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PHUKET CONDOMINIUM MARKET Phattarachai Taweewong Research | Associate Director| Thailand (+66) 86 546 3683 2H 2019 [email protected]

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PHUKET CONDOMINIUM MARKET Phattarachai Taweewong Research | Associate Director| Thailand (+66) 86 546 3683 2H 2019 Phattarachai.Taweewong@Colliers.Com COLLIERS HALF YEAR CONDOMINIUM | PHUKET | 2H 2019 PHUKET CONDOMINIUM MARKET Phattarachai Taweewong Research | Associate Director| Thailand (+66) 86 546 3683 2H 2019 [email protected] 2020–22 Summary & 2H 2019 Full Year 2019 Annual Average Recommendations Although the Thai purchasing power decreased but foreign Waras Dechgitvigrom “The supply of newly launched units of Research | Manager| Thailand purchasing power has grown continuously in many areas of (+66) 82 398 6893 condominium market in Phuket in 2019 Phuket. The guaranteed rental condominiums are still [email protected] showed that it declined by 29.7% from popular with foreign investors resulting in a quota of 49% of the previous year but the average sales Demand foreigners in condominiums that have rental guarantees to rate increased slightly due to both be full in most of the projects. domestic and external negative factors. It has been forecasted that the condominium market in Phuket area will In 2019, there were 3,555 units of new condominium -70.0% pp -29.7% pp tend to slow down continuously by 2020 projects in Phuket, which decreased by 29.7% from due to the overall economic situation y-o-y and are expected to decrease to only 1,500 - with foreign purchasing power being Supply 2,000 units per year in the future. 813 units 3,555 units 2,000 units declined. Although in 2019, the number of foreign tourists slightly increased but it was found that the demand did not 2020–22 dramatically increase. Condominiums Full Year 2019 Annual Average with guaranteed rental rates are still popular with domestic and foreign The overall sales rate of the condominium supply that were +0.2% pp buyers. The areas with high potential and launched for sale in 2H 2019 was approximately 71% of the receives attentions from buyers are still total 16,652 units under construction, with the highest in Bang Tao Beach, Surin Beach, Kamala Newly selling rate in Thalang at approximately 42% or about 4,943 Beach, Nai Han Beach and the Launched units from the total supply that were currently on sales. 71 % surrounding area of Central Festival Phuket. Developers that will develop condominiums in Phuket in 2020 should Condominiums in the price range of THB3-THB5 target the European or Russia buyers million and prices more than THB10 million were the rather than Chinese buyers as Chinese price range with the best sales rate. It was found that purchasing power tends to decrease condominiums with the price range between dramatically due to the effects of the THB80,000-THB130,000 per sq.m. was the price range trade war between the United States and Price with the highest sales rate. China as well as the weakening of the Renminbi and the spread of the Covid-19 virus, which are predicted to have a huge impact on the Chinese economy in 2020.” COLLIERS HALF YEAR RESIDENTIALCONDOMINIUM | CHA | PHUKETAM, HUA | HIN2H 2019 AND PRANBURI | H2 2018 Supply Newly Launched Units as of 2H 2019 The overall condominium market in Phuket in 2H 2019 found that there were approximately 813 new condominium projects launched, decreased by 29.7% from 2018, resulting in 2019 to have 14 new condominium projects in Phuket with the total of 14 projects or 3,555 units, a 7,000 45,000 decrease of approximately 29.7% y-o-y, due to negative factors from both domestic and 40,000 international attacks such as the global economy that are still not recovered, the Trade war 6,000 between the United States and China and the Bank of Thailand's new LTV adjustment 35,000 5,000 measures, which was effective since April 2019. 30,000 4,000 The Bank of Thailand's new LTV adjustment is an important factor that slowed down the 25,000 condominium market in Phuket as most Thai buyers buying condominiums in Phuket are 3,000 20,000 investors or those who want to buy real estate as their second homes. Therefore, the new LTV 15,000 adjustment has affected this group of buyers to delay their decisions. For this reason, 2,000 developers who wanted to develop a project for Thai buyers, whether large, central or small 10,000 in the area, decided to postpone the sales of the projects. In addition, the property market in 1,000 5,000 Thailand is still experiencing negative factors from outside the country including the trade war 0 0 between the United States-China, the appreciation of the baht and the war between Iran- F United States of America which affects the confidence of foreign buyers especially the 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Chinese, which is the main target group, to delay the decision to buy real estate. 2020 Additional Supply Cumulative Supply Aside from negative factors from trade wars and economic conditions Chinese buyers are also faced with the problem of restrictions on bringing out money not exceeding THB1.5 million Source: Research, Colliers International Thailand per person per year, making buying property outside of China even more difficult. As a result, the Phuket property market, which began to focus on the main trading group is Chinese since 2017, has slowed down significantly from 2019. It has been forecasted that the new condominium supply in 2020 is expected to decline from approximately 1,500-2,000 units in 2019. In addition to the above negative factors affecting since 2019, with the negative factors from the spread of the covid-19 virus in China, which is spreading to other countries resulted the worldwide to be under surveillance. The purchasing power from China, which is Phuket’s main income, decreased dramatically from both the tourism market. Furthermore, the negative factors from the country due to delay budget disbursement in 2020 by the government will result in various development projects, the stimulus from the government that has been delayed for at least 6 months as well as the most severe disaster in 40 years. These negative factors are expected to affect the real estate sector in Thailand and Phuket. 2 COLLIERS HALF YEAR RESIDENTIALCONDOMINIUM | CHA | PHUKETAM, HUA | HIN2H 2019 AND PRANBURI | H2 2018 Supply by Location Supply Condominium Units For Sale By Location as of 2H 2019 As of 2H 2019, there were approximately 78 condominium projects that were currently on sales in Phulet, totaling 16,652 units, in which Thalang district had the most condominiums being sold for approximately 7,774 units or 47% of all condominiums for sales. This was followed by the area of Mueang Phuket District, with approximately 4,546 condominium units being sold or 27% and lastly in Kathu of approximately 4,546 units or 26%. For new condominiums launched in Phuket in 2019, there were a total of 14 projects or 3,555 units. It has been distributed in the area of Thalang approximately 5 projects in the amount of 1,681 units or 47% of condominium projects for sale. This was followed by Kathu area of about 7 projects, with approximately 1,587 units or 45%, and lastly Mueang District of about 2 projects or approximately 287 units, which was considered as around 8%. Especially in Cherngtalay, Bangtao, Layan, Surin and Kamala are still the areas that developers are interested in developing condominium projects because the area was surrounded by beaches, a 5-star hotel and many facilities that make this area popular with foreign tourists. In addition, this are also developed infrastructure from the Kathu Thalang Mueang Phuket government and the development of large-scale projects from a large private sector such as 1. Source: Research, Colliers International Thailand The development of the "Porto de Phuket" project of Central Pattana Public Company Limited on a total area of 50 rai with a budget of THB1,000 million to be the first shopping mall with new design Newly Launched Supply Units For Sale By Location as of 2H 2019 that perfectly combines the retail lifestyle and natural space in the open air format, which has an area of over 40,000 sq m in the Laguna area, Choeng Tha 2. "Blue Tree Phuket" Development Project is a large water park project worth THB1,300 billion on 140 rai located in Choeng Thale sub-district. 2,000 The project consists of a leisure service area and a water sports cenrer. It is a 4-story beach club, fitness zone, kid's club, 17 restaurants, both restaurants and budget restaurants. The shopping centre areas include the 'Blue Tree Lagoon', a lagoon-style ocean with a size of over 17,000 sq m, 1,500 making most developers interested in developing condominiums in this area. Most of the projects in this area are focused on the buyers who want to invest, with each project having a high rental guarantee including guarantee for selling back to the project when held as per the project schedule 1,000 which has received a great response from both Thai and foreign buyers. Units Patong area, Kathu district is still another area that developers are still interested in developing 500 condominium projects. However, the land in Patong is limited, left with land with low potential and the price is too high. Therefore, developers who develop projects in the area choose to sell the project with guaranteed rent. 0 Kathu Thalang Mueang Phuket District Source: Research, Colliers International Thailand 3 COLLIERS HALF YEAR RESIDENTIALCONDOMINIUM | CHA | PHUKETAM, HUA | HIN2H 2019 AND PRANBURI | H2 2018 Demand Take-up Rate by Location, as of 2H 2019 It was found that there were approximately 16,652 units of condominiums in Phuket 100% in 2H 2019 that were currently on sales, approximately 11,860 units were already sold or 71%.
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