ▪ Important Dates ▪ COVID-19 Relief Bill ▪ Jan. 2021: 117th Congress convenes – calendars ▪ Stimulus including infrastructure funding expected to be released around Thanksgiving ▪ Biden priorities ▪ April 15, 2021: Congress is supposed to adopt a budget resolution by April 15 that presents a unified • COVID-19 Relief Bill and Comprehensive Plan view of priorities for both the House and the Senate; • Infrastructure bill there's no punishment for missing the deadline, which • Clean energy bill is often unmet • Corporate tax increase ▪ Sept. 30, 2021: Last day of the fiscal year; all 12 • Minimum wage increase appropriations bills for FY2022 are supposed to be signed by then 9 COVID-19 Focus • Federal fiscal stimulus and unemployment benefits (now expired) were critical to the economy's climb out of the coronavirus- induced shock. • Legislators on Capitol Hill remain far apart in their views on what is needed. • Biden has proposed a plan that includes some elements we saw in the CARES Act, stimulus checks for qualified Americans, and enhanced unemployment benefits. • In addition, Biden has called for a four-year, $700 billion plan for federal procurement of U.S. manufactured goods – as part of a broader recovery effort. • Biden's action plan also includes additional reliefs such as: • More money for small businesses (no details on amount) • Emergency sick leave for everyone who needs it • Fiscal relief for states • Cover the cost of COVID-19 testing, treatment and a vaccine • Potential for a COVID-19 related stimulus package increased with Biden’s win. However, the magnitude and speed by which it passes Congress will depend on Senate control. 10 5 11/16/2020 Get Connected For continued analysis, please visit our Election Analysis Center on our website: https://www.hklaw.com/en/general-pages/election-analysis-center Rich Gold Partner and Public Policy & Regulation Group Leader Washington, D.C. 202.457.7143 [email protected] Shawna Francis Watley Senior Policy Advisor Washington, D.C. 202.828.5083 [email protected] Lisa Hawke Partner Washington, D.C. 202.828.5003 [email protected] 11 Thank You Holland & Knight 6 Kilpatrick Townsend Government Relations Team 2020 Election Results = R Incumbent Win = R Open Seat Win = R Flip = D Incumbent Win 2 1 NC Governor’s Race ✓Roy Cooper – 51.51% (2,812,956) • Democrat Incumbent Dan Forest – 47.03% (2,568,018) • Republican Lt. Governor *McCrory lost by ~10,000 in 2016 3 NC Council of State Races - Open Seats ▪ Lt. Governor ✓ Mark Robinson (R) – 51.63% (2,779,559) • Yvonne Lewis Holley (D) – 48.37% (2,604,063) ▪ Commissioner of Labor ✓ Josh Dobson (R) – 50.84% (2,706,732) • Jessica Homes (D) – 49.16% (2,617,717) ▪ Superintendent of Public Instruction ✓ Catherine Truitt (R) – 51.38% (2,732,663) • Jen Mangrum (D) – 48.62% - (2,586,110) 4 2 NC Council of State Races (cont.) ▪All Council of State incumbents maintained their seats • Attorney General Josh Stein (D) • Auditor Beth Wood (D) • Commissioner of Agriculture Steve Troxler (R) • Commissioner of Insurance Mike Causey (R) • Secretary of State Elaine Marshall (D) • Treasurer Dale Folwell (R) 5 Most Votes 6 3 Year President Margin Governor Margin Senate Margin 2016 Donald Trump[c] 3.66 Roy Cooper 0.22 Richard Burr 5.69 2012 Barack Obama -2.04 Pat McCrory 11.39 N/A 2008 Barack Obama 0.32 Bev Perdue 3.39 Kay Hagan 8.47 2004 George W. Bush 12.44 Mike Easley 12.74 Richard Burr 4.58 2000 George W. Bush[c] 12.83 Mike Easley 5.76 N/A 1996 Bill Clinton -4.69 Jim Hunt 13.23 Jesse Helms 6.7 1992 Bill Clinton -0.79 Jim Hunt 9.49 Lauch Faircloth 4.03 1988 George H. W. Bush 16.26 James G. Martin 10.12 N/A 1984 Ronald Reagan 24.01 James G. Martin 8.85 N/A 1980 Ronald Reagan 2.12 Jim Hunt 24.45 Robert Morgan 0.58 7 NC Legislature NC House NC Senate ▪ NC GOP had net gain of 4 seats ▪ NC GOP had net loss of 1 seat, kinda ▪ 69-51 R (61 for Majority, 72 for ▪ 28-22 R (25 for Majority, 30 for Supermajority) Supermajority) ▪ The House GOP picked up 6 seats: ▪ The Senate GOP picked up 1 seat: • Wake County • New Hanover County • Mecklenburg County • Watauga County • Cumberland County •
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