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1976/10/15-16: Iowa, Illinois, and Missouri (2)” of the Robert T The original documents are located in Box 29, folder “Trips - 1976/10/15-16: Iowa, Illinois, and Missouri (2)” of the Robert T. Hartmann Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Copyright Notice The copyright law of the United States (Title 17, United States Code) governs the making of photocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. Gerald Ford donated to the United States of America his copyrights in all of his unpublished writings in National Archives collections. Works prepared by U.S. Government employees as part of their official duties are in the public domain. The copyrights to materials written by other individuals or organizations are presumed to remain with them. If you think any of the information displayed in the PDF is subject to a valid copyright claim, please contact the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. ( r- Digitized from Box 29 of the Robert T. Hartmann Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library H t"i t"i Hz 0 H (ll ILLINOIS October 16, 1976 TABLE OF CONTENTS I. CAMPAIGN '76 A. PFC and Republican Party Leadership PFC Officials Republican Party Officials College Republicans Young Republicans National Federation of Republican Women B. Elected State Officials C. Advocates to the State D. Review of Major State Races E. PFC Campaign Overview F. Carter Campaign Campaign Officials Campaign Strategy G. Public Opinion Polls II. ISSUE GUIDANCE III. QUESTIONS & ANSWERS Q&As on Local Illinois Issues IV. STATE PROFILE Famous Citizens, Demographics, Econo~ic Base and History V. PRESS ANALYSIS VI. REVENUE SHARING A. General R2venue Sharing B. Sample of Actual Uses of General Revenue Sharing C. Revenue Sharing Disbursements by County () H ~8 >ZtU H HO (j) H z tfl -..J 0'1 A. PFC AND REPUBLICAN PARTY LEADERSHIP PFC Officials Chairman Richard B. Ogilvie Steering Committee Members Charles H. Percy Robert Michael Edward Derwinski Phillip Crane Lewis J. Kasper Hal Tyrrell Al Jourdan Don Tappen Sharon Sharp Carl Hansen Carl Hansen Celeste Stiehl Marguerite Church Les Arends William Cellini Art Fall Republican Party Officials Chairman Don Adams Chairwoman Teddi Inman National Committeeman Harold B. Smith, Jr. National Committeewoman Crete Huddleston Young Republicans State President Bob Thibeault College Republicans State President Jeff Baker State FQderation of Republican Women State President Josephine Olinger National Federation of Republican Women State President Pat Hutar B. ELECTED FEDERAL AND MAJOR STATE OFFICIALS Governor Dan Walker {D) Lt. Governor Neil Hartigan (D) Secretary of State Michael Howlett (D) Attorney General William J. Scott (R) Senators Adlai Stevenson (D) Charles Percy (R) Republican Congressmen Ed Derwinski 3rd District Henry Hyde 6th District Phillip Crane 12th District Robert McClory 13th District John Erlenborn 14th District John Anderson 16th District' Georg-=- O"·Br ien 17th District Robert Michael 18th District Tom Railsback 19th District Paul Findley 20th District Ed Madigan 21st District (Republicans hold 11 out of 24 Congressional seats) C. ADVOCATES IN ILLINOIS September 19 John Anderson September 20 John Anderson September 21 Vice President Rockefeller Chicago William Simon Champaign September 22 Elliot Richardson Rockford September 23 Elliot Richardson Chicago September 24 Carla Hills Springfield Elliot Richardson Chicago September 27 Senator Dole Moline/Quincy September 28 David Mathews Chicago Virginia Knauer Chicago Senator Dole Decatur September 29 William Coleman Chicago Senator Dole Chicago October 1 Jack and Susan Ford Springfield Jacob Javits Chicago October 4 Robert Packwood Chicago October 5 Robert Packwood Chicago October 7 Vice President Rockefeller Chicago Senator Dole Chicago Francine Neff Chicago October 8 Jerry Thomas Chicago Steve Ford Chicago Paul Mccloskey Chicago October 9 Steve Ford Lincoln Frank Zarb Chicago October 10 Senator Dole Chicago October 12 John Connally Chicago Barry Goldwater Chicago October 15 Mitch Kobelinski Frank Zarb '· .... ,.-.t .. , J"",./•"' "=" --,-................. ~ D. REVIEW OF MAJOR ILLINOIS RACES Governor Incumbent Daniel Walker (D) was defeated in his primary race for renomination by Michael J. Howlett, an Irishman from Chicago's South Side who has been closely identified with Mayor Daley's Democratic machine. The Republican challenger is James R. Thompson whose political reputation arises from his record of a 90% conviction rate in the over 300 prosecutions he brought as U. S. Attorney for Northern Illinois. Howlett, who had handily won his three statewide campaigns for Secretary of State, was embarrassed during his primary campaign by allegations that he had accepted $15,000 a year consulting fee from a Chicago steel company while in office. Thompson has been subtly contrasting this challenge to Howlett's integrity to his own record as a crimebuster. Although Howlett has been outspending Thompson .almost two to one, his connections with the Democratic organizations have not been helpful to his campaign. Relations between Daley and Howlett have been strained, particularly during Carter's two recent visits to Illinois. Walker also has been lukewarm, still smarting from the war of epithets during tte primary battle: Walker called Howlett a ••naley puppet and stooge" and Howlett called Walker a "bum and an SOB". But Democratic forces are regrouping as the election approaches. Traditional Republican strength lies in the Chicago suburbs and small towns downstate. Walker carried much of the downstate vote in his successful 1972 race against Governor Ogilvie, but Howlett is losing to Thompson there this year. Even in Chicago where Howlett's concentrating most of his effort, Thompson is several points ahead (mid-September poll). Thompson is running a steady statewide campaign, even to the extent of taking time to marry for the first time. An interesting sidelight in the campaign is that Howlett and Thompson are competing for a two-year term. By state Constitutional amendment, Illinois voters will elect a Governor this year and again in 1978 in order to revise the system of electing a Governor in Presidential election years. The term that begins in 1979 will again be a four-year tenn. Thompson leads in the polls by as much as 20 points. Senate There are no Senatorial races in Illinois this year. House of Representatives Of the 24 Congressional Districts in Illinois, 10 are heid by Democrats who appear secure. The 11 Republican incumbents are also secure, but tight races are occurring in three currently Democratic Districts. Republican candidates could gain seats in the following Districts: Third District (Southwest Chicago and suburbs) Ronald Buikema is running a hard fought and well financed campaign against labor-backed incumbent Martin Russo, a Daley loyalist. Jimmy Carter and Hubert Humphrey have both appeared at Russo's fund-raisers. Buikema is exploiting Russo's friendship with Wayne Hays and his financial support from labor. Buikema has close ties to the influential Christian Reformed Church and was President of the local Bar Association, connections that bolster his candidacy in a district that went unexpectedly Democratic in 1974. Tenth District (Northern Chicago suburbs) Incumbent Abner Mikva (D) and former Congressman Samuel H. Young (R) are again locked in a tight race. Their past campaigns have been hotly contested and the final weeks of this one are likely to be bitter. The constituency of this district is rapidly changing and the outcome is unpredictable. Republican polls give Young a slight edge. Fifteenth District (North Central - Aurora) Republican challenger Tom Corcoran is mounting an effective campaign against incumbent Tim Hall whose victory in 1974 was considered "a miracle". Corcoran is attacking Hall's liberal voting record and is aided in his attacks by a well-organized Republican campaign team. Hall is running on his personality and service to constituents, but Corcoran, whose politics are conservative despite his close tie to the moderate Ogilvie, is hitting hard on issues such as government spending, welfare, inflation and big government. E. PFC CAMPAIGN OVERVIEW Overview Illinois is a crucial Midwestern state which has been with the winning candidate in every Presidential election since 1920. It is a microcosm of America, in that it combines the many diverse racial, ethnic, religious, political, economic and geographic elements that comprise the Nation as a whole. While there is some residual bitterness remaining from the Republican primary last spring, Phil Craine, Ronald Reagan's primary campaign chairman, is serving as a member of the State PFC Steering Committee and his participation has been somewhat helpful in neutralizing this problem. The Democrats are having greater problems of divisiveness, however, as a result their hotly contested Democratic gubernatorial contest that resulted in the upset victory of Richard Daley's hand-picked candidate, Secretary of State Michael Howlett, by incumbent Governor Dan Walker. Eugene McCarthy could play a significant role in the election outcome as his votes would clearly deny far more support to Carter than to yourself. The breakthrough point in terms of a significant McCarthy margin is 5 percent of the total statewide vote according to state PFC sources. PFC organizational strategy has centered on six counties whose combined vote contribution equals 60 percent of the total statewide Republican vote. These areas are as follows: Cook Will DuPage Kane Lake Winnebago Considerable effort is being made to consolidate your vote with such special voter groups as farmers, ethnics, Jews, and Catholics. Advocate appearances, direct mailings, and public endorsements of your candidacy by acknowledged leaders with these groups have formed the basis of this special program. RNC Phone Centers There are 41 centers composed of 310 phone units which have been set up in Illinois. These centers were fully operational as of September 26 and 1,704,325 calls are expected to be completed prior to election date. As of October 12, approximately 2 6% or 102,166 of the calls have been made. The phone centers are targeted by Congressional Districts instead of precincts. These target areas are essentially in Cook County or in the collar counties surrounding Cook.
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