2019 Global Go to Think Tank Index Report
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How Do British Political Parties Mobilise and Contact Voters To
How do British political parties mobilise and contact voters to increase turnout? Submitted by William Stephen King to the University of Exeter as a thesis for the degree of MA by Research in Politics In August 2018 This thesis is available for Library use on the understanding that it is copyright material and that no quotation from the thesis may be published without proper acknowledgement. I certify that all material in this thesis which is not my own work has been identified and that no material has previously been submitted and approved for the award of a degree by this or any other University. Signature: ………………………………………………………….. 1 Abstract This thesis will explore how British political parties over the period 2010-2017 have developed their mobilisation and contacting methods. Looking at social media, demographics, and other salient issues, I will construct a coherent and clear narrative of how British political parties have reacted to new technology, and what the advantages and disadvantages of doing so are. I shall be looking in particular at youth political mobilisation and contact, as this demographic has a poor election turnout record, so I shall explain why this is and how British political parties are attempting to contact and mobilise them (and how they have done so successfully). Looking at the 2010, 2015, and 2017 General Elections as well as the 2014 EU and 2016 referendums, this will enable me to take a look at Britain in different political times and differing levels of technology, from the first TV debates in 2010 to the first social media election in 2017. -
1 CURRICULUM VITAE David Graham Blanchflower Department
CURRICULUM VITAE David Graham Blanchflower Department of Economics, Dartmouth College Hanover, New Hampshire, USA, 03755 Tel: (603) 632 1475; Cell: (603) 359-2077 Email: [email protected] Web page: www.dartmouth.edu/~blnchflr Date of birth: March 2nd, 1952. Nationality: Dual US and UK citizen. Children: Daniel John aged 27; Jennie age 32 and Kathryn age 34. Grand children: Lincoln James Denney (age 2); Angus Daniel Ross Davies (age 2); Hadley Davies; Isla Davies (age 1); Oliver Denny (age 9 months). Married: Carol Blanchflower Qualifications 1973 B.A. Soc. Sci. (Economics), University of Leicester, UK. 1975 Postgraduate Certificate in Education - (PGCE). Pass with distinction in teaching; Dudley College of Education, University of Birmingham, UK. 1981 M.Sc. (Econ), University of Wales, UK. 1985 Ph.D., University of London (Queen Mary College), UK. 1996 M.A. (Honorary), Dartmouth College. 1996 Honorary member of Phi Beta Kappa, Dartmouth chapter for ‘services to liberal scholarship’. 2007 Honorary Doctor of Letters (D.Litt.) for ‘services to economics’, University of Leicester, UK. 2009 Honorary Doctor of Science (D.Sc.), Queen Mary, University of London, July. 2011 Honorary Doctor of Letters (D.Litt.), University of Sussex, UK. 2014 Honorary Fellowship, Cardiff University, Wales, UK. Previous academic positions Northicote High School, Wolverhampton, UK, teacher, 1975-1976. Kilburn Polytechnic, London, UK, Lecturer, 1976-1977. Farnborough College of Technology, Hampshire, UK, Lecturer, 1977-1979. Institute for Employment Research, University of Warwick, UK, Research Officer, September 1984-July 1986. Department of Economics, University of Surrey, UK Assistant Professor (Lecturer), August 1986- August 1989. Associate Professor, Dartmouth College, 1989-1993. Department Chair, Department of Economics, Dartmouth College, July 1998 – June 2000. -
International Happiness
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES INTERNATIONAL HAPPINESS David G. Blanchflower Andrew J. Oswald Working Paper 16668 http://www.nber.org/papers/w16668 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 January 2011 For suggestions and valuable discussions, we thank Gordon D.A. Brown, Rafael Di Tella, Amanda Goodall, Robert MacCulloch, Nick Powdthavee, Eugenio Proto, Daniel Sgroi, and Steve Wu. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer- reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications. © 2011 by David G. Blanchflower and Andrew J. Oswald. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. International Happiness David G. Blanchflower and Andrew J. Oswald NBER Working Paper No. 16668 January 2011 JEL No. I1,I3 ABSTRACT This paper describes the findings from a new, and intrinsically interdisciplinary, literature on happiness and human well-being. The paper focuses on international evidence. We report the patterns in modern data; we discuss what has been persuasively established and what has not; we suggest paths for future research. Looking ahead, our instinct is that this social-science research avenue will gradually merge with a related literature -- from the medical, epidemiological, and biological sciences -- on biomarkers and health. Nevertheless, we expect that intellectual convergence to happen slowly. -
A Crash Course on the Euro Crisis∗
A crash course on the euro crisis∗ Markus K. Brunnermeier Ricardo Reis Princeton University LSE August 2019 Abstract The financial crises of the last twenty years brought new economic concepts into classroom discussions. This article introduces undergraduate students and teachers to seven of these models: (i) misallocation of capital inflows, (ii) modern and shadow banks, (iii) strategic complementarities and amplification, (iv) debt contracts and the distinction between solvency and liquidity, (v) the diabolic loop, (vi) regional flights to safety, and (vii) unconventional monetary policy. We apply each of them to provide a full account of the euro crisis of 2010-12. ∗Contact: [email protected] and [email protected]. We are grateful to Luis Garicano, Philip Lane, Sam Langfield, Marco Pagano, Tano Santos, David Thesmar, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Dimitri Vayanos for shaping our initial views on the crisis, to Kaman Lyu for excellent research assistance throughout, and to generations of students at Columbia, the LSE, and Princeton to whom we taught this material over the years, and who gave us comments on different drafts of slides and text. 1 Contents 1 Introduction3 2 Capital inflows and their allocation4 2.1 A model of misallocation..............................5 2.2 The seeds of the Euro crisis: the investment boom in Portugal........8 3 Channels of funding and the role of (shadow) banks 10 3.1 Modern and shadow banks............................ 11 3.2 The buildup towards the crisis: Spanish credit boom and the Cajas..... 13 4 The financial crash and systemic risk 16 4.1 Strategic complementarities, amplification, multiplicity, and pecuniary ex- ternalities...................................... -
Annual Report 2018
2018Annual Report Annual Report July 1, 2017–June 30, 2018 Council on Foreign Relations 58 East 68th Street, New York, NY 10065 tel 212.434.9400 1777 F Street, NW, Washington, DC 20006 tel 202.509.8400 www.cfr.org [email protected] OFFICERS DIRECTORS David M. Rubenstein Term Expiring 2019 Term Expiring 2022 Chairman David G. Bradley Sylvia Mathews Burwell Blair Effron Blair Effron Ash Carter Vice Chairman Susan Hockfield James P. Gorman Jami Miscik Donna J. Hrinak Laurene Powell Jobs Vice Chairman James G. Stavridis David M. Rubenstein Richard N. Haass Vin Weber Margaret G. Warner President Daniel H. Yergin Fareed Zakaria Keith Olson Term Expiring 2020 Term Expiring 2023 Executive Vice President, John P. Abizaid Kenneth I. Chenault Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer Mary McInnis Boies Laurence D. Fink James M. Lindsay Timothy F. Geithner Stephen C. Freidheim Senior Vice President, Director of Studies, Stephen J. Hadley Margaret (Peggy) Hamburg and Maurice R. Greenberg Chair James Manyika Charles Phillips Jami Miscik Cecilia Elena Rouse Nancy D. Bodurtha Richard L. Plepler Frances Fragos Townsend Vice President, Meetings and Membership Term Expiring 2021 Irina A. Faskianos Vice President, National Program Tony Coles Richard N. Haass, ex officio and Outreach David M. Cote Steven A. Denning Suzanne E. Helm William H. McRaven Vice President, Philanthropy and Janet A. Napolitano Corporate Relations Eduardo J. Padrón Jan Mowder Hughes John Paulson Vice President, Human Resources and Administration Caroline Netchvolodoff OFFICERS AND DIRECTORS, Vice President, Education EMERITUS & HONORARY Shannon K. O’Neil Madeleine K. Albright Maurice R. Greenberg Vice President and Deputy Director of Studies Director Emerita Honorary Vice Chairman Lisa Shields Martin S. -
New World, New Rules? 6
New World, New Rules? 6 In the eyes of many, the crisis and recession revealed gaping holes in the rules of the global economy. Financial markets are the most obvious target for new regulations, but other areas, too, have come under increasing attention, including tax and even the basic values of capitalism. 6. New World, New Rules? By way of introduction… Is there – to misquote William Shakespeare – something rotten with the state of capitalism? In the wake of the financial crisis, many people seemed to think there was. According to a poll of people in 27 countries commissioned by the BBC World Service, only around one in ten believed capitalism worked well. In just two of the surveyed countries did that number rise above one in five – 25% in the United States and 21% in Pakistan. Unhappy as people were, the poll showed little appetite for throwing out capitalism altogether – fewer than one in four supported that notion. But people want change – reform and regulation that will check capitalism’s worst excesses. That view is shared by many political leaders. In 2009, Germany’s Chancellor Angela Merkel and the Netherlands’ then-Prime Minister Jan Peter Balkenende argued that “it is clear that over the past few decades, as the financial system has globalised at unprecedented speed, the various systems of rules and supervision have not kept pace”. In the United States, President Barack Obama declared that “we need strong rules of the road to guard against the kind of systemic risks that we’ve seen”. In the United Kingdom, former Prime Minister Gordon Brown said that “instead of a globalisation that threatens to become values-free and rules-free, we need a world of shared global rules founded on shared global values”. -
Reform of the Bank of England a New Bank for a New Governor
Reform of the Bank of England A new Bank for a new Governor James Barty Policy Exchange is the UK’s leading think tank. We are an educational charity whose mission is to develop and promote new policy ideas that will deliver better public services, a stronger society and a more dynamic economy. Registered charity no: 1096300. Policy Exchange is committed to an evidence-based approach to policy development. We work in partnership with academics and other experts and commission major studies involving thorough empirical research of alternative policy outcomes. We believe that the policy experience of other countries offers important lessons for government in the UK. We also believe that government has much to learn from business and the voluntary sector. Trustees Daniel Finkelstein (Chairman of the Board), Richard Ehrman (Deputy Chair), Theodore Agnew, Richard Briance, Simon Brocklebank-Fowler, Robin Edwards, Virginia Fraser, Edward Heathcoat Amory, David Meller, George Robinson, Robert Rosenkranz, Andrew Sells, Patience Wheatcroft, Rachel Whetstone and Simon Wolfson. Acknowledgements We would like to thank all of the people who have given us their views on the Bank, its historic performance and what could be done to reform it. We would particularly like to thank Dan Conaghan whose book The Bank (Inside the Bank of England) is an excellent read and a great source of information. This project was also enhanced by the panel debate we had with Sir John Gieve and Andrea Leadsome MP on the future of the Bank, which prompted a number of extra lines of enquiry for us. Finally we would like to thank those who have contributed to the Financial Policy unit at Policy Exchange without whose financial assistance this report could not have been produced. -
What We Know and Do Not Know About the Natural Rate of Unemployment
Journal of Economic Perspectives—Volume 11, Number 1—Winter 1997—Pages 51–72 What We Know and Do Not Know About the Natural Rate of Unemployment Olivier Blanchard and Lawrence F. Katz lmost 30 years ago, Friedman (1968) and Phelps (1968) developed the concept of the "natural rate of unemployment." In what must be one of Athe longest sentences he ever wrote, Milton Friedman explained: "The natural rate of unemployment is the level which would be ground out by the Wal- rasian system of general equilibrium equations, provided that there is imbedded in them the actual structural characteristics of the labor and commodity markets, in- cluding market imperfections, stochastic variability in demands and supplies, the cost of gathering information about job vacancies and labor availabilities, the costs of mobility, and so on." Over the past three decades a large amount of research has attempted to formalize Friedman's long sentence and to identify, both theo- retically and empirically, the determinants of the natural rate. It is this body of work we assess in this paper. We reach two main conclusions. The first is that there has been considerable theoretical progress over the past 30 years. A framework has emerged, organized around two central ideas. The first is that the labor market is a market with a high level of traffic, with large flows of workers who have either lost their jobs or are looking for better ones. This by itself implies that there must be some "frictional unemployment." The second is that the nature of relations between firms and workers leads to wage setting that often differs substantially from competitive wage setting. -
Personal Use Cannabis Rules Special Adopted New Rules: N.J.A.C
NEW JERSEY CANNABIS REGULATORY COMMISSION Personal Use Cannabis Rules Special Adopted New Rules: N.J.A.C. 17:30 Adopted: August 19, 2021 by New Jersey Cannabis Regulatory Commission, Dianna Houenou, Chair. Filed: August 19, 2021 Authority: N.J.S.A. 24:6I-31 et seq. Effective Date: August 19, 2021 Expiration Date: August 19, 2022 This rule may be viewed or downloaded from the Commission’s website at nj.gov/cannabis. These rules are adopted pursuant to N.J.S.A. 24:6I-34(d)1a of the New Jersey Cannabis Regulatory, Enforcement Assistance, and Marketplace Modernization Act, N.J.S.A. 24:6I- 31 et seq., and became effective upon acceptance for filing by the Office of Administrative Law. The specially adopted new rules shall be effective for a period not to exceed one year from the date of filing of the new rules, that is, until August 19, 2022. The Commission has provided this special adoption to the Attorney General, State Treasurer, Commissioner of Health, and Commissioner of Banking and Insurance for a consultation period, after which the Commission anticipates filing a proposal to readopt these rules with amendments reflecting the results of that consultation. In accordance with N.J.S.A. 24:6I-34(d)1b the rules, as readopted, will become effective upon acceptance for filing by the Office of Administrative Law if filed on or before the expiration date of the rules published herein. The adopted amendments will be effective upon publication in the New Jersey Register. Federal Standards Analysis The Cannabis Regulatory, Enforcement Assistance, and Marketplace Modernization Act obliges the Cannabis Regulatory Commission to promulgate rules necessary or proper to enable it to carry out the Commission’s duties, functions, and powers with respect to overseeing the development, regulation, and enforcement of activities associated with the personal use of cannabis pursuant to P.L.2021, c.16. -
The People Shaping the Trump Administration
The People Shaping the Trump Administration Despite Running on a Pledge to ‘Drain the Swamp’ and Crack Down on Special Interests, Donald Trump Has Filled His Transition Team With Lobbyists and Others With Potential Conflicts November 16, 2016 – Donald Trump rode to the White House by raging about alleged rampant corruption in Washington and pledging to “drain the swamp.” Each of the five points in the ethics platform he issued in October focused on diminishing the influence of lobbyists.1 These included a promise to impose a five-year ban on former executive branch officials lobbying the federal government. Trump further promised to crack down on special interest-influence by expanding the definition of lobbyist to include consultants and others who trade on inside government information and expertise.2 But Trump’s nascent transition team, which will shape his administration, is swarming with lobbyists and other special interests. Many of the lobbyists are working for the transition on areas for which they currently are lobbying the federal government. Meanwhile, many of those who aren’t lobbyists appear to have potential conflicts of interest. Vice president-elect Mike Pence reportedly said on November 15 that the transition team would be purged of lobbyists, but the transition team has not made the point official.3 Even if true, that remedy would not address cases such as a defense contractor working on defense interests, or a lawyer for health care interests working on health care reform. Here are brief summaries of individuals who have been reported in the media as overseeing agencies or policies for Trump’s transition team. -
Kiiara Drops New Track & Music Video “Open My Mouth
KIIARA DROPS NEW TRACK & MUSIC VIDEO “OPEN MY MOUTH” – OUT NOW FEATURING DESIGNER CHRISTIAN COWAN AND HIS FALL FW19 RUNWAY LOOKS DEBUT ALBUM SET FOR RELEASE FALL 2019 “OPEN MY MOUTH” SINGLE ART HERE (PHOTO CREDIT: TRENT BARBOZA) NEW YORK, NY (June 7, 2019) – Today, 24-year-old multiplatinum singer-songwriter and “Princess of Chop-Pop” KIIARA debuts a brand new song, “Open My Mouth,” which marks the lead single from her highly anticipated debut album set for release this fall via Atlantic Records. The track, and its accompanying video, gives fans a taste of what’s to come off the forthcoming record – listen HERE. “Open My Mouth,” co-written by Kiiara, Amy Allen (Halsey’s “Without Me”, Selena Gomez’s “Back To You”), Scott Harris (Shawn Mendes’ “Treat You Better” and “There’s Nothin’ Holding Me Back”), Ian Kirkpatrick (Dua Lipa’s “New Rules”, Julia Michaels’ EP), and Joe London (Pitbull, Jason Derulo, Fifth Harmony) showcases Kiiara’s unique ability to blur the lines between genres with her signature vocals and honest lyrics. “Art is open for interpretation, so while some will listen to this song and relate to it based on relationships they’ve had in their lives, for me this song is about the relationship I have with myself,” Kiiara says of the new track. “I’ve struggled with mental health issues for my entire life. I’ve felt silenced, I’ve felt alone, and I’ve felt afraid. To me, this song is about facing these realities and putting it all out there. It feels empowering to open up and finally speak my truth, and I hope in doing so I can encourage others to let their guard down and do the same, so they don’t feel so alone and helpless.” The accompanying music video, directed by Juliana Carpino, features designer Christian Cowan and fashion from his FW19 line along with a special cameo appearance from Austin Mahone – watch HERE. -
In the Style of Dua Lipa Teacher Guide
Remix Project Teacher Guide INCLUDED IN THE RESOURCE: • Re-created full Garageband session of Dua Lipa’s Number 1 track ‘New Rules’ • Mp3 file of the re-created session • Empty Garageband session containing relevant tracks, structure & instruments • Re-created samples & MIDI parts to create a unique remix containing: o 48 Drum samples (Cymbals, FX, Kicks, Percussion, Snares & claps) o 36 Samples containing New Rules instrumental stems, hooks and cuts o 7 Vocal samples, riffs and hooks from 6 other Dua Lipa tracks for remixing/mash-up projects o MIDI parts for bass, keys and pads o Full acapella samples from New Rules that students can edit and re-use • Teacher Guide • Classroom Powerpoint with success criteria and teaching support content FIND MORE IN THE STYLE OF… We’re continuing to expand our ‘In The Style Of…’ resources to include a wide range of artists and genres. Please check the resources section of our website for regular updates! 5 Approaches to using this resource: 1. Developing understanding of popular music through exploring structure, lyrics and instrumentation 2. Developing music technology skills and exploring how technology and effects are used to create popular music 3. Create a Remix or mashup 4. Performance activity using the session as a backing track & guide 5. Exploring lyric writing through re-writing and re-recording lyrics to a popular song Setting out a Scheme of Learning “I loved the Deciding which approach you want to use with this resource is project and the crucial to establishing your success criteria or learning objectives at the start of the unit.