American Conspiracy Self-Styled Realist, He Has Mostly Crafted These Posi- Reviewed by Thomas Rid Tions with Detached, Historically Balanced Analysis
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Navigating an Ethical Critique for a "New" Kind of War in Iraq Transcript
Origins Interviewer I’m going to ask you a little bit about West Point as we begin. So—and some of this is just merely what they call tagging to be able to—the camera’s running now—to be able to allow the transcriber to set this in a certain—according to certain search mechanisms. So, what class at West Point were you? Andrew Bacevich 1969. Interviewer 1. And you were—you come from where? Where did you grow up? Andrew Bacevich Indiana. Interviewer Indiana, so did I. Andrew Bacevich Oh, really? Where? Interviewer Yeah, Indianapolis, where we— Andrew Bacevich Okay, upstate, Calumet region, around Hammond and Highland and places like that. Interviewer And can you tell me just in general terms the various assignments that you had during your career, particularly your career in the military, but even going up to your academic career, just so we list off, and then we’ll get back to it. Andrew Bacevich Sure. I served as a commissioned officer for 23 years, short tour— after school, short tour at Fort Riley, deployed to Vietnam in the summer of 1970. Stayed there until the summer of 1971. In Vietnam, I served first with the 2nd Squadron, 1st Cavalry, and then the 1st Squadron, 10th Cavalry. When I came home, I was assigned to the 3rd Armored Cavalry Regiment at Fort Bliss. The regiment moved—excuse me, at Fort Lewis, Washington, the regiment moved to Fort Bliss, and I moved with it. That’s where I commanded K Troop, 3rd Squadron, 3rd Cavalry. -
The Impact of Post 11 September 2001 United States Involvement in Central Asia on the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan
A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY: THE IMPACT OF POST 11 SEPTEMBER 2001 UNITED STATES INVOLVEMENT IN CENTRAL ASIA ON THE ISLAMIC MOVEMENT OF UZBEKISTAN A thesis presented to the Faculty of the U.S. Army Command and General Staff College in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree MASTER OF MILITARY ART AND SCIENCE Strategist Program by TIMOTHY JAMES PARKER, MAJ, USA B.A., University of Dayton, Dayton, Ohio, 1991 Fort Leavenworth, Kansas 2003 Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. MASTER OF MILITARY ART AND SCIENCE THESIS APPROVAL PAGE Name of Candidate: Major Timothy James Parker Thesis Title: A Window of Opportunity: The Impact of Post 11 September 2001 United States Involvement in Central Asia on the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan Approved by: , Thesis Committee Chairman Jacob W. Kipp, Ph.D. , Member Lester W. Grau, M.A. , Member Harold S. Orenstein, Ph.D. Accepted this 6th day of June 2003 by: , Director, Graduate Degree Programs Philip J. Brookes, Ph.D. The opinions and conclusions expressed herein are those of the student author and do not necessarily represent the views of the U.S. Army Command and General Staff College or any other governmental agency. (References to this study should include the foregoing statement.) ii ABSTRACT A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY: THE IMPACT OF POST 11 SEPTEMBER 2001 UNITED STATES INVOLVEMENT IN CENTRAL ASIA ON THE ISLAMIC MOVEMENT OF UZBEKISTAN, by Timothy James Parker, 61 pages. Prior to 11 September 2001, the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) posed a serious threat to Central Asian stability. The IMU, a militant fundamentalist Islamic group, declared that its goal was to overthrow the Central Asian governments and establish an Islamic state. -
A F L D U U R E E Fearful Symmetry: How to Achieve Coherence Among
ASPJ–Africa and Francophonie Fall Fall 2010 Volume I, No. 3 John Hursh John En marche vers la démocratie au Maroc ? Maroc au démocratie la vers marche En Africa: A Light at the End of the Tunnel? Dustin Dehéz Dustin Herman J. Cohen en Afrique subsaharienne : Saisir toute l’histoire toute Saisir : subsaharienne Afrique en Réforme du secteur de la sécurité et services de renseignements renseignements de services et sécurité la de secteur du Réforme Cracks in the Jihad Thomas Rid, PhD 2010 Rumu Sarkat, PhD PhD Sarkat, Rumu une même volonté pour tous les acteurs ? acteurs les tous pour volonté même une Peacekeeping by Regional Organisations Une symétrie de la peur : Comment peut-on atteindre peut-on Comment : peur la de symétrie Une Lt Gen Vijay Kumar Jetley, PVSM, UYSM, Retired Colonel (ER) Jiyul Kim, USA Kim, Jiyul (ER) Colonel Cultural Dimensions of Strategy and Policy Dimension culturelle de la stratégie et de la politique la de et stratégie la de culturelle Dimension Col Jiyul Kim, USA, Retired Général de corps d’armée indienne (2s) Vijay Kumar Jetley, PVSM, UYSM PVSM, Jetley, Kumar Vijay (2s) indienne d’armée corps de Général Fearful Symmetry: How to Achieve Coherence among Le maintien de la paix par des organisations régionales organisations des par paix la de maintien Le All the Players Rumu Sarkar, PhD Thomas Rid, PhD Rid, Thomas Fissures dans le Jihad le dans Fissures Intelligence Services in Sub-Saharan Africa: Making Security Sector Reform Work tomne 2010 Herman J. Cohen J. Herman Dustin Dehéz Afrique : le bout du tunnel est-il en vue ? vue en est-il tunnel du bout le : Afrique Moving toward Democracy in Morocco? John Hursh Volume 1, No. -
H-Diplo Roundtables, Vol. XIII, No. 22 (2012)
2012 H-Diplo Roundtable Editors: Thomas Maddux and Diane Labrosse Roundtable Web/Production Editor: George Fujii H-Diplo Roundtable Review www.h-net.org/~diplo/roundtables Introduction by Kyle Longley, Arizona State University Volume XIII, No. 22 (2012) 5 April 2012 Terry H. Anderson. Bush’s Wars. New York: Oxford University Press (2011). ISBN: 978-0-19- 974752-8 (hardback, $27.95). Stable URL: http://www.h-net.org/~diplo/roundtables/PDF/Roundtable-XIII-22.pdf Contents Introduction by Kyle Longley, Arizona State University ........................................................... 2 Review by David L. Anderson, California State University, Monterey Bay ............................... 6 Review by Andrew J. Bacevich, Boston University ................................................................. 10 Review by Paul Chamberlin, University of Kentucky .............................................................. 13 Review by Lloyd Gardner, Rutgers University ........................................................................ 16 Review by Sean N. Kalic, U.S. Army Command and General Staff College ............................. 20 Review by David Schmitz, Whitman College .......................................................................... 24 Author’s Response by Terry H. Anderson, Texas A & M ......................................................... 29 Copyright © 2012 H-Net: Humanities and Social Sciences Online. H-Net permits the redistribution and reprinting of this work for non-profit, educational purposes, with full and accurate attribution to the author(s), web location, date of publication, H-Diplo, and H-Net: Humanities & Social Sciences Online. For other uses, contact the H-Diplo editorial staff at [email protected]. H-Diplo Roundtable Reviews, Vol. XIII, No. 21 (2012) Introduction by Kyle Longley, Arizona State University n August 2011, I chaired and commented on a roundtable discussion of Terry Anderson’s Bush’s Wars at the Pacific Coast Branch of the American Historical I Association (AHA) meeting in Seattle. -
Active Measures: the Secret History of Disinformation & Political
Active Measures: The Secret History of Disinformation & Political Warfare | Thomas Rid Philosophers have only interpreted the world. The point, May 25th, 2020 however, is to change it. — Karl Marx INTRODUCTION Thomas Rid is Professor of Strategic Studies at Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies. Rid’s latest book, Active Measures, a startling history of disinformation, was published in late April 2020 with Farrar, Straus and Giroux (also in Russian, Japanese, Polish). His most recent book, Rise of the Machines (2016), tells the sweeping story of how cybernetics, a late- 1940s theory of machines, came to incite anarchy and war (also in Chinese, Russian, German, Japanese, Turkish). His 2015 article “Attributing Cyber Attacks” was designed to explain, guide, and improve the identification of network breaches (Journal of Strategic Studies 2015). In 2013 he published the widely-read book Cyber War Will Not Take Place. Rid’s Ph.D. thesis, “War and Media Operations: The US Military and the Press from Vietnam to Iraq,” was the first academic analysis of the role of embedded media in the 2003 Iraq War, providing a concise history of US military public affairs management since Vietnam. Rid testified on information security in front of the U.S. Senate Select Committee on Intelligence as well as in the German Bundestag and the UK Parliament. From 2011 to 2016, Rid was a professor in the Department of War Studies at King’s College London. Between 2003 and 2010, he worked at major think tanks in Berlin, Paris, Jerusalem, and Washington, DC. Rid holds a PhD from Humboldt University in Berlin. -
Cyber Terrorism and Public Support for Retaliation – a Multi-Country Survey Experiment
British Journal of Political Science (2021), page 1 of 19 doi:10.1017/S0007123420000812 ARTICLE Cyber Terrorism and Public Support for Retaliation – A Multi-Country Survey Experiment Ryan Shandler1* , Michael L. Gross1 , Sophia Backhaus2 and Daphna Canetti1 1School of Political Sciences, University of Haifa, Haifa, Israel and 2Department of Psychology, University of Konstanz, Konstanz, Germany *Corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected] (Received 14 May 2020; revised 15 September 2020; accepted 19 November 2020) Abstract Does exposure to cyber terrorism prompt calls for retaliatory military strikes? By what psychological mechanism does it do so? Through a series of controlled, randomized experiments, this study exposed respondents (n = 2,028) to television news reports depicting cyber and conventional terror attacks against critical infrastructures in the United States, United Kingdom and Israel. The findings indicate that only lethal cyber terrorism triggers strong support for retaliation. Findings also confirm that anger bridges exposure to cyber terrorism and retaliation, rather than psychological mechanisms such as threat percep- tion or anxiety as other studies propose. These findings extend to the cyber realm a recent trend that views anger as a primary mechanism linking exposure to terrorism with militant preferences. With cyber ter- rorism a mounting international concern, this study demonstrates how exposure to this threat can gener- ate strong public support for retaliatory policies, depending on the lethality of the attack. Keywords: cyber terrorism; terrorism; retaliatory strikes; foreign policy preferences; critical infrastructure; anger Security officials have long warned of the foreboding threat posed by cyber terrorism. In recent years, following a spate of reports about next-generation cyber attacks causing real-world physical destruction, this threat has come of age. -
Attributing Cyber Attacks Thomas Rida & Ben Buchanana a Department of War Studies, King’S College London, UK Published Online: 23 Dec 2014
This article was downloaded by: [Columbia University] On: 08 June 2015, At: 08:43 Publisher: Routledge Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK Journal of Strategic Studies Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/fjss20 Attributing Cyber Attacks Thomas Rida & Ben Buchanana a Department of War Studies, King’s College London, UK Published online: 23 Dec 2014. Click for updates To cite this article: Thomas Rid & Ben Buchanan (2015) Attributing Cyber Attacks, Journal of Strategic Studies, 38:1-2, 4-37, DOI: 10.1080/01402390.2014.977382 To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01402390.2014.977382 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & Francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the “Content”) contained in the publications on our platform. However, Taylor & Francis, our agents, and our licensors make no representations or warranties whatsoever as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability for any purpose of the Content. Any opinions and views expressed in this publication are the opinions and views of the authors, and are not the views of or endorsed by Taylor & Francis. The accuracy of the Content should not be relied upon and should be independently verified with primary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for any losses, actions, claims, proceedings, demands, costs, expenses, damages, and other liabilities whatsoever or howsoever caused arising directly or indirectly in connection with, in relation to or arising out of the use of the Content. -
Review: Thomas Rid, Cyber War Will Not Take Place
Thomas Rid, Cyber War Will Not Take Place (London, Hurst, 2017), pp. 232, ISBN 9781849047128 Reviewed by Myriam Dunn Cavelty Center for Security Studies, ETH Zürich It is a clear signal of how cybersecurity is still unusual as a field of research when a book first published in 2013 receives the label “conflict classic” in 2017. Yet, Thomas Rid’s “Cyber War Will Not Take Place” is undoubtedly that: a classic. Published at an opportune time when a considerable knowledge deficit needed to be filled, the book has helped to structure the cyber-conflict debate in meaningful ways and can be considered one of the must-reads for students, journalists and analysts entering the field. However, being a classic comes with a burden. In a field as strongly driven by the dynamics of events in the form of cyber-attacks, how solid are the underlying assumptions? How long until it will become outdated, a mere relic of how we once thought about this issue? In addition, how can we ensure that the rapidly growing academic cyber-conflict literature can continue to profit from its content in the future? Arguably, the book fares much better with regards to the first than the second: It makes a robust, time-enduring contribution to structure the debate, but its scientific value is declining as knowledge about cyber-attacks becomes consolidated in the expert community. The catchy title of this publication tempts two types of people to cite it. The first group consists of those sympathetic to the claim that cyber-war will not take place. -
Cyberwar and Peace Hacking Can Reduce Real-World Violence Thomas Rid
Cyberwar and Peace Hacking Can Reduce Real-World Violence Thomas Rid “ yberwar Is Coming!” declared the title of a seminal 1993 article by the rand Corporation analysts John Arquilla and David CRonfeldt, who argued that the nascent Internet would funda- mentally transform warfare. The idea seemed fanciful at the time, and it took more than a decade for members of the U.S. national security establishment to catch on. But once they did, a chorus of voices resounded in the mass media, proclaiming the dawn of the era of cyberwar and warning of its terrifying potential. In February 2011, then cia Director Leon Panetta warned Congress that “the next Pearl Harbor could very well be a cyberattack.” And in late 2012, Mike McConnell, who had served as director of national intelligence under President George W. Bush, warned darkly that the United States could not “wait for the cyber equivalent of the collapse of the World Trade Centers.” Yet the hype about everything “cyber” has obscured three basic truths: cyberwar has never happened in the past, it is not occurring in the present, and it is highly unlikely that it will disturb the future. Indeed, rather than heralding a new era of violent conflict, so far the cyber-era has been defined by the opposite trend: a computer-enabled assault on political violence. Cyberattacks diminish rather than accentuate political violence by making it easier for states, groups, and individuals to engage in two kinds of aggression that do not rise to the level of war: sabotage and espionage. Weaponized computer code and computer- based sabotage operations make it possible to carry out highly targeted attacks on an adversary’s technical systems without directly and physically harming human operators and managers. -
Cles Over the Past Few Years Is That the Subject of Imperialism Is No Longer a Bailiwick of the Left
0 N E o F T H E c u R I o u s D E v E L o P M E N T s in intellectual cir- cles over the past few years is that the subject of imperialism is no longer a bailiwick of the Left. To be sure, so long as colonial empires were in strength, there was no denying the reality of European and American imperial expansion. But over the course of the post-war era, as decoloniza- tion rippled through the Third World and the formal mechanisms of colo- nial control were thrown overboard, any insistence on the continuing salience of imperialism became identified with left-wing ideologies. If it did enter mainstream debates, it was inevitably Soviet or, more generically, Communist imperial ambitions that were subjected to scrutiny. The Presidency of Bush the Younger seems to have put an end to that. Serious discussion of imperialism - not generally, but as an American phenomenon - has suddenly acquired intellectual respectability. Analyses of the "new imperialism" are now flowing out in a steady stream of books, and in organs and magazines associated with both ends of the political spectrum. And there is an unmistakable sense of urgency in the debates. It was clear in the years after 1989 that the United States was searching for a way to maintain its sway over Europe and the South - a condition that couldn't be taken for granted once the specter of the Soviet threat had passed from the scene. Under Clinton, however, the strategy did not exhibit the martial and messianic posturing of the Bush team. -
End This Phony Cyberwar
OPINION End this phony cyberwar Talk of combat in the fifth domain has become a fixture in Washington. But cyberwar has never happened and probably never will, says Thomas Rid EXACTLY two decades ago, the harder than it looks. Target RAND Corporation, an influential intelligence is needed. Control think tank, proclaimed that systems are often configured “cyberwar is coming!” In 2005, for specific tasks, limiting the the US Air Force declared it possibility of generic attacks. Even would now “fly, fight, and win if they happened, such attacks in cyberspace”. The future of may not constitute a use of force. war would surely play out in that The second threat is cyber fifth domain, on top of land, sea, espionage. Data breaches are air and space. Dark warnings not just a risk, but a real bleeding of “Cyber Pearl Harbor” soon wound for the US, Europe and became a staple of Washington other advanced economies. But discourse. espionage is not war, and cyber Leaks revealed last week that espionage is not cyberwar. the US government spends a Finally, there is subversion – staggering $4.3 billion a year using social media and other on cyber operations. In 2011, internet services to undermine American intelligence agencies established authority. It is not a reportedly mounted 231 offensive surprise that subversives, from operations. The US, it seems, is Anonymous and Occupy to Arab gearing up for cyber combat. protesters, use new technologies. What would an act of cyberwar Twitter and Facebook have made look like? History suggests three organising non-violent protest features. To count as an armed easier than ever, often in the attack, a computer breach would service of liberty and freedom. -
Springer on Rid, 'Cyber War Will Not Take Place'
H-War Springer on Rid, 'Cyber War Will Not Take Place' Review published on Thursday, December 6, 2018 Thomas Rid. Cyber War Will Not Take Place. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2017. 232 pp. $14.95 (paper), ISBN 978-0-19-066071-0. Reviewed by Paul Springer (Air University, Air Command and Staff College) Published on H-War (December, 2018) Commissioned by Margaret Sankey (Air War College) Printable Version: http://www.h-net.org/reviews/showpdf.php?id=52150 Thomas Rid is a professor of strategic studies at Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies. He previously served as reader in War Studies at King’s College London. In 2013, he published Cyber War Will Not Take Place, making the argument that because war requires an element of violence, a cyber attack by definition cannot be an act of war. This concept is in keeping with the traditional Clausewitzian definition of war—and so long as that definition remains the norm, the argument is hard to refute. However, there are a number of potential consequences for any cyber attack, to include some form of physical retaliation outside of the digital domain. For the author, the term “cyber war” is a terribly misleading concept. Instead, he believes that cyber operations are most useful for three key activities, all of which are often associated with war, but are not considered acts of war on their own. Specifically, cyber attacks are particularly effective in performing acts of espionage, sabotage, and subversion. While all of these are relatively common activities in the intercourse of states, they have all also been cited as viable causes for war, and thus, it is possible that Rid is making a distinction without a difference.