<<

VOL 28 NO 3 JULY 1994 The , or swamp , in Suklaphanta Wildlife Reserve,

J. Henshaw

Between 1988 and 1993 six periods of field study were undertaken to investigate the environmental impact of the construction of a main irrigation canal and other works in the proposed extension of Suklaphanta Wildlife Reserve and to recommend protective measures. Suklaphanta is administered by His Majesty's Government of Nepal through the Department of National Parks and Wildlife Conservation. Special emphasis was placed upon the barasingha duvauceli population because it is the largest remaining group of this endangered deer in the world. This paper presents recommendations for the management of the barasingha and its habitat.

Suklaphanta Wildlife Reserve year period from January 1988, as part of the canal-related wildlife environmental impact The barasingha or swamp deer Cervus du- and protection work conducted by the author vauceli is listed as Endangered by IUCN (1990). via ULG Consultants Ltd and Sir William In 1976 Suklaphanta Wildlife Reserve in the Halcrow and Partners Ltd. terai zone of western Nepal was gazetted to Suklaphanta Wildlife Reserve is mostly flat, provide protection for this species in the belief with occasional rolling hills in the north, and that the Suklaphanta population was the varies in altitude from 190 to 270 m a.s.l. Most largest remaining in the world. The world of the reserve lies in a broad alluvial flood- population was estimated at 2700-4000 by plain, which slopes gently away from the Schaller (1967). Schaaf (1978) estimated the foothills (Churia Range) of the Himalaya to Suklaphanta population to represent about the north. Soils tend to be slightly alkaline and one-third of the world population. However, vary in texture from sandy-loam to occasional Bauer (1990) considered the overall popu- clay. lation to have become restricted to even fewer The climate is monsoonal with over 90 per localities and to have shown a continuing cent of the annual precipitation (1000-2000 downward trend in numbers. Suklaphanta has mm) falling between June and September. the status of Category IV (Nature Conservation Maximum temperatures average 40-42°C in Reserve/Managed Reserve/Wildlife Sanctuary) summer and 10-12°C in winter. in the United Nations List of National Parks A small river, the Bahuni, rises near the and Protected Areas (IUCN, 1985). centre of the reserve, flowing south-east until The reserve covers approximately 15,500 ha entering the Mahakali River on the southern with a proposed eastern extension of about edge (Figure 1). The Chaudhar River, which the same area, through which a major irri- forms part of the eastern boundary of gation canal is currently under construction to Suklaphanta, but which would bisect the re- link two areas of agricultural development serve if the proposed extension is gazetted, is under a scheme financed by the World Bank a large river with extensive floodplain grass- for the Nepal Government (the Mahakali lands. The Chaudhar also flows south-east Irrigation Project). until it enters the Mahakali River. The study of the barasingha population was Balson (1976) estimated that the vegetation undertaken during six study periods over a 5- cover of Suklaphanta was approximately two- 199

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.33.22, on 25 Sep 2021 at 17:30:22, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0030605300028568 J. HENSHAW

International boundary

Reserve boundary a (including extension) Main Suklaphanta, barasingho dry season grazing area Water pans

Figure 1. Suklaphanta Wildlife Reserve, Nepal.

thirds forest and one-third grassland and a The principal grassland areas ('phantas') are generalized vegetation map was published by moist only during the monsoon and for a Schaaf in 1978. Bell (undated report) quoted short period afterwards. The largest of these, Schaafs (1978) classification and description the Suklaphanta (approximately 32 sq km) is of the vegetation cover and an FAO (1985) re- of critical significance to the barasingha popu- port confirmed the continuing validity of lation, especially during the long dry season. Schaafs (1978) description - the better drained Although the sal-dominated and other forest soils on the higher elevations in the north sup- areas contain a more or less continuous grass port moist deciduous forest and some sav- understorey, which is used by several ungu- annah, with sal as the dominant late species, the grass cover in the eastern ex- tree species. Mixed deciduous forest is tension area is less continuous and abundant patchily distributed among the more extensive due to over-use by domestic , buffalo grasslands in the south, where sal is largely and . absent. Khair-sissoo forest, dominated by Apart from the barasingha, the reserve is Acacia catechu and Dalbergia sissoo, forms an important for several other large early succession in riverine areas. Marsh habi- species. The spotted deer or Cervus axis tats, in which tall dense grasses, such as is abundant, occupying a much wider variety spontaneum, Vetiveria zizanioides, of habitats than the barasingha. It is the most Eulaliopsis binata and Heteropogon contortus, common species in the somewhat degraded predominate, also occur in the south. habitat of the proposed extension area, occur- Saccharum spp. tend to predominate in the ring even in the sal forest sections. There are a drier grasslands. few hog deer C. porcinus, which are found

200 ORYX VOL 28 NO 3 JULY1994

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.33.22, on 25 Sep 2021 at 17:30:22, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0030605300028568 BARASINGHA IN SUKLAPHANTA WILDLIFE RESERVE, NEPAL

singly or in small numbers in taller grass Suklaphanta receives as many as 30 tourists stands and other concealing habitats. The per annum. Its primary role, therefore, is for Indian Muntiacus muntjak is infre- wildlife conservation per se, with particular quent, although widely distributed, favouring emphasis on the barasingha population. dense habitat types. The sambar Cervus uni- color is rare, appearing to be restricted to mature forest with glades in the north-west The barasingha - distribution and part of Suklaphanta. The territorial habitat use, together with implications Boselaphus tragocamelus is not common, but is found in sal and other forest types both in the The barasingha is a social species of medium- reserve and the extension area. Sus sized deer, showing seasonality similar to scrofa occur in most habitat types, even in the more northerly living species, with the annual open grassland, where they feed on the rhi- rut peaking in October and with calving zomes of perennial grasses. Only about 40 or mainly in June. Bhatt and Shrestha (1977) so Asian elephants Elaphus maximus habitually noted that for most of the year the total stock use the reserve, also spending time elsewhere, of the barasingha was found in one place - the especially the sugar-cane-growing areas. main Suklaphanta and its forest margins. Apart from conflict arising from damage to Schaaf (1978) noted the same situation and agricultural crops, the danger from irrigation warned of the potential insecurity of the canals is a problem attended to in this project. population, recommending habitat manipu- Panthera pardus are widely dispersed lation and population regulation, as well as even at the reserve /agricultural land interface, the establishment of other herds. but it is impossible to provide a population es- Conservation and management problems timate for P. tigris, although evidence of for the barasingha arise because of its special- its presence is found frequently and indicates ized habitat requirement for extensive open dispersion throughout the forested sections of grassland and its aggregation in a single lim- the Suklaphanta and to a lesser extent in the ited area throughout the long dry season. proposed extension. The deer do not normally utilize the sal for- Protection of the wildlife is efficient and ef- est sections of the reserve, although small fective due to the presence of sufficient numbers are occasionally found in the more rangers and the strategic siting of army per- open sections of the mixed deciduous forest in sonnel in several camps, who make night pa- the south close to the main Suklaphanta. They trols on elephants. There are now no local are seldom found in the marsh habitats be- people living in the reserve, the residents of cause the grasses there remain dense and tall the former villages having been resettled some (2-3 m) all year round. years ago. Formation of the eastern extension Corbet and Hill (1992) stated that the baras- will also require resettlement of people and, ingha populations north of the occupy because they will occupy land that is not sus- swampy habitats, but those south of the tainable as it is, irrigation is being developed Ganges are found on drier grasslands. to increase the cropping capability. However, this is not a valid distinction be- Mahendranagar, near the north-west corner cause the grassland occupied by the of the reserve, has no tourism infrastructure Suklaphanta barasingha is dry for at least two- but can be reached by road from Delhi in 1 thirds of the year and cannot be classified as day and from Kathmandu in 2 days outside swamp, despite experiencing heavy rain dur- the monsoon. A weekly flight to the ing the monsoon. Mahendranagar strip is subject to cancellation In short grassland, barasingha form large due to weather conditions. groups. The individuals often spread out in a Although a local naturalist has camping fa- line 1 km or more in length and are in fre- cilities in the reserve and can offer a 'safari' quent vocal communication. This behaviour service to visitors, it is unlikely that probably reflects adaptive strategies for ORYX VOL 28 NO 3 JULY 1994 201

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.33.22, on 25 Sep 2021 at 17:30:22, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0030605300028568 J. HENSHAW

limiting and intraspecific conflict. along the northern half of the western border. The reserve has populations of tiger and Cutting is not permitted in the main but it can be assumed that neither of Suklaphanta. The grass is cut to a height of these predators have a significant effect upon about 15-20 cm and despite the (short) period the population dynamics of the barasingha. of disturbance, the overall effect is beneficial Both appear to prey largely upon chital, which to the grazings because it removes coarse and are abundant in the reserve, although not indi- unpalatable material, whose tops are out of cated for Nepal in the distribution map of reach of the deer, and promotes new low Corbet and Hill (1992). Chital form the com- growth. mon prey species probably because they are A large, monsoon-fed water-pan in the distributed in small groups throughout the main Suklaphanta, which lasted throughout forested areas of the reserve. Their behaviour the dry season in earlier years, provides the and distribution patterns combine to provide barasingha with drinking water. However, in easier by large felids than is the case 1991 the combination of a greatly increased with barasingha in the open grassland. barasingha population, plus the significant The tall, post-monsoon grasses of the main dry-season evaporation loss of water, caused Suklaphanta and other areas are burned in the the pan to dry out completely by 21 May - November-January period to provide a green sometime before the first rains of the mon- flush within days of the burn. This manage- soon. However, instead of drinking in the ment provides the barasingha with optimum marsh habitat on the eastern edge of the main habitat conditions for feeding and predator Suklaphanta, the barasingha moved into a avoidance and the expression of evolved so- series of small phantas to the north-west, close cial behaviours. Without this early dry-season to the Bahuni River. burning, the carrying capacity of the reserve If the proposed eastern extension of the re- for barasingha would be greatly reduced, es- serve were to be gazetted and humans and pecially because tall, dense and rank dry their livestock moved from the Chaudhar grasses possess very little food value and also River floodplain and resettled elsewhere, this inhibit movement, social aggregation and habitat would revert to natural grassland predator avoidance. A further problem exists similar to the phantas of the existing reserve. if early dry-season burning is not undertaken This would greatly increase the carrying ca- in that lightning fires, which can occur in very pacity for the barasingha, which would un- dry stands of grasses immediately before the doubtedly expand into the new area of open first monsoon rains, are hotter than early dry- grassland. However, for current conservation season fires and tend to destroy the rhizomes and management purposes, the existing limits of perennials. of the habitat sections selected and occupied Grass-cutting is also practised in the reserve by the barasingha must be considered in de- because local people consider the quality of ciding future management concepts and inter- the grass to be superior to grasses elsewhere ventions. in the region for thatching, wall and corral construction. Cutting is done under a permit system, which is available to people from an Population size and trend extensive area of the south-west corner of Nepal. The cut grass is hand-carried to the re- Opportunities and circumstances for counting serve boundaries and taken away in cattle and entire deer populations with confidence are buffalo carts. During a 10-day period from 25 extremely rare. Wildlife biologists are nor- December 1992, 31,000 people entered the re- mally required to adopt complex biometrical serve to cut grass. manipulations with extrapolations from often The main areas open to grass cutting are quite narrow sample counts and observation, along the west side of the Chaudhar River up especially for deer populations widely scat- to the northern border of the reserve and tered in concealing habitats. Such procedures 202 ORYX VOL 28 NO 3 JULY1994

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.33.22, on 25 Sep 2021 at 17:30:22, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0030605300028568 BARASINGHA IN SUKLAPHANTA WILDLIFE RESERVE, NEPAL

The behaviour and habitat of the barasingha together offer a rare opportunity to census the entire population (John Henshaw).

are often less convincing with reference to when the deer are particularly calm and ap- brain logic than computer-derived statistical proachable and none remains lying down for tests imply. However, the barasingha popu- long. Counts were repeated for up to seven or lation in Suklaphanta can be counted in its en- more evenings during each field-study period tirety when the deer congregate in the recently but were occasionally abandoned when a burned main Suklaphanta and when none can group or groups shifted around, creating the be found anywhere else. potential for duplications or omissions. On a The method adopted and refined was to lo- few occasions it became clear that not all of cate all groups, manoeuvring to each in turn the deer were out in the open phanta, but with and counting from the roof of a four-wheel repetition some remarkably consistent high drive vehicle using 7x50 binoculars. This was counts were obtained for the period of census- always undertaken during the last 2-3 hours ing, for example: 1253 and 1279 in 1988, and of daylight, the principal grazing period, 1731 and 1748 in 1992.

Table 1. Highest counts (approximate minimum population size) of barasingha in each census

Date No. Notes

January/February 1988 1279 All strung out along short grass sections of main phanta May 1990 1380 All in main phanta in a large single aggregation; little movement December 1990 900 Not a reflection of true numbers or trend: observability restricted (approx.) because grass-burning had not been completed, the green flush was not well developed and the deer were more widely distributed May 1991 400 Not a reflection of true numbers or trend because the water-pan was (approx.) drying out and the barasingha were shifting to the small northern phantas close to the Bahuni River January 1992 1748 All in the main phanta and static in several groups January 1993 1854 All in main phanta in several groups; very little movement

ORYX VOL 28 NO 3 JULY 1994 203

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.33.22, on 25 Sep 2021 at 17:30:22, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0030605300028568 J. HENSHAW

The system demands that binoculars are not season. The original water-pan is insufficient lowered until an entire group and any outliers and in 1993 the level had shrunk significantly are counted, and that the numbers are called as early as January. A secondary water-pan, to, and acknowledged by, a person recording which was recommended and excavated in in the vehicle. The numbers are called for each 1992, dried out in January 1993. 100, followed by the remaining number of (d) When barasingha move from their pre- deer in the group. ferred area they occupy areas to the north, In order to illustrate any trends in the popu- which are less suitable in terms of overall lation, all annual counts reflect the period habitat needs. Also, some barasingha have re- from 6 months after calving to 1 month before cently crossed the reserve boundary to the the earliest time expected for the next calving. south on excursions to wheat fields, indicating The highest evening count for each census possible food insufficiency in the main period was noted as the approximate mini- Suklaphanta. mum population size for that time, an as- Obviously, there is a limit to the safe carry- sumption made also by Schaaf (1978), who ing capacity for barasingha and the impli- found 805 barasingha in 1975 and 908 in 1976. cation of the above factors suggest that this The highest counts obtained during the pres- limit may be close, if it has not been reached ent study are give in in Table 1. already. An endangered deer population with an in- The dry-season grazings of the main crease averaging about 9 per cent per annum Suklaphanta may not be able to sustain the over a 5-year period would appear to reflect a barasingha and chital on an annual basis at a more than satisfactory situation. However, a combined average density of about 70 deer number of questions and factors combine to per sq km. If habitat over-use and degradation introduce a level of concern with regard to the occur, the physical condition of the deer will future of this population, with special refer- decline and this will be followed by the ence to its position as a major world reservoir prospects of malnutrition, disease and mortal- of this species. ity. Clearly, the extent of predation will not 1. Do the Suklaphanta barasingha still rep- offset any such trend. In view of this, manage- resent one-third - or more - of the world ment should be planned and implemented as population, with dependence upon a special- recommended by Schaaf (1978) and as dis- ized habitat of only 32 sq km? cussed in the current author's internal project 2. Has the population now reached the carry- reports. ing capacity of the reserve, bearing in mind Schaaf (1978) recorded that discoloured, the factors listed below. hairless patches had been observed on the (a) The availability of fresh grazings in the sides of some barasingha and he wondered if main Suklaphanta appears to be at a critical this could have been a form of dermatitis or level. Following 41 mm of rain in December mange. The same phenomenon was observed 1991, fresh green perennial grass shoots were in a limited number of during the cur- abundant and about 10-20 cm tall, whereas in rent study, being most common in January December 1992 there was no rain and fresh 1993. The hairless patches were small in size green perennial grass shoots were less abun- and very similar to the bare patches that occur dant and shorter. on due to biting and fore-hoof kick- (b) The reserve's chital population, con- ing on subdominant animals by mature hinds sidered to number around 5000 in 1992 (pers. in particular. Closely knit aggregations are obs.), puts increasing pressure on the grazings formed by both species and their intraspecific of the main Suklaphanta because up to 400 or behavioural patterns are very similar. Such be- more chital move into this habitat from the haviour will intensify with population in- forest each evening to graze. crease. (c) Water availability in the preferred habi- tat is now critical towards the end of the dry

204 ORYX VOL 28 NO 3 JULY1994

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.33.22, on 25 Sep 2021 at 17:30:22, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0030605300028568 BARASINGHA IN SUKLAPHANTA WILDLIFE RESERVE, NEPAL

Management - principles and practices ferred area will necessitate maintaining the annual burning policy to encourage a dry The basic and current management require- season green flush. Most importantly, it is ments are to retain the barasingha within the necessary to extend the water-holding capac- reserve as it now exists, and to prevent over- ity of the two water-pans so that the baras- population and habitat degradation. It is as- ingha are not forced to move from the main sumed that further population increase will Suklaphanta by lack of drinking water to- result in increased dispersal due to dry season wards the end of the dry season. Dew falls shortages of fresh grass and water in the main and the moisture content of the post-burn Suklaphanta. fresh shoots may assist the deer to some extent Dispersal to the east would bring the deer but it is doubtful that the barasingha can ob- into conflict with the currently settled and tain their daily water requirements entirely farmed Chaudar River floodplain. There is from these sources. then the problem posed by the main irrigation Boreholes have already been sunk at both canal currently under construction. The pro- water-pans and a portable pump has been files of the irrigation canals are such that deer provided. Also, the new water-pan will be drownings occur because it is easy for the ani- deepened so that it can hold more rain-water. mals to get into the canals, but difficult for This is important because renewal supplies them to get out (Rautensrauch and Krausman, from underground are not abundant. 1989). The same applies to Indian elephants Without the above interventions, the (Sukumar, 1989), which also occur in the re- prospect of dispersal exists, even without serve, and this threat extends to other large further population increment, thereby mammal species. Problems caused to African jeopardizing not only the Suklaphanta baras- wildlife species by the Rahad and Jonglei ingha per se, but also the population's poten- canals in Sudan have been outlined by tial use for restocking other areas to improve Cloudsley-Thompson (1992), where the prospect for the survival of the species as a losses and obstructed migrations are the end whole. Major oscillations in the population's result. Animal-escape structures have been de- numbers in the reserve must be avoided. signed for the main canal passing through the Because natural predation is unlikely to eastern extension area (Figure 1), which dampen the current rate of increase, the man- already has significant numbers of chital, to- agement interventions listed below should be gether with lesser numbers of other large considered. mammal species. The structures for the 1. Capture and translocation of appropriately Suklaphanta extension area were designed to composed and significantly sized units to re- allow for exit from the water on both sides of stock areas where the species occurred for- the canal. merly, or where its numbers are currently at a Dispersal to the north and south-east will low and possibly critical level. bring deer into conflict with the new irrigation A first option in this regard would be the area farms, where rice and wheat will form Bardia National Park, also in the terai zone of the principal crops. Due south of the main Nepal and some distance to the east of Suklaphanta lies the Indian border on the Suklaphanta Wildlife Reserve. Bardia contains other side of which are also small farms. Some the only other population remaining in Nepal, distance due west of the principal grazing but during a survey in 1988 only 41 baras- area of the barasingha is the reserve border ingha were recorded there (Bauer, 1990). In and the Mahakali River, which forms a barrier that paper, the author reported that cessation to animal movements for the monsoon period of grass burning had been 'handled rather and some months after. Drownings of baras- successfully in Bardia.' However, it is prob- ingha in the Mahakali River were reported by able that a carefully devised burning policy Schaaf (1978). for the Sflcc/zarMOT-dominated phantas would Holding the deer to their current and pre- markedly increase the carrying capacity for ORYX VOL 28 NO 3 JULY 1994 205

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.33.22, on 25 Sep 2021 at 17:30:22, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0030605300028568 J. HENSHAW

barasingha in Bardia. made of the barasingha. I thank the Mahakali Although barasingha in the open grassland Irrigation Project Manager, Mr B. P. Ojha, for his are relatively easy to approach for observation support. Mr R. Trimble, Chief Resident Engineer, Sir purposes when using a vehicle - more so than William Halcrow & Partners, and his predecessor, Mr W. Newcombe, provided invaluable logistical when on elephant back - approaching to and other assistance. within safe and accurate dart-gun range (con- sidered by this author to be 50 m maximum) can only be achieved quite rarely. In any References event, darting would be extremely time-con- Balson, E.W. 1976. General Report on the Royal suming for the capture of groups for translo- Suklaphanta Wildlife Reserve. HMGN/UNDP/ cation. An alternative would be to construct a FAO, National Parks and Wildlife Conservation fixed-capture system incorporating a large Project, Kathmandu. Unpubl. report, 46 pp. entry funnel, corral and handling section. Bauer, J.J. 1990. Status and populations trends of Translocations for large-enclosure captive swamp deer in Bardia Wildlife Reserve, Nepal. breeding/farming might also be considered Tiger Paper, July-September, 16—19. Bell, D.J. Undated. A Study of the Biology and because barasingha share many of the charac- Conservation of the Hispid Hare. University of East teristics of red deer Cervus elaphus that have Anglia, 34 pp. made them suitable for parks and large farms: Bhatt, D.D. and Shrestha, T.K. 1977. The Environment social, non-territorial behaviour, tolerance of of Suklaphanta. Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu, humans in relatively close proximity, etc. 80 pp. 2. Selective culling to maintain the overall Cloudsey-Thompson, J.L. 1992. Wildlife massacres numbers at an apparent/observed safe level at in Sudan. Oryx, 26 (4), 202-204. which there is no degradation to the main Corbet, G.B. and Hill, J.E. 1992. The of the Indomalayan Region. Oxford University Press, Suklaphanta grassland. This was a recommen- Oxford University Press, 488 pp. dation for the future made by Schaaf (1978) in FAO, 1985. Royal Suklaphanta Wildlife Reserve. A fact the event that the population increased signifi- sheet prepared by FAO staff. Kathmandu, 3 pp. cantly, which it has done, and it should be re- IUCN, 1985. 1985 United Nations List of National garded as valid, despite the alternative philos- Parks and Protected Areas. IUCN, Gland, 171 pp. ophy to 'let nature take its course'. IUCN, 1990. 1990 IUCN Red List of Threatened Animals. IUCN, Gland Switzerland and Management for the conservation and sur- Cambridge, UK. vival of an endangered species is imbued with Rautensrauch, K.R. and Krausman, P.R. 1989. special demands and considerations, not the Preventing drownings in the Mohawk least of which is the imperative for not putting canal, Arizona. Wild. Soc. Bull. 17, 280-286. off until tomorrow what can be done today. Schaaf, CD. 1978 Some aspects of the ecology of the swamp deer or barasingha in Nepal. In: Threatened Deer, pp. 65-86. IUCN, Morges. Schaller, G.B. 1967. The Deer and the Tiger. University Acknowledgments Chicago Press, 370 pp. I thank the successive wardens of Suklaphanta Sukumar, R. 1989. The Asian Elephant. Cambridge Wildlife Reserve for much co-operation and assist- University Press, 256 pp. ance during the six study periods, namely: J. Singh, M. B. Pandey, J. B. Karki, B. B. Thapa and S. N. John Henshaw Furzeland Deer Park, Cadbury, Pandey. Many junior reserve staff also provided in- Exeter, Devon EX5 5LA, UK. valuable help, especially during the 37 censuses

206 ORYX VOL 28 NO 3 JULY1994

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.33.22, on 25 Sep 2021 at 17:30:22, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0030605300028568