Working Paper Series¤ Department of Economics Alfred Lerner College of Business & Economics University of Delaware Working Paper No. 2003-10 Agricultural Investment and the Interwar Business Cycley James L. Butkiewicz and Matthew A. Martin October 2003 ¤http://www.be.udel.edu/economics/workingpaper.htm y°c 2003 by author(s). All rights reserved. Agricultural Investment and the Interwar Business Cycle James L. Butkiewicz Department of Economics University of Delaware Newark, DE 19716
[email protected] Matthew A. Martin Economy.Com, Inc. 600 Willowbrook Lane West Chester, PA 19382
[email protected] October 2003 This paper is based on sections of Matthew Martin’s Ph.D. dissertation at the University of Delaware. The authors acknowledge helpful comments and suggestions from Farley Grubb and Toni Whited. Responsibility for errors is ours. Abstract During the interwar period, the agricultural sector was a much larger component of the United States economy than at present. Thus, changes in agricultural fortunes had a larger impact on macroeconomic events than is the case today. The Great Depression and concomitant collapse of commodity prices adversely affected the farming sector, as did the drought that distressed many farming regions during this period. Farmers’ income plummeted, sharply curtailing investment in farm equipment. One key goal of the New Deal agricultural policies was to reverse the fortunes of the agricultural sector. Price supports and production control programs attempted to increase farmers’ incomes, enabling them to reverse the dramatic drop in equipment investment that occurred during the contraction period. This paper investigates the macroeconomic impact of investment in agricultural equipment on the aggregate economy.