WARD PROFILE: 2021

Bush Hill Park Ward is situated near the centre of the borough with Southbury Ward to the North, Grange Park and wards to the West, to the South and Haselbury and Jubilee Wards to the East. It is covered by the postal districts EN1, N9, N13, N21

Ward Profile

This Profile is intended to provide a guide to the demography, social and economic data and Council facilities in the ward.

It has been collated using the most up to date local-level data relating to 2020/21 as far as possible. A variety of statistical sources, both national and local, have been used in its compilation.

Appendix A has a table of key statistics for at a glance comparison with Borough averages.

Political Makeup

The ward is represented by the following Councillors:

Votes received in 2018 Name Party Contact election

Peter Fallart Conservative 020 8379 4157 By-election

Clare da Silva Conservative 020 8379 2591 1,926 James Hockney Conservative 020 8379 4770 By-election

At the 2018 council elections, voter turnout in the ward was 41.4%. Bush Hill Park ward falls in the parliamentary seat of Edmonton.

Demography

Summary Statistics

Bush Hill Measure Enfield Source Park Population Estimate (2019) 14,520 333,794 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Children aged 0-15 2,653 76,137 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Working-age people (16-64) 8,944 213,093 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Older people aged 65+ 2,923 44,564 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Children aged 0-15 18.3 22.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Working-age (16-64) 61.6 63.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Older people aged 65+ 20.1 13.4 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % BAME - 2019 23.9 36.6 Enfield Council Estimates 2019 % BAME - 2011 26.8 39.0 Census 2011 % Not Born in UK - 2011 25.7 35.1 Census 2011 % English is First Language of no one in 7.7 14.1 Census 2011 household - 2011 Ministry for Housing, Communities Area - Square Kilometres 2.5 82.2 and Local Government ONS mid-year estimates 2019 / Population density (people per sq km) 5,808 4,061 MHCLG

Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 2 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Population

Based on the ONS mid-year estimate 2019, the total population for the ward was estimated to be 14,520. This was the 15th largest population (or 7th smallest) of the 21 wards in Enfield.

The population of Bowes is thought to have increased by 4.3% since 2011 – a lower increase than average in the borough.

The proportions of males and females in Bush Hill Park Ward are 48.9% and 51.1% respectively. Males outnumber females in most age groups up to 30 years old. See chart above right.

Age Profile

The proportion of residents in the older age groups (55 years and older) is higher than the borough average.

For more detail, see appendix.

Ethnicity

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The ward contains relatively large numbers in the White British, White Irish, Greek Cypriot and Turkish Cypriot groups.

As at the 2011 Census, the percentages of Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic Group (BAME) was 26.8% and Non-UK Born residents was 25.7%. The percentage of households without English as a first language was 7.7%

Enfield Council’s own 2019 estimates give the ward’s BAME Group to be 23.9% of the total population.

Ethnicity estimates are produced in-house, using data from the 2001 and 2011 Censuses and the School Census conducted by the local education authority (LEA). The School Census results indicate the changing nature of the population and Enfield pupils recorded themselves under 95 different ethnic codes. Ward ethnicity populations have been consolidated and estimated for the 22 groups that make up the Council’s standard ethnic group classification (see table below)1.

Bush Hill Park Borough

Ethnicity (2019) Estimated Estimated % % No. No.

White British 7,686 52.9 128463 38.3 White Irish 406 2.8 6427 1.9 Greek 199 1.4 3862 1.2 Greek Cypriot 1,090 7.5 15612 4.7 Turkish 531 3.6 25413 7.6 Turkish Cypriot 339 2.3 6079 1.8 Kurdish 50 0.3 4152 1.2 White Other 771 5.3 22501 6.7 White & Black Caribbean 166 1.1 4248 1.3 White and Asian 160 1.1 3627 1.1 White and Black African 78 0.5 2303 0.7 Other mixed 239 1.6 6562 2.0 Indian 479 3.3 11066 3.3 Pakistani 164 1.1 2407 0.7 Bangladeshi 137 0.9 5971 1.8 Chinese 65 0.4 2441 0.7 Other Asian 405 2.8 11954 3.6 Somali 100 0.7 9160 2.7 Other Black African 457 3.1 25032 7.5 Black Caribbean 533 3.7 17561 5.2 Other Black 187 1.3 8285 2.5 Other Ethnic Group 301 2.1 12300 3.7

Language

1Please note totals will not sum with ONS population estimates.

Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 4 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] The main languages of residents* given by 2011 Census estimates are:

English 11,591 86% Turkish 417 3% Greek 253 2% Polish 164 1% Gujarati 111 1% * aged 3 and over

Religion

Regarding religion, the best guide is the 2011 Census. This showed the religious makeup of the ward as:

Borough Religion No. % share average % Christian 8,350 60.0 53.6 Buddhist 72 0.5 0.6 Hindu 498 3.6 3.5 Jewish 176 1.3 1.4 Muslim 1,501 10.8 16.7 Sikh 60 0.4 0.3 Other/none/not stated 3,266 23.5 23.8

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Socio-economic factors

Socio-economic classification

The 2011 Census results showed that Bush Hill Park had an above average proportion of people in managerial groups, with about 30% more people than would be expected from the Borough average.

Low income households

Bush Hill Park had the 5th highest average (median) household income of the 21 wards in Enfield, as estimated by CACI in 2021. Average household income in the ward is above the median level for the borough as a whole and higher than the median.

The proportion of households with an income of less than £15,000 was put at 9.6% compared to a Borough average of 15.4%. This was the 3rd lowest proportion of the 21 wards, and lower than the London average.

Provisional statistics from the Department for Work and Pensions indicate that, at 2020, 268 children in the ward (10.1% of the total) were living in families with relative low income, and 225 (8.5%) were in families of Absolute low income2. The proportions of children in poverty compared with local, regional and national averages are shown in the chart below.

2 Relative low income: equivalised household income is less than 60% of the UK median for that year. Absolute low income: equivalised household income is less than 60% of the UK median for the period 2010-2011.

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• As at June 2021, the claimant count3 in Bush Hill Park was 525, representing 5.8% of the local working-age population. • At February 2021, 17% of households in the ward (990) were claiming Universal Credit – this includes working households.

Economically active people

The estimated proportion of people in work or looking for work (the economically active) was higher than the borough average in 2011. For number and rates see appendix.

Deprivation score

The Indices of Deprivation 2019 – produced for the Department of Communities and Local Government– can be used to calculate the likely deprivation ranking of the ward. Analysis carried out by the Local Government Association indicates that, within Enfield, Bush Hill Park is the 19th most deprived (or, the third least deprived) of the 21 wards in the Borough. The same analysis estimates that it is among the 50% least deprived wards in .

The map illustrates deprivation levels for wards in Enfield, when compared with the rest of the 7,180 wards in England for which data were available.

Fuel Poverty

Ward-level analysis of government statistics4 reveal that, as at 2019, 12.3% of households in the ward were in fuel poverty. This proportion was lower than both the borough and England averages.

3 The ‘narrow’ measure of unemployment: the number of people receiving either Job Seekers’ Allowance, or unemployed claimants of Universal Credit who are required to seek work.

4 Published by Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy (ward analysis by PHE)

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Appendix A has two crime related indicators by which the ward is compared to the Borough average:- • Crime rate • Anti-social behaviour rate

Rolling crime rates and trends can be obtained from the crime mapping website.

Health

The most recent estimates of the life expectancies5 for both men and women in the ward are higher than the England average.

Considering the age structure of the ward the number of deaths is slightly lower than would be expected in the borough. Deaths from circulatory diseases are higher than the English averages.

Life expectancies and Standardised Mortality Ratios by cause of death are shown in the charts below.

General Health

In the 2011 Census, the population were asked a question about their general health. This chart shows the response.

For the numbers of people in these categories see appendix.

5 Public Health England: Life Expectancy at birth 2015-2019

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Obesity

The chart below shows the percentage of Reception and Year 6 children and adults in the ward who are overweight or obese, compared with the borough and national averages.

The latest health information about the ward can be obtained from the Local Health website by choosing Find My Area and entering the ward name.

Within the ward there are three GP surgeries

o Bush Hill Park Med Centre, 25 Melbourne Way, Enfield EN1 1XG o Trinity Avenue Surgery, 22-24 Trinity Avenue, Bush Hill Park, Enfield EN1 1HX o Winchmore Practice, 808 , Winchmore Hill, London N21 2SA and one dental surgery

o Trinity Dental Practice, 87 Trinity Avenue, Bush Hill Park, EN1 1HT

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Housing

The 2011 (Census) profile of the households in the ward by housing tenure (sector) is:

Tenure No. (% share) Borough average % Owner occupied 4307 (78.8%) 58.8% Private rented 874 (16.0%) 23.6% Council 191 (3.5%) 11.4% Registered social landlord 92 (1.7%) 6.2%

The 2011 Census data provides a view of the accommodation type by ward compared with the rest of the borough.

In Bush Hill Park ward there is a higher percentage of semi-detached and terraced houses compared with the Enfield average, and fewer flats.

For the numbers of dwellings in these categories see appendix.

In the year to December 2020, the median property sale price for Bush Hill Park ward was £480,000, 13% above the Borough median of £425,000, and having fallen by 4% since the previous year.

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There are three primary schools in the ward and one secondary school:

Firs Farm Primary School Raglan Infants School and Raglan Junior School – Raglan Schools Edmonton County (Lower) School (Bury Campus) - Edmonton County School

School performance: The Department for Education publishes school performance data on their searchable webpages.

Qualifications in adults Taken from the 2011 Census data the graph below shows the distribution of qualifications achieved by percentage of people in the ward.

Qualifications: The term ‘no qualifications’ describes people without any academic, vocational or professional qualifications. The term ‘lower level’ qualifications is used to describe qualifications equivalent to levels 1 to 3 of the National Key Learning Targets (i.e. GSCE’s O levels, A levels, NVQ levels 1-3). The term ’Higher level’ refers to qualifications of levels 4 and above (i.e. first degrees, higher degrees, NVQ levels 4 and 5, HND, HNC and certain professional qualifications).

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Culture and Leisure

Libraries

Within the ward there is:

Ridge Avenue Library in Ridge Avenue Tel No 020 8379 1714

Just over the ward boundary is John Jackson Library in Agricola Place

The Aspire Sports and Fitness Centre is situated in the Edmonton County Lower School, Little Bury Street, off Church Street, N9. Tel No: 020 8245 5191

The ward has 6 parks and open spaces; o Bury Lodge Gardens o Church Street Tennis o Delhi Gardens o Firs Farm o King George Fields o Land R/O Bury Lodge

There are also the following sports and social clubs in the ward:

Bury Lodge Bowls Club on Bury Street West. For more information see: http://bowlsclub.org/club/1648/

Bush Hill Park Bowls, Tennis & Social Club adjacent to 1 Abbey Road. For more information see their website: http://bhpclub.org.uk/

The Enfield Cricket Club, 9 Lincoln Road. For more information see their website: https://www.enfieldcricketclub.com/ or contact the club office on 020 8363 2841

There are allotments available for rent at Ainsley Close N9 9SH. For further information contact Enfield Council on 020 8379 1000 or visit the Enfield Council website:

There are 3 places of worship within the boundaries of the ward:

o Enfield and Winchmore Hill Synagogue Tel No 020 8363 2697 o Bush Hill Park Methodist Church o Bury Street Chapel Tel No 020 8360 9985

And two community halls for hire:

o Church Hall, Bush Hill Park United Reformed Church, Main Avenue, contact No 020 8366 5526 o Raglan School Hall, contact No 020 8360 3731

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Voluntary and Community Sector

Some locally based community organisations are given below.

• Borough of Enfield Voluntary Association for The Disabled (BEVAD) BEVAD is a voluntary group with vehicles of varying size (all with tail lift access), for use by local groups with disabilities or transport problems and also for families with family members who have disabilities. Contact Tel: 020 8366 0491

• Multiple Sclerosis (MS) Society Enfield. Meets at Park Avenue Disability Resource Centre EN1 2HL

• Enfield Asian Welfare Association Ltd (EAWA) and Unity 70 meet at Wheatsheaf Hall – Main Avenue

• Enfield Vision meets at Disability Resource Centre – 65c Bush Hill Park

• Friends of St Mark’s Autism Services – St Marks Day Service – Millais Rod

Additional Sources of information

For local information visit the Enfield Council website homepage: http://www.enfield.gov.uk/. Creating an Enfield Connected account will enable you to find out about local events and services.

A collation of various data including latest best estimates is at Appendix A.

For statistics, search on the London Datastore or select profiles or data on NOMIS.

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Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 14 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Appendix A – Data tables Borough relative % No % average no. diff / % TOTAL:- POPULATION – 2019 14520 15895 -9 HOUSEHOLDS – 2011 5464 5710 -4 Owner Occupied 4307 78.8 58.8 34 Council 191 3.5 11.4 -69 Registered Social Landlord 92 1.7 6.2 -73 Private Renting 874 16.0 23.6 -32 AGE STRUCTURE – 2019 0-4 932 6.4 7.2 -10 5-14 1572 10.8 14.4 -25 15-24 1400 9.6 11.5 -16 25-44 3919 27.0 29.2 -8 45-64 3774 26.0 24.4 7 65-74 1410 9.7 7.0 39 75+ 1513 10.4 6.4 63 ETHNIC MIX – 2019 (Enfield Council Estimates) White British 7686 52.9 38.3 38 White Irish 406 2.8 1.9 46 Greek 199 1.4 1.2 19 Greek Cypriot 1090 7.5 4.7 61 Turkish 531 3.6 7.6 -52 Turkish Cypriot 339 2.3 1.8 29 Kurdish 50 0.3 1.2 -72 White Other 771 5.3 6.7 -21 White & Black Caribbean 166 1.1 1.3 -10 White and Asian 160 1.1 1.1 2 White and Black African 78 0.5 0.7 -22 Other mixed 239 1.6 2.0 -16 Indian 479 3.3 3.3 0 Pakistani 164 1.1 0.7 57 Bangladeshi 137 0.9 1.8 -47 Chinese 65 0.4 0.7 -39 Other Asian 405 2.8 3.6 -22 Somali 100 0.7 2.7 -75 Black African 457 3.1 7.5 -58 Black Caribbean 533 3.7 5.2 -30 Other Black 187 1.3 2.5 -48 Other Ethnic Group 301 2.1 3.7 -44 RELIGION – 2011 Christian 8350 60.0 53.6 12 Buddhist 72 0.5 0.6 -11 Hindu 498 3.6 3.5 2 Jewish 176 1.3 1.4 -10 Muslim 1501 10.8 16.7 -35 Sikh 60 0.4 0.3 25 Other / not stated / none 3266 23.5 23.9 -2

Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 15 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Appendix A – Data tables Borough relative % No % average no. diff / % ECONOMIC ACTIVITY in the 16-64 age group All economically active, 2011 7071 78.4 73.4 7 Unemployed — Claimant Count June 2021 525 5.8 8.8 -34 INCOME - 2021 Households with less than £15,000 (gross) a year 558 9.6 15.4 -38 Households claiming Universal Credit (Feb 2021) 990 17.0 30.7 -44 QUALIFICATIONS – 2011 No qualifications 2325 20.4 23.0 -11 Level 1 only 1376 12.1 12.9 -7 Level 2 1620 14.2 13.8 3 Level 3 1297 11.4 10.5 8 Level 4 and above 3722 32.6 28.7 14 HOUSING TYPE – 2011 Detached 279 5.0 7.0 -29 Semi-detached 1829 32.6 23.5 39 Terraced 1926 34.3 31.1 10 Flat - purpose built 1213 21.6 30.1 -28 Flat - in a shared house 281 5.0 6.8 -26 Other 81 1.4 1.5 -6 CARS IN HOUSEHOLDS – 2011 - nos. of households with: 0 cars 1177 21.5 32.5 -34 1 car 2419 44.3 43.3 2 2+ cars 1868 34.2 24.3 41 HOUSEHOLD TYPES – 2011 One person 1520 27.8 27.8 0 All occupants aged 65 plus 438 8.0 5.5 46 Married couple or civil partnership, no children 565 10.3 7.9 30 Married couple or civil partnership, with dependent children 960 17.6 17.4 1 Married couple or civil partnership, all children non dependent 526 9.6 6.8 41 Cohabiting couple, no children 193 3.5 3.4 3 Cohabiting couple, with dependent children 158 2.9 3.0 -3 Cohabiting couple, all children non dependent 22 0.4 0.4 -6 Lone parent 596 10.9 16.7 -35 Other 486 8.9 11.0 -19 PERSONS WITH LONG TERM HEALTH PROBLEM / DISABILITY – 2011 Limiting a lot 987 7.1 7.3 -2 Limiting a little 1150 8.3 8.1 2 GENERAL HEALTH – 2011 Very good 6533 46.9 46.8 0 Good 4995 35.9 35.0 2 Fair 1753 12.6 12.7 -1 Bad 493 3.5 4.1 -14 Very bad 149 1.1 1.3 -20 LIFE EXPECTANCY (years) - 2015-2019: Males 82.6 80.6 3 Females 84.4 84.6 0 Standardised Mortality Ratio - 2015-2019 87.2 89.9 -3 COMMUNITY SAFETY - 2020 Crime rate (per 1,000 residents) 65.2 85.2 -24 Anti-social behaviour rate 26.9 50.8 -47

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Various measures – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright, Office for National Statistics. NB. 2021 Census data is not due to be available until 2022/2023. Population – ONS mid-year population estimate 2019 Households – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Age structure – ONS mid-year population estimate 2019 Religion – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Ethnic mix – Council estimates for 2019; note there are difficulties in estimating ethnic group sizes at ward level and the figures given here must be treated with caution and used as a guide to the possible mix in the ward Economic Activity – all economically active 16-64 year olds = working plus unemployed – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright, the activity rate (%) is the % of the population aged 16-64 Unemployment — the official DWP ‘claimant count’, June 2021 Income – Low income households – CACI Paycheck; 2021; © CACI Deprivation – Ministry for Housing, Communities & Local Government. Ward-level analysis by Local Government Association Children in low-income households – Department for Work and Pensions (2020) Fuel Poverty – Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (2019) Qualifications – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright; note that this table excludes apprenticeships and ‘other’ qualifications Housing type – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Cars – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Household types – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Persons with a long-term health problem/disability – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright General health – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Life expectancy – Public Health England, based on 2015-2019 data Crime rate – uses crime counts from the Metropolitan Police for 2020

The relative % diff[erence] is the area % divided by the Borough % (expressed as a % above or below the Borough average)

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