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Spring 2018 Full Issue the .SU Naval War College Review Volume 71 Article 1 Number 2 Spring 2018 2018 Spring 2018 Full Issue The .SU . Naval War College Follow this and additional works at: https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review Recommended Citation Naval War College, The .SU . (2018) "Spring 2018 Full Issue," Naval War College Review: Vol. 71 : No. 2 , Article 1. Available at: https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol71/iss2/1 This Full Issue is brought to you for free and open access by the Journals at U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Naval War College Review by an authorized editor of U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Naval War College: Spring 2018 Full Issue Spring 2018 Volume 71, Number 2 Spring 2018 海洋强国 Published by U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons, 2018 1 Naval War College Review, Vol. 71 [2018], No. 2, Art. 1 Cover The cover shows the Chinese characters for “maritime great power” superimposed on a representation of the fleet of Admiral Zheng He, China’s fifteenth-century mariner whose expeditions extended throughout Asia and as far as East Africa. China subsequently refrained from extensive maritime endeavors for centuries; recently it has attempted to correct this state of affairs. In “Underway: Beijing’s Strategy to Build China into a Maritime Great Power,” Liza Tobin analyzes what China means by the concept of maritime great power and how it is pursuing that status. Credit: Image by Bruno Zaffoni. Original in the Cheng Ho Cultural Museum, Melaka, Malaysia https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol71/iss2/1 2 Naval War College: Spring 2018 Full Issue NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW Spring 2018 Volume 71, Number 2 NAVAL WAR COLLEGE PRESS 686 Cushing Road Newport, RI 02841-1207 Published by U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons, 2018 3 7148_FrontMatter copy.indd 1 2/27/18 1:33 PM Naval War College Review, Vol. 71 [2018], No. 2, Art. 1 NAVAL WAR COLLEGE PRESS ADVISORY BOARD PRESIDENT, NAVAL WAR COLLEGE Adam Bellow Rear Adm. Jeffrey A. Harley, USN Seth Cropsey PROVOST Jeffrey Kline Dr. Lewis M. Duncan Gale A. Mattox Capt. Robert C. Rubel, USN (Ret.) DEAN OF NAVAL WARFARE STUDIES Robert A. Silano Thomas J. Culora Marin Strmecki NAVAL WAR COLLEGE PRESS Dov S. Zakheim Carnes Lord, Editor Robert Ayer, Managing Editor NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW EDITORIAL BOARD Kate Acosta, Associate Editor Donald Chisholm Kaila Aguiar, Associate Editor Stephen Downes-Martin Timothy J. Demy and Brad Carter, Book Review Andrew S. Erickson Editors Col. Theodore L. Gatchel, USMC (Ret.) Lori A. Almeida, Administrative Assistant and Cdr. Sean Henseler, USN (Ret.) Circulation Manager Cdr. James Kraska, USN (Ret.) Frank Uhlig Jr., Editor Emeritus Capt. Thomas Mangold, USN (Ret.) John Maurer Naval War College Review Col. Mackubin Owens, USMC (Ret.) Code 32, Naval War College Capt. Derek S. Reveron, USNR 686 Cushing Rd., Newport, RI 02841-1207 Capt. Peter M. Swartz, USN (Ret.) Fax: 401.841.1071 Capt. Sam Tangredi, USN (Ret.) DSN exchange, all lines: 841 Scott C. Truver Website: www.usnwc.edu/Publications/ James J. Wirtz Naval-War-College-Press http://twitter.com/NavalWarCollege Editor, Circulation, or Business 401.841.2236 [email protected] Managing Editor 401.841.4552 [email protected] Book Reviews [email protected] Other Naval War College Offices 401.841.3089 https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol71/iss2/1 4 NWC_Spring2018Review.indb 2 2/23/18 10:50 AM Naval War College: Spring 2018 Full Issue The Naval War College Review was established in 1948 as a forum for discussion of public policy matters of interest to the maritime services. The thoughts and opinions expressed in this publication are those of the authors and are not necessarily those of the U.S. government, the U.S. Navy Department, or the Naval War College. The journal is published quarterly. Distribution is limited generally to commands and activities of the U.S. Navy, Marine Corps, and Coast Guard; regular and reserve officers of U.S. services; foreign officers and civilians having a present or previous affiliation with the Naval War College; selected U.S. government officials and agencies; and selected U.S. and international libraries, research centers, publica- tions, and educational institutions. Contributors Please request the standard contributors’ guidance from the managing editor or access it online before submitting manuscripts. The Naval War College Review nei- ther offers nor makes compensation for articles or book reviews, and it assumes no responsibility for the return of manuscripts, although every effort is made to return those not accepted. In submitting work, the sender warrants that it is original, that it is the sender’s property, and that neither it nor a similar work by the sender has been accepted or is under consideration elsewhere. Permissions Reproduction and reprinting are subject to the Copyright Act of 1976 and appli- cable treaties of the United States. To obtain permission to reproduce material bearing a copyright notice, or to reproduce any material for commercial pur- poses, contact the editor for each use. Material not bearing a copyright notice may be freely reproduced for academic or other noncommercial use; however, it is requested that the author and Naval War College Review be credited and that the editor be informed. Periodicals postage paid at Newport, RI. POSTMASTERS, send address changes to: Naval War College Review, Code 32S, Naval War College, 686 Cushing Rd., Newport, RI 02841-1207. ISSN 0028-1484 Published by U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons, 2018 5 NWC_Spring2018Review.indb 3 2/23/18 10:50 AM Naval War College Review, Vol. 71 [2018], No. 2, Art. 1 https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol71/iss2/1 6 7148_FrontMatter copy.indd 4 2/27/18 1:33 PM Naval War College: Spring 2018 Full Issue CONTENTS From the Editors . 3 Don’t Ever, Ever Give Up the Ship. 5 Under Secretary of the Navy Thomas Modly President’s Forum . 13 Asia Rising Underway Beijing’s Strategy to Build China into a Maritime Great Power . 17 Liza Tobin In its official documents, China has defined what it means by the term maritime great power and has laid out how it intends to achieve that status, becoming the world’s “main maritime power” by 2049. Strategy and Policy A Maritime Oil Blockade against China Tactically Tempting but Strategically Flawed . 49 Gabriel Collins The political, economic, and financial aspects of sustaining an oil blockade against China mean that even a militarily successful blockader could find its political, economic, and diplomatic posi- tion untenable well before a blockade could exert its full effects. “Rockets’ Red Glare” Why Does China Oppose THAAD in South Korea, and What Does It Mean for U.S. Policy? . 79 Robert C. Watts IV China’s purported fears about the introduction of defensive missiles into South Korea are likely in- sincere or misplaced, leaving concerns about the beneficial effects on U.S. alliances as the probable explanation for its opposition. Operational Art Mission Command in a Future Naval Combat Environment . 109 Robert C. Rubel Naval officers must understand the considerations required to exert effective mission command as operations devolve into forms characterized by lesser degrees of structure and control. Published by U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons, 2018 7 7153_TOC copy.indd 1 2/23/18 11:11 AM 2 NAVAL WAR COLLEGENaval REVIEW War College Review, Vol. 71 [2018], No. 2, Art. 1 European Security “Sea of Peace” or Sea of War Russian Maritime Hybrid Warfare in the Baltic Sea . 123 Martin Murphy and Gary Schaub Jr. Russian destabilization efforts aimed at the Baltic States are most likely to come from the Baltic Sea; be maritime, nonlethal, and nonnaval; and use political, diplomatic, informational, psycho- logical, and economic tools, and perhaps paramilitary forces. Commentary The Baltic, Poland, and President Trump’s Warsaw Declaration . 149 Don Thieme Review Essay Desperately Seeking a New Dr. Strangelove. 155 The Pentagon’s Brain: An Uncensored History of DARPA, America’s Top Secret Military Research Agency, by Annie Jacobsen reviewed by Sam J. Tangredi Book Reviews The Chosen Few: A Company of Paratroopers and Its Heroic Struggle to Survive in the Mountains of Afghanistan, by Gregg Zoroya reviewed by Thomas J. Gibbons . 159 No Room for Mistakes: British and Allied Submarine Warfare 1939–1940, by Geirr H. Haarr reviewed by Charles T. Lewis. 160 Great Strategic Rivalries: From the Classical World to the Cold War, ed. James G. Lacey reviewed by Stephen K. Stein. 162 Churchill & Orwell: The Fight for Freedom, by Thomas E. Ricks reviewed by Christopher Nelson. 163 The Evolution of Modern Grand Strategic Thought, by Lukas Milevski reviewed by Richard J. Norton. 165 A Handful of Bullets: How the Murder of Archduke Franz Ferdinand Still Menaces the Peace, by Harlan K. Ullman reviewed by Jeremy Snellen . 167 Hannibal, by Patrick N. Hunt reviewed by Timothy J. Demy . 168 Reflections on Reading . 171 https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol71/iss2/1 8 7153_TOC copy.indd 2 2/23/18 11:11 AM Naval War College: Spring 2018 Full Issue FROM THE EDITORS The recent emergence of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) as a maritime power with global reach is less a natural evolution than a willed project. Because much about top-level Chinese decision making is opaque, American and other Western observers have a tendency to resort to mirror imaging to try to un- derstand it. And yet in some ways the Chinese can be surprisingly open about their intentions. This is particularly true of the maritime realm.
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