Understanding the Factors that Influence the Probability and Time to Streetcar Bunching Incidents Nguyen, Paula, Ehab Diab and Amer Shalaby iCity: Urban Informatics for Sustainable Metropolitan Growth A project funded by the Ministry of Research and Innovation of Ontario through the ORF- RE07 Program and by partners Cellint Traffic Solutions, Esri Canada, IBM Canada, Waterfront Toronto, the City of Toronto and the Region of Waterloo. Report #17-02-03-01 By sharing this report we intend to inform iCity partners about progress in iCity research. This report may contain information that is confidential. Any dissemination, copying, or use of this report or its contents for anything but the intended purpose is strictly prohibited. 1 UNDERSTANDING THE FACTORS THAT INFLUENCE THE PROBABILITY AND 2 TIME TO STREETCAR BUNCHING INCIDENTS 3 4 5 6 Paula Nguyen 7 Department of Civil Engineering, University of Toronto 8 35 St. George Street, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, M5S 1A4 9 Tel: 647-680-4129; E-mail:
[email protected] 10 11 Ehab Diab, Ph.D. 12 Department of Civil Engineering, University of Toronto 13 35 St. George Street, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, M5S 1A4 14 Tel: 514-549-0093; E-mail:
[email protected] 15 16 Amer Shalaby, Ph.D., P.Eng 17 Department of Civil Engineering, University of Toronto 18 35 St. George Street, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, M5S 1A4 19 Tel: 416-978-5907; E-mail:
[email protected] 20 21 22 Word Count: 5962+ 6 tables/figures x 250 words = 7462 words 23 24 25 Paper Prepared for Presentation at the Transportation Research Board 97th Annual Meeting 26 Submission Date: July 31, 2017 Nguyen, Diab, Shalaby 2 1 ABSTRACT 2 Bunching is a well known operational problem for transit agencies and it has negative impacts on 3 service quality and users’ perception.