Schumpeter Plus Optimism Equals Gilder (Ceteris Paribus) Spencer J
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The Weekly Newsletter of Ucsd Connect
TUESDAY MARCH 31,1998 ISSUE 8-12 HTTP://WWW.CONNECT.ORG/CONNECT [email protected] connectTHE WEEKLY NEWSLETTER OF UCSD CONNECT GEORGE GILDER TO PEEK INTO COMMQUEST/IBM TO CREATE NEW FUTURE AT MAY 27 TELCOM EVENT GENERATION OF MOBILE APPLIANCES By Debbie Andersen, QUALCOMM ([email protected]) By Ann Marsh ([email protected]) George Gilder has spoken at the Vatican, testified before United On February 11 of this year, IBM announced a $180 million States Senate sub-committees on Science and Technology, and buyout merger agreement with CommQuest Technologies, Inc., a Commerce, Science and Transportation, been quoted by Ronald privately held company based in Encinitas, California, which designs Reagan more than any other living author, written speeches for Ri- and markets advanced semiconductors for wireless and digital com- chard Nixon and Nelson Rockefeller, studied under Henry munications applications such as cellular phones and satellite com- Kissinger at Harvard and been interviewed in Playboy. One of his munications. Once the merger is completed, CommQuest will be- books, "The Spirit of Enterprise", is credited with sparking the entre- come part of IBM's Microelectronics Division, speeding development preneurial growth of technology investment and of Silicon Valley. His book "Microcosm" \s a history of that growth and his next book, of a new generation of multifunction, low-cost, mobile "information "Telecosm" is the eagerly awaited look into the future of the appliances," such as single chip, watch-size cellular phones and prod- communication's industry. On May 27,1998, George Gilder will be ucts that combine cell phone, e-mail and Internet access functions giving San Diego a peek into that future, as the luncheon speaker at in a single, hand-held package. -
REPORT the Barron's Bears
GILDER February 2006 / Vol. XI No. 2 T E C H N O L O G Y R E P O R T The Barron’s Bears ur Celestial Empire possesses all things in abundance “ and lacks no products within its border. There is there- O fore no need to import the manufactures of outside barbarians.” —Emperor Qian Long, 1793, to King George III’s Ambassador (quoted in Fast Boat to China by Andrew Ross). It’s mid-winter, snowing again outside my window. After some 60 days of cross country skiing so far in Western Massachusetts, two schusses to Silicon Valley, and my son Richard a newly instrument rated pilot, I feel pretty good. With Dick Sears’ Gilder Technology Index (www.GTIndex.com) up some 325 percent since the crash and 27 percent in the last Power-One is the 52 weeks, I feel pretty fl ush. But as I prepare for another day of Nordic sweltering up and swooping down, something nags in the back of my mind. leader in digital What could it be? Flaws in the Linley Group’s projection of EZchip’s (LNOP) coming three year revenue ramp? A slow IPTV (Internet protocol television) transition dragging power solutions, (CONTINUED ON PAGE 2) with some 50 FEATURED COMPANY: NetLogic (NETL) design wins for Whoa! It seems the only thing fl ying faster than NetLogic’s processor speeds these days is the company’s stock price, up by a whopping third so far in the fi rst month or so of the year. But after listening to CEO Ron Jankov, it’s hard to be anything but buoyant. -
Bridgewater Review
Bridgewater Review Volume 1 | Issue 2 Article 7 Dec-1982 Book Reviews Hugo D'Alarcao Bridgewater State College Charles F. Angell Bridgewater State College, [email protected] Nancy L. Street Bridgewater State College, [email protected] Recommended Citation D'Alarcao, Hugo; Angell, Charles F.; and Street, Nancy L. (1982). Book Reviews. Bridgewater Review, 1(2), 15-18. Available at: http://vc.bridgew.edu/br_rev/vol1/iss2/7 This item is available as part of Virtual Commons, the open-access institutional repository of Bridgewater State University, Bridgewater, Massachusetts. BOOK REVIEWS It is in this first part that Schell introduces "fundamental origin of the peril of human the major theme of the book: the threat of extinction by nuclear arms lies not in any The Fate of extinction of the human species. The point particular social or political circumstances is made that - of our time but in the attainment by mankind The Earth as a whole, after millenia of scientific - although scientifically speaking, progress, of a certain level of knowledge of there is all the difference in the world the physical universe," he comes close to between the mere possibility that a By Jonathan Schell paralleling the theological concept of holocaust will bring about extinction original sin, and precludes the possibility Alfred A. Knopf, N. Y., $11.95 and the certainty of it, morally they that political or social changes can eradicate are the same, and we have no choice the nuclear peril. With such simplistic but to address the issue of nuclear arguments he nears joining the bandwagon weapons as thqugh we knew for a of the antiscience. -
Texte Intégral
Working Paper History as heresy: unlearning the lessons of economic orthodoxy O'SULLIVAN, Mary Abstract In spring 2020, in the face of the covid-19 pandemic, central bankers in rich countries made unprecedented liquidity injections to stave off an economic crisis. Such radical action by central banks gained legitimacy during the 2008-2009 global financial crisis and enjoys strong support from prominent economists and economic historians. Their certainty reflects a remarkable agreement on a specific interpretation of the Great Depression of the 1930s in the United States, an interpretation developed by Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz in A Monetary History of the United States (1963). In this article, I explore the origins, the influence and the limits of A Monetary History’s interpretation for the insights it offers on the relationship between theory and history in the study of economic life. I show how historical research has been mobilised to show the value of heretical ideas in order to challenge economic orthodoxies. Friedman and Schwartz understood the heretical potential of historical research and exploited it in A Monetary History to question dominant interpretations of the Great Depression in their time. Now that [...] Reference O'SULLIVAN, Mary. History as heresy: unlearning the lessons of economic orthodoxy. Geneva : Paul Bairoch Institute of Economic History, 2021, 38 p. Available at: http://archive-ouverte.unige.ch/unige:150852 Disclaimer: layout of this document may differ from the published version. 1 / 1 FACULTÉ DES SCIENCES DE LA SOCIÉTÉ Paul Bairoch Institute of Economic History Economic History Working Papers | No. 3/2021 History as Heresy: Unlearning the Lessons of Economic Orthodoxy The Tawney Memorial Lecture 2021 Mary O’Sullivan Paul Bairoch Institute of Economic History, University of Geneva, UniMail, bd du Pont-d'Arve 40, CH- 1211 Genève 4. -
Conservative Movement
Conservative Movement How did the conservative movement, routed in Barry Goldwater's catastrophic defeat to Lyndon Johnson in the 1964 presidential campaign, return to elect its champion Ronald Reagan just 16 years later? What at first looks like the political comeback of the century becomes, on closer examination, the product of a particular political moment that united an unstable coalition. In the liberal press, conservatives are often portrayed as a monolithic Right Wing. Close up, conservatives are as varied as their counterparts on the Left. Indeed, the circumstances of the late 1980s -- the demise of the Soviet Union, Reagan's legacy, the George H. W. Bush administration -- frayed the coalition of traditional conservatives, libertarian advocates of laissez-faire economics, and Cold War anti- communists first knitted together in the 1950s by William F. Buckley Jr. and the staff of the National Review. The Reagan coalition added to the conservative mix two rather incongruous groups: the religious right, primarily provincial white Protestant fundamentalists and evangelicals from the Sunbelt (defecting from the Democrats since the George Wallace's 1968 presidential campaign); and the neoconservatives, centered in New York and led predominantly by cosmopolitan, secular Jewish intellectuals. Goldwater's campaign in 1964 brought conservatives together for their first national electoral effort since Taft lost the Republican nomination to Eisenhower in 1952. Conservatives shared a distaste for Eisenhower's "modern Republicanism" that largely accepted the welfare state developed by Roosevelt's New Deal and Truman's Fair Deal. Undeterred by Goldwater's defeat, conservative activists regrouped and began developing institutions for the long haul. -
Breaking the Mould: an Institutionalist Political Economy Alternative to the Neoliberal Theory of the Market and the State Ha-Joon Chang, May 2001
Breaking the Mould An Institutionalist Political Economy Alternative to the Neoliberal Theory of the Market and the State Ha-Joon Chang Social Policy and Development United Nations Programme Paper Number 6 Research Institute May 2001 for Social Development The United Nations Research Institute for Social Development (UNRISD) thanks the governments of Denmark, Finland, Mexico, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom for their core funding. Copyright © UNRISD. Short extracts from this publication may be reproduced unaltered without authorization on condition that the source is indicated. For rights of reproduction or translation, application should be made to UNRISD, Palais des Nations, 1211 Geneva 10, Switzerland. UNRISD welcomes such applications. The designations employed in UNRISD publications, which are in conformity with United Nations practice, and the presentation of material therein do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of UNRISD con- cerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. The responsibility for opinions expressed rests solely with the author(s), and publication does not constitute endorse- ment by UNRISD. ISSN 1020-8208 Contents Acronyms ii Acknowledgements ii Summary/Résumé/Resumen iii Summary iii Résumé iv Resumen v 1. Introduction 1 2. The Evolution of the Debate: From “Golden Age Economics” to Neoliberalism 1 3. The Limits of Neoliberal Analysis of the Role of the State 3 3.1 Defining the free market (and state intervention) 4 3.2 Defining market failure 6 3.3 The market primacy assumption 8 3.4 Market, state and politics 11 4. -
How Spatial Economics Abandoned Monetary Analysis*
Hamlet without the Prince? How Spatial Economics Abandoned Monetary Analysis* David Bieri†1,2,3 1School of Public & International Affairs, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA 2Department of Economics, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA 3Global Forum on Urban & Regional Resilience, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA Preliminary and incomplete draft This version: May 2019 Abstract From the local income effects of mortgage refinancing to the regional transmission of monetary policy via house price dynamics, the Great Financial Crisis has been a powerful reminder that money and credit—always and everywhere—matter greatly for the evolution of the space-economy. Yet, with the classical dichotomy still embed- ded firmly in its theoretical core, the contemporary canon of spatial economics (from urban economics to geographical economics and regional science) has little to say about monetary phenomena and their spatial consequences. Such a disengagement with regional aspects of money and credit represents a distinct break with the intel- lectual tradition of a long ancestry of spatial economists, stretching as far back as the seminal writings of Heinrich von Thünen’s. In this paper, I illustrate this contention by examining the monetary content of the work of August Lösch (1906–1945)—one of the founding fathers of modern spatial economics. Indeed, questions about the spatial neutrality of money, its institutional governance, as well as its endogenous creation, are central elements to his work. In this sense, I argue that Lösch—as a stu- dent of Walter Eucken’s, Arthur Spiethoff’s and Joseph Schumpeter’s—represents an important branch in the long lineage of 20th century Continental monetary thought. -
Sleepy Hollow and the Arrovian Legend: Is There a Generalizable Relationship Between Concentration and Innovation?
United States of America Federal Trade Commission Sleepy Hollow and the Arrovian Legend: Is There a Generalizable Relationship Between Concentration and Innovation? Christine S. Wilson Commissioner, U.S. Federal Trade Commission Remarks at the Concurrences Event “Big Techs and Start-Ups: Where is the Innovation?” New York, NY September 12, 2019 The views expressed in these remarks are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Federal Trade Commission or any other Commissioner. Many thanks to my advisors, Keith Klovers and Jeremy Sandford, for assisting in the preparation of these remarks. 1 I. INTRODUCTION Good evening! Many thanks to Concurrences and Nicolas Charbit for inviting me here today, to Frédérick Jenny for moderating, and to Isabelle de Silva for joining me in sharing thoughts on tonight’s topic. Specifically, we’ve been asked to address “Big Techs and Start-Ups: Where is the Innovation?”1 Given the growing focus on the acquisition of nascent competitors by large tech firms, the question is timely. Before I begin, I must give the standard disclaimer: The views I express today are my own, and do not necessarily reflect the views of the U.S. Federal Trade Commission or any other Commissioner. Many commentators assert that the acquisition of nascent competitors necessarily reduces competition. There are two strains of this argument. First, many today believe that small firms are inherently more innovative than large ones, so that the acquisition of a small firm by a large one necessarily reduces innovation.2 A few others have argued that some famous corporate behemoths, like AT&T and IBM, were less innovative before they faced antitrust suits.3 1 Of course, I am not the first sitting FTC Commissioner to consider the nature of innovation and its role in competition policy. -
Ren Zhengfei's Interview with CNBC 92
2019.06 VOLUME Ⅳ VOLUME Ⅳ Reaching the remotest village In 2011, Huawei implemented a turnkey project in Cambodia to deploy sites for many of the country's remote villages, some of which were scattered across forests and isolated from the outside world. To get to these sites, Huawei's engineers rode motorcycles and ox carts, and sometimes even walked long distances. We were able to bring the most advanced telecommunications technologies to the villagers, better enabling them to access the outside world. Covering the Artic Circle and the world's northernmost base station In May 2011, we deployed wireless broadband in the Svalbard Islands for a Norwegian customer. This was the first-ever LTE network in the area. The islands lie close to the Artic Circle, and temperatures there can reach as low as –50°C. The terrain is also very complicated. To transport equipment, we used all kinds of tools, including snowmobiles, forklifts, helicopters, and small airplanes. We also had to carry a loaded gun at all times to prevent attacks from polar bears. Heroes are forged, not born. During World War II, the famous IL-2 kept flying even after being riddled by anti-aircraft shells and machine-gun fire from other planes. Although badly damaged, it finally made its way back home. Contents June 2019 01. A Coffee with Ren 01 02. Ren Zhengfei's Interview with Le Point 52 03. Ren Zhengfei's Interview with CNBC 92 04. Ren Zhengfei's Interview with the Financial Times 123 05. Ren Zhengfei's Interview with The Globe and Mail 159 A Coffee with Ren A Coffee with Ren June 17, 2019 Shenzhen, China 01 A Coffee with Ren Tian: Absorb the energy of the universe over a cup of coffee. -
The Essential Rothbard
THE ESSENTIAL ROTHBARD THE ESSENTIAL ROTHBARD DAVID GORDON Ludwig von Mises Institute AUBURN, ALABAMA Copyright © 2007 Ludwig von Mises Institute All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any man- ner whatsoever without written permission except in the case of reprints in the context of reviews. For information write the Ludwig von Mises Institute, 518 West Magnolia Avenue, Auburn, Alabama 36832 U.S.A.; www.mises.org. ISBN: 10 digit: 1-933550-10-4 ISBN: 13 digit: 978-1-933550-10-7 CONTENTS Introduction . 7 The Early Years—Becoming a Libertarian . 9 Man, Economy, and State: Rothbard’s Treatise on Economic Theory . 14 Power and Market: The Final Part of Rothbard’s Treatise . 22 More Advances in Economic Theory: The Logic of Action . 26 Rothbard on Money: The Vindication of Gold . 36 Austrian Economic History . 41 A Rothbardian View of American History . 55 The Unknown Rothbard: Unpublished Papers . 63 Rothbard’s System of Ethics . 87 Politics in Theory and Practice . 94 Rothbard on Current Economic Issues . 109 Rothbard’s Last Scholarly Triumph . 113 Followers and Influence . 122 Bibliography . 125 Index . 179 5 INTRODUCTION urray N. Rothbard, a scholar of extraordinary range, made major contributions to economics, history, politi- Mcal philosophy, and legal theory. He developed and extended the Austrian economics of Ludwig von Mises, in whose seminar he was a main participant for many years. He established himself as the principal Austrian theorist in the latter half of the twentieth century and applied Austrian analysis to topics such as the Great Depression of 1929 and the history of American bank- ing. -
Joseph Schumpeter Lecture Ideology
JOSEPH SCHUMPETER LECTURE IDEOLOGY Roland Bénabou Princeton University Abstract I develop a model of ideologies as collectively sustained (yet individually rational) distortions in beliefs concerning the proper scope of governments versus markets. In processing and inter- preting signals of the efficacy of public and market provision of education, health insurance, pensions, etc., individuals optimally trade off the value of remaining hopeful about their future prospects (or their children’s) versus the costs of misinformed decisions. Because these future outcomes also depend on whether other citizens respond to unpleasant facts with realism or denial, endogenous social cognitions emerge. Thus, an equilibrium in which people acknowl- edge the limitations of interventionism coexists with one in which they remain obstinately blind to them, embracing a statist ideology and voting for an excessively large government. Conversely, an equilibrium associated with appropriate public responses to market failures coexists with one dominated by a laissez-faire ideology and blind faith in the invisible hand. With public-sector capital, this interplay of beliefs and institutions leads to history-dependent dynamics. The model also explains why societies find it desirable to set up constitutional pro- tections for dissenting views, even when ex-post everyone would prefer to ignore unwelcome news. (JEL: H11, D72, D83, P16, Z1) Social scientists have incorporated the costliness of information in their models, but have not come to grips with the subjective mental constructs by which individuals process information and arrive at conclusions that shape their choices.... The subjective mental constructs of the participants will evolve an ideology that not only rationalizes the society’s structure but accounts for its poor performance. -
Institutional Economics
INSTITUTIONAL ECONOMICS AT COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY Malcolm Rutherford University of Victoria (This Draft: March 2001) This paper draws on archival work using the James Bonbright Papers, J. M. Clark Papers, Joseph Dorfman Papers, Carter Goodrich Papers, Robert Hale Papers, and Wesley Mitchell Papers, all at the Rare Book and Manuscript Library, Columbia University, the Arthur F. Burns Papers at the Eisenhower Library, Abilene, Kansas, and the John R. Commons Papers at the State Historical Society of Wisconsin. My thanks to Lowell Harriss, Aaron Warner, Eli Ginzberg, Donald Dewey, Mark Perlman, Daniel Fusfeld, Mark Blaug, and Walter Neale for sharing their recollections of Columbia. Thanks also to my research assistant Cristobal Young. Any errors are my responsibility. This research has been supported by a Social Science and Humanities Research Council of Canada research grant (project # 410-99-0465). 1 1. Introduction In a number of recent papers I have attempted to outline the nature of the institutionalist movement in American economics in the interwar period (Rutherford 2000a, 2000b, 2000c). At that time institutionalism was a very significant part of American economics. In terms of research output and the production of graduate students, the main centers for institutionalism were the university of Chicago (until 1926 and the departure of J. M. Clark), the University of Wisconsin, the Robert Brookings Graduate School (which existed only briefly between 1923 and 1928), and, after the arrival of Wesley Mitchell in 1913, and J. M. Clark in 1926, Columbia University. Columbia University became the academic home of a large concentration of economists of institutionalist leaning, and other Schools and Departments in the University, particularly Business, Law, Sociology, and Philosophy, also contained many people of similar or related persuasion.