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Biological Conservation 146 (2012) 89–96

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Biological Conservation

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Hunting or habitat degradation? Decline of populations in Udzungwa Mountains, Tanzania: An analysis of threats ⇑ Francesco Rovero a,b, , Arafat S. Mtui b, Amani S. Kitegile b,c, Martin R. Nielsen d a Tropical Biodiversity Section, Museo delle Scienze, Via Calepina 14, 38122 Trento, Italy b Udzungwa Ecological Monitoring Centre, c/o Udzungwa Mountains National Park, P.O. Box 99, Mang’ula, Tanzania c Department of Wildlife Management, Sokoine University of Agriculture, P.O. Box 3073, Morogoro, Tanzania d Centre for Forest and Landscape, University of Copenhagen, Rolighedsvej 23, DK-1958 Frederiksberg C, Denmark article info abstract

Article history: Hunting and habitat degradation are universal threats to across the tropics, thus deciphering Received 7 August 2011 the relative impact of threats on population relative abundance is critical to predicting extinction risk Received in revised form 12 September 2011 and providing conservation recommendations. We studied diurnal primates over a period of nearly Accepted 19 September 2011 6 years in the Udzungwa Mountains of Tanzania, a site of global importance for primate conservation. Available online 17 December 2011 We assessed how population relative abundance of five species (of which two are endemic and IUCN- Endangered) differed between two forest blocks that are similar in size and habitat types but contrast Keywords: strongly in protection level, and how abundance changed during 2004–2009. We also measured habitat Extinction risk and disturbance parameters and, in the unprotected forest, evaluated hunting practices. We found signif- Primates Bushmeat icant differences in primates’ abundance between protected and unprotected forests, with the greater Threats contrast being the lower abundance of colobine monkeys (Udzungwa and Angolan colobus) Udzungwa red colobus in the unprotected forest. At this site moreover, colobines declined to near-extinction over the study per- Sanje mangabey iod. In contrast, two cercopithecines (Sanje mangabey and Sykes’ monkey) showed slightly higher abun- dance in the unprotected forest and did not decline significantly. We argue that escalating hunting in the unprotected forest has specifically impacted the canopy-dwelling colobus monkeys, although habitat degradation may also have reduced their abundance. In contrast, cercopithecines did not seem affected by the current hunting, and their greater ecological adaptability may explain the relatively higher abun- dance in the unprotected forest. We provide recommendations towards the long-term protection of the area. Ó 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction life-histories, are highly social and active during the day, they are particularly vulnerable to overexploitation (Cowlishaw and Dunbar, Global analysis on the status of world shows that pri- 2000). Species’ vulnerability to local extinction is however highly mates are the order most threatened by extinction (Schipper et al., variable: Isaac and Cowlishaw’s (2004) meta-analysis shows that 2008). Primates have therefore been used as indicators for investi- primate species’ vulnerability to one threat do not predict vulnera- gating vulnerability to threats, the most common ones being habitat bility to another, as threat-specific responses are highly influenced disturbance and hunting (Johns and Skorupa, 1987; Marsh and by species’ particular biological traits, such as diet, social system Mittermeier, 1987; Johns and Johns, 1995; Cowlishaw and Dunbar, and body size. In general, large-bodied, slow-reproducing species 2000; Harcourt and Doherty, 2005). In Africa, hunting is a greater are more at risk than fast-reproducing species (Kokko et al., 2001; threat to primates than habitat degradation (Oates, 1996; Brugière, Duncan et al., 2002; Isaac and Cowlishaw, 2004). In addition, species 1998; Linder and Oates, 2011) because of local people’s dependence vary in the degree to which they are targeted by hunters, preferred on bushmeat as a food resource (Milner-Gullanda et al., 2003). by consumers and susceptible to different methods of hunting (Fa Because diurnal primates live at relatively low densities, have slow et al., 2002; Kümpel et al., 2008). Deciphering the effects of hunting versus other forms of anthropogenic disturbance, such as forest loss and degradation, on primate abundance, is therefore a critical area of ⇑ Corresponding author at: Tropical Biodiversity Section, Museo delle Scienze, Via research. Calepina 14, 38122 Trento, Italy. Tel.: +39 349 5970234; fax: +39 0461 270376. Hunting of primates is the greatest threat to populations in E-mail addresses: [email protected] (F. Rovero), [email protected] (A.S. Mtui), [email protected] (A.S. Kitegile), [email protected] west and central African regions (Oates, 1996; Walsh et al., 2003; (M.R. Nielsen). Magnuson, 2005; Linder and Oates, 2011), but is less reported,

0006-3207/$ - see front matter Ó 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2011.09.017 90 F. Rovero et al. / Biological Conservation 146 (2012) 89–96 and considered less common, in East Africa. General depression of (Cercopithecus mitis cf. monoides/moloneyi), and Sanje mangabey primate population densities due to hunting is widely documented (Rovero et al., 2009). Yellow baboons (Papio cynocephalus) occur (e.g. Robinson and Bennett, 2000; Waltert et al., 2002; Fa et al., at the forest edge. These two forests host the only existing popula- 2002; Peres and Nascimento, 2006), with cases of decline to local tions of the Udzungwa-flagship Sanje mangabey. extinction, as exemplified by the plight of Miss Waldron’s red col- obus (Oates et al., 2000; McGraw and Oates, 2002). The impact of 2.2. Data collection habitat degradation, fragmentation and loss on primate popula- tions is also widely documented (Skorupa, 1986; Struhsaker, 2.2.1. Primate counts 1997; Brugière, 1998; Marsh, 2003; Arroyo-Rodriguez and Dias, Primates were counted at monthly intervals along line-transects 2009). In particular, for canopy-dependent species such as the col- (Rovero et al., 2006). The data presented here are from three tran- obine monkeys, analysis of vegetation predictors of abundance sects in each forest, 3.1–4 km in length, sampling lower to mid- have clearly shown that canopy alteration affects local abundances elevation zones (300–1000 m a.s.l.) in both forests. Transects were (Medley, 1993; Mbora and Meikle, 2004; Rovero and Struhsaker, walked once or twice each month by three observers during consec- 2007). utive periods: A.S.M. (with F.R.) in 2004–2005 (66 and 50 census The Udzungwa Mountains of south-central Tanzania is an area walks in USFR and MW, respectively), A.S.K. in 2007–2008 (43 and of outstanding importance for primate diversity and conservation 59 census walks) and again A.S.M. in 2009 (25 and 63 census walks). (Dinesen et al., 2001; Struhsaker et al., 2004; Marshall, 2007; Walks began at 07:00–07:30 and at each sighting of primates Rovero et al., 2009). With two strictly endemic monkeys, Udzung- the observer noted the time, position along transect, primate wa red colobus (Procolobus gordonorum) and Sanje mangabey species, number of individuals (when feasible to count them) and (Cercocebus [galeritus] sanjei), both listed as Endangered (IUCN, perpendicular distance from the transect route. Distance was mea- 2011), and the very localized, sured using a laser range-finder. Consistency among observers in (Rungwecebus kipunji), the Udzungwa primates have received con- species’ identification and ability to sight primates was achieved siderable research attention in the past decade (review in Rovero by extensive training prior to the beginning of the study (Rovero et al., 2009). Yet, the lack of effective protection of approximately et al., 2006). half of the forests (i.e. those not included in the National Park) is a constant problem for the long-term protection of the area 2.2.2. Sampling of vegetation and human disturbance along transects (Zilihona et al., 1998; Nielsen, 2006; Museo Tridentino di Scienze All trees greater than 20 cm in diameter at breast height (DBH) Naturali, 2007; Rovero et al., 2010). This study focuses on primates were measured and identified along a strip of 5 m width centred on living in one of the most biologically important and unprotected the transect line. The presence of liana coverage on tree stems and forests in the Udzungwa Mountains: the Uzungwa Scarp Forest canopy was also noted. For MW, data were collected in 2003 and Reserve, on which only very scant information has been reported are presented in Rovero and Struhsaker (2007), while for USFR earlier (but see Dinesen et al., 2001; DeFries et al., 2010). By com- the sampling was conducted in 2004. Details on sampling methods paring results with those from the ecologically-similar but better are presented in Rovero and Struhsaker (2007). In contrast to other protected Mwanihana forest (Rovero and Struhsaker, 2007), we works (e.g. Skorupa, 1986; Struhsaker, 1997), we choose to mea- provide the first account of hunting vulnerability of Udzungwa pri- sure trees above 20 cm DBH, instead of 10 cm, because (1) the mates and we aim to determine how the interplay of hunting and remoteness of USFR constrained fieldwork at this site; (2) regres- habitat degradation influences primate populations. Our specific sion models of the influence of vegetation parameters on primate objectives were to (i) assess differences in primate abundance be- abundance using the subsample of trees above 20 cm gave the tween study forests (hunted and non-hunted); (ii) examine tempo- same results as data based on 10 cm DBH (Rovero and Struhsaker, ral variations of these populations; (iii) review hunting practices 2007); and (3) we were targeting the canopy-dwelling species of and historical changes; (iv) analyse the effect of habitat factors colobus and aimed to assess their response to canopy structure, and overall anthropogenic disturbance on primate abundance; which is well represented by trees above 20 cm DBH. and (v) provide conservation recommendations. Human disturbance was only measured for USFR as preliminary work showed that in MW there is virtually no disturbance (DeFries et al., 2010), with the exception of firewood collection, which was 2. Methods allowed in MW until June 2011 and did not impact forest canopy. The level of disturbance was measured by (1) counting all signs of 2.1. Study area and primate populations encroachment, such as tree and pole cuts, charcoal burning sites, human trails, pit sawing sites and snares set to catch forest ungu- We studied primate populations between February 2004 and lates, along a strip width of 5 m centred on the transect line, and October 2009 in two forests in the Udzungwa Mountains: Mwanih- (2) by estimating the extension of gaps in the forest canopy cover ana forest (MW) which is inside the Udzungwa Mountains Na- measured as % of transect length not covered by closed canopy to a tional Park, and Uzungwa Scarp Forest Reserve (USFR), 150 km to minimum width of 50 m each side of the transect (see Rovero and the southwest, which is a National Catchment Forest Reserve, Struhsaker, 2007). Signs of disturbance also included gun shots where no resource extraction is allowed (Fig. 1). Both forests cover heard and hunters encountered with dogs. However, as shotguns the steep, east-facing escarpment rising from the Kilombero valley can be heard from hundreds of metres away, these observations to the east and are characterized by continuous cover from low- were not referable to a specific transect, and therefore were not land, deciduous forest to evergreen moist montane forest (Lovett, used in the analysis. 1993). While similar in habitat type, extent (177 and 200 km2 for MW and USFR, respectively) and altitudinal gradient (300 to over 2.2.3. Hunting survey 2000 m a.s.l.), these forests contrast strongly in protection levels, Information on the development and nature of hunting in USFR as MW is regularly patrolled by the National Park’s rangers while was collected between July and October 2008 by M.R.N. from a USFR lacks any law enforcement measures on the ground (Museo sample of cooperating hunters in three villages (Massisiwe, Tridentino di Scienze Naturali, 2007). Four species of diurnal pri- Idagenda and Mbawie) which are located on the plateau 2.5– mates occur throughout the forests: Udzungwa red colobus, 5 km to the northwest of USFR. These villages were selected as Angolan colobus (Colobus angolensis palliatus), Sykes’ monkey hunters in the lowland villages, i.e. bordering USFR to the east, F. Rovero et al. / Biological Conservation 146 (2012) 89–96 91

Fig. 1. Map of the Udzungwa Mountains of Tanzania. The two study forests are shown in circles (Mwanihana forest to the northeast and Uzungwa Scarp forest to the southwest), and within them the line-transects used for primate counts are indicated (adapted from Marshall et al., 2010). are mainly hunting in the Kilombero valley (M.R.N., Unpublished assistant immediately after interviews for verification and results). Interviews revealed that hunting occurred throughout validation. the forest including in the mid-to-lower elevation zone where the primate survey was done. We therefore considered these re- 2.3. Data analysis sults relevant to interpreting results from the primate study. Infor- mants were identified and recruited through the aid of a local Data from primate censuses were analyzed both as mean assistant using snowball sampling (Patton, 1990). In total 110 indi- encounter rate (groups sighted per km walked) and as the total viduals were identified as knowledgeable about hunting through number of primate groups recorded from all repetitions on seg- having actively hunted, traded or participated in transport of bush- ments of 200 m of transects, which allows fine-scale modelling of meat or products such as hides or ivory. Interviews were abundance (Rovero and Struhsaker, 2007). We considered the conducted through the interpretation of the local assistant residing encounter rate as a reliable index of abundance for intra-specific in one of the villages. Semi-structured interviews were selected as comparisons within sites and among sites, in line with other pri- a research approach over more open-ended or structured methods mate studies (e.g. Chapman et al., 2000; Mitani et al., 2000; Rovero to ensure that the required information was collected while also et al., 2006; Linder and Oates, 2011). enabling a measure of flexibility (Bryman, 2004; Lloyd-Evans, To ensure spatial consistency between primate sighted and 2006). Questions posed assessed the historical development of habitat features along transect segments, only groups sighted at hunting in USFR in terms of when it was most intense, and how a perpendicular, cut-off distance equal or less than 40 m were used this compared to the intensity of hunting 10 years ago, correspond- in the habitat analysis (representing 70% of data, see Rovero and ing to the timing of the 1998 survey in USFR by Topp-Jørgensen Struhsaker (2007) on details about choosing the cut-off distance). et al. (2009), and in 2008. Questions aimed to determine the main As most data sets to be compared statistically did not have homo- reason for hunting (subsistence or commercial), hunting methods geneity of variance, we used the non-parametric Kolmogorov– used, species caught, items traded, means of transport and end- Smirnov test to assess the differences in primates’ relative point of the products in each of these periods. Respondents were abundance between forests, and among observers for each forest. also asked about the timing and perceived reason for major Tree measurements were used to derive the following variables: changes in diversity and population density of species caught. (i) mean basal area (MBA) and total basal area (TBA) from DBH mea- Obtaining valid and reliable information on bushmeat hunting is surements; (ii) species richness and Shannon’s index of diversity difficult in Tanzania because it is a criminal activity. Respondents from identification and number of stems; and (iii) percentage of were naturally reluctant, initially, to share information but the trees bearing lianas from the presence of liana coverage. The total use of a local research assistant and the informal nature of inter- number of disturbance signs was computed as an index of distur- views reduced this anxiety. Nevertheless this aspect has to be ta- bance, while canopy cover was estimated by the difference ken into consideration when analyzing the responses. Key points (100%À% of gaps). These variables were then checked for collinearity raised during interviews were furthermore reviewed with the local using Pearson’s r values of 0.7 as a threshold. Species richness was 92 F. Rovero et al. / Biological Conservation 146 (2012) 89–96 found to be highly correlated with diversity (r = 0.87, n = 107, Variables describing tree species diversity and structure were p < 0.001) and therefore omitted. Lower, but significant correlation significantly different between forests, with USFR showing signifi- was also observed between MBA and TBA (r = 0.37, n = 107, cantly higher total basal area, higher floristic diversity and higher p < 0.001), however both were retained because they contain com- portion of trees bearing lianas (Table 3). Conversely, the extent of plementary information (MBA reflects average size of trees while canopy cover in USFR was significantly less than in MW (72% ver- TBA the total basal area irrespective of the size of trees). The propor- sus 88%). Disturbance levels were very high in USFR while no sign tion of climbers was positively correlated with disturbance (r = 0.40, of disturbance was observed in MW (Table 3). In USFR moreover, n = 107, p < 0.001) and negatively with tree cover (r = À0.30, n = 107, 85% of disturbance signs was recorded along the first 2 km of the p < 0.01). The difference between forests in the vegetative variables two transects that start from the forest edge. Out of 101 tree spe- was tested using the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test. To assess differ- cies, comprising 84 genera, sampled along all transects in both for- ences between forests in the floristic composition of the tree com- ests, 40 species (39 genera) were recorded in both USFR and MW. munity sampled, the difference in the number of stems per each The number of tree stems recorded per species was not signifi- tree species was tested using paired-sample T-test. cantly different between forests, both when considering all tree We used Redundancy Analysis (RDA: ter Braak, 1986), a con- species (paired-sample t test t = À0.547, p = 0.58) and only those strained ordination technique, to analyse the overall primate com- in common (t = 0.384, p = 0.70). munity response to habitat variables along 200 m segments of Redundancy analysis shows that the variables explain 28% of transects. RDA was selected over other ordination techniques such the variation in the species data (sum of all canonical eigenvalues; as Canonical Correspondence Analysis following an evaluation of Table 4). Of this, the first axis alone explains 25.5%. The first three the length of the gradient (Ter Braak and Šmilauer, 1998). Signifi- axes display strong species-environment correlations (r = 0.68, cance of the RDA model was tested by using the Monte-Carlo per- r = 0.26 and r = 0.25 respectively). The RDA model was significant: mutation test (9999 permutations) on the first and the sum of all first canonical axis (eigenvalue = 0.255; F = 33.94; p < 0.001), all the canonical axes. We used the software CANOCO (ter Braak and axes (Trace = 0.279; F = 5.470, p < 0.001). The contrast in both pri- Šmilauer, 1998) to run the analysis. To further analyse determi- mate abundance and habitat variables taken separately are well re- nants of abundance in USFR, Generalized Linear Models with Pois- flected in the biplot (Fig. 3). The nominal variables MW and USFR son error distribution, which is recommended when the response (represented by triangles in Fig. 3) show that the two forests were variables are counts (Maindonald and Braun, 2003), were con- strongly different from each other. USFR is characterized by high structed using the same procedure applied to MW (Rovero and values of disturbance and climbers, while MW presents higher cov- Struhsaker, 2007). We used the software R (http://cran.r-pro- er. Disturbance, TBA, MBA and Shannon index were each other pos- ject.org) for these regressions. Primate and habitat analysis were itively correlated but altogether were negatively associated to only applied to the two colobines and Sykes’ monkey as too few cover and climbers (opposite arrows on Fig. 3). Red colobus and observations were made of baboons and Sanje mangabeys and Angolan colobus (each other positively and strongly correlated) most importantly, because these are predominantly terrestrial spe- were associated to the greater cover in MW, while the presence cies the habitat variables we measured would be mainly irrelevant. of Sykes’ monkey was more closely associated with the proportion of climbers, which was higher in USFR. 3. Results

3.1. Primates and habitat

During the study period (2004–2009), 180 and 134 transect repetitions were conducted in MW and USFR, totalling 702 and 479 km of transect, respectively. For all primate species, the rela- tive abundance obtained from all counts contrasted distinctly be- tween forests (Table 1). The direction of differences is not the same for all species: abundance of both colobines and baboon is clearly lower in USFR, while Sykes’s monkeys and Sanje mangabeys show higher abundance. Overall primate abundance remains sig- nificantly lower in USFR than in MW. Analysis of temporal varia- tion shows clear decline in USFR in the abundance of colobines, and, possibly, baboons, while variations in the abundance of man- gabeys and Sykes’ monkeys do not seem to indicate any temporal trend (Fig. 2 and Table 2). For MW on the contrary, differences are not significant and no evident temporal trend emerges, except for a possible drop of Sanje mangabeys’ relative abundance in 2009 relative to previous years (Fig. 2 and Table 2).

Table 1 Mean and standard deviation number of primate groups encountered per km of transect during censuses conducted in Uzungwa Scarp Forest Reserve (USFR, n = 134) and Mwanihana forest (MW, n = 180) in the Udzungwa Mountains of Tanzania. Results of Kolmogorov–Smirnov tests are also shown.

Species USFR MW H (p) Red colobus 0.114 ± 0.208 0.463 ± 0.258 104.05 (<0.001) Angolan colobus 0.050 ± 0.127 0.401 ± 0.292 120.63 (<0.001) Sykes’ monkey 0.560 ± 0.365 0.301 ± 0.257 67.39 (<0.001) Sanje mangabey 0.155 ± 0.223 0.058 ± 0.125 26.57 (<0.001) Fig. 2. Temporal variations of primate census results (mean and standard deviation Yellow baboon 0.023 ± 0.086 0.065 ± 0.117 12.49 (<0.001) groups’ encounter rates) for Uzungwa Scarp (a) and Mwanihana forests (b) in the All diurnal primates 0.933 ± 0.572 1.302 ± 0.604 22.89 (<0.001) Udzungwa Mountains of Tanzania. Data were collected in 2004–2005 (black bars), 2007–2008 (grey bars) and 2009 (white bars). F. Rovero et al. / Biological Conservation 146 (2012) 89–96 93

Table 2 Results of Kolmogorov–Smirnov tests (H) for comparisons of primate encounter rates among data-sets for Uzungwa Scarp Forest Reserve (USFR, n = 134) and Mwanihana forest (MW, n = 180) in the Udzungwa Mountains of Tanzania. In parenthesis are the significance values p (see Fig. 2 for related data collection periods).

Species USFRa MWa Red colobus 8.62 (<0.02b) 4.154 (=0.125) Angolan colobus 13.22 (<0.01) 1.132 (=0.568) Sykes’ monkey 2.58 (=0.275) 0.868 (=0.647) Sanje mangabey 0.311 (=0.734) 8.743 (<0.02) Yellow baboon 0.648 (=0.723) 5.894 (=0.05)

a n = 66, 43, 25 for USFR and 59, 58, 63 for MW, for three data collection periods, respectively. Fig. 3. Biplot of species and environmental variables for Uzungwa Scarp Forest b Post-hoc comparison of data sets 1 versus 3: z = 2.29, p = 0.07. Reserve (USFR) and Mwanihana forest (MW) in the Udzungwa Mountains of Tanzania, based on Redundancy Analysis. See Table 3 for variable abbreviations.

GLM analysis of colobine monkeys in USFR shows a negative, recorded again in 2004 by F.R.) was attributed to the high level significant effect of the liana cover and positive, significant effect of hunting in this period, that also coincided with construction of of TBA for both species (Table 5). The presence of climbers is con- the TAZARA railway and increased settlement in the Kilombero firmed to be associated with disturbance and negatively related to valley. canopy cover. For the red colobus the number of disturbance signs A substantial change in hunting practices occurred between has a negative, marginally non-significant effect (p = 0.117). More- 1965–1975 and the mid 1990s. According to respondents, hunters over, for the red colobus, MBA has also a negative effect, while for shifted to primarily using snares, traps and dogs and hunted Angolan colobus diversity of trees has a marginally significant, mainly for subsistence with only limited trade within villages. negative effect (Table 5). The deviance explained by the models Respondents attributed this change to low profitability of hunting was 37% for the red colobus and 24% for the Angolan colobus. Mod- as a result of the disappearance of larger species and only a few els obtained for Sykes’ monkey had too low predictive power (<10% medium-sized species remaining, although some mentioned an ef- of deviance explained) to be meaningful. fect of increased environmental education and law enforcement. These characteristics also describe hunting today, although with 3.2. Hunters’ interviews notable exceptions. Respondents claimed that they entered the for- est less now than ten years ago, and now entered approximately As indicated in Section 2.2.3, hunter surveys were only made in once every three months. According to respondents most natural villages near USFR. All respondents belonged to the Wahehe tribe, resource extraction (i.e. timber, poles, firewood, etc.) had shifted an ethnic and linguistic group based in Iringa region that has a tra- from the forest reserve to woodlots and the village forest. This dition for hunting. According to respondents (88%, n = 110) hunting was related to a larger focus on forest conservation through envi- in USFR had been most intensive in the period 1965–1975 where it ronmental education and preparation for implementation of com- primarily was conducted by local people using rifles and pitfalls munity-based conservation schemes beginning around year 2000. and oriented towards commercial trade. Bushmeat, elephant tusks As a result most respondents indicated that the state of the forest and leopard skin were transported at night by porters or hidden had improved based on their own observations or those of hunters. between agricultural products on trucks to Iringa town. Regular Hunting was, however, considered the major current threat to the trade also occurred in Angolan colobus skins that, as far as respon- forest (91%) and all acknowledged that hunting, including by using dents knew, were sold in Malawi. The disappearance of elephant, locally produced firearms, takes place in the forest. Thirty-five per- buffalo and leopard by the early 1970s (leopard was, however, centage of respondents considered forest resource extraction

Table 3 Mean (standard deviation) values of vegetation and disturbance parameters (abbreviation and unit in parenthesis) measured along segments of 200 m of transects used for counting primates in Uzungwa Scarp Forest Reserve (USFR) and Mwanihana forest (MW) in the Udzungwa Mountains of Tanzania. The last column shows the results of Kolomogorov–Smirnov comparisons.

Variable MW (n = 57) USFR (n = 50) H (p) Mean Basal Area (MBA, m2/ha) 0.179 (0.072) 0.181 (0.114) 0.925 (0.336) Total Basal Area (TBA, m2/ha) 28.3 (14.64) 38.3 (18.51) 9.708 (<0.002) Diversity (Shannon’s index) 1.668 (0.455) 1.937 (0.394) 10.261 (<0.002) Disturbance (number of signs) 0 5.520 (10.385) 53.738 (<0.001) Canopy cover (cover, %) 87.94 (27.12) 71.78 (23.92) 25.361 (<0.001) Stems with climbers (climbers, proportion) 0.346 (0.274) 0.637 (0.241) 24.719 (<0.001)

Table 4 Results of the redundancy analysis (RDA) for primates (Udzungwa red colobus, Angolan colobus and Sykes’ monkey) and habitat variables in Uzungwa Scarp Forest Reserve (USFR) and Mwanihana forest (MW) in the Udzungwa Mountains of Tanzania.

Axes 1234 Eigenvalues 0.255 0.021 0.003 0.000 Species-environment correlations 0.677 0.255 0.245 0.071 Cumulative percentage variance: species data 25.5 27.6 27.8 27.9 Species-environment relation 91.5 98.9 99.8 100.0 94 F. Rovero et al. / Biological Conservation 146 (2012) 89–96

(unspecified) an important activity for their livelihoods and 15% of Table 5 a the rest declared that it was important during times of crisis. No Results of Generalized Linear Models for the two colobine monkeys in Uzungwa Scarp Forest Reserve. See Table 3 for variable abbreviations. one admitted to practicing hunting but people on average knew of 5–10 individuals in their own village who are active hunters. Species Variables retained Z ± SE p(z) This is an increase compared to the 5 hunters 10 years before Udzungwa red TBA 0.012 ± 0.004 <0.05 and comparable to the number mentioned in the period 1965– colobus 1975 when hunting intensity was perceived as most intensive. Climbers (angular À1.946 ± 0.698 <0.01 transformed) Notably, a number of people reported hunting colobus monkeys Ln (MBA) À1.621 ± 0.693 <0.05 in the last decade whereas monkeys were rarely mentioned as Ln (disturbance signs) À0.515 ± 0.328 0.117 caught in the previous periods. Angolan colobus TBA 0.0134 ± 0.006 <0.05 Diversity À1.181 ± 0.705 0.094 Climbers (angular À2.864 ± 0.964 <0.01 4. Discussion transformed) a Models were built on n = 50 segments of transects of 200 m in length through a The clear differences we found in the relative abundance of pri- GLM with Poisson error distribution following a backward elimination procedure. mate populations between the two study forests reinforce earlier See section 2.3 for further details. findings (DeFries et al., 2010). This study also presents clear evi- dence of a marked decline of colobines in USFR, calling for urgent protection measures to reduce the risk of local extinction in the as around areas where timber is removed. These results are par- near future. We identify species-specific, local drivers that are tially discordant with those found for MW using the same analysis likely to explain the results. In particular, hunting appears to be (Rovero and Struhsaker, 2007), as red colobus abundance was pos- the major driver determining the decline of colobines in USFR. Col- itively related to MBA (the average size of stems indicating mature obus monkeys are arboreal and easily sighted, and hunters (most forest) while in USFR this variable has a negative effect. This may often using dogs, which are routinely used for chasing ungulates, be an indirect effect of hunting in USFR, forcing the colobus to- bush pigs and other terrestrial mammals) can isolate groups in wards sub-optimal areas, where the forest is degraded, i.e. charac- canopy trees where they are easily shot with shotguns. Our results terized by a large number of small stems. are matched by Oates’ (1996) compilation of primate relative Although it may be relevant to explaining the lower abundance abundance in 20 forest sites, demonstrating that as hunting pres- of colobines in USFR than MW, the habitat analysis remains of lim- sure becomes heavier, primate numbers may drop by almost 10- ited importance in accounting for the rapid temporal decline of col- fold. Similarly, surveys in 17 forest sites in French Guiana have obines in USFR. Interviews with hunters, however, revealed that shown that hunting pressure was the main factor determining cur- hunting has increased during the last decade. Even though relying rent primate species richness, masking the effects of logging or for- on hunters’ interviews may be problematic, especially for historical est type (de Thoisy et al., 2005). trends, results are generally supported by a parallel study that re- Gunshots were often heard and hunters with dogs were corded increased density (by 15–19%) of traps targeting small for- encountered in USFR during data collection for this and other stud- est ungulates in 2008 (M.R.N., Unpublished results) compared to ies (Topp-Jørgensen et al., 2009; Rovero et al., 2010 and references 1998 (Topp-Jørgensen et al., 2009). The same authors also report therein). Differences in protection levels between the two sites a decrease in the relative abundance of ungulates, which is in turn clearly underline the much greater disturbance recorded in USFR: compatible with an increase in primate hunting. Shifting from tar- MW is inside a well protected National Park where active law geting larger to smaller species is a typical feature in areas where enforcement is ensured and no signs of hunting were recorded dur- larger species, that generally are preferred and are more vulnerable ing our study, even though hunting incidents mainly through find- to hunting pressure (Robinson and Redford, 1986a,b; Fa and Purvis, ing of snares have been increasingly reported in the last few years. 1997), have been depleted (Kümpel et al., 2008). The increase in On the contrary, USFR has not received adequate protection hunting that specifically targets monkeys is consistent with the de- (Rovero et al., 2010). Such marked contrast between forests is well creased availability of terrestrial mammals and it is also directly highlighted by the community and environment ordination analy- indicated by hunters mentioning colobus monkeys in their catch sis, as the two forests are positioned at the opposite extremes in the period from 2000 onwards. It remains puzzling that the in- along the axis of major variance. Although to a lesser extent, the creased amount of snares reported does not seem to have affected two variables indicating forest disturbance are also polarized, with the ground-dwelling Sanje mangabeys. These monkeys may be canopy cover intactness pointing towards MW and disturbance capable to spot and escape snares. Moreover, they live in large signs towards USFR. groups, and because we only recorded groups’ encounter rates, it Besides indicating an impact of hunting, the lower abundance of is possible that group sizes are being altered by snaring of individ- colobine monkeys in USFR compared to MW is also related to the uals but this was not detected in our study. greater anthropogenic activity other than hunting and canopy deg- Our results are in line with the results of bushmeat hunting radation found in USFR. Indeed the effect of these disturbance vari- studies from other areas in the tropics, and in particular, they mir- ables on primates in USFR seems to overwhelm the effect of ror the results of similar studies on primates in central and west- vegetation structure and floristic composition. Surprisingly how- Africa. Canopy-dependent diurnal primates are generally more ever, while MBA is almost equal between forests, both TBA and tree easily located than ungulates and other ground-dwelling species diversity are significantly greater in USFR than MW, and given the by hunters in tropical forests because they produce considerable positive effect of TBA on both colobus, as demonstrated by the noise when moving or are in social interactions (Bodmer et al., regression analysis (Table 5), this structural variable cannot 1988; Oates, 1996). Primates are also often found in groups, which account for the lower abundance of colobines recorded in USFR. In- enable a hunter to kill a number of individuals at one time (Peres, stead, the higher proportion of trees with climbers in USFR is also 1990; Fitzgibbon et al., 1995). Small forest ungulates, in contrast, retained in the regression models as having a highly negative influ- tend to be solitary, secretive and partly nocturnal (Bodmer et al., ence on both species. This variable is an indication of disturbance 1988). This may explain the observed tendency of hunters to shift as climbers mainly occur in the semi-deciduous and regenerating to pursuing primates when harvest rates of duikers drop (Wilkie zones (Rovero et al., 2006; Rovero and Struhsaker, 2007), as well et al., 1998). The differential impact of hunting among primate F. Rovero et al. / Biological Conservation 146 (2012) 89–96 95 species, with colobines being more affected than cercopithecine private sector) and encouraged them to join hands towards ensur- monkeys, is also supported by results of other studies (Struhsaker, ing effective and long-lasting protection of USFR (Rovero et al., 2005; Kümpel et al., 2008; Linder and Oates, 2011). Commercial 2010). Key recommendations provided include: (1) increase law bushmeat markets are well established in the Kilombero valley enforcement measures, particularly forest patrols that will help along the eastern side of USFR. A market survey conducted during decreasing hunting and all other illegal activities recorded which 2008–2009 in three villages in the Kilombero valley primarily re- are not permitted by the regulations of Forest Reserves in corded trade in larger game species hunted in the floodplains of Tanzania; (2) raise awareness of adjacent communities about for- the Kilombero game reserves (M.R.N., Unpublished results). Few est conservation and the importance of preserving its wildlife, forest species were traded in the market but interviews with hunt- and engage them in monitoring and patrolling initiatives; (3) sup- ers and traders revealed a demand for colobus monkeys and partic- port communities to establish tree-planting schemes and liveli- ularly skins of Angolan colobus, that are traded for approximately hood alternatives to bushmeat hunting; (4) support the current 40 US $ on the local market and transported to Malawi where they upgrading from Forest Reserve to Nature Reserve with the financial are sold at 160 US $ for uses in traditional medicinal practices. resources and measures that will effectively result into increased The relatively higher abundance of Sykes’ monkeys and Sanje protection (Nature Reserve is a newly-established, IUCN-recog- mangabeys in USFR compared to MW may be due to several rea- nized category of protected areas in Tanzania that should ensure sons. The degree to which hunting impacts primate abundance enhanced protection level, even though the current national regu- varies between species (Isaac and Cowlishaw, 2004; Kümpel lation of Forest Reserves is equally restrictive about resource et al., 2008). Of particular relevance to the higher vulnerability of extraction; URT 2002); and (5) continue to monitor the status of colobines to hunting may be their limited ecological flexibility as biodiversity and threats. Protection measures should also restore strictly folivorous and canopy-dependent species. Conversely, the connectivity between USFR and the northern block of protected more ecologically flexible cercopithecines may be better able to as- areas, through the well-researched ‘‘Mngeta’’ conservation corridor sume niche space left over from hunted species (Struhsaker, 1999; (Museo Tridentino di Scienze Naturali, 2007; St. John, 2008). Cowlishaw and Dunbar, 2000; McGraw, 2007). In this respect, Sanje mangabeys and Sykes’ monkeys (being mainly frugivorous) Acknowledgements use all forest strata, and are much more agile and elusive than col- obines. The mangabeys especially, spend as much as 70% of time on We are grateful to John Oates, Thomas Struhsaker, Lars Dinesen, the ground (Rovero et al., 2009), making them a difficult target Claudia Barelli and two anonymous reviewers for valuable com- with the hunting technique used for the colobus in USFR while ments on the manuscript. Daniel Spitale helped with statistical seemingly also capable of avoiding snares set for ungulates. Over- analysis. Research permits were granted by the Tanzania Wildlife all, USFR is also a steeper and rockier escarpment forest, and a large Research Institute, Tanzania Commission for Science and Technol- portion of the lower elevation (300–500 m a.s.l.) is characterized ogy, Forestry and Beekeeping Division and Tanzania National by regenerating and degraded forest, while the more intact canopy Parks. Funding was provided by Trento Autonomous Province is found along the distal portions of line transects. These are fea- (post-doctoral Grant to F.R. 2004–2007), Trento Science Museum, tures that may favour the greater abundance of Sykes’ monkeys Centre for Macro Ecology, Evolution and Climate (University of and Sanje mangabeys. It should also be noted that line-transects Copenhagen), and the Critical Ecosystem Partnership Fund. Several are not an efficient method for elusive and ground-dwelling mon- local field assistants provided invaluable help during data keys such as the Sanje mangabeys (Rovero et al., 2006) and there- collection. fore our population assessment for this particular species may be inaccurate. Future studies of this IUCN-Endangered and localized References species (IUCN, 2011) through focal group follows will be required to estimate population abundance with accuracy. Similarly, contin- Arroyo-Rodriguez, V., Dias, P.A.D., 2009. Effects of habitat fragmentation and ued monitoring will be required to assess the apparent decrease of disturbance on howler monkeys: a review. Am. J. Primatol. 71, 1–16. Bodmer, R.E., Fang, G., Moya, L.I., 1988. Primates and Ungulates: a comparison of this species in MW. susceptibility to hunting. Prim. Conserv. 9, 79–83. Brugière, D., 1998. Population size of the black colobus monkey Colobus satanus 4.1. 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