Markus K. Brunnermeier EDWARDS S
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2019 Global Go to Think Tank Index Report
LEADING RESEARCH ON THE GLOBAL ECONOMY The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) is an independent nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to strengthening prosperity and human welfare in the global economy through expert analysis and practical policy solutions. Led since 2013 by President Adam S. Posen, the Institute anticipates emerging issues and provides rigorous, evidence-based policy recommendations with a team of the world’s leading applied economic researchers. It creates freely available content in a variety of accessible formats to inform and shape public debate, reaching an audience that includes government officials and legislators, business and NGO leaders, international and research organizations, universities, and the media. The Institute was established in 1981 as the Institute for International Economics, with Peter G. Peterson as its founding chairman, and has since risen to become an unequalled, trusted resource on the global economy and convener of leaders from around the world. At its 25th anniversary in 2006, the Institute was renamed the Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics. The Institute today pursues a broad and distinctive agenda, as it seeks to address growing threats to living standards, rules-based commerce, and peaceful economic integration. COMMITMENT TO TRANSPARENCY The Peterson Institute’s annual budget of $13 million is funded by donations and grants from corporations, individuals, private foundations, and public institutions, as well as income on the Institute’s endowment. Over 90% of its income is unrestricted in topic, allowing independent objective research. The Institute discloses annually all sources of funding, and donors do not influence the conclusions of or policy implications drawn from Institute research. -
Redistributive Monetary Policy
Redistributive Monetary Policy Markus K. Brunnermeier and Yuliy Sannikov I. Introduction Short-term debt financing played an important role in the run-up to the financial crisis, as increases in leverage helped boost growth, but also made the economy more susceptible to a sharp downturn. Since the recession, private agents have reduced their debt level while many governments have increased borrowing. This deleveraging process appears to be holding back the recovery, and the Japanese experience suggests that such deleveraging can continue over an extended period. Economic activity depends on wealth distribution and the risk-bear- ing capacity of various sectors and actors in the economy. In a world with excessive debt financing, the amplification of adverse shocks can trigger large wealth redistributions across and within sectors, stifling growth. While in Japan, the nonfinancial business sector suffered most from liquidity and deflation spirals, currently in the United States, the household sector largely bears the costs of these spirals. This paper argues that monetary policy can mitigate the redis- tributive effects of the adverse amplification mechanisms and help rebalance wealth across various sectors and households. The wealth- redistributive monetary transmission channel works through changes in asset prices and income flows. Importantly, it is the heterogeneity 331 332 Markus K. Brunnermeier and Yuliy Sannikov in economic agents’ asset holdings that allows monetary policy to redistribute wealth. Appropriate monetary policy can mitigate debt overhang distortions. This stabilizes the economy, reduces endog- enous risk, and can spur growth, raising the overall wealth level in the economy. For specific scenarios, monetary policy can even lead to ex-post Pareto improvements, making all agents in the economy better off. -
The Econometric Society European Region Aide Mémoire
The Econometric Society European Region Aide M´emoire March 22, 2021 1 European Standing Committee 2 1.1 Responsibilities . .2 1.2 Membership . .2 1.3 Procedures . .4 2 Econometric Society European Meeting (ESEM) 5 2.1 Timing and Format . .5 2.2 Invited Sessions . .6 2.3 Contributed Sessions . .7 2.4 Other Events . .8 3 European Winter Meeting (EWMES) 9 3.1 Scope of the Meeting . .9 3.2 Timing and Format . 10 3.3 Selection Process . 10 4 Appendices 11 4.1 Appendix A: Members of the Standing Committee . 11 4.2 Appendix B: Winter Meetings (since 2014) and Regional Consultants (2009-2013) . 27 4.3 Appendix C: ESEM Locations . 37 4.4 Appendix D: Programme Chairs ESEM & EEA . 38 4.5 Appendix E: Invited Speakers ESEM . 39 4.6 Appendix F: Winners of the ESEM Awards . 43 4.7 Appendix G: Countries in the Region Europe and Other Areas ........... 44 This Aide M´emoire contains a detailed description of the organisation and procedures of the Econometric Society within the European Region. It complements the Rules and Procedures of the Econometric Society. It is maintained and regularly updated by the Secretary of the European Standing Committee in accordance with the policies and decisions of the Committee. The Econometric Society { European Region { Aide Memoire´ 1 European Standing Committee 1.1 Responsibilities 1. The European Standing Committee is responsible for the organisation of the activities of the Econometric Society within the Region Europe and Other Areas.1 It should undertake the consideration of any activities in the Region that promote interaction among those interested in the objectives of the Society, as they are stated in its Constitution. -
Whose Brain Drain? Immigrant Scholars and American Views of Germany
Harry & Helen Gray Humanities Program Series Volume 9 WHOSE BRAIN DRAI N? IMMIGRANT SCHOLARS AND AMERICAN VIEWS OF GERMANY Edited by Peter Uwe Hohendahl Cornell University American Institute for Contemporary German Studies The Johns Hopkins University Harry & Helen Gray Humanities Program Series Volume 9 WHOSE BRAIN DRAIN? IMMIGRANT SCHOLARS AND AMERICAN VIEWS OF GERMANY Edited by Peter Uwe Hohendahl Cornell University The American Institute for Contemporary German Studies (AICGS) is a center for advanced research, study and discussion on the politics, culture and society of the Federal Republic of Germany. Established in 1983 and affiliated with The Johns Hopkins University but governed by its own Board of Trustees, AICGS is a privately incorporated institute dedicated to independent, critical and comprehensive analysis and assessment of current German issues. Its goals are to help develop a new generation of American scholars with a thorough understanding of contemporary Germany, deepen American knowledge and understanding of current German developments, contribute to American policy analysis of problems relating to Germany, and promote interdisciplinary and comparative research on Germany. Executive Director: Jackson Janes Board of Trustees, Cochair: Fred H. Langhammer Board of Trustees, Cochair: Dr. Eugene A. Sekulow The views expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) alone. They do not necessarily reflect the views of the American Institute for Contemporary German Studies. ©2001 by the American Institute for Contemporary German Studies ISBN 0-941441-55-5 This Humanities Program Volume is made possible by the Harry & Helen Gray Humanities Program. Additional copies are available for $5.00 to cover postage and handling from the American Institute for Contemporary German Studies, Suite 420, 1400 16th Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. -
Econ 281 Syllabus - Part 2
Econ 281 Syllabus - Part 2 Instructor: Johannes Wieland 1 Requirements See Ross Starr’s syllabus. I expect you to have read the starred papers on the reading list before class. 2 Class presentations Everyone attending class must present a non-starred paper from this syllabus or from Ross’s syllabus. This includes those auditing the class unless there are no more slots left. Papers must be picked by the end of week 6. 3 Preliminary outline 1. Lecture 1 (11/2/2015): Introduction. Firm credit frictions — amplification and propagation. ∗ Ben S Bernanke and Mark Gertler. Agency costs, net worth, and business fluctuations. American Economic Review, 79(1):14–31, 1989 ∗ Charles T Carlstrom and Timothy S Fuerst. Agency costs, net worth, and business fluctuations: A computable general equilibrium analysis. The American Economic Review, pages 893–910, 1997 2. Lecture 2 (11/4/2015): Firm credit frictions — dynamic amplification and empirical evidence. ∗ Ben S Bernanke, Mark Gertler, and Simon Gilchrist. The financial accelerator in a quantitative business cycle framework. Handbook of macroeconomics, 1:1341–1393, 1999 ∗ Ben S Bernanke. Nonmonetary effects of the financial crisis in the propagation of the great depression. The American Economic Review, 73(3):257–276, 1983 ∗ Mark Gertler and Simon Gilchrist. Monetary policy, business cycles, and the behavior of small manufacturing firms. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, pages 309–340, 1994 Markus K Brunnermeier and Yuliy Sannikov. A macroeconomic model with a financial sector. The American Economic Review, 104(2):379–421, 2014 1 Markus K Brunnermeier, Thomas M Eisenbach, and Yuliy Sannikov. Macroeconomics with fi- nancial frictions: A survey. -
A Crash Course on the Euro Crisis∗
A crash course on the euro crisis∗ Markus K. Brunnermeier Ricardo Reis Princeton University LSE August 2019 Abstract The financial crises of the last twenty years brought new economic concepts into classroom discussions. This article introduces undergraduate students and teachers to seven of these models: (i) misallocation of capital inflows, (ii) modern and shadow banks, (iii) strategic complementarities and amplification, (iv) debt contracts and the distinction between solvency and liquidity, (v) the diabolic loop, (vi) regional flights to safety, and (vii) unconventional monetary policy. We apply each of them to provide a full account of the euro crisis of 2010-12. ∗Contact: [email protected] and [email protected]. We are grateful to Luis Garicano, Philip Lane, Sam Langfield, Marco Pagano, Tano Santos, David Thesmar, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Dimitri Vayanos for shaping our initial views on the crisis, to Kaman Lyu for excellent research assistance throughout, and to generations of students at Columbia, the LSE, and Princeton to whom we taught this material over the years, and who gave us comments on different drafts of slides and text. 1 Contents 1 Introduction3 2 Capital inflows and their allocation4 2.1 A model of misallocation..............................5 2.2 The seeds of the Euro crisis: the investment boom in Portugal........8 3 Channels of funding and the role of (shadow) banks 10 3.1 Modern and shadow banks............................ 11 3.2 The buildup towards the crisis: Spanish credit boom and the Cajas..... 13 4 The financial crash and systemic risk 16 4.1 Strategic complementarities, amplification, multiplicity, and pecuniary ex- ternalities...................................... -
Economic Perspectives
The Journal of The Journal of Economic Perspectives Economic Perspectives The Journal of Fall 2016, Volume 30, Number 4 Economic Perspectives Symposia Immigration and Labor Markets Giovanni Peri, “Immigrants, Productivity, and Labor Markets” Christian Dustmann, Uta Schönberg, and Jan Stuhler, “The Impact of Immigration: Why Do Studies Reach Such Different Results?” Gordon Hanson and Craig McIntosh, “Is the Mediterranean the New Rio Grande? US and EU Immigration Pressures in the Long Run” Sari Pekkala Kerr, William Kerr, Çag˘lar Özden, and Christopher Parsons, “Global Talent Flows” A journal of the American Economic Association What is Happening in Game Theory? Larry Samuelson, “Game Theory in Economics and Beyond” Vincent P. Crawford, “New Directions for Modelling Strategic Behavior: 30, Number 4 Fall 2016 Volume Game-Theoretic Models of Communication, Coordination, and Cooperation in Economic Relationships” Drew Fudenberg and David K. Levine, “Whither Game Theory? Towards a Theory of Learning in Games” Articles Dave Donaldson and Adam Storeygard, “The View from Above: Applications of Satellite Data in Economics” Robert M. Townsend, “Village and Larger Economies: The Theory and Measurement of the Townsend Thai Project” Amanda Bayer and Cecilia Elena Rouse, “Diversity in the Economics Profession: A New Attack on an Old Problem” Recommendations for Further Reading Fall 2016 The American Economic Association The Journal of Correspondence relating to advertising, busi- Founded in 1885 ness matters, permission to quote, or change Economic Perspectives of address should be sent to the AEA business EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE office: [email protected]. Street ad- dress: American Economic Association, 2014 Elected Officers and Members A journal of the American Economic Association Broadway, Suite 305, Nashville, TN 37203. -
The Systemic Risk of European Banks During the Financial and Sovereign Debt Crises
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System International Finance Discussion Papers Number 1083 July 2013 The Systemic Risk of European Banks during the Financial and Sovereign Debt Crises Lamont Black Ricardo Correa Xin Huang Hao Zhou NOTE: International Finance Discussion Papers are preliminary materials circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment. References to International Finance Discussion Papers (other than an acknowledgment that the writer has had access to unpublished material) should be cleared with the author or authors. Recent IFDPs are available on the Web at www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/ifdp/. This paper can be downloaded without charge from the Social Science Research Network electronic library at www.ssrn.com. The Systemic Risk of European Banks during the Financial and Sovereign Debt Crises∗ Lamont Black,y Ricardo Correa,z Xin Huang,x and Hao Zhou{ This Version: July 2013 Abstract We propose a hypothetical distress insurance premium (DIP) as a measure of the European banking systemic risk, which integrates the characteristics of bank size, de- fault probability, and interconnectedness. Based on this measure, the systemic risk of European banks reached its height in late 2011 around e 500 billion. We find that the sovereign default spread is the factor driving this heightened risk in the banking sector during the European debt crisis. The methodology can also be used to identify the individual contributions of over 50 major European banks to the systemic risk measure. This approach captures the large contribution of a number of systemically important European banks, but Italian and Spanish banks as a group have notably increased their systemic importance. -
Beijing's Bismarckian Ghosts: How Great Powers Compete Economically
Markus Brunnermeier and Rush Doshi and Harold James Beijing’s Bismarckian Ghosts: How Great Powers Compete Economically Great power competition is back. As China and the United States ramp up their strategic rivalry, the search is on for a vision of what their evolving great power competition will look like in a globalized and interconnected world. The looming trade war and ongoing technology competition between Washington and Beijing suggest that economics may now be the central battlefield in the bilat- eral contest. Much of the abundant literature on great power competition and grand strategy focuses on military affairs, and little of it prepares us for what eco- nomic and technological competition among great powers looks like, let alone how it will be waged.1 But great power economic competition is nothing new. Indeed, the rivalry between China and the United States in the twenty-first century holds an uncanny resemblance to the one between Germany and Great Britain in the nine- teenth. Both rivalries take place amidst the emergence of economic globalization and explosive technological innovation. Both feature a rising autocracy with a state-protected economic system challenging an established democracy with a free-market economic system. And both rivalries feature countries enmeshed in profound interdependence wielding tariff threats, standard-setting, technology theft, financial power, and infrastructure investment for advantage. Indeed, for these very reasons, the Anglo-German duel can serve as a useful guide for policy- makers seeking to understand the dynamics of the emerging Sino-American Markus Brunnermeier is the Edwards S. Sanford Professor of Economics at Princeton University, and can be found on Twitter (@MarkusEconomist). -
International Financial Integration, Crises, and Monetary Policy: Evidence from the Euro Area Interbank Crises
No. 17-6 International Financial Integration, Crises, and Monetary Policy: Evidence from the Euro Area Interbank Crises Puriya Abbassi, Falk Bräuning, Falko Fecht, and José-Luis Peydró Abstract We analyze how financial crises affect international financial integration, exploiting euro area proprietary interbank data, crisis and monetary policy shocks, and variation in loan terms to the same borrower on the same day by domestic versus foreign lenders. Crisis shocks reduce the supply of cross- border liquidity, with stronger volume effects than pricing effects, thereby impairing international financial integration. On the extensive margin, there is flight to home—but this is independent of quality. On the intensive margin, however, GIPS-headquartered debtor banks suffer in the Lehman crisis, but effects are stronger in the sovereign-debt crisis, especially for riskier banks. Nonstandard monetary policy improves interbank liquidity, but without fostering strong cross-border financial reintegration. Keywords: financial integration, financial crises, cross-border lending, monetary policy, euro area sovereign crisis, liquidity JEL Classifications: E58, F30, G01, G21, G28 Puriya Abbassi is an economist working in the Directorate General Financial Stability at the Deutsche Bundesbank; his e-mail address is [email protected]. Falk Bräuning is an economist in the research department at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston; his e-mail address is [email protected]. Falko Fecht is the DZ Bank Endowed Chair of Financial Economics at the Frankfurt School of Finance and Management. His e-mail address is [email protected]. José-Luis Peydró is an ICREA Professor of Economics at the University of Pompeu Fabra; his e-mail address is [email protected]. -
No. 42 Margene Lehman Brian Ortbal Faculty Editor: Robert J
Editors: James Burns Fall 2009, No. 42 Margene Lehman Brian Ortbal Faculty Editor: Robert J. Gordon This edition covers appointments, honors, grants, travels, and publications involving economists at Northwestern, both in the Department of Economics and the Kellogg School of Management, for the period of September 1, 2008 through August 31, 2009. Additional copies are available from the editors in Room 302, Andersen Hall. APPOINTMENTS, HONORS, AND GRANTS LORI BEAMAN received a grant from the Russell Sage Foundation’s Small Grants in Behavioral Economics program and Northwestern’s University Research Grants Committee for her project “How Job Networks Work: A Study Using Experimental and Behavioral Economics.” She was also appointed as an affiliate of the Bureau for Research and Economic Analysis of Development (BREAD). IVAN CANAY served on the program committee for the 2009 Latin American Meeting of the Econometrics Society. JANNET CHANG was awarded the Innovation in Teaching Grant by the Searle Center for Teaching Excellence. EDDIE DEKEL continues to serve on the council of the Game Theory Society and the Econometric Society, and as at-large member of the executive committee of the Econometric Society. He holds an NSF grant for work on uncertain temptations, and on polarization and biased information, which was renewed for 2008-2011. He serves as associate editor for Theoretical Economics. MATTHIAS DOEPKE was appointed as an editor of the Review of Economic Dynamics, an associate editor of the Journal of the European Economic Association, and an editorial board member of the American Economic Review. He continues to serve as an associate editor for the Journal of Economic Growth, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and the Journal of Human Capital, and serves as a Foreign Editor for the Review of Economic Studies. -
The Great Financial Crisis : Lessons for Financial Stability Policies the Great Financial Crisis: Lessons for the Design of Central Banks Jaime Caruana
RISIS C THE GREAT FINANCIAL CRISIS IAL C AT FINAN AT E HE GR T LESSONS FOR FINANCIAL STABILITY AND MONETARY POLICY NTRAL BANK AN ECB COLLOQUIUM E HELD IN HONOUR OF AN C E LUCAS PAPADEMOS EUROP 20–21 MAY 2010 ILITY B THE GREAT FINANCIAL CRISIS AND STA CE N E RG E ONV C S E R STAT BE M E U M E W E LESSONS FOR N E FINANCIAL STABILITY TH AND MONETARY POLICY NTRAL BANK AN ECB COLLOQUIUM E HELD IN HONOUR OF AN C E LUCAS PAPADEMOS EUROP 20–21 MAY 2010 © European Central Bank, 2012 Address Kaiserstrasse 29 D-60311 Frankfurt am Main Germany Postel address Postal 16 03 19 D-60066 Frankfurt am Main Germany Telephone +49 69 1344 0 Internet http://www.ecb.europa.eu Fax +49 69 1344 6000 All rights reserved. Reproduction for educational and non-commercial purposes is permitted provided that the source is acknowledged. ISBN 978-92-899-0635-7 (online) CONTENTS WELCOME ADDRESS Jean-Claude Trichet ..............................................................................................6 SESSION 1 the great financial crisis : lessons FOR FINANCIAL STABILITY POLICIES The great financial crisis: lessons for the design of central banks Jaime Caruana .....................................................................................................1 4 Comment by Paul Tucker ...................................................................................2 2 Macroprudential regulation: optimizing the currency area Markus K. Brunnermeier ....................................................................................29 Comment by Jürgen Stark ..................................................................................3