Observational Analysis of the Interaction Between a Baroclinic Boundary and Supercell Storms on 27 April 2011
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Article a Climatological Perspective on the 2011 Alabama Tornado
Chaney, P. L., J. Herbert, and A. Curtis, 2013: A climatological perspective on the 2011 Alabama tornado outbreak. J. Operational Meteor., 1 (3), 1925, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.15191/nwajom.2013.0103. Journal of Operational Meteorology Article A Climatological Perspective on the 2011 Alabama Tornado Outbreak PHILIP L. CHANEY Auburn University, Auburn, Alabama JONATHAN HERBERT and AMY CURTIS Jacksonville State University, Jacksonville, Alabama (Manuscript received 23 January 2012; in final form 17 September 2012) ABSTRACT This paper presents a comparison of the recent 27 April 2011 tornado outbreak with a tornado climatology for the state of Alabama. The climatology for Alabama is based on tornadoes that affected the state during the 19812010 period. A county-level risk index is produced from this climatology. Tornado tracks from the 2011 outbreak are mapped and compared with the climatology and risk index. There were 62 tornadoes in Alabama on 27 April 2011, including many long-track and intense tornadoes. The event resulted in 248 deaths in the state. The 2011 outbreak is also compared with the April 1974 tornado outbreak in Alabama. 1. Introduction population density (Gagan et al. 2010; Dixon et al. 2011). Tornadoes have been documented in every state in Alabama is affected in the spring and fall by the United States and on every continent except midlatitude cyclones, often associated with severe Antarctica. The United States has by far the most weather and tornadoes. During summer and fall tornado reports annually of any country, averaging tornadoes also can be produced by tropical cyclones. A about 1,300 yr-1. -
Meteorological Overview of the Devastating 27 April 2011 Tornado Outbreak
METEOROLOGICAL OVERVIEW OF THE DEVASTATING 27 APRIL 2011 TORNADO OUTBREAK BY KEVIN R. KNUPP, TODD A. MURPHY, TIMOTHY A. COLEMAN, RYAN A. WADE, STEPHANIE A. MULLINS, CHRISTOPHER J. SCHULTZ, ELISE V. SCHULTZ, LAWRENCE CAREY, ADAM SHERRER, EUGENE W. MCCAUL JR., BRIAN CARCIONE, STEPHEN LATIMER, ANDY KULA, KEVIN LAWS, PATRIck T. MARSH, AND KIM KLOckOW The outbreak of 199 tornadoes on 27 April 2011, the most significant since the dawn of reliable records, was generated by parent storm systems ranging from quasi-linear convective systems to long-lived discrete supercell storms. large number of tornadoes were recorded during 170 tornadoes, mostly EF-0 to EF-2 on the enhanced the spring 2011 season, particularly a record Fujita (EF) scale over primarily three regions: A number (around 758) during the month of April Oklahoma (OK)–Arkansas (AR), southern Mississippi (NOAA 2011; NOAA 2012; Simmons and Sutter (MS)/Alabama (AL), and the mid-Atlantic] and 25–28 2012a,b). A few tornado outbreaks accounted for the April from Texas (TX) to eastern Virginia (VA) (~350 majority of the most damaging and lethal tornadoes, tornadoes, 321 fatalities) and 1-day outbreaks on 22 including extended outbreaks on 14–16 April [about May [~48 tornadoes from OK to Wisconsin (WI), including the lethal EF-5 tornado in Joplin, Missouri AFFILIATIONS: KNUPP, MURPHY, COLEMAN, WADE, MULLINS, C. J. (MO)] and 24 May [~47 tornadoes in Kansas (KS), SCHULTZ, E. V. SCHULTZ, CAREY, AND SHERRER—University of Alabama OK, AR, and TX, including one EF-5 in OK]. in Huntsville, Huntsville, Alabama; MCCAUL—Universities Space In this overview paper, we summarize the tornado Research Association, Columbia, Maryland; CARCIONE, LATIMER, super outbreak of 27 April 2011, defined herein as the AND KULA—National Weather Service, Huntsville, Alabama; 24-h period midnight–midnight central daylight time Laws—National Weather Service, Birmingham, Alabama; (CDT) (0500 UTC). -
Florida's Tornado Climatology: Occurrence Rates, Casualties, and Property Losses Emily Ryan
Florida State University Libraries Electronic Theses, Treatises and Dissertations The Graduate School 2018 Florida's Tornado Climatology: Occurrence Rates, Casualties, and Property Losses Emily Ryan Follow this and additional works at the DigiNole: FSU's Digital Repository. For more information, please contact [email protected] FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY COLLEGE OF SOCIAL SCIENCES & PUBLIC POLICY FLORIDA'S TORNADO CLIMATOLOGY: OCCURRENCE RATES, CASUALTIES, AND PROPERTY LOSSES By EMILY RYAN A Thesis submitted to the Department of Geography in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science 2018 Copyright c 2018 Emily Ryan. All Rights Reserved. Emily Ryan defended this thesis on April 6, 2018. The members of the supervisory committee were: James B. Elsner Professor Directing Thesis David C. Folch Committee Member Mark W. Horner Committee Member The Graduate School has verified and approved the above-named committee members, and certifies that the thesis has been approved in accordance with university requirements. ii TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Tables . v List of Figures . vi Abstract . viii 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Definitions . 1 1.2 Where Tornadoes Occur . 3 1.3 Tornadoes in Florida . 4 1.4 Goals and Objectives . 6 1.5 Tornado Climatology as Geography . 6 1.6 Outline of the Thesis . 7 2 Data and Methods 9 2.1 Data . 9 2.1.1 Tornado Data . 9 2.1.2 Tropical Cyclone Tornado Data . 11 2.1.3 Property Value Data . 13 2.2 Statistical Methods . 15 2.3 Analysis Variables . 16 2.3.1 Occurrence Rates . 16 2.3.2 Casualties . 16 2.3.3 Property Exposures . -
Another Look at the 11 April 1965 Palm Sunday Outbreak
Central Region Technical Attachment Number 15-02 December 2015 Another Look at the 11 April 1965 Palm Sunday Outbreak JON CHAMBERLAIN National Weather Service, Rapid City, South Dakota ABSTRACT The 11 April 1965 tornado outbreak was one of the most devastating tornado outbreaks in recorded history, affecting six Midwestern states with significant loss of life and property. This storm system was particularly interesting for the number of discrete tornadic supercells in the southern Great Lakes, especially given the number of F3+ tornadoes. In addition, many supercells were observed to contain multiple funnels and multiple tornado cyclones (some occurring simultaneously). Dr. Theodore Fujita performed a comprehensive analysis of this event in the late 1960s, featuring a detailed analysis of both the meteorology and tornado damage paths. However, technology and science have progressed much between 1970 and 2015, with new forecast parameters and techniques available to forecasters. The Palm Sunday Outbreak of 1965 was re-examined using modern-day severe weather forecast parameters derived from observational data to help understand why this storm system produced such violent thunderstorms, particularly across extreme northern Indiana. In order to do this, approximately 200 handwritten surface observations were obtained from the National Climatic Data Center’s Electronic Digital Archive Data System web interface. Once these observations were put into a database, several surface weather maps, synthetic soundings, hodographs, and upper-level analyses were constructed. These data, along with archived upper-air data, were used to calculate several severe weather forecast parameters, which truly revealed the magnitude of the event. 1. Introduction The 11 April 1965 tornado outbreak was one of the most devastating tornado outbreaks in recorded history. -
Program Agenda (Updated 10 October 2011) National Weather
Program Agenda (Updated 10 October 2011) changes or additions from previous update in red National Weather Association 36th Annual Meeting Wynfrey Hotel, Birmingham, Alabama October 15-20, 2011 Theme: The End Game - From Research and Technology to Best Forecast and Response See the main meeting page http://www.nwas.org/meetings/nwa2011/ for information on the meeting hotel, exhibits, sponsorships and registration Authors, please inform the Program Committee at [email protected] for any corrections or changes required in the listing of your presentations or abstracts as soon as possible. This agenda will be updated periodically as changes occur. Instructions for uploading your presentation to the FTP site can be found here. All presenters please read the presentation tips which explain the AV systems, poster board sizes and provide suggestions for good presentations. All activities will be held in the Wynfrey Hotel unless otherwise noted. Please check in at the NWA Information and Registration desk at the Wynfrey Hotel earliest to receive nametags, program and the most current information. Saturday, October 15 10:00am NWA Aviation Workshop at the Southern Museum of Flight. Contact Terry Lankford [email protected] for more information. The workshop is from 10 am until 1 pm. 10:00am NWA WeatherFest at the McWane Science Center. Contact James-Paul Dice [email protected] for more information. The event is from 10 am until 2 pm. 11:00am NWA Ninth Annual Scholarship Golf Outing, Bent Brook Golf Course, sponsored by Baron Services. Contact Betsy Kling [email protected] for more information or to sign-up. -
3.5 an Overview of the 28 April 2014 Tornado Outbreak in the Tennessee Valley
3.5 An Overview of the 28 April 2014 Tornado Outbreak in the Tennessee Valley Christopher B. Darden, Brian C. Carcione, David J. Nadler, Kristopher D. White National Weather Service, Huntsville, AL Bryce R. Williams Department of Atmospheric Science, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL 1. Introduction The synoptic pattern at 0000 UTC on 29 Although 2014 is generally considered April (during the heart of the event) was marked to be an overall below-normal severe weather by a closed low pressure area centered over year, late April 2014 was marked by a typically- southeastern Nebraska at 500 hPa (Figure 3), active period across the southeastern United resulting in a negatively-tilted trough across the States, including a record rainfall event along the Mississippi and Tennessee valleys. East of the Gulf Coast on 29 April, and a regional tornado low, modest ridging created diffluent flow from outbreak on 28-29 April. That tornado outbreak the Tennessee Valley into the eastern Great affected primarily Mississippi (including an EF- Lakes. 4 tornado which struck the town of Louisville, The surface map from 0000 UTC 29 MS) and Alabama, but also impacted Tennessee April (Figure 4) indicated a cyclone directly and western Georgia (Figure 1). under its 500 hPa counterpart with an occluded The National Weather Service weather front extending eastward across Iowa into central forecast office (WFO) in Huntsville, Alabama Illinois. The primary cold front extended covers 11 counties in northern Alabama and southward along the Mississippi River into three counties in southern Tennessee. Within Louisiana, then westward into south Texas. -
U.S. Violent Tornadoes Relative to the Position of the 850-Mb
U.S. VIOLENT TORNADOES RELATIVE TO THE POSITION OF THE 850 MB JET Chris Broyles1, Corey K. Potvin 2, Casey Crosbie3, Robert M. Rabin4, Patrick Skinner5 1 NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, Oklahoma 2 Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, and School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, and NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma 3 NOAA/NWS/CWSU, Indianapolis, Indiana 4 National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma 5 Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, and NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma Abstract The Violent Tornado Webpage from the Storm Prediction Center has been used to obtain data for 182 events (404 violent tornadoes) in which an F4-F5 or EF4-EF5 tornado occurred in the United States from 1950 to 2014. The position of each violent tornado was recorded on a gridded plot compared to the 850 mb jet center within 90 minutes of the violent tornado. The position of each 850 mb jet was determined using the North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) from 1979 to 2014 and NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis from 1950 to 1978. Plots are shown of the position of each violent tornado relative to the center of the 850 mb low-level jet. The United States was divided into four parts and the plots are available for the southern Plains, northern Plains, northeastern U.S. and southeastern U.S with a division between east and west at the Mississippi River. Great Plains violent tornadoes clustered around a center about 130 statute miles to the left and slightly ahead of the low-level jet center while eastern U.S. -
1974 Tornado Super Outbreak Report
Analysis and Reconstruction of the 1974 Tornado Super Outbreak RMS Special Report TM Risk Management Solutions I NTRODUCTION The Super Outbreak of tornadoes that occurred on April 3-4, 1974 was the most intense and widespread tornado outbreak in recorded history. In total, 148 tornadoes spanned 13 states producing about 900 square miles (2331 square km) of tornado damage in less than 18 hours. This report reviews the event’s meteorological and damage characteristics, describes the impact subsequent research had on tornado risk models, and examines the property losses possible if the outbreak were to occur today. 1 1974 Super Tornado Outbreak Copyright 2004 Risk Management Solutions, Inc. All Rights Reserved. April 2, 2004 M ETEOROLOGICAL C HARACTERISTICS Looking back, the atmospheric characteristics preceding the super outbreak provided clear evidence of the high potential for widespread tornado development. On the evening of April 2, 1974 a deep area of low pressure (983 millibars) over the Colorado-Kansas border created strong winds blowing from the south over the lower Mississippi River Valley. This forced high-humidity air northward from the Gulf of Mexico to the lower Midwest and Ohio Valley states. This moist layer of air was “capped” by warm, dry air, which limited thunderstorm development and created highly unstable atmospheric conditions. Recognizing this, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issued preliminary severe weather alerts on the morning of April 2 for much of the central and southern plains states. During the morning of April 3, the center of low pressure moved northeastward to the Iowa- Illinois border. As the air warmed up during the day and winds converged near the ground, an explosive and sudden outbreak of thunderstorms developed around 2:00 pm Central Daylight Time (CDT). -
Downloaded 10/11/21 06:05 AM UTC FIG
Some Noteworthy Aspects ^m! D ld w B )n5S of the Hesston,7 Kansas,1 anT!d Joh.n cF. rWeave''r Tornado Family of 13 March 1990 Abstract eastern Kansas that produced a family of five torna- does, including a violent tornado that struck the town This paper considers a tornadic storm that struck south-central of Hesston, north-northwest of Wichita, Kansas. and eastern Kansas on 13 March 1990. Most of the devastation was The Hesston supercell produced a family of at least associated with the first tornado from the storm as it passed through five tornadoes, with a combined path of nearly 170 km Hesston, Kansas. From the synoptic-scale and mesoscale view- points, the event was part of an outbreak of tornadoes on a day when (105 mi). The first three tornadoes in the series were the tornado threat was synoptically evident. Satellite imagery, com- particularly well documented photographically. With bined with conventional data, suggest that the Hesston storm was good visibility and timely warnings from the National affected by a preexisting, mesoscale outflow boundary laid down by Weather Service, several citizens were able to obtain morning storms. Radar and satellite data give clear indication of the excellent photographs and video recordings of the supercellular character of the storm, despite limited radar data coverage. event from a number of vantage points. The resulting Because of the considerable photographic coverage, several visual record provides an opportunity to examine interesting features of the storm were recorded and are analyzed some of the noteworthy events associated with the here. -
AC Rebuttals Tornadoes 042621
Claim: Global warming is causing more and stronger tornadoes REBUTTAL Tornadoes are failing to follow “global warming” based predictions. Strong tornadoes have seen a drop in frequency since the 1950s. The years 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, and 2016 all saw below average to near record low tornado counts in the U.S. since records began in 1954. 2017 rebounded only to the long-term mean while 2018 activity has returned to well below the 25th percentile. This lull followed a very active and deadly strong La Nina of 2010/11, which like the strong La Nina of 1973/74 produced record setting and very deadly outbreaks of tornadoes. When an amplified La Nina like jet stream pattern developed in the spring of 2019, a very active period raised the seasonal total to above the 50th percentile for the first time in years. A similar transient pattern in April 2019 produced a major outbreak centered on Easter Sunday. Population growth and expansion outside urban areas have exposed more people to the tornadoes that once roared through open fields. Tornado detection improved with the addition of Doppler radar (NEXRAD), the growth of the trained spotter networks, storm chasers armed with cellular data and imagery as well as the proliferation of cell phone cameras and social media. This shows up most in the weak EF0 tornado count but for storms from moderate EF1 to strong EF 3+ intensity, the trend has been down despite improved detection. Tornadoes like most all weather extremes are driven by natural factors with active seasons strongly correlated with stronger La Nina events and the cold phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, which favors more frequent and stronger La Ninas. -
United States April & May 2011 Severe Weather Outbreaks
Impact Forecasting United States April & May 2011 Severe Weather Outbreaks June 22, 2011 Table of Contents Executive Summary 2 April 3-5, 2011 3 April 8-11, 2011 5 April 14-16, 2011 8 April 19-21, 2011 13 April 22-28, 2011 15 May 9-13, 2011 26 May 21-27, 2011 28 May 28-June 1, 2011 36 Notable Severe Weather Facts: April 1 - June 1, 2011 39 Additional Commentary: Why so many tornado deaths? 41 Appendix A: Historical U.S. Tornado Statistics 43 Appendix B: Costliest U.S. Tornadoes Since 1950 44 Appendix C: Enhanced Fujita Scale 45 Appendix D: Severe Weather Terminology 46 Impact Forecasting | U.S. April & May 2011 Severe Weather Outbreaks Event Recap Report 1 Executive Summary An extremely active stretch of severe weather occurred across areas east of the Rocky Mountains during a period between early April and June 1. At least eight separate timeframes saw widespread severe weather activity – five of which were billion dollar (USD) outbreaks. Of the eight timeframes examined in this report, the two most notable stretches occurred between April 22-28 and May 21-27: The late-April stretch saw the largest tornado outbreak in world history occur (334 separate tornado touchdowns), which led to catastrophic damage throughout the Southeast and the Tennessee Valley. The city of Tuscaloosa, Alabama took a direct hit from a high-end EF-4 tornado that caused widespread devastation. At least three EF-5 tornadoes touched down during this outbreak. The late-May stretch was highlighted by an outbreak that spawned a massive EF-5 tornado that destroyed a large section of Joplin, Missouri. -
Louisville, Kentucky
National Weather Service Photo: Wade Bell, Leavenworth, Indiana Louisville, Kentucky Welcome Welcome to the eleventh edition of National Weather Service (NWS) Louisville’s Shareholders Report. You are a shareholder in the NWS! This report details the activities of NWS Louisville in our area of responsibility across southern Indiana and central Kentucky during 2015. From our perspective, 2015 will be remembered for three weeks toward the end of the winter season with plenty of cold and snow. The worst storm struck March 4-5, which is summarized at weather.gov/lmk/march_2015_flood_and_snowstorm. One month later, on April 3-10, during a lengthy period of severe weather and flash flooding, we provided onsite weather support for a six-alarm fire at the General Electric (GE) plant in Louisville (weather.gov/lmk/April_3_10_2015_SevereEvents). Our top four highlights of 2015 were: • Instituting a new online storm spotter class, weather.gov/lmk/onlineskywarn • Two new educational videos about winter weather, posted on our YouTube channel • A major upgrade to the computer system we use for forecasts and warnings • When the Doppler radar at Fort Knox had mechanical troubles during a severe weather outbreak on December 23, Electronics Technician Todd Adkins stayed with the radar and kept it operating until the severe weather threat was over. Todd then fixed the radar on Christmas Day when the needed parts arrived. The NWS was appropriated $1.06 billion for Fiscal Year 2015, which was an investment of $3.30 per American. As the leader of NWS Louisville, I feel it is my duty to report to you how your holdings have fared.