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A School Place Planning Strategy 2018 to 2023 Newham.Gov.Uk

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A School Place Planning Strategy 2018 to 2023 Newham.Gov.Uk Places for All A School Place Planning Strategy 2018 to 2023 newham.gov.uk Contents 1.0 Executive Summary ..................................................................................................................... 3 1.1 Mainstream Education ............................................................................................................ 3 1.2 Special Education Needs and Disabilities ................................................................................ 4 1.3 Early Years ............................................................................................................................... 4 1.4 Post-16 Education and Training .............................................................................................. 5 1.5 Next Steps ............................................................................................................................... 5 2.0 Compulsory Education ................................................................................................................ 6 2.1 Monitoring Demand for Mainstream Pupil Places ................................................................. 6 2.2 Pupil demographics for Primary and Secondary Schools ....................................................... 6 2.3 Funding to commission new school places ............................................................................. 8 2.4 Process to provide additional mainstream school places ....................................................... 9 3.0 Forecasting for Mainstream School Places ............................................................................... 11 3.1 Planning areas ............................................................................................................................. 11 3.2 Secondary School Places Forecasts ....................................................................................... 12 3.3 Schools within the Secondary Pupil Place Planning Area ..................................................... 14 3.4 Year 7 Forecasts .................................................................................................................... 14 3.5 Overall Secondary Forecasts ....................................................................................................... 16 3.6 Primary School Place Forecasts .................................................................................................. 17 3.7 Beckton Planning Area ................................................................................................................ 20 3.8 Canning Town and Custom House Primary Planning Area ......................................................... 21 3.9 East Ham Planning Area .............................................................................................................. 25 4.0 Forest Gate Planning Area .......................................................................................................... 27 4.1 Manor Park Primary Planning Area ............................................................................................. 29 4.2 Plaistow Primary Planning Area .................................................................................................. 31 4.3 Stratford Primary Planning Area ................................................................................................. 33 5.0 Special Educational Needs provision .................................................................................... 36 5.1 Duties for children and young people aged 0 to 25 with SEND ............................................ 36 5.2 SEND Provision ...................................................................................................................... 36 5.3 An inclusive approach to special educational needs and disability (SEND) .......................... 38 5.4 SEND Needs analysis ............................................................................................................. 38 5.5 SEND Emerging plans ............................................................................................................ 38 1 | P a g e 5.6 Pupil Referral Units and Alternative Provision ..................................................................... 39 Appendix A: Births ................................................................................................................................ 40 Appendix B: Types of Schools in Newham ............................................................................................ 42 Appendix C: School place planning methodology................................................................................. 43 Appendix D: Capital Basic Need Projects Undertaken .......................................................................... 45 Appendix E: 16-19 place analysis and projections ................................................................................ 47 2 | P a g e 1.0 Executive Summary Local Authorities have a statutory duty towards the spiritual, moral, mental and physical development of the community by securing sufficient education provision to meet the needs of the population within their area. This duty encompasses provision for all primary and secondary aged pupils from to sixteen years of age; provision of post-16 places; provision of early years places from birth to the age of five; and provision of specialist education places for any child that requires a place from birth extending to the age of 25. This place planning strategy makes recommendations for adjustments in the supply of future provision based on forecasts of need. The five year forecasts include population growth that is anticipated from Newham’s housing development programme. The strategy has been developed with engagement from head teachers and governors from schools in Newham. It includes provision for Special Education Needs and Disabilities, Early Years, and Post-16 planning. By providing information to residents and stakeholders, the purpose of this strategy is to provide a platform for transparency and engagement on decision-making for future school provision. The last ten years has seen an increasing child population in Newham which has increased the demand for education provision. The Office of National Statistics mid-year population estimates have identified Newham as having the third highest 0 to 15 aged population in London. Although recent birth trends indicate that the large increases previously experienced in births have now slowed down, this has also been reflected in the birth rate in Newham. Newham’s Local Plan has identified approximately 19,000 new homes to be delivered over the next five years and beyond. This place planning strategy incorporates the latest pupil projections based on known live births, housing yields and current trends to ensure resources are prioritised accordingly to deliver the best provision for all. 1.1 Mainstream Education Newham has responded proactively to the increases in its mainstream primary aged population by providing additional primary places through the expansion of existing schools. The primary January School Census (2018) evidenced an increase of an additional 6,000 pupils being educated within Newham from January 2010 to January 2018. After a period of continuous primary school roll growth the latest pupil projections have identified: 1. The level of live births has stopped rising and has levelled out over recent years. The significant increases in the number of pupils joining reception year is not forecast to increase further and therefore primary numbers will stabilise into the future, other than in those areas where significant additional housing is planned. 2. A number of primary schools have raised concerns over an increasing number of unfilled places experienced in their schools. This is a trend that has been experienced across London due to a decrease in births. Factors such as the unaffordability of homes, the economic viability of families to remain in London and trends in migration rates have caused uncertainty. 3. Sufficient infrastructure is required to meet the need of 19,000 planned new homes in the borough. The occupation of these developments will increase the population of Newham 3 | P a g e and subsequently the demand for school provision. The potential pupil yield from residential developments impacts specifically in the pupil place planning areas of: Beckton - forecasts show a deficit of places from 2021/22; Canning Town & Custom House - a potential deficit of places from 2023/24; and Stratford - a deficit of places from 2022/23. Canning Town & Custom House primary place planning area shows the largest deficit of places arising from the pupil yield from new housing. Potential increases from pupil yield will have an impact across all school year groups. Provision has been made within the Infrastructure Delivery Plan to provide additional primary places in response to the housing developments. It is important to acknowledge that forecasts based on anticipated pupil yield are more volatile than forecasts based on known birth data and school cohort growth patterns. Many external factors impact pupil yields such as the completion date of the development; changes in housing mix or number of bedrooms; the development being occupied by existing Newham residents thereby not increasing the overall population but moving from over-crowded housing to new housing; economic and social factors, national and local policies and trends can impact
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