University of Pennsylvania ScholarlyCommons Publicly Accessible Penn Dissertations 2015 Organizational Fragmentation and the Trajectory of Militant Splinter Groups Evan James Perkoski University of Pennsylvania,
[email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://repository.upenn.edu/edissertations Part of the International Relations Commons Recommended Citation Perkoski, Evan James, "Organizational Fragmentation and the Trajectory of Militant Splinter Groups" (2015). Publicly Accessible Penn Dissertations. 1943. https://repository.upenn.edu/edissertations/1943 This paper is posted at ScholarlyCommons. https://repository.upenn.edu/edissertations/1943 For more information, please contact
[email protected]. Organizational Fragmentation and the Trajectory of Militant Splinter Groups Abstract Militant organizations commonly break down and split apart, with new groups emerging from the ranks of existing organizations. From Syria to Iraq to Afghanistan, militant groups have splintered and proliferated in this way, creating fragmented oppositions that significantly complicate the conflict landscape. This process of organizational splintering historically has created some of the deadliest and most well known organizations including Al Shabaab, Black September, and the Real IRA. However, at other times the new organizations have quickly disappeared, failing to impact the conflict in any meaningful way.What explains this variation in the trajectory of militant splinter groups over time? Specifically, this dissertation explores why some organizational fractures produce new groups that are durable and increasingly radicalized, while others merely fall apart. This is an important topic that has ramifications for how academics and policymakers alike understand the behavior of specific actors and also the evolution of fragmented conflicts around the globe. I develop a new theory to explain variation in rates of survival and radicalization that focuses on the content and the consistency of internal organizational preferences.