Meteorological Overview of the Devastating 27 April 2011 Tornado Outbreak
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
Recommended publications
-
Florida's Tornado Climatology: Occurrence Rates, Casualties, and Property Losses Emily Ryan
Florida State University Libraries Electronic Theses, Treatises and Dissertations The Graduate School 2018 Florida's Tornado Climatology: Occurrence Rates, Casualties, and Property Losses Emily Ryan Follow this and additional works at the DigiNole: FSU's Digital Repository. For more information, please contact [email protected] FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY COLLEGE OF SOCIAL SCIENCES & PUBLIC POLICY FLORIDA'S TORNADO CLIMATOLOGY: OCCURRENCE RATES, CASUALTIES, AND PROPERTY LOSSES By EMILY RYAN A Thesis submitted to the Department of Geography in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science 2018 Copyright c 2018 Emily Ryan. All Rights Reserved. Emily Ryan defended this thesis on April 6, 2018. The members of the supervisory committee were: James B. Elsner Professor Directing Thesis David C. Folch Committee Member Mark W. Horner Committee Member The Graduate School has verified and approved the above-named committee members, and certifies that the thesis has been approved in accordance with university requirements. ii TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Tables . v List of Figures . vi Abstract . viii 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Definitions . 1 1.2 Where Tornadoes Occur . 3 1.3 Tornadoes in Florida . 4 1.4 Goals and Objectives . 6 1.5 Tornado Climatology as Geography . 6 1.6 Outline of the Thesis . 7 2 Data and Methods 9 2.1 Data . 9 2.1.1 Tornado Data . 9 2.1.2 Tropical Cyclone Tornado Data . 11 2.1.3 Property Value Data . 13 2.2 Statistical Methods . 15 2.3 Analysis Variables . 16 2.3.1 Occurrence Rates . 16 2.3.2 Casualties . 16 2.3.3 Property Exposures . -
Observational Analysis of the Interaction Between a Baroclinic Boundary and Supercell Storms on 27 April 2011
OBSERVATIONAL ANALYSIS OF THE INTERACTION BETWEEN A BAROCLINIC BOUNDARY AND SUPERCELL STORMS ON 27 APRIL 2011 by ADAM THOMAS SHERRER A THESIS Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in The Department of Atmospheric Science to The School of Graduate Studies of The University of Alabama in Huntsville HUNTSVILLE, ALABAMA 2014 ABSTRACT The School of Graduate Studies The University of Alabama in Huntsville Degree Master of Science College/Dept. Science/Atmospheric Science Name of Candidate Adam Sherrer Title Observational Analysis of the Interaction Between a Baroclinic Boundary and Supercell Storms on 27 April 2011 A thermal boundary developed during the morning to early afternoon hours on 27 April as a result of rainfall evaporation and shading from reoccurring deep convection. This boundary propagated to the north during the late afternoon to evening hours. The presence of the boundary produced an area more conducive for the formation of strong violent tornadoes through several processes. These processes included the production of horizontally generated baroclinic vorticity, increased values in storm- relative helicity, and decreasing lifting condensation level heights. Five supercell storms formed near and/or propagated alongside this boundary. Supercells that interacted with this boundary typically produced significant tornadic damage over long distances. Two of these supercells formed to the south (warm) side of the boundary and produced a tornado prior to crossing to the north (cool) side of the boundary. These two storms exhibited changes in appearance, intensity, and structure. Two other supercells formed well south of the boundary. These two storms remained relatively weak until they interacted with the boundary. -
Downloaded 10/11/21 06:05 AM UTC FIG
Some Noteworthy Aspects ^m! D ld w B )n5S of the Hesston,7 Kansas,1 anT!d Joh.n cF. rWeave''r Tornado Family of 13 March 1990 Abstract eastern Kansas that produced a family of five torna- does, including a violent tornado that struck the town This paper considers a tornadic storm that struck south-central of Hesston, north-northwest of Wichita, Kansas. and eastern Kansas on 13 March 1990. Most of the devastation was The Hesston supercell produced a family of at least associated with the first tornado from the storm as it passed through five tornadoes, with a combined path of nearly 170 km Hesston, Kansas. From the synoptic-scale and mesoscale view- points, the event was part of an outbreak of tornadoes on a day when (105 mi). The first three tornadoes in the series were the tornado threat was synoptically evident. Satellite imagery, com- particularly well documented photographically. With bined with conventional data, suggest that the Hesston storm was good visibility and timely warnings from the National affected by a preexisting, mesoscale outflow boundary laid down by Weather Service, several citizens were able to obtain morning storms. Radar and satellite data give clear indication of the excellent photographs and video recordings of the supercellular character of the storm, despite limited radar data coverage. event from a number of vantage points. The resulting Because of the considerable photographic coverage, several visual record provides an opportunity to examine interesting features of the storm were recorded and are analyzed some of the noteworthy events associated with the here. -
The Fargo F5 Tornado of 20 June 1957: Historical Re-Analysis and Overview of the Environmental Conditions
THE FARGO F5 TORNADO OF 20 JUNE 1957: HISTORICAL RE-ANALYSIS AND OVERVIEW OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS Chauncy J. Schultz National Weather Service NorthDavid Platte, J. Kellenbenz Nebraska National Weather Service Grand Forks, North Dakota Jonathan Finch National Weather Service Dodge City, Kansas Abstract On the evening of 20 June 1957, an F5 tornado struck the city of Fargo, North Dakota killing 13 people and injuring over 100. This tornado was researched extensively by Dr. Tetsuya Fujita, and became a basis for his creation of the F scale (later developed in 1971) and coining of the phrases wall cloud, collar cloud and tail cloud cyclic supercell. Observational data from 1957 were used to examine the synoptic and mesoscale environment (Fujita 1960).The Fargo tornado was one in a family of at least five tornadoes produced by a single, long-lived, from the perspective of present-day tornado research, with a focus on the possibility of an outflow boundary enhancing the tornado potential near Fargo. Strong instability, strong vertical wind shear, high storm-relative tohelicity be enhanced (SRH), favorable via evapotranspiration storm-relative (ET)flow (SRF)and moisture and lowered convergence. lifted condensation Approximately levels 200 (LCLs) photographs seemed toof play a pivotal role in the strength and longevity of the tornado. In addition, boundary-layer moisture appeared understood in 1957. the supercell and tornado also provided better insight to the storm-scale environment, which was not well NOAA/National Weather Service Corresponding Author: Chauncy J. Schultz 5250 E. Lee Bird Drive, North Platte, NE 69101-2473 email: [email protected] Schultz, et al. -
Mcminnville, Oregon EF-1 Tornado: Lessons Learned About Cold Core Tornado Forecasting in the Western United States
McMinnville, Oregon EF-1 Tornado: Lessons Learned about Cold Core Tornado Forecasting in the Western United States KEVIN M. DONOFRIO National Weather Service, Portland, Oregon 1. Introduction A short lived, but intense tornado impacted an industrial area of McMinnville, Oregon during the afternoon of June 13, 2013. The NWS Portland storm survey team rated the tornado in McMinnville as an EF-1. The path length was only 0.25 miles, with a path width of about 50 yards. Fortunately there were no injuries or fatalities from the tornado. There was extensive damage to a large metal structure and shop, trailers were thrown from vehicles, and debris crashed through the roof of a mobile home into the sleeping quarters. At least 4 other funnel clouds were reported on social media this same afternoon, all located on the west side of the Willamette Valley in Northwest Oregon. This paper will outline what we can do as forecasters to provide some additional “heads-up” for these types of events. A combination of conceptual and meteorological challenges surrounded this event, and the purpose of this document is to provide tools that can be applied to the forecasting of cold core funnels and non-supercell tornadoes. A brief summary of antecedent synoptic conditions will follow, along with a discussion on observations, model output, and radar signatures. Some tools are then discussed to help aid in situational awareness of the ingredients common to cold core tornadic development. 2. Portland County Warning Area (CWA) WFO Portland has forecast responsibility for an area 60 nautical miles offshore to the crest of the Cascade Mountain Range. -
A Guide to F-Scale Damage Assessment
A Guide to F-Scale Damage Assessment U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service Silver Spring, Maryland Cover Photo: Damage from the violent tornado that struck the Oklahoma City, Oklahoma metropolitan area on 3 May 1999 (Federal Emergency Management Agency [FEMA] photograph by C. Doswell) NOTE: All images identified in this work as being copyrighted (with the copyright symbol “©”) are not to be reproduced in any form whatsoever without the expressed consent of the copyright holders. Federal Law provides copyright protection of these images. A Guide to F-Scale Damage Assessment April 2003 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Donald L. Evans, Secretary National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Vice Admiral Conrad C. Lautenbacher, Jr., Administrator National Weather Service John J. Kelly, Jr., Assistant Administrator Preface Recent tornado events have highlighted the need for a definitive F-scale assessment guide to assist our field personnel in conducting reliable post-storm damage assessments and determine the magnitude of extreme wind events. This guide has been prepared as a contribution to our ongoing effort to improve our personnel’s training in post-storm damage assessment techniques. My gratitude is expressed to Dr. Charles A. Doswell III (President, Doswell Scientific Consulting) who served as the main author in preparing this document. Special thanks are also awarded to Dr. Greg Forbes (Severe Weather Expert, The Weather Channel), Tim Marshall (Engineer/ Meteorologist, Haag Engineering Co.), Bill Bunting (Meteorologist-In-Charge, NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX), Brian Smith (Warning Coordination Meteorologist, NWS Omaha, NE), Don Burgess (Meteorologist, National Severe Storms Laboratory), and Stephan C. -
1 a Review of the Characteristics of Tornadic Wind Fields Through
A Review of the Characteristics of Tornadic Wind Fields through Observations and Simulations Ryan Honerkampa, Guirong Yanb, and Jeffrey C. Snyderc a Department of Civil, Architectural and Environmental Engineering, Missouri University of Science and Technology, Rolla, MO 65409, [email protected] b Department of Civil, Architectural and Environmental Engineering, Missouri University of Science and Technology, Rolla, MO 65409, [email protected] c NOAA/OAR/National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, OK 73072, [email protected] ABSTRACT Tornadoes are violently rotating columns of air that may be produced by convective clouds and storms, and they can produce substantial property damage, injuries, and deaths. To mitigate these losses and encourage accurate modeling and research in the field of civil engineering, with the goal of improving civil structure design, a comprehensive review of field measurements, lab simulations, and computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations of tornadoes is conducted. From this review, several tornadoes are examined and their characteristics presented. Specifically, characteristics of these tornadoes are provided in the following form: velocity of the wind field, pressure distribution associated with the wind field, tornado core radius, and flow structure (i.e., single vortex versus multiple vortices; for single vortex, one-celled versus two-celled). In addition, the driving forces behind tornadoes and the relationships between damage and reported intensity are examined, and the physical and numerical simulation of tornadoes conducted in civil engineering are reviewed. This paper is intended to provide a baseline review so that more accurate simulations of tornadic wind fields in civil engineering research can be made by providing some field-measured data from the meteorology community. -
Lecture 26: Tornadoes I
MET 4300 Lecture 26 Tornadoes I (CH19) A Large Tornado approaches Lyndon, Kansas, on May 8, 2003 Giant tornado near Pilger, Nebraska, on 15 June 2014 Shelf cloud and rotating wall cloud Outline • Definition, life cycle • Tornado formation within supercells (Type I) • Tornado formation within non- supercell thunderstorms (Type II) • Fujita scale • Tornado statistics • Historic cases • Tornado detection, forecasting, and safety TORNADOES • Violently rotating columns of air that extend from a thunderstorm cloud to the ground. • Appears as a condensation funnel or swirl of dust on the ground. • A funnel that does not reach the ground is a Funnel Cloud. • A tornado over water is called a Water Spout. • Weaker dry vortex over land is called a Dust Devil TORNADOES • On average, over 1,000 tornadoes per year in US. An averge of about 56 people killed/975 injured during 2000-2009, but this increased to 110 killed/1207 injured during 2006-2015. • Mainly develop within supercell T-storms, but also form in T- storms along squall lines, near the end of T-storm bow echoes, within land-falling hurricanes, and rarely within ordinary T- storms. • Width: 50-800 m (record width: 2.6 miles OK May 31, 2013) • Wind speed: 57 to over 174 knots (265 kts record high, same OK storm in May31, 2013 ) • 75% of all tornadoes occur in the US. • Life time: mostly short-lived, lasting only minutes (up to 1 hr) • Damage length: 30 miles Characteristics • Maximum winds can be as strong as 125-140 m/s • Type I Tornadoes – Form within the Mesocyclone of a supecell thunderstorm -
A Comprehensive Glossary of Weather Terms for Storm Spotters
NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS SR-145 A COMPREHENSIVE GLOSSARY OF WEATHER TERMS FOR STORM SPOTTERS Michael Branick NOAA/NWS/WFO Norman Contents • Introduction • Glossary (A-B) • Glossary (C-H) • Glossary (I-R) • Glossary (S-Z) • Acknowledgements • Bibliography • Figures Introduction to the First Edition This glossary contains weather-related terms that may be either heard or used by severe local storm spotters or spotter groups. Its purposes are 1) to achieve some level of standardization in the definitions of the terms that are used, and 2) provide a reference from which the meanings of any terms, especially the lesser-used ones, can be found. The idea is to allow smooth and effective communication between storm spotters and forecasters, and vice versa. This is an important necessity within the severe weather warning program. Despite advances in warning and forecasting techniques (e.g., Doppler radar), the human eye will always be a vital part of any effective warning system. Storm spotters are, and always will be, an indispensable part of the severe local storm warning program. A complete list of terms probably is impossible to arrive at, but this list is as comprehensive as possible. Certainly it is not necessary for every spotter to know the meaning of every term contained herein. In this sense, the glossary serves as a reference. In fact, many of the terms may never be heard at all; they are included here just in case, someday, they are. (By the way, inclusion of a term in this glossary does not give license to use it freely in radio or phone communication. -
Tropical Cyclone Tornadoes: a Review of Knowledge in Research and Prediction
Edwards, R., 2012: Tropical cyclone tornadoes: A review of knowledge in research and prediction. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 7 (6), 1–61. Tropical Cyclone Tornadoes: A Review of Knowledge in Research and Prediction ROGER EDWARDS NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, Oklahoma (Submitted 18 August 2011; in final form 7 September 2012) ABSTRACT The scientific documentation and investigation of tropical cyclone (TC) tornadoes has spanned portions of ten decades, but has been missing a documentary overview of topical knowledge accumulated to any given point in that time span. This review article summarizes the evolution of TC tornado-related literature from the perspectives of crucial historic tornadoes, climatology, distribution patterns, applied research into their environments, remote and environmental observations, forecasting practices, and numerical simulations at various scales. Discussion of the future of TC tornado research and prediction includes several testable hypotheses, along with potentially beneficial tools soon to be available to operational forecasters. –––––––––––––––––––––––– 1. Introduction in both tropical and midlatitude supercells. TCs differ somewhat from extratropical baroclinic Tropical cyclone (TC) tornadoes represent a perturbations in supporting tornadic supercell relatively small subset of total U.S. tornado potential, not in the necessity of those basic reports (about 6% from 1995–2009, from ingredients inasmuch as in their relative Edwards 2010). They deserve specialized magnitudes and spatial juxtaposition. -
What Is a Tornado Outbreak? Perspectives Through Time Paulina Ćwik, Renee A
Article What Is a Tornado Outbreak? Perspectives through Time Paulina Ćwik, Renee A. McPherson, and Harold E. Brooks ABSTRACT: The term “tornado outbreak” appeared in the meteorological literature in the 1950s and was used to highlight severe weather events with multiple tornadoes. The exact meaning of “tornado outbreak,” however, evolved over the years. Depending on the availability of scientific data, technological advancements, and the intended purpose of these definitions, authors offered a diverse set of approaches to shape the perception and applications of the term “tornado outbreak.” This paper reviews over 200 peer-reviewed publications—by decade—to outline the evolving nature of the “tornado outbreak” definition and to examine the changes in the “tornado outbreak” definition or its perception. A final discussion highlights the importance, limitations, and potential future evolution of what defines a “tornado outbreak.” KEYWORDS: Atmosphere; North America; Extreme events; Tornadoes; History https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0076.1 Corresponding author: Paulina Ćwik, [email protected] In final form 14 January 2021 ©2021 American Meteorological Society For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy. AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY UnauthenticatedAPRIL | 2021DownloadedE817 09/27/21 03:12 PM UTC AFFILIATIONS: Ćwik and McPherson—Department of Geography and Environmental Sustainability, University of Oklahoma, and South Central Climate Adaptation Science Center, Norman, Oklahoma; Brooks—NOAA/OAR/National Severe Storms Laboratory, and School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma nnually, the United States experiences at least a few days with clusters of tornadoes (Doswell and Schultz 2006) that extensively damage property and infrastructure A and threaten people’s lives. -
Chapter 19: Tornadoes
Chapter 19: Tornadoes Tornado defined Tornado – a violently rotating column of air What is the typical size of a tornado? 50-800 meters (150 ft to 0.5 mile) What range of wind speeds are present in a tornado? 65 mph to over 200 mph What kinds of storms do tornadoes form in? Supercells (most common), squall lines, near end of bow echoes, and within landfalling hurricanes Tornado formation in supercells What causes a supercell thunderstorm to rotate? A process called “tilting” What is the role of the vertical shear in creating this rotation? Imagine a ball in the wind flow If winds at one level are blowing one direction and winds at an upper level blow the opposite direction, it can create a horizontal “roll” of rotation (the ball would spin) Or likewise if the wind speed changes rapidly with height, it can also create a horizontal “roll” of rotation (the faster wind speeds would make the ball start to spin) The strong southerly winds of the low-level jet can provide this low-level wind shear Supercell rotation What happens when you have a vertically sheared environment and an updraft forms? A horizontal “roll” of rotation exists The “roll” of horizontal rotation gets tilted vertically by the updraft! Supercell mesocyclone Mesocyclone – the rotating circulation in a supercell thunderstorm that is associated with the updraft The mesocyclone is associated with an area of lower pressure. What is the typical size of a mesocyclone? 5 km (3 miles) wide Supercells and tornadoes Recall the structure and features of a supercell: Rear flank downdraft (RFD) Forward flank downdraft (FFD) Mesocyclone Clicker Question Rotation in a supercell occurs when ________________.