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Umass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan

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Umass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan 65 Glenn Street 169 Ocean Blvd. Lawrence, MA 01843 Unit 101, PO Box 249 Hampton, NH 03842 T:978.794.1792 T:603.601.8154 TheEngineeringCorp.com MEMORANDUM TO: Mr. Adam Baacke, Director DATE: October 17, 2016 University of Massachusetts Lowell Campus Planning & Development Wannalancit 4th Floor, Facilities Planning Lowell, MA 01854 FROM: Kevin R. Dandrade, P.E., PTOE, Principal PROJECT NO.: T0653 Samuel W. Gregorio, P.E. PTOE, Senior Engineer RE: UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan TEC, Inc. (TEC) has been retained by the University of Massachusetts Lowell (UMass Lowell) to update the transportation-related findings and recommendations associated with the implementation of the University’s Strategic Development Plan (SDP) for 2011-2016. These updated findings and recommendations are associated with a Notice of Project Change (NPC) for the University’s next five-year development horizon and requires review by the Massachusetts Environmental Policy Act (MEPA) office. Chapter 2 of UMass Lowell’s previous SDP for 2011–20161 focused on the role of transportation in efforts to reduce commuter- related Green House Gas (GHG) Emissions by promoting sustainable modes of transportation, introducing additional Transportation Demand Management (TDM) programs, and reducing the number of single occupant vehicle (SOV) trips to the several campuses. A copy of the compiled University’s SDP for 2011-2016 can be viewed via the link below: (https://www.uml.edu/docs/FINAL-UML-SDP-Press-PDF-August-2012_tcm18-197882.pdf) Over the next five years, UMass Lowell will expand upon the successful completion of the 2011-2016 SDP, including an expansion of its campus enrollment, further expanding TDM programs, and rehabilitating and acquiring new facilities within the three UMass Lowell campuses. This memorandum summarizes the estimated new Average Daily Traffic (ADT) volumes at key locations surrounding the three UMass Lowell campuses since the SDP’s inception and forecasts the change in ADT resulting from the further campus development plan through 2020. Based on the conservative trip generation analysis as summarized in this memorandum, the UMass Lowell SDP is anticipated to contribute up to 2,200 additional ADT per day from the 2015 to 2020. These new trips are anticipated to be spread over the major arterial corridors and local roadways leading to and from the three UMass Lowell campuses. As reported on Page 13 of this memorandum, the analysis of the recent 2011-2016 SDP and the supplemental SDP through 2020 indicates that traffic volumes immediately surrounding the UMass Lowell campuses will increase by approximately 0.41 percent per year through 2020, a negligible increase in daily traffic within the urban fabric of Lowell. 1 University of Massachusetts Lowell Strategic Development Plan 2011-2016; UMass Lowell; Lowell, Massachusetts, August 2012. T:\T0653\Docs\Memos & Trans\T0653_UML MEPA Tech Memo_FINAL DRAFT.docx Plan │ Permit │ Design │ Construct UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan October 17, 2016 Page 2 of 14 2016-2021 UMass Lowell Projects Planned As part of the SDP, UMass Lowell has constructed multiple projects across all three campuses between the years 2011-2016. A summary of these projects is provided in Table 1. These projects do not include renovations of existing space, which did not increase or decrease the total gross square footage (GSF) of the building, impervious area, or parking counts. Table 1 – UMass Lowell Projects Completed 2011-2016 Campus Projects Saab ETIC – 84,000 SF Research Facility (LEED Gold Certified) North North Campus Garage – 650 new Spaces Health & Social Sciences Building – 69,000 SF Academic Building (LEED Silver Certified) South Campus Garage -760 Spaces Wilder Parking Lot Expansion – Net increase of 80 spaces (to 455 total) South McGauvran Addition/Renovation – 52,000 SF (LEED Silver Certified) South Dining Demolition South Campus Mall University Suites – 500 Beds University Crossing – 230,000 SF Academic Building (LEED Silver Certified) East University Crossing Parking Lots – Net increase of 156 spaces (to 368 total) 225 Aiken Street Acquisition – 4.5 Acre site Continuing the UMass Lowell SDP to the 2020/2021 academic year, the University is currently planning additional construction and renovation projects at the three campuses. The focus of the future campus projects is to enhance the campus experience, utilizing existing facilities. UMass Lowell is anticipating the following projects summarized in Table 2. Table 2 – UMass Lowell Projects Planned 2016-2021 Campus Projects Pulichino Tong Business Center – 54,000 SF Academic Building North Quad Pods Addition North Southwick Courtyard Landscape Perry Hall Renovation/Addition Olsen/Life Sciences Coburn Addition Central Services and Facilities Operations Buildings Acquisition (1485 & 1499 Middlesex South Street) Pawtucket Street Pedestrian and Bicycle improvements Fox Elevator Addition Perkins Properties Acquisition East Aiken Street Recreation Fields – Existing P-Lot Removed Pawtucket Street Riverfront Park Although the list of new projects is extensive, most of the projects are generally related to property acquisition, building rehabilitation, and environmental/multi-modal improvements. Therefore, the future campus projects, as identified, are not anticipated to contribute directly UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan October 17, 2016 Page 3 of 14 to new campus related vehicle trips. In order to estimate new campus related vehicle trips as part of the UMass Lowell SDP, TEC focused on the projections for student enrollment and faculty population. UMass Lowell Enrollment and Population Growth As part of the UMass Lowell SDP, the university has grown its student and faculty populations since 2010 and forecasts continued growth through 2020. The UMass Lowell 2016 Report Card, which highlights the immediate past enrollment populations and the anticipated projections, defined the projected student and faculty growth through 2020. A summary of the student enrollment growth is provided in Table 3. A copy of the UMass Lowell 2016 Report Card is provided in Attachment A. As of August 2015, UMass Lowell enrollment was approximately three percent lower than the 2015 projected headcount for student enrollment (includes all student categories), when compared to the 2012 MEPA submittal. The projected net new student population between 2015 and 2020 is expected to increase by 14.6 percent to approximately 20,000 students. UMass Lowell is also projecting a 13.4 percent increase in total faculty by 2020. No notable growth is expected for administrative positions while academic and student services staff positions are expected to grow proportionally to student enrollment, which yields a 6.0 percent increase in total staff by 2020. (a) Table 3 – Projected vs. Actual Student / Faculty Enrollment % % Fall 2010 Fall 2015 Fall 2015 Increase Fall 2020 Increase Enrollment Actual(b) Projection(c) Actual(b) 2010-2015 Projection(b) 2015-2020 Undergraduate 8,675 10,000 10,457 20.5% 12,400 18.6% Graduate / NDD 3,426 5,000 4,184 22.1% 4,700 12.3% Cont. Ed / Online 2,585 3,000 2,809 8.7% 2,900 3.2% Total 14,686 18,000 17,450 18.8% 20,000 14.6% Faculty(d) 1,014 - 1,116 10.1% 1,266 13.4% a Enrollment values are approximate as enrollment fluctuates throughout school year and by semester b Data from UMass Lowell 2016 Report Card; UMass Lowell; Lowell, Massachusetts; 2016 c UMass Lowell Strategic Development Plan Trip Generation Analysis Technical Memorandum; Vanasse Hangen Brustlin, Inc.; Watertown, MA; August 29, 2012. d Full-time faculty headcounts from UMass Lowell 2016 Report Card; UMass Lowell; Lowell, Massachusetts; 2016; Part-time faculty headcounts from UMass Lowell IR faculty/staff data NDD = Non-Degree Day Student The increases in both student and faculty populations will understandably increase the number of vehicle trips to/from the several UMass Lowell campuses. However, the increase in area traffic volumes is expected to be marginal based on the trends that have been witnessed over the past five years. To assess the potential effect of the UMass Lowell Strategic Plan, TEC estimated the net new ADT to/from the campus consistent with the methodology presented in the 2012 MEPA submittal. Table 4 depicts the net new average daily vehicle trip generation for 2015 to 2020. UMass Lowell Campus Transportation Update MEPA Notice of Project Change for the Strategic Development Plan October 17, 2016 Page 4 of 14 Table 4 – 2016 to 2021 - Net New Average Daily Vehicle Trip Generation Analysis Auto Mode Share Ownership / Multi Weekly Fall 2015 Fall 2020 Net Net Modal Net Weekday Trips Daily Weekday Enrollment Actual(a) Projection(b) Increase Increase(c) Increase per Vehicles Trips Undergraduate 10,457 12,400 1,943 On-Campus 4,238 5,306(d) 1,068 320 288 6 346 Off-Campus 6,207 7,094 887 541 487 10 974 Graduate 4,184 4,700 516 M.S. or Ph.D. 3,275 3,750 475 475 428 6 513 Non-Degree Day 909 950 41 41 37 4 30 Other 2,809 2,900 91 Cont. Education 1,405 1,450 45 45 41 4 33 Online 1,404 1,450 46 - - - Faculty 1,116 1,266 150 Full Time 565 661 96 91 82 10 164 Part Time 551(e) 605(e) 54 35 32 4 26 Staff 1,443(f) 1,530(g) 87 Full Time 1,071 1,129 58 55 50 10 100 Part Time 372 401 29 19 17 4 14 New Daily Traffic 2,200 a Enrollment values are approximate as enrollment fluctuates
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