Palmers Green 2021
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WARD PROFILE: PALMERS GREEN 2021 Palmers Green Ward is situated in the south-west of the Borough, bordered by Haselbury ward to the east, Bowes ward to the south, Southgate Green ward to the west, and by Winchmore Hill and Bush Hill Park wards to the north. It is covered by postal districts N13, N18 and N21. Ward Profile This Profile is intended to provide a guide to the demography, social and economic data and Council facilities in the ward. It has been collated using the most up to date local-level data relating to 2020/21 as far as possible. A variety of statistical sources, both national and local, have been used in its compilation. Appendix A has a table of key statistics for at a glance comparison with Borough averages. Political Makeup The ward is represented by the following Councillors: Name Party Contact Votes received in 2018 election Timothy Leaver Labour 020 8379 5452 2,440 Timothy Leaver Mary Maguire Labour 020 8379 2652 2,431 Ahmet Oykener Labour 020 8351 1310 2,144 At the 2018 council elections, voter turnout in Palmers Green was 37.1 %. Palmers Green ward falls in the parliamentary seat of Enfield Southgate. Demography Summary Statistics Palmers Measure Enfield Source Green Population Estimate (2020) 15,895 333,587 ONS mid-year estimates 2020 Children aged 0-15 2,965 75,920 ONS mid-year estimates 2020 Working-age people (16-64) 10,626 212,830 ONS mid-year estimates 2020 Older people aged 65+ 2,304 44,837 ONS mid-year estimates 2020 % All Children aged 0-15 18.7 22.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2020 % All Working-age (16-64) 66.9 63.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2020 % All Older people aged 65+ 14.5 13.4 ONS mid-year estimates 2020 % BAME - 2019 32.2 36.6 Enfield Council Estimates 2019 % BAME - 2011 35.4 39.0 Census 2011 % Not Born in UK - 2011 41.4 35.1 Census 2011 % English is First Language of no one in 18.1 14.1 Census 2011 household - 2011 Ministry for Housing, Communities Area - Square Kilometres 1.9 82.2 and Local Government ONS mid-year estimates 2020 / Population density (people per sq km) 8,366 4,058 MHCLG Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 2 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Population According to the ONS mid-year estimate 2020, the total population of the ward is estimated to be 15,895. This is the 8th largest population of the 21 wards in Enfield. The population of Palmers Green Ward has increased by 4.8% since the 2011 Census according to the estimate, which is lower than the average increase across the borough. The percentages of male and female residents in Palmers Green ward are 49.9% and 50.1% respectively. The distribution of males and females by age band is shown in the chat above right. Age Profile The ward contains a larger proportion of people in the 25-34 and 35- 44 year age groups than the borough average. For more detail, see appendix. Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 3 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Ethnicity The ward contains relatively large numbers in the Greek, Greek Cypriot, White Other, Indian and Pakistani groups. As at the 2011 Census, the percentages of Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic Group (BAME) was 35.4% and Non-UK Born residents was 41.4%. The percentage of households without English as a first language was 18.1% Enfield Council’s own 2019 estimates give the ward’s BAME Group to be 32.2% of the total population. Ethnicity estimates are produced in-house, using data from the 2001 and 2011 Censuses and the School Census conducted by the local education authority (LEA). The School Census results indicate the changing nature of the population and Enfield pupils recorded themselves under 95 different ethnic codes. Ward ethnicity populations have been consolidated and estimated for the 22 groups that make up the Council’s standard ethnic group classification (see table below)1. Palmers Green Borough Ethnicity (2019) Estimated Estimated % % No. No. White British 5,286 32.8 128463 38.3 White Irish 463 2.9 6427 1.9 Greek 387 2.4 3862 1.2 Greek Cypriot 1,508 9.3 15612 4.7 Turkish 1,013 6.3 25413 7.6 Turkish Cypriot 437 2.7 6079 1.8 Kurdish 111 0.7 4152 1.2 White Other 1,732 10.7 22501 6.7 White & Black Caribbean 156 1.0 4248 1.3 White and Asian 226 1.4 3627 1.1 White and Black African 107 0.7 2303 0.7 Other mixed 378 2.3 6562 2.0 Indian 914 5.7 11066 3.3 Pakistani 249 1.5 2407 0.7 Bangladeshi 172 1.1 5971 1.8 Chinese 84 0.5 2441 0.7 Other Asian 574 3.6 11954 3.6 Somali 253 1.6 9160 2.7 Other Black African 567 3.5 25032 7.5 Black Caribbean 649 4.0 17561 5.2 Other Black 278 1.7 8285 2.5 Other Ethnic Group 589 3.7 12300 3.7 Source: Enfield Council Knowledge and Insight Hub 1Please note totals will not sum with ONS population estimates. Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 4 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Language The main languages of residents* given by 2011 Census estimates are: English 10,578 73% The ward had the highest Turkish 795 5% number of Greek and Bulgarian Greek 605 4% speakers in Enfield. Polish 376 3% Gujarati 239 2% * aged 3 and over Religion Regarding Religion, the best guide is the 2011 Census. This showed the religious composition of the ward as: Religion No. % share Borough average % Christian 7755 51.1 53.6 Buddhist 80 0.5 0.6 Hindu 715 4.7 3.5 Jewish 169 1.1 1.4 Muslim 2545 16.8 16.7 Sikh 65 0.4 0.3 Other/none/not stated 3833 25.3 23.8 Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 5 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Socio-economic factors Socio-economic classification The 2011 Census results showed that Palmers Green had an above average proportion of people in managerial groups, with about 11% more people than would be expected from the Borough average. Low income households Palmers Green had the 9th highest average (median) household income of the 21 wards in Enfield, as estimated by CACI in 2021. Average household income in the ward is above the median level for the borough as a whole and higher than the London average. The proportion of households with an income of less than £15,000 was put at 10.6% compared to a Borough average of 15.4%. This was the 8th lowest proportion of the 21 wards. Provisional statistics from the Department for Work and Pensions indicate that, at 2020, 508 children in the ward (17.2% of the total) were living in families with relative low income, and 413 (14%) were in families of Absolute low income . The proportions of children in poverty compared with local, regional and national averages are shown in the chart below. Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 6 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Benefit Claims • At June 2021, the claimant count2 in Palmers Green was 870, representing 8.2% of the local working-age population. • As at February 2021, 27.3% of households in the ward (1,681) were claiming Universal Credit – this includes working households. Economically active people The estimated proportion of people in work or looking for work (the economically active) was higher than the borough average in 2011. For number and rates see appendix. Deprivation score The Indices of Deprivation 2019 – produced for the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government– can be used to calculate the likely deprivation ranking of the ward. Analysis carried out by the Local Government Association indicates that, within Enfield, Palmers Green is the 13th most deprived (or ninth least deprived) of the 21 wards in the Borough. The same analysis estimates that it is among the most deprived 40% of wards in England. The map illustrates deprivation levels for wards in Enfield, when compared with the rest of the 7,180 wards in England for which data were available. Fuel Poverty Ward-level analysis of government statistics3 reveal that, as at 2019, 15.3% of households in the ward were in fuel poverty. This proportion was lower than the borough average, but higher than the average for England. 2 The ‘narrow’ measure of unemployment: the number of people receiving either Job Seekers’ Allowance, or unemployed claimants of Universal Credit who are required to seek work. 3 Published by Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 7 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Crime Appendix A has two crime related indicators by which the ward is compared to the Borough average:- • Crime rate • Anti-social behaviour rate The latest crime rates and trends can be obtained from the Metropolitan Police crime mapping website. Health The most recent estimates of the life expectancies4 for men and women in the ward are both higher than the England averages.