Stanislaw M. Ulam Papers 1916-1984 Mss.Ms.Coll.54
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The Development of Military Nuclear Strategy And
The Development of Military Nuclear Strategy and Anglo-American Relations, 1939 – 1958 Submitted by: Geoffrey Charles Mallett Skinner to the University of Exeter as a thesis for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in History, July 2018 This thesis is available for Library use on the understanding that it is copyright material and that no quotation from the thesis may be published without proper acknowledgement. I certify that all material in this thesis which is not my own work has been identified and that no material has previously been submitted and approved for the award of a degree by this or any other University. (Signature) ……………………………………………………………………………… 1 Abstract There was no special governmental partnership between Britain and America during the Second World War in atomic affairs. A recalibration is required that updates and amends the existing historiography in this respect. The wartime atomic relations of those countries were cooperative at the level of science and resources, but rarely that of the state. As soon as it became apparent that fission weaponry would be the main basis of future military power, America decided to gain exclusive control over the weapon. Britain could not replicate American resources and no assistance was offered to it by its conventional ally. America then created its own, closed, nuclear system and well before the 1946 Atomic Energy Act, the event which is typically seen by historians as the explanation of the fracturing of wartime atomic relations. Immediately after 1945 there was insufficient systemic force to create change in the consistent American policy of atomic monopoly. As fusion bombs introduced a new magnitude of risk, and as the nuclear world expanded and deepened, the systemic pressures grew. -
Copyright by Paul Harold Rubinson 2008
Copyright by Paul Harold Rubinson 2008 The Dissertation Committee for Paul Harold Rubinson certifies that this is the approved version of the following dissertation: Containing Science: The U.S. National Security State and Scientists’ Challenge to Nuclear Weapons during the Cold War Committee: —————————————————— Mark A. Lawrence, Supervisor —————————————————— Francis J. Gavin —————————————————— Bruce J. Hunt —————————————————— David M. Oshinsky —————————————————— Michael B. Stoff Containing Science: The U.S. National Security State and Scientists’ Challenge to Nuclear Weapons during the Cold War by Paul Harold Rubinson, B.A.; M.A. Dissertation Presented to the Faculty of the Graduate School of The University of Texas at Austin in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy The University of Texas at Austin August 2008 Acknowledgements Thanks first and foremost to Mark Lawrence for his guidance, support, and enthusiasm throughout this project. It would be impossible to overstate how essential his insight and mentoring have been to this dissertation and my career in general. Just as important has been his camaraderie, which made the researching and writing of this dissertation infinitely more rewarding. Thanks as well to Bruce Hunt for his support. Especially helpful was his incisive feedback, which both encouraged me to think through my ideas more thoroughly, and reined me in when my writing overshot my argument. I offer my sincerest gratitude to the Smith Richardson Foundation and Yale University International Security Studies for the Predoctoral Fellowship that allowed me to do the bulk of the writing of this dissertation. Thanks also to the Brady-Johnson Program in Grand Strategy at Yale University, and John Gaddis and the incomparable Ann Carter-Drier at ISS. -
The Convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods 3
The Convergence of Markov chain Monte Carlo Methods: From the Metropolis method to Hamiltonian Monte Carlo Michael Betancourt From its inception in the 1950s to the modern frontiers of applied statistics, Markov chain Monte Carlo has been one of the most ubiquitous and successful methods in statistical computing. The development of the method in that time has been fueled by not only increasingly difficult problems but also novel techniques adopted from physics. In this article I will review the history of Markov chain Monte Carlo from its inception with the Metropolis method to the contemporary state-of-the-art in Hamiltonian Monte Carlo. Along the way I will focus on the evolving interplay between the statistical and physical perspectives of the method. This particular conceptual emphasis, not to mention the brevity of the article, requires a necessarily incomplete treatment. A complementary, and entertaining, discussion of the method from the statistical perspective is given in Robert and Casella (2011). Similarly, a more thorough but still very readable review of the mathematics behind Markov chain Monte Carlo and its implementations is given in the excellent survey by Neal (1993). I will begin with a discussion of the mathematical relationship between physical and statistical computation before reviewing the historical introduction of Markov chain Monte Carlo and its first implementations. Then I will continue to the subsequent evolution of the method with increasing more sophisticated implementations, ultimately leading to the advent of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo. 1. FROM PHYSICS TO STATISTICS AND BACK AGAIN At the dawn of the twentieth-century, physics became increasingly focused on under- arXiv:1706.01520v2 [stat.ME] 10 Jan 2018 standing the equilibrium behavior of thermodynamic systems, especially ensembles of par- ticles. -
Lecture #8: Monte Carlo Method
Lecture #8: Monte Carlo method ENGG304: Uncertainty, Reliability and Risk Edoardo Patelli Institute for Risk and Uncertainty E: [email protected] W: www.liv.ac.uk/risk-and-uncertainty T: +44 01517944079 A MEMBER OF THE RUSSELL GROUP Edoardo Patelli University of Liverpool 18 March 2019 1 / 81 Lecture Outline 1 Introduction 2 Monte Carlo method Random Number Generator Sampling Methods Buffon’s experiment Monte Carlo integration Probability of failure 3 Summary 4 Computer based class Some useful slides Assignments Edoardo Patelli University of Liverpool 18 March 2019 2 / 81 Introduction Programme ENGG304 1 28/01/2019 Introduction 2 08/02/2019 Human error 3 11/02/2019 Qualitative risk assessment: Safety analysis 4 18/02/2019 Qualitative risk assessment: Event Tree and Fault Tree 5 25/02/2019 Tutorial I 6 04/03/2019 Model of random phenomena 7 11/03/2019 Structural reliability 8 18/03/2019 Monte Carlo simulation I + Hands-on session 9 25/03/2019 Tutorial II 10 01/04/2019 Monte Carlo simulation II + Tutorial III (Hands-on session) Edoardo Patelli University of Liverpool 18 March 2019 3 / 81 Introduction Summary Lecture #7 Safety Margin Fundamental problem Performance function defined as “Capacity” - “Demand” Safety margin: M = C − D = g(x) 2 For normal and independent random variables: M ∼ N(µM ; σM ) q 2 2 µM = µC − µD σM = σC + σD Reliability index β β = µM /σM represents the number of standard deviations by which the mean value of the safety margin M exceeds zero Edoardo Patelli University of Liverpool 18 March 2019 4 / 81 Introduction -
The Atomic Energy Commission
The Atomic Energy Commission By Alice Buck July 1983 U.S. Department of Energy Office of Management Office of the Executive Secretariat Office of History and Heritage Resources Introduction Almost a year after World War II ended, Congress established the United States Atomic Energy Commission to foster and control the peacetime development of atomic science and technology. Reflecting America's postwar optimism, Congress declared that atomic energy should be employed not only in the Nation's defense, but also to promote world peace, improve the public welfare, and strengthen free competition in private enterprise. After long months of intensive debate among politicians, military planners and atomic scientists, President Harry S. Truman confirmed the civilian control of atomic energy by signing the Atomic Energy Act on August 1, 1946.(1) The provisions of the new Act bore the imprint of the American plan for international control presented to the United Nations Atomic Energy Commission two months earlier by U.S. Representative Bernard Baruch. Although the Baruch proposal for a multinational corporation to develop the peaceful uses of atomic energy failed to win the necessary Soviet support, the concept of combining development, production, and control in one agency found acceptance in the domestic legislation creating the United States Atomic Energy Commission.(2) Congress gave the new civilian Commission extraordinary power and independence to carry out its awesome responsibilities. Five Commissioners appointed by the President would exercise authority for the operation of the Commission, while a general manager, also appointed by the President, would serve as chief executive officer. To provide the Commission exceptional freedom in hiring scientists and professionals, Commission employees would be exempt from the Civil Service system. -
The Los Alamos Thermonuclear Weapon Project, 1942-1952
Igniting The Light Elements: The Los Alamos Thermonuclear Weapon Project, 1942-1952 by Anne Fitzpatrick Dissertation submitted to the Faculty of Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY in SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY STUDIES Approved: Joseph C. Pitt, Chair Richard M. Burian Burton I. Kaufman Albert E. Moyer Richard Hirsh June 23, 1998 Blacksburg, Virginia Keywords: Nuclear Weapons, Computing, Physics, Los Alamos National Laboratory Igniting the Light Elements: The Los Alamos Thermonuclear Weapon Project, 1942-1952 by Anne Fitzpatrick Committee Chairman: Joseph C. Pitt Science and Technology Studies (ABSTRACT) The American system of nuclear weapons research and development was conceived and developed not as a result of technological determinism, but by a number of individual architects who promoted the growth of this large technologically-based complex. While some of the technological artifacts of this system, such as the fission weapons used in World War II, have been the subject of many historical studies, their technical successors -- fusion (or hydrogen) devices -- are representative of the largely unstudied highly secret realms of nuclear weapons science and engineering. In the postwar period a small number of Los Alamos Scientific Laboratory’s staff and affiliates were responsible for theoretical work on fusion weapons, yet the program was subject to both the provisions and constraints of the U. S. Atomic Energy Commission, of which Los Alamos was a part. The Commission leadership’s struggle to establish a mission for its network of laboratories, least of all to keep them operating, affected Los Alamos’s leaders’ decisions as to the course of weapons design and development projects. -
The New Nuclear Forensics: Analysis of Nuclear Material for Security
THE NEW NUCLEAR FORENSICS Analysis of Nuclear Materials for Security Purposes edited by vitaly fedchenko The New Nuclear Forensics Analysis of Nuclear Materials for Security Purposes STOCKHOLM INTERNATIONAL PEACE RESEARCH INSTITUTE SIPRI is an independent international institute dedicated to research into conflict, armaments, arms control and disarmament. Established in 1966, SIPRI provides data, analysis and recommendations, based on open sources, to policymakers, researchers, media and the interested public. The Governing Board is not responsible for the views expressed in the publications of the Institute. GOVERNING BOARD Sven-Olof Petersson, Chairman (Sweden) Dr Dewi Fortuna Anwar (Indonesia) Dr Vladimir Baranovsky (Russia) Ambassador Lakhdar Brahimi (Algeria) Jayantha Dhanapala (Sri Lanka) Ambassador Wolfgang Ischinger (Germany) Professor Mary Kaldor (United Kingdom) The Director DIRECTOR Dr Ian Anthony (United Kingdom) Signalistgatan 9 SE-169 70 Solna, Sweden Telephone: +46 8 655 97 00 Fax: +46 8 655 97 33 Email: [email protected] Internet: www.sipri.org The New Nuclear Forensics Analysis of Nuclear Materials for Security Purposes EDITED BY VITALY FEDCHENKO OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS 2015 1 Great Clarendon Street, Oxford OX2 6DP, United Kingdom Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford. It furthers the University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education by publishing worldwide. Oxford is a registered trade mark of Oxford University Press in the UK and in certain other countries © SIPRI 2015 The moral rights of the authors have been asserted All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without the prior permission in writing of SIPRI, or as expressly permitted by law, or under terms agreed with the appropriate reprographics rights organizations. -
Rethinking Antiparticles. Hermann Weyl's Contribution to Neutrino Physics
Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics 61 (2018) 68e79 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/shpsb Rethinking antiparticles. Hermann Weyl’s contribution to neutrino physics Silvia De Bianchi Department of Philosophy, Building B - Campus UAB, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona 08193, Bellaterra Barcelona, Spain article info abstract Article history: This paper focuses on Hermann Weyl’s two-component theory and frames it within the early devel- Received 18 February 2016 opment of different theories of spinors and the history of the discovery of parity violation in weak in- Received in revised form teractions. In order to show the implications of Weyl’s theory, the paper discusses the case study of Ettore 29 March 2017 Majorana’s symmetric theory of electron and positron (1937), as well as its role in inspiring Case’s Accepted 31 March 2017 formulation of parity violation for massive neutrinos in 1957. In doing so, this paper clarifies the rele- Available online 9 May 2017 vance of Weyl’s and Majorana’s theories for the foundations of neutrino physics and emphasizes which conceptual aspects of Weyl’s approach led to Lee’s and Yang’s works on neutrino physics and to the Keywords: “ ” Weyl solution of the theta-tau puzzle in 1957. This contribution thus sheds a light on the alleged re-discovery ’ ’ Majorana of Weyl s and Majorana s theories in 1957, by showing that this did not happen all of a sudden. On the two-component theory contrary, the scientific community was well versed in applying these theories in the 1950s on the ground neutrino physics of previous studies that involved important actors in both Europe and United States. -
Computer History a Look Back Contents
Computer History A look back Contents 1 Computer 1 1.1 Etymology ................................................. 1 1.2 History ................................................... 1 1.2.1 Pre-twentieth century ....................................... 1 1.2.2 First general-purpose computing device ............................. 3 1.2.3 Later analog computers ...................................... 3 1.2.4 Digital computer development .................................. 4 1.2.5 Mobile computers become dominant ............................... 7 1.3 Programs ................................................. 7 1.3.1 Stored program architecture ................................... 8 1.3.2 Machine code ........................................... 8 1.3.3 Programming language ...................................... 9 1.3.4 Fourth Generation Languages ................................... 9 1.3.5 Program design .......................................... 9 1.3.6 Bugs ................................................ 9 1.4 Components ................................................ 10 1.4.1 Control unit ............................................ 10 1.4.2 Central processing unit (CPU) .................................. 11 1.4.3 Arithmetic logic unit (ALU) ................................... 11 1.4.4 Memory .............................................. 11 1.4.5 Input/output (I/O) ......................................... 12 1.4.6 Multitasking ............................................ 12 1.4.7 Multiprocessing ......................................... -
RN Random Numbers
Random Numb ers RN Copyright C June Computational Science Education Pro ject Remarks Keywords Random pseudorandom linear congruential lagged Fib onacci List of prerequisites some exp osure to sequences and series some abilitytowork in base arithmetic helpful go o d background in FORTRAN or some other pro cedural language List of computational metho ds pseudorandom numb ers random numb ers linear congruential generators LCGs lagged Fib onacci generators LFGs List of architecturescomputers any computer with a FORTRAN compiler and bitwise logical functions List of co des supplied ranlcfor linear congruential generator ranlffor lagged Fib onacci generator randomfor p ortable linear congruential generator after Park and Miller getseedfor to generate initial seeds from the time and date implemented for Unix and IBM PCs Scop e lectures dep ending up on depth of coverage Notation Key a integer multiplier a m c integer constant c m D length of needle in Buons needle exp eriment F fraction of trials needle falls within ruled grid in Buons needle exp eriment k lag in lagged Fib onacci generator k lag in lagged Fib onacci generator k M numb er of binary bits in m m integer mo dulus m N numb er of trials N numb er of parallel pro cessors p P p erio d of generator p a prime integer R random real numb er R n n S spacing b etween grid in Buons needle exp eriment th X n random integer n Subscripts and Sup erscripts denotes initial value or seed th j denotes j value th denotes value th k denotes k value th n denotes n value -
75 YEARS Trinity Test the Dawn of America’S Scientific Innovation CONTENTS
75 YEARS Trinity Test The Dawn of America’s Scientific Innovation CONTENTS 1 THE MANHATTAN PROJECT ........ 4 2 TRINITY TEST - JULY 16, 1945 ...... 6 3 1940s .............................................. 10 4 1950s ..........................................12 5 1960s ..........................................14 1970s ..........................................16 Beyond the advances in nuclear physics 6 and chemistry that made the “ 7 1980s ..........................................18 “ first functional atomic device possible, Trinity was arguably the greatest 1990s ..........................................20 scientific experiment ever conducted. 8 9 2000s ..........................................22 Lisa E. Gordon-Hagerty U.S. Under Secretary of Energy for Nuclear Security Administrator of the National Nuclear Security Administration 10 2010s ..........................................24 11 2020 and FORWARD ..................... 26 1 Manhattan Project: The Origin of the Trinity Test In the 1920s-1930s, a young Hungarian-German physicist Roosevelt responded by launching The Manhattan Project, Leo Szilard led the field of nuclear research, submitting a nationwide network of laboratories and manufacturing patents for a linear accelerator (1928) and cyclotron (1929), facilities designed to collaboratively assist in the before collaborating with Albert Einstein to develop the manufacture of a new atomic weapon. Einstein refrigerator. But when Hitler came into power in 1933, Szilard fled to England, encouraging his friends and family to do the same. In England, he first described the nuclear chain reaction (1933) and patented an early design for a nuclear fission reactor (1934). In 1938, Szilard joined Einstein in the United States, but the rumor that a group of Berlin chemists had split the uranium atom made them so concerned that in 1939, they sent an urgent letter to President Franklin D. Roosevelt, warning him that that Axis scientists were working to turn new nuclear discoveries into a superweapon. -
Teller's Technical Nemeses: the American Hydrogen Bomb and Its Development Within a Technological Infrastructure
PHIL & TECH 3:3 Spring 1998 Fitzpatrick, Teller's Technical Nemeses/10 TELLER'S TECHNICAL NEMESES: THE AMERICAN HYDROGEN BOMB AND ITS DEVELOPMENT WITHIN A TECHNOLOGICAL INFRASTRUCTURE Anne Fitzpatrick, George Washington University In World War II the U.S. Army contracted the University of Pennsylvania's Moore School of Engineering to develop a new, large electronic computer—among the first of its kind—in hopes that the machine would be able to perform ballistics calculations for the war effort. The machine was not completed before the end of the war, however, and the Army was not even the first group to utilize the machine. The first calculation ever run on the Electronic Numeric Integrator and Calculator (or ENIAC, as it was known), was for the Los Alamos nuclear weapons laboratory. The "Super problem" was the first attempt to calculate the feasibility of a thermonuclear bomb. The problem, however, was too complicated for the ENIAC with its 1000 bits of memory and 18,000 vacuum tubes, and only a very simplified version of the calculation was run, revealing very little about how such a weapon might work. Although Los Alamos was exploring hydrogen weapons during and right after the Second World War, why did the U.S. not successfully test a thermonuclear bomb until 1952? I will argue that the American thermonuclear weapons program was, early on, entrenched in a technological infrastructure which affected the pace and initial results of the project, demonstrating how one particular aspect of this infrastructure—computing—influenced the practice of nuclear weapons research, design, and development.