WARD PROFILE: PALMERS GREEN 2021

Palmers Green Ward is situated in the south-west of the Borough, bordered by Haselbury ward to the east, Bowes ward to the south, Southgate Green ward to the west, and by and wards to the north. It is covered by postal districts N13, N18 and N21.

Ward Profile

This Profile is intended to provide a guide to the demography, social and economic data and Council facilities in the ward.

It has been collated using the most up to date local-level data relating to 2020/21 as far as possible. A variety of statistical sources, both national and local, have been used in its compilation.

Appendix A has a table of key statistics for at a glance comparison with Borough averages.

Political Makeup

The ward is represented by the following Councillors:

Name Party Contact Votes received in 2018 election

Timothy Leaver Labour 020 8379 5452 2,440 Timothy Leaver Mary Maguire Labour 020 8379 2652 2,431

Ahmet Oykener Labour 020 8351 1310 2,144

At the 2018 council elections, voter turnout in Palmers Green was 37.1 %. Palmers Green ward falls in the parliamentary seat of Enfield Southgate.

Demography

Summary Statistics

Palmers Measure Enfield Source Green Population Estimate (2020) 15,895 333,587 ONS mid-year estimates 2020 Children aged 0-15 2,965 75,920 ONS mid-year estimates 2020 Working-age people (16-64) 10,626 212,830 ONS mid-year estimates 2020 Older people aged 65+ 2,304 44,837 ONS mid-year estimates 2020 % All Children aged 0-15 18.7 22.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2020 % All Working-age (16-64) 66.9 63.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2020 % All Older people aged 65+ 14.5 13.4 ONS mid-year estimates 2020 % BAME - 2019 32.2 36.6 Enfield Council Estimates 2019 % BAME - 2011 35.4 39.0 Census 2011 % Not Born in UK - 2011 41.4 35.1 Census 2011 % English is First Language of no one in 18.1 14.1 Census 2011 household - 2011 Ministry for Housing, Communities Area - Square Kilometres 1.9 82.2 and Local Government ONS mid-year estimates 2020 / Population density (people per sq km) 8,366 4,058 MHCLG

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Population

According to the ONS mid-year estimate 2020, the total population of the ward is estimated to be 15,895. This is the 8th largest population of the 21 wards in Enfield.

The population of Palmers Green Ward has increased by 4.8% since the 2011 Census according to the estimate, which is lower than the average increase across the borough.

The percentages of male and female residents in Palmers Green ward are 49.9% and 50.1%

respectively. The distribution of males and females by age band is shown in the chat above right.

Age Profile

The ward contains a larger proportion of people in the 25-34 and 35- 44 year age groups than the borough average.

For more detail, see appendix.

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Ethnicity

The ward contains relatively large numbers in the Greek, Greek Cypriot, White Other, Indian and Pakistani groups.

As at the 2011 Census, the percentages of Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic Group (BAME) was 35.4% and Non-UK Born residents was 41.4%. The percentage of households without English as a first language was 18.1%

Enfield Council’s own 2019 estimates give the ward’s BAME Group to be 32.2% of the total population.

Ethnicity estimates are produced in-house, using data from the 2001 and 2011 Censuses and the School Census conducted by the local education authority (LEA). The School Census results indicate the changing nature of the population and Enfield pupils recorded themselves under 95 different ethnic codes. Ward ethnicity populations have been consolidated and estimated for the 22 groups that make up the Council’s standard ethnic group classification (see table below)1.

Palmers Green Borough

Ethnicity (2019) Estimated Estimated % % No. No.

White British 5,286 32.8 128463 38.3 White Irish 463 2.9 6427 1.9 Greek 387 2.4 3862 1.2 Greek Cypriot 1,508 9.3 15612 4.7 Turkish 1,013 6.3 25413 7.6 Turkish Cypriot 437 2.7 6079 1.8 Kurdish 111 0.7 4152 1.2 White Other 1,732 10.7 22501 6.7 White & Black Caribbean 156 1.0 4248 1.3 White and Asian 226 1.4 3627 1.1 White and Black African 107 0.7 2303 0.7 Other mixed 378 2.3 6562 2.0 Indian 914 5.7 11066 3.3 Pakistani 249 1.5 2407 0.7 Bangladeshi 172 1.1 5971 1.8 Chinese 84 0.5 2441 0.7 Other Asian 574 3.6 11954 3.6 Somali 253 1.6 9160 2.7 Other Black African 567 3.5 25032 7.5 Black Caribbean 649 4.0 17561 5.2 Other Black 278 1.7 8285 2.5 Other Ethnic Group 589 3.7 12300 3.7

Source: Enfield Council Knowledge and Insight Hub

1Please note totals will not sum with ONS population estimates.

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Language

The main languages of residents* given by 2011 Census estimates are:

English 10,578 73% The ward had the highest Turkish 795 5% number of Greek and Bulgarian Greek 605 4% speakers in Enfield. Polish 376 3%

Gujarati 239 2% * aged 3 and over

Religion

Regarding Religion, the best guide is the 2011 Census. This showed the religious composition of the ward as:

Religion No. % share Borough average % Christian 7755 51.1 53.6 Buddhist 80 0.5 0.6 Hindu 715 4.7 3.5 Jewish 169 1.1 1.4 Muslim 2545 16.8 16.7 Sikh 65 0.4 0.3 Other/none/not stated 3833 25.3 23.8

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Socio-economic factors

Socio-economic classification

The 2011 Census results showed that Palmers Green had an above average proportion of people in managerial groups, with about 11% more people than would be expected from the Borough average.

Low income households

Palmers Green had the 9th highest average (median) household income of the 21 wards in Enfield, as estimated by CACI in 2021. Average household income in the ward is above the median level for the borough as a whole and higher than the London average.

The proportion of households with an income of less than £15,000 was put at 10.6% compared to a Borough average of 15.4%. This was the 8th lowest proportion of the 21 wards.

Provisional statistics from the Department for Work and Pensions indicate that, at 2020, 508 children in the ward (17.2% of the total) were living in families with relative low income, and 413 (14%) were in families of Absolute low income . The proportions of children in poverty compared with local, regional and national averages are shown in the chart below.

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Benefit Claims

• At June 2021, the claimant count2 in Palmers Green was 870, representing 8.2% of the local working-age population. • As at February 2021, 27.3% of households in the ward (1,681) were claiming Universal Credit – this includes working households.

Economically active people

The estimated proportion of people in work or looking for work (the economically active) was higher than the borough average in 2011. For number and rates see appendix.

Deprivation score

The Indices of Deprivation 2019 – produced for the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government– can be used to calculate the likely deprivation ranking of the ward. Analysis carried out by the Local Government Association indicates that, within Enfield, Palmers Green is the 13th most deprived (or ninth least deprived) of the 21 wards in the Borough. The same analysis estimates that it is among the most deprived 40% of wards in .

The map illustrates deprivation levels for wards in Enfield, when compared with the rest of the 7,180 wards in England for which data were available.

Fuel Poverty Ward-level analysis of government statistics3 reveal that, as at 2019, 15.3% of households in the ward were in fuel poverty. This proportion was lower than the borough average, but higher than the average for England.

2 The ‘narrow’ measure of unemployment: the number of people receiving either Job Seekers’ Allowance, or unemployed claimants of Universal Credit who are required to seek work.

3 Published by Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy

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Crime

Appendix A has two crime related indicators by which the ward is compared to the Borough average:-

• Crime rate • Anti-social behaviour rate

The latest crime rates and trends can be obtained from the crime mapping website.

Health

The most recent estimates of the life expectancies4 for men and women in the ward are both higher than the England averages. For females, life expectancy is also higher than the average for the borough.

Considering the age structure of the ward the number of deaths is lower than would be expected, although mortality from circulatory diseases among the over 75s is higher than average.

Life expectancies and Standardised Mortality Ratios by cause of death are shown in the charts below.

General Health

In the 2011 Census the population were asked a question about their general health.

The graph (right) shows the response.

For the numbers of people in these categories see appendix.

4 Public Health England: Life Expectancy at birth 2015-2019

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Obesity

The chart below shows the percentage of Reception and Year 6 children and adults in the ward who are overweight or obese, compared with the borough and national averages.

The latest health information about the ward can be obtained from the Local Health website by choosing Find My Area and entering the ward name.

Within the ward there are two GP surgeries:

o Connaught Surgery – 144 Hedge Lane, N13 5ST o Health Centre – Rochdale Surgery, Broomfield Avenue, N13 4JJ and four dental surgeries (including one orthodontic surgery):

o Angle House Orthodontics, 38 Harington Terrace, Great Cambridge Road, N18 1JX o The Grove Dental Care – 45 The Grove, N13 5LD o Mr L Georghiou – 1E Hazelwood Lane, N13 5EU o Dental Practice – 456 Green Lanes, N13 5XD

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Housing

The 2011 (Census) profile of the households in the ward by housing tenure (sector) is:

Tenure No. (% share) Borough average % Owner occupied 3681 (63.6%) 58.8% Private rented 1589 (27.4%) 23.6% Council 281 (4.9%) 11.4% Registered social landlord 240 (4.1%) 6.2%

The 2011 Census data provides a view of the accommodation type by ward compared with the rest of the borough.

In Palmers Green ward there are higher percentages of terraced houses and flats in house conversions, compared with the Enfield average.

For the numbers of dwellings in the above categories see appendix.

In the year to December 2020, the median property sale price for Palmers Green ward was £505,000, 19% higher than the Borough median of £425,000, and having risen by 1% since the previous year.

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Education

There are 2 primary schools (one infant school and one junior school), and 1 secondary school in the ward:

Hazelwood Junior School – http://www.hazelwoodschools.org.uk/ Hazelwood Infant School – http://www.hazelwoodschools.org.uk/

St Anne’s Catholic High School (Upper School) - www.st-annes.enfield.sch.uk

School performance The Department for Education publishes school performance data on their searchable webpages.

Taken from the 2011 Census data the graph below shows the percentage of qualifications by population in the ward.

Qualifications: The term ‘no qualifications’ describes people without any academic, vocational or professional qualifications. The term ‘lower level’ qualifications is used to describe qualifications equivalent to levels 1 to 3 of the National Key Learning Targets (i.e. GSCE’s O levels, A levels, NVQ levels 1-3). The term ’Higher level’ refers to qualifications of levels 4 and above (i.e. first degrees, higher degrees, NVQ levels 4 and 5, HND, HNC and certain professional qualifications).

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Culture and Leisure

There is one static library in the ward:

Palmers Green Library, Broomfield Lane, N13 4EY Tel No 020 8379 2837

The ward has no leisure centres within its boundaries, with the nearest facilities located in the neighbouring ward of Bush Hill Park:

The Aspire Sports and Fitness Centre is situated in the Edmonton County Lower School, Little Bury Street, off Church Street, N9. Tel No: 020 8245 5191

The ward has two parks and open spaces;

o Hazelwood Sports Ground o Tatem Park

There are also the following sports and social clubs in the ward:

Triangle Fitness, Green Lanes Tel No: 020 8882 9102

Mayfield Tennis Club, Kenmare Gardens Information: https://www.facebook.com/MayfieldTennisClub

New Salamis Football Club, Green Lanes Tel No: 020 8447 9450

Palmers Green Billiards, Green Lanes Tel No: 020 8886 0721

Broomfield Badminton Club, Crawford Gardens Tel No: 020 8882 5551

There are allotments at Farndale Avenue Allotments, N13 5AE, and Barrowell Green Allotments on Farndale Avenue, N13 5AJ. For further information contact Enfield Council on 020 8379 1000 or visit the website.

There is 1 place of worship within the boundaries of the ward:

o Palmers Green Baptist Church Tel No 020 8886 1424

Voluntary and Community Sector

Some locally based community organisations are given below:

• Ruth Winston Centre, Green Lanes, N13 5UE - A registered charity whose mission is to promote independence, well-being and activities for the over 50s in Enfield. Further information: http://www.ruthwinstoncentre.com/

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Additional Sources of information

For local information visit the Enfield Council website homepage: http://www.enfield.gov.uk/. Creating an Enfield Connected account will enable you to find out about local events and services.

A collation of various data including latest best estimates is at Appendix A.

For statistics, search on the London Datastore or select profiles or data on NOMIS.

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Appendix A – Data tables Borough relative % No % average no. diff. / % TOTAL:- POPULATION – 2020 15895 15885 0 HOUSEHOLDS – 2011 5791 5710 1 Owner Occupied 3681 63.6 58.8 8 Council 281 4.9 11.4 -57 Registered Social Landlord 240 4.1 6.2 -33 Private Renting 1589 27.4 23.6 16 AGE STRUCTURE – 2020 0-4 1003 6.3 7.0 -10 5-14 1819 11.4 14.5 -21 15-24 1656 10.4 11.4 -9 25-44 5131 32.3 29.1 11 45-64 3982 25.1 24.6 2 65-74 1248 7.9 7.0 12 75+ 1056 6.6 6.4 4 ETHNIC MIX – 2019 (Enfield Council Estimates) White British 5286 32.8 38.3 -14 White Irish 463 2.9 1.9 50 Greek 387 2.4 1.2 108 Greek Cypriot 1508 9.3 4.7 101 Turkish 1013 6.3 7.6 -17 Turkish Cypriot 437 2.7 1.8 49 Kurdish 111 0.7 1.2 -45 White Other 1732 10.7 6.7 60 White & Black Caribbean 156 1.0 1.3 -24 White and Asian 226 1.4 1.1 30 White and Black African 107 0.7 0.7 -4 Other mixed 378 2.3 2.0 20 Indian 914 5.7 3.3 72 Pakistani 249 1.5 0.7 115 Bangladeshi 172 1.1 1.8 -40 Chinese 84 0.5 0.7 -28 Other Asian 574 3.6 3.6 0 Somali 253 1.6 2.7 -43 Black African 567 3.5 7.5 -53 Black Caribbean 649 4.0 5.2 -23 Other Black 278 1.7 2.5 -30 Other Ethnic Group 589 3.7 3.7 0 RELIGION – 2011 Christian 7755 51.1 53.6 -5 Buddhist 80 0.5 0.6 -10 Hindu 715 4.7 3.5 35 Jewish 169 1.1 1.4 -21 Muslim 2545 16.8 16.7 1 Sikh 65 0.4 0.3 24 Other / not stated / none 3833 25.3 23.9 6

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Appendix A – Data tables Borough relative % No % average no. diff. / % ECONOMIC ACTIVITY in the 16-64 age group All economically active, 2011 7916 76.9 73.4 5 Unemployed — Claimant Count June 2021 870 8.2 8.8 -7 INCOME - 2021 Households with less than £15,000 (gross) a year 650 10.6 15.4 -31 Households claiming Universal Credit (Feb 2021) 1681 27.3 30.7 -11 QUALIFICATIONS – 2011 No qualifications 2532 20.6 23.0 -11 Level 1 only 1340 10.9 12.9 -16 Level 2 1465 11.9 13.8 -14 Level 3 1317 10.7 10.5 2 Level 4 and above 4124 33.5 28.7 17 HOUSING TYPE – 2011 Detached 180 3.1 7.0 -56 Semi-detached 1156 19.6 23.5 -17 Terraced 2444 41.4 31.1 33 Flat - purpose built 923 15.6 30.1 -48 Flat - in a shared house 1039 17.6 6.8 161 Other 156 2.6 1.5 72 CARS IN HOUSEHOLDS – 2011 - nos. of households with: 0 cars 1757 30.3 32.5 -7 1 car 2596 44.8 43.3 4 2+ cars 1438 24.8 24.3 2 HOUSEHOLD TYPES – 2011 One person 1553 26.8 27.8 -4 All occupants aged 65 plus 345 6.0 5.5 9 Married couple or civil partnership, no children 502 8.7 7.9 9 Married couple or civil partnership, with dependent children 1022 17.6 17.4 1 Married couple or civil partnership, all children non dependent 466 8.0 6.8 18 Cohabiting couple, no children 246 4.2 3.4 23 Cohabiting couple, with dependent children 138 2.4 3.0 -20 Cohabiting couple, all children non dependent 18 0.3 0.4 -27 Lone parent 677 11.7 16.7 -30 Other 824 14.2 11.0 29 PERSONS WITH LONG TERM HEALTH PROBLEM / DISABILITY – 2011 Limiting a lot 1118 7.4 7.3 2 Limiting a little 1242 8.2 8.1 1 GENERAL HEALTH – 2011 Very good 7148 47.1 46.8 1 Good 5254 34.7 35.0 -1 Fair 1929 12.7 12.7 0 Bad 647 4.3 4.1 4 Very bad 184 1.2 1.3 -9 LIFE EXPECTANCY (years) - 2015-2019: Males 80.4 80.6 0 Females 86.8 84.6 3 Standardised Mortality Ratio - 2015-2019 81.2 89.9 -10 COMMUNITY SAFETY - 2020 Crime rate (per 1,000 residents) 79.7 85.2 -6 Anti-social behaviour rate 52.2 50.8 3

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Sources and related notes

Various measures – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright, Office for National Statistics. NB. 2021 Census data is not due to be available until 2022/2023. Population – ONS mid-year population estimate 2020 Households – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Age structure – ONS mid-year population estimate 2020 Religion – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Ethnic mix – Council estimates for 2019; note there are difficulties in estimating ethnic group sizes at ward level and the figures given here must be treated with caution and used as a guide to the possible mix in the ward Economic Activity – all economically active 16-64 year olds = working plus unemployed – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright, the activity rate (%) is the % of the population aged 16-64 Unemployment — the official DWP ‘claimant count’, June 2021 Income – Low income households – CACI Paycheck; 2021; © CACI Deprivation – Ministry for Housing, Communities & Local Government. Ward-level analysis by Local Government Association Children in low-income households – Department for Work and Pensions (2020) Fuel Poverty – Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (2019) Qualifications – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright; note that this table excludes apprenticeships and ‘other’ qualifications Housing type – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Cars – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Household types – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Persons with a long-term health problem/disability – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright General health – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Life expectancy – Public Health England, based on 2015-2019 data Crime rate – uses crime counts from the Metropolitan Police for 2020

The relative % diff[erence] is the area % divided by the Borough % (expressed as a % above or below the Borough average)

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