Capable and Sustainable Long Term Defence Plan 17 June 2016 1 Introduction
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Capable and Sustainable Long Term Defence Plan 17 June 2016 1 Introduction Since the end of the Cold War, Norway has transformed its Armed Forces into a smaller, deployable and advanced force with the equipment and training necessary to address evolving security challenges both at home and abroad. This transition has been essential in order to adapt the Norwegian Armed Forces to an increasingly complex security environment. 'HVSLWHWKHVHHRUWV being both necessary and largely successful, they do not fully address what we today recognise as the long- term challenges facing Norwegian security. Further adjustments are QHHGHGDORQJZLWKVLJQLȴFDQWLQYHVWPHQWVLQLQWHOOLJHQFHVXUYHLOODQFH survivability and combat power to strengthen Norway and NATO’s ability to prevent and deter the use of force. Years of underfunding, combined with a high operational tempo have also created shortfalls in training, maintenance and upgrades that are no longer acceptable in the face of emerging challenges. These short- falls must be addressed in order to improve capability in the near term, and to prepare the Norwegian Armed Forces for future investments and challenges. Both short-term measures to improve readiness, and long-term investments, are vital to ensure that Norway together with our allies have the means necessary to resist any outside power seeking to challenge its sovereignty and rights either through the threat, or use of force, military or otherwise. The Norwegian Armed Forces will therefore strengthen its ability to contribute to the defence of both Norway and the Alliance as a whole, in order to ensure that any use of force against Norway will carry unacceptable cost and risk. 02 Capable and Sustainable Long Term Defence Plan 03 2 Norway and the Alliance NATO and the transatlantic security com- munity remains the cornerstone of Norwegian security and defence policy. Norway needs Norwegian Armed Forces Tasks close relations with its allies. The defence of Norway depends on the arrival of allied rein- Ensure credible deterrence based on forcements before a crisis situation develops 1 NATO’s collective defence into an armed confrontation, and on the ability to escalate defence operations seamlessly, if Defend Norway and allies against thre- ats, aggression and attacks, within the required. Facilitating greater allied presence 2 framework of NATO’s collective defence in Norway is important to Norwegian security. «NATO and the transatlantic security community remains Interoperability among allied forces and allied Prevent and manage incidents and security presence in Norway through exercises and 3 crises, including the facilitation of allied the cornerstone of Norwegian security and defence policy.» support WUDLQLQJUHPDLQNH\FRPSRQHQWVRIRXUHRUWV to ensure credible deterrence. Host nation Ensure a national basis for decision-making support related to such activities, along with 4 through surveillance and intelligence preparations to receive allied reinforcements, Safeguard Norwegian sovereignty and remain a priority. These measures contribute 5 sovereign rights to the ability of Norway and its allies to ensure a robust defence posture in peacetime, in crisis Exercise Norwegian authority in DQGGXULQJWLPHVRIDUPHGFRQȵLFW 6 designated areas 'HVSLWHWKHVHFXULW\JXDUDQWHHVRHUHGE\ Participate in multinational crisis the alliance, Norway must also maintain an 7 management, including peace operations ability to respond to the early phases of a cri- Contribute to international security and VLVRUFRQȵLFWLQGHSHQGHQWO\7KLVLVDFHQWUDO defence cooperation tenet of the North Atlantic Treaty, which com- 8 mits the member states to maintain and de- Contribute to societal security and other velop their individual and collective capacity 9 key societal tasks to resist armed attack. 04 Capable and Sustainable Long Term Defence Plan 05 «The international security situation has deteriorated since the previous Long Term 3 Key challenges Plan was presented in 2012.» 06 Capable and Sustainable Long Term Defence Plan 07 Key 3 challenges «Challenges to European and transatlantic security must be met with cooperation, firmness and predictability.» he Norwegian Armed Forces are Transatlantic security must be met with strategies for the Arctic still emphasise inter- destructive potential, both when wielded by continuously adapting to meet FRRSHUDWLRQȴUPQHVVDQGSUHGLFWDELOLW\ national cooperation. At the same time, we national governments and non-state actors. current and future changes to the 7KHPRVWVLJQLȴFDQWFKDQJHLQWKH1RUZH- cannot rule out the possibility that Russia Long-range precision guided weapons can security environment. At present, gian security environment is Russia’s growing in a given situation will consider the use of FDXVHVLJQLȴFDQWGDPDJHZLWKOLWWOHRUQR developments are driven by chan- military capability and its use of force. The military force to be a relevant tool, also in warning. Modern air defence systems can Tges adjacent to NATO’s area of responsibility military reform in Russia has resulted in a the High North. Additionally, while a poten- GHQ\DFFHVVWRVLJQLȴFDQWDQGFULWLFDOO\LPSRU- with direct and indirect impact on Norwegian modernisation of Russia’s conventional for- tial crisis is unlikely to develop in Norway’s tant sections of air space. New capabilities in and Allied security. Norwegian security and ces as well as a strengthening of its nuclear LPPHGLDWHUHJLRQDFRQȵLFWHUXSWLQJHOVH the cyber and space domains likewise defence policy must recognise the potential capabilities. The Russian annexation of Crimea ZKHUHPD\GLUHFWO\DHFWXV create an evolving threat environment of rapid changes in our security environment. in 2014 and the continued destabilisation of NATO also faces serious challenges related ZKHUHHHFWLYHFRXQWHUPHDVXUHVDUH Domestic technological, economic and demo- Eastern Ukraine both constitute violations of to developments in the Middle East, North OLPLWHGDQGDWWULEXWLRQGLɝFXOW graphic trends also represent both challenges international law, which have had a drama- Africa and the Sahel. Instability caused by On the other hand, these technological and opportunities that must be taken into WLFHHFWRQ(XURSHDQVHFXULW\5XVVLDKDV economic turmoil, corruption, terror, violence advancements have wide reaching economic account in the development of Norwegian repeatedly proven itself willing to use a wide and organised crime is ultimately a threat consequences. Countering technologically security and defence policy. range of measures, including military force, to to international peace and security. Weak driven risks requires continuing moderni- VXVWDLQLWVSROLWLFDOGRPLQDQFHDQGLQȵXHQFH government control may allow instability and sation by even smaller forces. While new Increasing complexity Even though Russia does not constitute a DUPHGFRQȵLFWWRVSUHDGHDVLO\DFURVVSRURXV equipment represents a qualitative improve- The international security situation, both military threat to Norway, the combination of ERUGHUV7KHRQJRLQJDUPHGFRQȵLFWVLQWKH ment from the systems and platforms being globally and in Norway’s immediate region, military modernisation and the will to exert region have caused massive humanitarian suf- replaced, as a rule it also costs more to ac- has deteriorated since the previous Long Term LQȵXHQFHWKURXJKPLOLWDU\SRZHUSODFH5XVVLD fering, destruction and a global refugee crisis. quire and operate. Despite increased use of Plan was presented in 2012. as a central factor in Norwegian defence plan- RWKHVKHOISURFXUHPHQWDQGLQWHUQDWLRQDO Global and regional power shifts may chal- ning. Areas in Norway’s immediate vicinity are Technological trends and risks cooperation, increasing costs can no longer lenge the position of Western states in inter- also central to Russian nuclear deterrence, The proliferation of increasingly advanced be addressed simply by reducing the number national politics. European cohesion is also and Russia’s military presence and activities weapons and technologies represents a of platforms and units, or by internal under pressure due to a combination of in the North have increased in recent years. dual challenge. On the one hand, they have HɝFLHQF\VDYLQJV7KLVFRVWJURZWKPXVW demanding internal and external develop- The High North continues to be characterised an impact on our threat environment. Such be incorporated as an integral part of our ments. These challenges to European and by stability and cooperation, and Russian ZHDSRQVDQGWHFKQRORJLHVKDYHVLJQLȴFDQW defence planning. 08 Capable and Sustainable Long Term Defence Plan 09 4 Addressing the challenges This Long Term Plan presents measures to address current and coming challenges. Readiness will be improved in the short-term and the overall operational capability strengthened in the longer-term. At WKHVDPHWLPHDJUDGXDO\HWVLJQLȴFDQWLQFUHDVHLQGHIHQFHIXQGLQJ will provide a sustainable baseline for continued development. Norwegian security and defence policy Overall priorities 1 2 Strengthen our national defence Strengthen NATO’s ability a. Maintain situational awareness for collective defence and our ability to conduct crisis management operations b. Improve readiness levels, 3 Contribute to international combat power and survivability crisis management c. Improve our ability to receive allied reinforcements d. Increase allied military presence and 4 Further development of the more frequent exercises and training Total Defence concept (Mutual support and cooperation between the Armed Forces and civilian authorities) 10 Capable and Sustainable Long Term Defence Plan 11 Addressing