Radicalisation and Resilience Case Study Tunisia
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Country of Origin Information Report Syria June 2021
Country of origin information report Syria June 2021 Page 1 of 102 Country of origin information report Syria | June 2021 Publication details City The Hague Assembled by Country of Origin Information Reports Section (DAF/AB) Disclaimer: The Dutch version of this report is leading. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Netherlands cannot be held accountable for misinterpretations based on the English version of the report. Page 2 of 102 Country of origin information report Syria | June 2021 Table of contents Publication details ............................................................................................2 Table of contents ..........................................................................................3 Introduction ....................................................................................................5 1 Political and security situation .................................................................... 6 1.1 Political and administrative developments ...........................................................6 1.1.1 Government-held areas ....................................................................................6 1.1.2 Areas not under government control. ............................................................... 11 1.1.3 COVID-19 ..................................................................................................... 13 1.2 Armed groups ............................................................................................... 13 1.2.1 Government forces ....................................................................................... -
INTERNALLY DISPLACED PERSONS CAMP POPULATION DENSITY and MULTIDIMENSIONAL POVERTY in NORTHERN SYRIA a Thesi
FORGOTTEN CITIZENS: INTERNALLY DISPLACED PERSONS CAMP POPULATION DENSITY AND MULTIDIMENSIONAL POVERTY IN NORTHERN SYRIA A Thesis submitted to the Faculty of the Graduate School of Arts and Sciences of Georgetown University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts in Public Policy By Mahir Ali Sheikh B.A. Washington D.C. April 13, 2021 Copyright 2021 by Mahir Ali Sheikh All Rights Reserved ii FORGOTTEN CITIZENS: INTERNALLY DISPLACED PERSONS CAMP POPULATION DENSITY AND MULTIDIMENSIONAL POVERTY IN NORTHERN SYRIA Mahir Ali Sheikh, B.A. Advisor: Stipica Mudrazijia Ph.D. Abstract The Syrian humanitarian emergency is one of the largest in recent memory and has deteriorated beyond expectations leaving millions displaced. According to UNHCR, there are 6.6 million Syrian Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs), many of whom do not have access to basic needs and services to escape protracted displacement. Those who cannot find shelter in urban environments create informal campsites or migrate towards camps set up by humanitarian organizations throughout the country. Campsites increase access to resources and create a stable community that in turn increases economic and social opportunities. Yet, Syria's volatile situation has led camps to be overcrowded, in turn, limiting resources and having downward pressure on livelihoods. The higher population density in these camps increases poverty levels and limits this population's upward mobility opportunities that have already been devastated by war and violent conflict. Therefore, this thesis aims to test the hypothesis that increased population density within IDP camps is associated with poverty. Data from the Assistance Coordination Unit (a non-profit based in Syria) provides insight into IDP camps' access to basic needs and essential services and population dynamics, giving clarity on the current situation of Syrian IDPs located in the Northern governates of Idlib and Aleppo. -
Tunisian Islamism Beyond Democratization
Tunisian Islamism beyond Democratization Fabio Merone Dissertation submitted in fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor in Political and Social Sciences Promotor: Prof. dr. Sami Zemni 1 Acknowledgments This dissertation is the outcome of several years of work and research. Such an achievement is not possible without the help and support of many people. First and foremost, I wish to present my special thanks to Pr. Francesco Cavatorta. He met me in Tunisia and stimulated this research project. He was a special assistant and colleague throughout the long path to the achievement of this work. I would like to show my gratitude in the second place to a special person who enjoyed to be called Abou al-Mouwahed. He was my privileged guide to the world of the Salafist sahwa (revival) and of its young constituency. Thirdly, I would like to pay my regards to my supervisor, pr. Sami Zemni, that proposed to join the friendly and intellectually creative MENARG group and always made me feel an important member of it. I would like to thank also all those whose assistance proved to be a milestone in the accomplishment of my end goal, in particular to all Tunisians that shared with me the excitement and anxiety of that period of amazing historical transformation. Last, but not least, I would like to show my warm thank to my sweet daughter that grew up together with this research, and my wife, both paying sometimes the prize of a hard and tiring period of life. This research project was funded in several periods. -
Jihadism in Africa Local Causes, Regional Expansion, International Alliances
SWP Research Paper Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik German Institute for International and Security Affairs Guido Steinberg and Annette Weber (Eds.) Jihadism in Africa Local Causes, Regional Expansion, International Alliances RP 5 June 2015 Berlin All rights reserved. © Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, 2015 SWP Research Papers are peer reviewed by senior researchers and the execu- tive board of the Institute. They express exclusively the personal views of the authors. SWP Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik German Institute for International and Security Affairs Ludwigkirchplatz 34 10719 Berlin Germany Phone +49 30 880 07-0 Fax +49 30 880 07-100 www.swp-berlin.org [email protected] ISSN 1863-1053 Translation by Meredith Dale (Updated English version of SWP-Studie 7/2015) Table of Contents 5 Problems and Recommendations 7 Jihadism in Africa: An Introduction Guido Steinberg and Annette Weber 13 Al-Shabaab: Youth without God Annette Weber 31 Libya: A Jihadist Growth Market Wolfram Lacher 51 Going “Glocal”: Jihadism in Algeria and Tunisia Isabelle Werenfels 69 Spreading Local Roots: AQIM and Its Offshoots in the Sahara Wolfram Lacher and Guido Steinberg 85 Boko Haram: Threat to Nigeria and Its Northern Neighbours Moritz Hütte, Guido Steinberg and Annette Weber 99 Conclusions and Recommendations Guido Steinberg and Annette Weber 103 Appendix 103 Abbreviations 104 The Authors Problems and Recommendations Jihadism in Africa: Local Causes, Regional Expansion, International Alliances The transnational terrorism of the twenty-first century feeds on local and regional conflicts, without which most terrorist groups would never have appeared in the first place. That is the case in Afghanistan and Pakistan, Syria and Iraq, as well as in North and West Africa and the Horn of Africa. -
The Tunisian Democratic Transition in Comparative Perspective
Multiple but Complementary, Not Conflictual, Leaderships: The Tunisian Democratic Transition in Comparative Perspective Alfred Stepan Downloaded from http://direct.mit.edu/daed/article-pdf/145/3/95/1830770/daed_a_00400.pdf by guest on 30 September 2021 Abstract: Many classic studies of leadership focus on strong leadership in the singular. This essay focuses on effective leaderships in the plural. Some of the greatest failures of democratic transitions (Egypt, Syria, Libya) have multiple but highly conflictual leaderships. However, a key lesson in democratization theory is that successful democratic transitions often involve the formation of a powerful coalition, within the op- position, of one-time enemies. This was accomplished in Chile, Spain, and Indonesia. In greater detail, this essay examines Tunisia, the sole reasonably successful democratic transition of the Arab Spring. In all four cases, religious tensions had once figured prominently, yet were safely transcended by the actions of multiple leaders via mutual ideological and religious accommodations, negotiated socioeconomic pacts, and unprecedented political cooperation. A multiplicity of cooperating leaders, rather than a single “strong leader,” produced effective democratic leadership in Tunisia, Indonesia, Spain, and Chile. ALFRED STEPAN, a Fellow of the American Academy since 1991, is Many of the classic studies of leadership focus on the Wallace Sayre Professor of Gov- strong leadership in the singular.1 In this essay, I focus ernment Emeritus at Columbia instead on effective leaderships in the plural, partic- University. He previously taught at ularly in democratic transitions. Some of the greatest Oxford University and Yale Uni- failures of democratic transitions have multiple but versity. He was elected a Fellow of the British Academy in 1997. -
Islam and Politics in Tunisia
Islam and Politics in Tunisia How did the Islamist party Ennahda respond to the rise of Salafism in post-Arab Spring Tunisia and what are possible ex- planatory factors of this reaction? April 2014 Islam and Politics in a Changing Middle East Stéphane Lacroix Rebecca Koch Paris School of© International Affairs M.A. International Security Student ID: 100057683 [email protected] Words: 4,470 © The copyright of this paper remains the property of its author. No part of the content may be repreoduced, published, distributed, copied or stored for public use without written permission of the author. All authorisation requests should be sent to [email protected] Table of Contents 1. Introduction ............................................................................................................. 3 2. Definitions and Theoretical Framework ............................................................... 4 3. Analysis: Ennahda and the Tunisian Salafi movements ...................................... 7 3.1 Ennahda ........................................................................................................................ 7 3.2 Salafism in Tunisia ....................................................................................................... 8 3.3 Reactions of Ennahda to Salafism ................................................................................ 8 4. Discussion ................................................................................................................ 11 5. Conclusion -
Ennahda, Salafism and the Tunisian Transition
religions Article From Victim to Hangman? Ennahda, Salafism and the Tunisian Transition Francesco Cavatorta 1,*,† and Stefano Torelli 2,† 1 Department of Political Science, Laval University, Quebec, QC G1V 0A6, Canada 2 Italian Institute for International Political Studies (ISPI), 20121 Milan, Italy; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] † We are very grateful to the three referees whose insightful comments have improved the manuscript considerably. All errors remain of course our own. Abstract: The article revisits the notion of post-Islamism that Roy and Bayat put forth to investigate its usefulness in analysing the Tunisian party Ennahda and its role in the Tunisian transition. The article argues that the notion of post-Islamism does not fully capture the ideological and political evolution of Islamist parties, which, despite having abandoned their revolutionary ethos, still compete in the political arena through religious categories that subsume politics to Islam. It is only by taking seriously these religious categories that one can understand how Ennahda dealt with the challenge coming from Salafis. Keywords: political Islam; Tunisia; Salafism; Ennahda democratization 1. Introduction Political Islam has been a prominent research topic for the last three decades and the literature on it is as impressive as it is broad. While it is impossible to do full justice Citation: Cavatorta, Francesco, and to how scholars have approached the topic, there are three clusters of research that can Stefano Torelli. 2021. From Victim to be identified. First is the ever-present debate about the compatibility between Islam Hangman? Ennahda, Salafism and the and democracy, which informs the way Islamist parties are analysed (Schwedler 2011). -
Islamism After the Arab Spring: Between the Islamic State and the Nation-State the Brookings Project on U.S
Islamism after the Arab Spring: Between the Islamic State and the nation-state The Brookings Project on U.S. Relations with the Islamic World U.S.-Islamic World Forum Papers 2015 January 2017 Shadi Hamid, William McCants, and Rashid Dar The Brookings Institution is a nonprofit organization devoted to independent research and policy solutions. Its mission is to conduct high-quality, independent research and, based on that research, to provide in- novative, practical recommendations for policymakers and the public. The conclusions and recommendations of any Brookings publication are solely those of its author(s), and do not reflect the views of the Institu- tion, its management, or its other scholars. Project on U.S. Relations with the Islamic World Center for Middle East Policy at Brookings Brookings recognizes that the value it provides to any supporter is in its absolute commitment to quality, 1775 Massachusetts Avenue, NW independence and impact. Activities supported by its Washington, DC 20036 donors reflect this commitment and the analysis and recommendations are not determined by any donation. www.brookings.edu/islamic-world STEERING n 2015, we returned to Doha for the views of the participants of the work- COMMITTEE the 12th annual U.S.-Islamic World ing groups or the Brookings Institution. MArtiN INDYK Forum. Co-convened annually by Select working group papers will be avail- Executive Ithe Brookings Project on U.S. Relations able on our website. Vice President with the Islamic World and the State of Brookings Qatar, the Forum is the premier inter- We would like to take this opportunity BRUCE JONES national gathering of leaders in govern- to thank the State of Qatar for its sup- Vice President ment, civil society, academia, business, port in convening the Forum with us. -
Policy Notes July 2021
THE WASHINGTON INSTITUTE FOR NEAR EAST POLICY JULY 2021 POLICY NOTES NO. 108 Deals, Drones, and National Will The New Era in Turkish Power Projection Rich Outzen he Turkish Armed Forces (TAF) attracted much attention in 2020 for its devastating employment of unmanned aerial vehicles during combat in TSyria, Libya, and the Caucasus. UAVs (drones) were just one dimension of Turkish regional interventions, but they were particularly potent symbols in an age of ubiquitous cameras and Internet connections.1 A number of analysts have assessed the tactical and operational impact of Turkish drones.2 Yet the Turkish drone program is just part of a revamped national approach to power Photo: Yasin Bulbul/ projection in neighboring regions—an approach with economic, diplomatic, Presidential Palace/Handout strategic, and reputational effects, as well as implications on the battlefield. via REUTERS An expanded network of Turkish military agreements and overseas basing, the maturation of partner and proxy relationships, the expansion of the defense industry beyond UAVs, military doctrine to integrate new sensors RICH OUTZEN DEALS, DRONES, AND NATIONAL WILL and weapons, and—perhaps most critically—the development of risk-tolerant political will in foreign Abbreviations affairs have enabled Turkey to become a formidable hard-power player in the Middle East, North Africa, GNA Government of National Accord (Libya) the Caucasus, and the Black and Mediterranean Seas. Scholarly analysis is therefore needed that LNA Libyan National Army both contextualizes new capabilities for Western audiences and assesses the role and impact of these MIT Milli Istihbarat Teskilati (Turkey’s developments for the coming years. Signaling larger National Intelligence Organization) change within the Turkish military, drones represent a technical leap wrapped in a “revolution in military PKK Kurdistan Workers Party (Turkey) affairs” embedded in a regional realignment. -
Interrogating the Evidence Base on Humanitarian Localisation a Literature Study
HPG literature review Interrogating the evidence base on humanitarian localisation A literature study Veronique Barbelet, Gemma Davies, Josie Flint and Eleanor Davey June 2021 Readers are encouraged to reproduce material for their own publications, as long as they are not being sold commercially. ODI requests due acknowledgement and a copy of the publication. For online use, we ask readers to link to the original resource on the ODI website. The views presented in this paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of ODI or our partners. This work is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND 4.0. How to cite: Barbelet, V., Davies, G., Flint, J. and Davey, E. (2021) Interrogating the evidence base on humanitarian localisation: a literature study. HPG literature review. London: ODI (https://odi.org/en/publications/interrogating-the-evidence-base-on-humanitarian-localisation-a- literature-study). This PDF has been prepared in accordance with good practice on accessibility. Acknowledgements The research team would like to thank Johanneke de Hoogh and Charlotte van Eijk from the Policy and Operations Evaluation Department (IOB) of the Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs for their support and great collaboration on this report. The research team would also like to thank the reference group for their feedback on the report. A special thank you to Saeed Ullah Khan from GLOW Consultants for his constructive and useful comments on the report. The research team was also thankful for the support of Sarah Phillips (ODI’s Journals Coordinator) for her help chasing journal articles. Colleagues Kate Sutton (Humanitarian Advisory Group (HAG)) and Sorcha O’Callaghan (Humanitarian Policy Group (HPG)) provided invaluable support in finalising this report. -
Algemeen Ambtsbericht Syrië Juni 2021
Algemeen Ambtsbericht Syrië juni 2021 Pagina 1 van 112 Algemeen Ambtsbericht Syrië | juni 2021 Colofon Plaats Den Haag Opgesteld door Afdeling Ambtsberichten (DAF/AB) Pagina 2 van 112 Algemeen Ambtsbericht Syrië | juni 2021 Inhoudsopgave Colofon ....................................................................................................... 2 Inhoudsopgave ............................................................................................. 3 Inleiding ...................................................................................................... 5 1 Politieke en veiligheidssituatie .................................................................... 7 1.1 Politieke en bestuurlijke ontwikkelingen ........................................................... 7 1.1.1 Regeringsgebied ........................................................................................... 7 1.1.2 Gebieden niet onder regeringscontrole. ........................................................... 12 1.1.3 Covid-19 .................................................................................................... 15 1.2 Gewapende actoren ..................................................................................... 15 1.2.1 Regeringsstrijdkrachten ................................................................................ 16 1.2.2 Veiligheidsdiensten in gebieden onder controle van de Syrische regering .............. 16 1.2.3 Veiligheidsdiensten in gebieden onder controle van andere actoren ..................... 18 1.2.4 IS -
ONLINE JIHADIST PROPAGANDA 2019 in Review
ONLINE JIHADIST PROPAGANDA 2019 in review Public release Contents 1. Key findings ............................................................................................................... 3 2. Introduction .............................................................................................................. 5 3. Islamic State (IS): striving for post-state relevance .................................................. 6 3.1. Loss of territory in Syria leads to demonstration of force in peripheries ............... 6 3.2. IS falls back on guerrilla tactics ................................................................................ 9 3.3. IS synchronises its media campaigns to demonstrate an esprit de corps ............. 11 3.4. IS supporters emphasize the role of women and children ................................... 14 3.5. IS struggles to keep its footing online ................................................................... 15 4. Al-Qaeda (AQ): a network of local militancy and focused incrementalism ............ 18 4.1. Al-Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent (AQIS) ......................................................... 20 4.2. Harakat al-Shabab al-Mujahideen (al-Shabab) ...................................................... 22 4.3. Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) ............................................................. 23 5. Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) extends its authority over Idlib .................................. 27 6. Running themes across jihadi groups ....................................................................