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Bush Hill Park 2021

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Bush Hill Park 2021 WARD PROFILE: BUSH HILL PARK 2021 Bush Hill Park Ward is situated near the centre of the borough with Southbury Ward to the North, Grange Park and Winchmore Hill wards to the West, Palmers Green to the South and Haselbury and Jubilee Wards to the East. It is covered by the postal districts EN1, N9, N13, N21 Ward Profile This Profile is intended to provide a guide to the demography, social and economic data and Council facilities in the ward. It has been collated using the most up to date local-level data relating to 2020/21 as far as possible. A variety of statistical sources, both national and local, have been used in its compilation. Appendix A has a table of key statistics for at a glance comparison with Borough averages. Political Makeup The ward is represented by the following Councillors: Votes received in 2018 Name Party Contact election Peter Fallart Conservative 020 8379 4157 By-election Clare da Silva Conservative 020 8379 2591 1,926 James Hockney Conservative 020 8379 4770 By-election At the 2018 council elections, voter turnout in the ward was 41.4%. Bush Hill Park ward falls in the parliamentary seat of Edmonton. Demography Summary Statistics Bush Hill Measure Enfield Source Park Population Estimate (2019) 14,520 333,794 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Children aged 0-15 2,653 76,137 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Working-age people (16-64) 8,944 213,093 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Older people aged 65+ 2,923 44,564 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Children aged 0-15 18.3 22.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Working-age (16-64) 61.6 63.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Older people aged 65+ 20.1 13.4 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % BAME - 2019 23.9 36.6 Enfield Council Estimates 2019 % BAME - 2011 26.8 39.0 Census 2011 % Not Born in UK - 2011 25.7 35.1 Census 2011 % English is First Language of no one in 7.7 14.1 Census 2011 household - 2011 Ministry for Housing, Communities Area - Square Kilometres 2.5 82.2 and Local Government ONS mid-year estimates 2019 / Population density (people per sq km) 5,808 4,061 MHCLG Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 2 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Population Based on the ONS mid-year estimate 2019, the total population for the ward was estimated to be 14,520. This was the 15th largest population (or 7th smallest) of the 21 wards in Enfield. The population of Bowes is thought to have increased by 4.3% since 2011 – a lower increase than average in the borough. The proportions of males and females in Bush Hill Park Ward are 48.9% and 51.1% respectively. Males outnumber females in most age groups up to 30 years old. See chart above right. Age Profile The proportion of residents in the older age groups (55 years and older) is higher than the borough average. For more detail, see appendix. Ethnicity Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 3 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] The ward contains relatively large numbers in the White British, White Irish, Greek Cypriot and Turkish Cypriot groups. As at the 2011 Census, the percentages of Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic Group (BAME) was 26.8% and Non-UK Born residents was 25.7%. The percentage of households without English as a first language was 7.7% Enfield Council’s own 2019 estimates give the ward’s BAME Group to be 23.9% of the total population. Ethnicity estimates are produced in-house, using data from the 2001 and 2011 Censuses and the School Census conducted by the local education authority (LEA). The School Census results indicate the changing nature of the population and Enfield pupils recorded themselves under 95 different ethnic codes. Ward ethnicity populations have been consolidated and estimated for the 22 groups that make up the Council’s standard ethnic group classification (see table below)1. Bush Hill Park Borough Ethnicity (2019) Estimated Estimated % % No. No. White British 7,686 52.9 128463 38.3 White Irish 406 2.8 6427 1.9 Greek 199 1.4 3862 1.2 Greek Cypriot 1,090 7.5 15612 4.7 Turkish 531 3.6 25413 7.6 Turkish Cypriot 339 2.3 6079 1.8 Kurdish 50 0.3 4152 1.2 White Other 771 5.3 22501 6.7 White & Black Caribbean 166 1.1 4248 1.3 White and Asian 160 1.1 3627 1.1 White and Black African 78 0.5 2303 0.7 Other mixed 239 1.6 6562 2.0 Indian 479 3.3 11066 3.3 Pakistani 164 1.1 2407 0.7 Bangladeshi 137 0.9 5971 1.8 Chinese 65 0.4 2441 0.7 Other Asian 405 2.8 11954 3.6 Somali 100 0.7 9160 2.7 Other Black African 457 3.1 25032 7.5 Black Caribbean 533 3.7 17561 5.2 Other Black 187 1.3 8285 2.5 Other Ethnic Group 301 2.1 12300 3.7 Language 1Please note totals will not sum with ONS population estimates. Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 4 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] The main languages of residents* given by 2011 Census estimates are: English 11,591 86% Turkish 417 3% Greek 253 2% Polish 164 1% Gujarati 111 1% * aged 3 and over Religion Regarding religion, the best guide is the 2011 Census. This showed the religious makeup of the ward as: Borough Religion No. % share average % Christian 8,350 60.0 53.6 Buddhist 72 0.5 0.6 Hindu 498 3.6 3.5 Jewish 176 1.3 1.4 Muslim 1,501 10.8 16.7 Sikh 60 0.4 0.3 Other/none/not stated 3,266 23.5 23.8 Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 5 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Socio-economic factors Socio-economic classification The 2011 Census results showed that Bush Hill Park had an above average proportion of people in managerial groups, with about 30% more people than would be expected from the Borough average. Low income households Bush Hill Park had the 5th highest average (median) household income of the 21 wards in Enfield, as estimated by CACI in 2021. Average household income in the ward is above the median level for the borough as a whole and higher than the London median. The proportion of households with an income of less than £15,000 was put at 9.6% compared to a Borough average of 15.4%. This was the 3rd lowest proportion of the 21 wards, and lower than the London average. Provisional statistics from the Department for Work and Pensions indicate that, at 2020, 268 children in the ward (10.1% of the total) were living in families with relative low income, and 225 (8.5%) were in families of Absolute low income2. The proportions of children in poverty compared with local, regional and national averages are shown in the chart below. 2 Relative low income: equivalised household income is less than 60% of the UK median for that year. Absolute low income: equivalised household income is less than 60% of the UK median for the period 2010-2011. Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 6 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Benefit Claims • As at June 2021, the claimant count3 in Bush Hill Park was 525, representing 5.8% of the local working-age population. • At February 2021, 17% of households in the ward (990) were claiming Universal Credit – this includes working households. Economically active people The estimated proportion of people in work or looking for work (the economically active) was higher than the borough average in 2011. For number and rates see appendix. Deprivation score The Indices of Deprivation 2019 – produced for the Department of Communities and Local Government– can be used to calculate the likely deprivation ranking of the ward. Analysis carried out by the Local Government Association indicates that, within Enfield, Bush Hill Park is the 19th most deprived (or, the third least deprived) of the 21 wards in the Borough. The same analysis estimates that it is among the 50% least deprived wards in England. The map illustrates deprivation levels for wards in Enfield, when compared with the rest of the 7,180 wards in England for which data were available. Fuel Poverty Ward-level analysis of government statistics4 reveal that, as at 2019, 12.3% of households in the ward were in fuel poverty. This proportion was lower than both the borough and England averages. 3 The ‘narrow’ measure of unemployment: the number of people receiving either Job Seekers’ Allowance, or unemployed claimants of Universal Credit who are required to seek work. 4 Published by Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy (ward analysis by PHE) Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 7 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Crime Appendix A has two crime related indicators by which the ward is compared to the Borough average:- • Crime rate • Anti-social behaviour rate Rolling crime rates and trends can be obtained from the Metropolitan Police crime mapping website. Health The most recent estimates of the life expectancies5 for both men and women in the ward are higher than the England average.
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