AGENDA ITEM

CITY AND COUNTY OF DINAS A SIR CAERDYDD

CHILDREN & YOUNG PEOPLE SCRUTINY COMMITTEE 6 NOVEMBER 2007

Cardiff 14-19 Network Annual Development Plan

Background

1. At its meeting of 8th May 2007, the Committee received a report on items to be included in the Committee’s work programme for the forthcoming municipal year. Following consideration of the many issues concerning Children and Young People, Members agreed to receive a report on the Cardiff 14 – 19 Network’s Annual Network Development Plans.

2. The 14-19 Network in Cardiff has a statutory duty to produce an Annual Network Development Plan for submission to the National Assembly for . The Cardiff 14-19 Network has completed the delivery of its plan for 2006/ 2007 and received approval for the 2007/2008 plan. The 2008/2009 plan is being developed and will be submitted for approval to the National Assembly for Wales by 31st January 2008.

Purpose of the Report

3. The purpose of this report is to provide Members with an opportunity to receive verbal briefing on the development of the 2008-09 plan together with details of the Network’s progress in achieving the actions identified in the 2007 – 2008 plan (attached at Appendix 1).

4. The Council’s Single Education Plan 2006-2008 includes as a key strategy “To establish, with schools and key partners, the organisational, leadership, curriculum, information and pastoral arrangements which will deliver an entitlement for all 14 – 19 year olds in Cardiff to be offered a broader range of learning opportunities that will increase levels of participation and achievement, reduce significantly the number of pupils leaving school at 16 without a recognised qualification and increase participation post-16”

5. In addition the Single Education Plan sets out the following key actions : • Consult on and implement the outcomes of the 14 – 19 assignment considering the best partnership model to deliver 14 – 19 Learning Pathways in Cardiff • Support the implementation of the Network’s 14-19 action plan for 2006-2007 and 2007-2008 following approval by the Welsh Assembly Government. • Implement the relevant aspects of the 14 – 19 action plan which involve: developing the involvement of young people in decision- making and in the provision of information; updating information about the learning opportunities in ways which appeal to young people and their parents; developing support for learners, covering advice about learning pathways, careers advice and personal advice and guidance through involvement in piloting national and local initiatives; working with Careers Wales to develop its on line service to meet the information and support needs of all young people aged 14-19.

6. The Plan also sets out a number of key factors in the delivery of the 14 – 19 Learning Pathways, namely by: – Defining students’ curriculum entitlement – Accepting that no institution can provide on its own – Placing students’ interests at the centre; all institutions accepting corporate responsibility to deliver – Establishing partnership arrangements between schools, Colleges and other providers which will deliver entitlement over a measurable period of time

7. Councillor Bill Kelloway, Executive Member for Education and Lifelong Learning may make a statement, Chris Jones; Chief Schools and Lifelong Learning Officer, Robert Hopkins, OM Management Standards and School Effectiveness and John Fabes, the Cardiff 14-19 Network co-ordinator, will present the report and be available to answer any questions Members may have.

Way Forward

8. Members may wish to comment on the information attached at Appendix 1 and consider any issues for further investigation.

Legal Implications

9. The Scrutiny Committee is empowered to enquire, consider, review and recommend but not to make policy decisions. As the recommendations in this report are to consider and review matters there are no direct legal implications. However, legal implications may arise if and when the matters under review are implemented with or without any modifications. Any report with recommendations for decision that goes to Executive/Council will set out any legal implications arising from those recommendations. All decisions taken by or on behalf the Council must (a) be within the legal powers of the Council; (b) comply with any procedural requirement imposed by law; (c) be within the powers of the body or person exercising powers of behalf of the Council; (d) be undertaken in accordance with the procedural requirements imposed by the Council e.g. Scrutiny Procedure Rules; (e) be fully and properly informed; (f) be properly motivated; (g) be taken having regard to the Council's fiduciary duty to its taxpayers; and (h) be reasonable and proper in all the circumstances

Financial Implications

10. The Scrutiny Committee is empowered to enquire, consider, review and recommend but not to make policy decisions. As the recommendations in this report are to consider and review matters there are no direct financial implications at this stage in relation to any of the work programme. However, financial implications may arise if and when the matters under review are implemented with or without any modifications. These financial implications will need to be considered before any changes are implemented. Any report with recommendations for decision that goes to Executive/Council will set out any financial implications arising from those recommendations.

RECOMMENDATIONS

That Members note the information contained in Appendix 1 and submit any comments or recommendations to the Executive Member, Corporate Director and Chief Schools and Lifelong Learning Officer.

MARTIN HAMILTON Chief Scrutiny Performance and Governance Officer 29th OCTOBER 2007

ANNEX 1 Learning Pathways 14-19

Annual Network Development Plan 2007-2008

Page 1

Index Page

1. Context 3 2. History and Geographic Profile 4 3. Strategy 15 4. Strategic Priorities 16 5. Option Menu 16 6. What we are currently doing 17 7. What does our analysis and research tell us? 18 8. Targets 19 9. How we will address these priorities 19 10. Communication 20

Page 2

1. Context

Foreword by the Minister

Extract from the Ministerial Foreword, Learning Pathways I4-19 Guidance II.

0ur goal remains that: "95 per cent of young people by the age of 25 will be ready for high skilled employment or higher education by 2015."

To achieve this we seek nothing less through Learning Pathways than the transformation of young people's options and opportunities. We are extending choice and flexibility; securing individually tailored learning pathways that meet learners’ needs; and providing richer opportunities and experiences that will help learners develop the wider skills they need for life and work.

This is backed up by a unique blend of support that will ensure that all learners have the advice and guidance they need to make good choices and to overcome barriers to learning.

The transformation of 14-19 provision for all learners requires the achievement of a balance between national and local developments. We will continue to work closely with our local partners, drawing on their knowledge and experience in supporting national policy. This depends on 14-19 Networks in each local authority area developing a genuine collaborative and strategic approach to the implementation of Learning Pathways.

This is an important time in the development of the Learning Pathways agenda. The successful implementation of Learning Pathways also depends on re-alignment of existing provision and funding to complement the extra resources.

Page 3 2. History and Geographic Profile

The most recent and comprehensive description of Cardiff in relation to education, training, skills, employment, achievement and present and future economic developments is that presented within the Learning (CCET) annual report. The introduction to that report is provided below. It’s main omission is that of reference to the new MoD development at St. Athans which will only add impetus to many of the areas of the economy described in the report especially construction, future training needs and heightened demand in the and service sectors.

ABOUT CARDIFF

Cardiff is the largest local authority in Wales and undisputedly the region’s economic engine for growth. Its population estimate in 2005 was 319,700 1 - a 5% growth since 1993, making Cardiff one of the fastest growing cities in Europe. Young people (15-24yrs) account for 23.2% of the city’s population (appreciably higher than the Welsh average at 19%), attracted to the city by its world class higher education facilities and by its buoyant economy 2.

According to the 2001 census, there are 127,500 households in Cardiff of which 69% are owner-occupied. Of the remainder, 17% are in the social rented sector and 13% are in the private rented sector. Approximately 8% of the local population come from minority ethnic communities.

Economy

In the period between 1991 and 2003 Cardiff’s economy grew by 19.4%, with employment levels increasing by 1.2% between 2002 and 2003, higher than that across Great Britain (0.5%) but slightly lower than that across Wales (1.6%). The total number of employed people in Cardiff in 2003, including those self-employed, stood at 178,250. Cardiff (with the ) has also performed very well in terms of Gross Value Added – GVA - (formerly known as Gross Domestic Product – GDP) which, between 1995 to 2002, rose by 53.3% per head. This is significantly higher than the average Welsh performance (32.6%) and Great Britain (41.8%) over the same period 3.

Cardiff has experienced full employment in recent years , but although the claimant count resident based unemployment rates fell from 2.7% to 2.4% 2 between January 2004 – 5, it started to climb in 2006 up to 2.5%4. However, this city-wide statistic hides pockets of much higher unemployment. Thus, and for example, the so-called ‘southern arc’ of the city registers an unemployment rate of 3.8% which is comparable with the worst in Wales. Furthermore, although Cardiff has some of the least deprived wards in Wales, it also has several of the most deprived ( in 2000 five of the city’s electoral divisions were ranked in the top 20% most deprived divisions in Wales. However, in the revision of the Index of Multiple Deprivation published in November 2005 5, this number was amended – according to improved methodology based on sub-ward level data . Accordingly, out of 203 LSOAs (Lower Super Output Areas) identified in Cardiff, 33 were in the most deprived 10% LSOAs in Wales , giving Cardiff 11% of the most multiply deprived in Wales). Whilst the originally- identified five wards have been attracting social regeneration assistance through the

1 Annual Population Survey January – December 2005 , NOMIS 2 Welsh Local Area Labour Force Survey February 2003 – March 2004 3 Cardiff County Council’s Interim Economic Development Plan 2005/6 4 Essential Facts August 2006 5 Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation 2005 , Welsh Assembly Government Page 4 Communities First programme, specific resources have yet to be allocated to addressing the multiple needs of the newly-identified SOAs.

There are a number of landmark development projects playing a significant role in transforming Cardiff (see below for further, specific details) which are expected to bring up to 10,000 jobs to the city in the next 3-5yrs, 3,000 of which will be in construction with others in a range of retail-related, hospitality, security, administration, catering etc. Given Cardiff’s current full employment status, it is clear that these vacancies will not be able to be filled locally. At present, over 70,000 people travel to work in Cardiff on a daily basis from its hinterland in neighbouring authorities, demonstrating Cardiff’s role as an economic driver in the region. It has been recognised 6 that this will need to be built on strategically if Cardiff is to continue to contribute to the development of a thriving, vibrant and internationally- competitive city region. This will include the development of a sub-regional response to the delivery of a diverse and skilled labour force to support the major infrastructure developments in the city - as well as the region.

The service sector in Cardiff continues to dominate the local economy, accounting for 87% of the city’s workforce. The largest sector within this in that represented by public administration, education and health.

As one might expect of the capital city of Wales, Cardiff is the principal financial and business services centre in Wales and as such has a strong presence in the local economy. The Banking, Finance and Insurance sector continues to thrive in Cardiff which, by December 2003, accounted for 19% of the city’s workforce – compared with 9.6% across Wales and 15.4% across Great Britain ². The sector is seen as a key driver of growth in the Welsh economy, having more than doubled its GVA between 1989 and 2000 ². Research carried out in 2003 ³7 indicated that almost 30% of companies researched had experienced difficulties in recruiting for particular positions during their first year in business. However, this was cited as a major problem by only 9% . Overall, Cardiff compared favourably with the rest of SE Wales with a large pool of skilled labour being cited most frequently as an advantage to recruiting in Cardiff.

The most competitive cities are those who are able to attract and retain a professional, managerial and technical workforce for whom a high quality lifestyle and environment are increasingly important 2 . There has been a significant increase in the leisure and tourism industry in Cardiff with the opening of many new hotels, restaurants and bars. 21% of the city’s workforce is now employed in the Distribution, Hotels and Restaurants sector. According to the Deloitte and Touche Hotel Benchmarking Survey there was a 5.5% increase in room revenue in 2004, with room occupancy steadying at just under 72% ². The opening of the at the end of 2004 and the celebration in 2005 of Cardiff’s centenary as a city and half century as a capital have all helped contribute to the on-going healthy development of this sector, a trend set to continue with key developments such as SD2 and the International Sports Village and the improvements to . Designation of Cardiff as a Strategic Tourism Growth Area (STGA) and Cardiff’s implementation of a six year tourism strategy as part of this is helping shape continued development of the tourism product and the creation of further jobs in the industry.

Cardiff’s retail sector continues to thrive, with the city being ranked as the eighth best shopping location in the UK 8 . Research by Knight Frank 9 indicated that Cardiff’s retail sector would be one of the best performing in Europe 2005, ranked second only to Dublin. The proposed 750,000sq.ft retail-led mixed use St.David’s 2 development,

6 Cardiff Corporate Plan 2006 - 2009 7 The Finance and Business Services Sector in Cardiff, Cardiff County Council, November 2003 8 Experian Retail Rankings 2004 – Experian Business Strategies Ltd 9 Global Real Estate Forecast, Frank Knight, 2005 Page 5 due for completion by the end of 2008, will provide a refreshed shopping centre anchored by a flagship John Lewis store which is anticipated to make Cardiff one of the very best retail destinations in the UK and Europe . However, Cardiff performs less favourably when compared to its benchmark competitors including Bristol 10 and so cannot afford to take its positive competitive performance for granted.

As a result of Cardiff’s development and regeneration as a Capital City and regional centre over the past decade, and the matching rise of its population – both of which are set to increase in the medium to long term with the development of the city region (cf. WAG’s ‘Spatial Plan’ and ‘Making the Connections’) and Cardiff’s increasing importance within this - there has been an increased demand for more homes as well as community and recreation facilities 11 . This has been fuelled by people’s increasing aspirations for improved living conditions and quality of life. This, together with the strength of the city’s leisure and tourism industries - set to be enhanced by the International Sports Village complex in , one of Europe's biggest urban regeneration projects which is expected to eventually see more than 3,000 full and part-time workers employed on the site and as many as 2,000 across other major construction projects, jobs that will almost certainly need to recruit from the city region - and the retail sector means that the construction and built environment sector is set to continue to grow. Changing regulations concerning sustainability and environmental awareness relating to the ratification of Kyoto are also having a keen impact on the sector and its’ training needs.

The film, television and multimedia sector in Cardiff, dominated by SMEs, is the largest in the UK outside London. The sector is becoming an increasingly significant contributor to the economy of Cardiff which currently stands at 3,700 people – or 2.1% which is only marginally lower than that across Great Britain as a whole (2.2%)12. Whilst several local companies ( such as BarcudDerwen and Boomerang) are emerging at the forefront of the UK multimedia and video industry, the @Wales digital incubator is proving successful in growing new talent and companies. Phase 2 of @Wales, presently under development in Beynon House in Cardiff Bay – will provide incubator space for 25 companies and a state-of-the-art Digital Media Centre for Wales. A further and significant boost to Cardiff’s film, television and multimedia industry in Cardiff will be supplied by the £330m Welsh Film Studios development in Rhondda Cynon Taff where preparatory ground work has commenced.

A key objective of Cardiff County Council’s Interim Economic Development Plan is “ to support a dynamic, flexible and globally competitive economy for the City through the promotion of knowledge based, high value-added sectors.” 13 In December 2003 those employed in the OECD-defined technology and knowledge-intensive industries in Cardiff accounted for 23.5% of the overall workforce (compared with 12.5% across Wales and 20% across Great Britain). The capital’s high technology base is constantly being strengthened through investment and the growth of indigenous companies, assisted by the provision of incubator units by Cardiff County Council and its partners at Cardiff Business Technology Centre and Cardiff Medicentre (which currently houses 14 life science companies). The proposed new life sciences Technium at Basin in Cardiff Bay will attract and support the development of other, new life science companies in the city. Through the development of high quality graduates (4,300+ annually), Cardiff’s higher education sector clearly has a key role to play in the development of the knowledge-based economy. The latest Research Assessment Exercise ranked 7th out of 107 UK universities, with 87% of its research staff working in departments rated 5 or 5*, indicating research of national or international significance 14. Three Welsh

10 Performance Report 2005 – Cardiff County Council March 2006 11 Cardiff County Council’s Local Housing Strategy 2004 – 2009 12 Cardiff Essential Facts – The Film, TV and Multimedia Sector in Cardiff, Cardiff County Council, November 2003 (updated April 2006) 13 Cardiff County Council’s Interim Economic Development Plan 2005/6 14 Cardiff Essential Facts – Higher and Further Education, Cardiff County Council, January 2004 (updated April 2006) Page 6 Development Agency (now DEIN) - accredited ‘Centres of Excellence’ in life sciences are based in Cardiff’s higher education institutions, an academic research base further strengthened by the Wales Gene park and the Cardiff Institute for Tissue Engineering and Repair (CITER). These centres are internationally recognized for their research, world-class facilities and exceptional track record in industrial collaboration and clearly have a key role to play in developing Cardiff’s knowledge- based economy.

In 2003 employment in the Information and Communication Technology (ICT) sector stood at 5,85015 . Cardiff is home to some notable national and international ICT companies such As BT, NTL, ATL Telecom and FIS-EU which are complemented by a range of dynamic indigenous companies including Sequence, Discover e-Solutions, Terralogic and Qubik. Recognising that high quality infrastructure is crucial to the creation of a knowledge-based economy, Cardiff’s situation has been appreciably strengthened by the availability of city-wide broadband coverage as well as by the presence of the BT Ignite Data Centre. Additionally a high speed fibre-based data network is planned through the Intelligent Cities Initiative which will further support the growth of the ICT sector in Cardiff 6

A new Proud Capital vision document has been developed by Cardiff Council and its community planning partners to build on Cardiff’s strong foundations of success and develop a renewed sense of purpose to underpin the next phase of the city’s development. The vision is about how Cardiff can be transformed into a ‘world class’ quality of life city region over the next 10-15 years. It is also about how Cardiff moves up the ‘league table’ of cities – from a current position of being a ‘1st Division city’ along with other UK ‘core cities’ to one where Cardiff is seen to be alongside European Capital Cities such as Amsterdam, Berlin, Barcelona and Madrid in the ‘Euro Championships’.

Currently Cardiff is performing well against other core cities within the UK on key economic indicators (e.g. Cardiff has experienced the largest percentage increase in total employment out of any of UK Core Cities, with an increase of 26.9% between 1998-2004). However, when viewed against the competitiveness of European core cities, performance is seen to be “respectable but not outstanding”16. If Cardiff is to continue to transform itself and achieve the new Proud Capital vision, it needs to take advantage of the benefits of scale (“big is better”) and work collectively with neighbouring authorities as a competitive city region of some 1.4m people whilst still promoting the strengths gained from the city’s compactness (“small is beautiful”).

Cardiff’s Economic Development Strategy 2001-2006 is currently being revised to reflect the changes in the economy over the last 5 years and is due for publication at the end of 2006. The new Strategy for 2007-2012 will continue to highlight a number of key sectors of importance to Cardiff in terms of adding value to the economy and creating further economic growth and will include Creative Industries, Bioscience & Health, Finance and Business Services, Technology, Tourism and Construction. In addition, the new Strategy will also highlight the priorities for Cardiff in relation to increasing the city’s overall competitiveness and will consider actions supporting the development of innovation, skills and education, connectivity, quality of life and strategic decision making capacity.

The voluntary sector’s contribution to achieving the goals of social inclusion and economic growth has been recognised by the Welsh Assembly Government, accounting as it does for 3.6% of Wales’s GDP The voluntary sector’s contribution has also been recognised by Cardiff Council who, together with the local NHS , have signed a tripartite Compact with Cardiff’s voluntary sector, outlining arrangements in which the three partners can best work together to ensure the highest quality delivery

15 Cardiff Key Economic Sectors April 2006 (www.cardiff.gov.uk) 16 Cardiff Benchmarking Report, Professor Michael Parkinson, European Institute for Urban Affairs, commissioned by Cardiff Council’s Economic Scrutiny Committee, June 2006 Page 7 of services for Cardiff’s communities. The highest number of registered voluntary organisations in Wales is based in Cardiff (1,788 or 7.8%)17 .

Demography

Cardiff’s population age profile is such that the city has a much higher proportion of young people aged 15-24 (23.2%) than Wales as a whole (19%) – partly due to the large number of students attending higher education in Cardiff but also arguably due to the opportunities offered by the Welsh capital. It also has a lower proportion of persons of retirement age (14.7%) than the Wales average (17.4%) 18.

A high proportion of Cardiff’s residents are employed (64.3%, compared to a Welsh average of 59.6%) but there is significant variation across the city. Thus, whilst 76.2% of the Cardiff North parliamentary constituency’s working age population is working, the same is true for only 63% of that of Cardiff South and Penarth19 .

According to the Welsh Local Area Labour Force Survey 2003-4 (which includes in its variables inactivity as well as unemployment rates), Cardiff has a high rate of unemployment (6%), third highest in Wales after Blaenau Gwent (7.5%) and RCT (7.1%) .

NOMIS statistics for the period Jan – Dec 2005 indicate that overall inactivity levels in Cardiff were slightly higher than the Welsh average (25.2% as against 24.8%) and significantly higher than the British average of 21.6%. Of these, 7.5% were registered as wanting a job (compared with 6% in Wales and 5.3% in Great Britain). This general picture masks a significant gender difference, with more women than men being inactive (31.3% vs 18.9%) but wanting to work (9.1% vs 5.8%). Economic inactivity is a pressing concern for Cardiff both socially as well as economically particularly when there are many more job vacancies across the city than there are unemployed people 20.

Self-employment in Cardiff accounts for 6.9% of the working-age population (compared to a Welsh average of 8.5%, and a Great Britain average of 9.2%). The number of self-employed women is considerably lower than men (3.8% vs 10.1%)21

In Cardiff, 16% of the population (all ages) are able to speak Welsh (giving it a ranking of 18th out of 22 authorities)22. In 2002/3 the Welsh for Adults consortium headed by Cardiff University accounted for 22.1% of all enrolments across .

Minority Ethnic communities Cardiff is defined by its uniquely rich multilingual and culturally diverse society (where more than 42 languages are spoken) . In addition to its population whose origins lie in the Caribbean, Somalia, India, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Yemen, China, Vietnam, the Cape Verdian Islands and Greece, Cardiff also has a significant permanent Gypsy & Traveller population, and a settled refugee population of over 6,000 people 23. Under the government’s dispersal arrangements for asylum seekers, Cardiff has successfully accommodated 400 families since 200124.

17 Regional Statement of Needs and Priorities 2006 – 2007, ELWa 18 Annual Population Survey January – December 2005 , NOMIS 19 2001 Census, ONS 20 Annual Population Survey January – December 2005 , NOMIS 21 Local Area Labour Force Survey, March 2003 – February 2004, NOMIS 22 Regional Statement of Needs and Priorities 2005 - 2006, ELWa 23 Accommodating Diversity throughout Cardiff: Draft Ethnic Minority Housing Strategy 2004 – 2009’, Cardiff County Council 24 Regional Statement of Needs and Priorities 2006 - 2007, ELWa Page 8 Whilst the Census 2001 shows Cardiff's ethnic minority population to be 8.4% compared to 6.1% in the 1991 Census, more recent statistics 25 show the figure to be 10.7% (compared to 2.4% for Wales and 8.0% for the UK as a whole) . Whilst the ‘mixed’ community represents the largest minority ethnic group in Cardiff (2.8%), the Pakistani/Bangladeshi community follows very closely behind (2.7% compared to 0.6% for Wales and 1.9% for the UK) . The data also shows the Indian community in Cardiff to account for only 0.7% of the whole (compared to 0.2% for Wales and 1.7% for the UK). The 2001 Census also identifies that 11.2% of people aged between 10 – 24 identified themselves as Mixed Race, Asian, Black, Chinese or other Ethnic Origin. By 2010 25% of the secondary and primary school populations will come from BME communities.

The 2001 Census figures show that the majority of the ethnic minority communities live within , Riverside, Grangetown, Plasnewydd, and , with smaller communities in Ely, Canton and .

The highest proportion and absolute numbers of black people is found in Butetown, with similar absolute numbers in Grangetown. The highest population proportions and absolute numbers of Asian people are found in Grangetown, Riverside and Plasnewydd. Chinese and mixed races are more evenly distributed across the city 1 . Many of these populations live in the poorest inner city areas and rank amongst the most impoverished of the city's inhabitants. However, the growth of some minority ethnic communities in more affluent wards across the city reflects an increasingly socially diverse picture.

As has been described elsewhere (cf. pg. 5), the growth of Cardiff as an events destination has led to a rapid expansion in the number of hospitality and catering outlets. The skills need of this sector, together with that of the construction industry, are increasingly being met by staff recruited from outside the United Kingdom. Many of these staff originate from the new accession countries in Europe such as Poland, the Czech Republic and Latvia. However, there is a significant proportion of the minority ethnic communities in Cardiff who are unemployed. Thus,and against a background of 4.8% unemployment in Cardiff, the rate for non-whites is 15.2% (compared to 3.9% for whites). This is higher than both the all Wales figure (14.8%) and the UK-wide figure (11.0%).9

Over 50s According to the 2001 Census, 16.4% of those unemployed were aged 50+. Although lower than that amongst the 16-24yr olds (28%), the figure represents a significant number of people who may be available to the economy if provided with adequate and appropriate training / re-training opportunities.

Whilst there is great variation across the city in the number of men and women aged 50+ who have either no qualifications, are unemployed and/or who are economically inactive (75.5% men aged 50 – 64 with no qualifications in Splott compared to 9% in ), there are a significant number of wards (59%) where at least half of those aged between 50 and 64 ( between 50 and 59 for women) have no qualifications at all.

Economic inactivity amongst the 50+ is at least 23% in each electoral ward in Cardiff. However, in more than half of these it is above 30% amongst men, and above 35% amongst women. This, coupled with the high rates of unemployment, represents a real loss of economic opportunity not only to the individuals concerned but also to their communities and to the wider economic prosperity of the city. Clearly the high numbers of 50+ who have no qualifications have an impact on this.

Education and Training (incl. Skills and Qualifications)

25 2002-2003 Local Area Labour Force Survey, NOMIS Page 9 As the administrative centre of Wales, it is not surprising that over 50% of the workforce in Cardiff comprises those engaged in professional, associate professional and administrative occupations. Accordingly, the skills base is strong with 74% qualified to NVQ level 2 or above, and 38% at level 4 and above 26. Compared to the Wales average of 17%, Cardiff’s percentage of non-qualified workers is just 12%. However, this figure represents lost opportunities in a city whose economy is growing and where there are vacancies across all sectors being filled from outside the city.

The statistical picture depicting the health of post 16 training in Cardiff is unfortunately a rather confusing one, with several apparent contradictions. Thus: in December 2000, the standard participation rate for post 16 learning in Cardiff (including HEIs) was found to be amongst the lowest in Wales, as was participation in training. However, the same survey shows Cardiff to have the second highest percentage of young people studying at HE level (43%) whilst also claiming that the skills base is strong. Furthermore, data provided by CareersWales on Pupil Destinations in Year 11 in 2004 shows Cardiff (and the Vale) recording the highest percentage of young people in S.E.Wales staying in full-time education (78.8%). In 2003 the Welsh Local Area Labour Force Survey showed that Cardiff had the highest number of employed people receiving job-related training across the South East of Wales (13.9%) across a given four week period. Similarly in the same year, and according to ELWa, Cardiff had the highest level of post 16 participation in Adult and Continuing Learning, with 11,925 (32%) enrolments recorded across 103 venues. Of less dispute, however, is the challenge posed by the relatively high numbers of young people in Cardiff who are neither in education, employment or training – NEETs - (6.4%, second only to the Gwent Valleys at 7.0%).

Performance by Cardiff’s young people at KS4 improved by 6% over the period 1997 – 2004. While this represented a bigger percentage improvement when compare to the 5% improvement achieved across Wales as a whole, this was from a lower baseline. In the period 2005/6, however, performance in Cardiff at this key stage picked up significantly with the number of young people gaining at least 5 GCSE grades A* - C reaching 52% and A* - G 84%. Whilst performance grades A* - C is improving it remains marginally below the Wales average of 54%. The number of young people gaining at least 5 GCSEs A* - G, however, remains both below the Welsh ( -2% ) and the UK averages (-1%). 27 Whilst the percentage of pupils leaving full-time education without a recognized qualification has steadily reduced over the past few years ( from 4.8% in 2003 to 3.6% in 2004 and to 3.2% in 2005), those leaving with no qualifications continues to be well above the Wales average (+1.3% in 2005 28 ). Attendance in secondary schools remains an area of concern. Whilst the overall attendance rate improved over the period 2000 – 2004, this was not maintained in 2004-2005. Therefore, attendance is still not at a satisfactory level. As regards those not in education, employment or training (NEET), although the trend has been downwards since 2002 (9.1% in 2002, 8.7% in 2003, 7.4% in 2004 and 8.4% in 2005 29 ), the issue continues to be a very pressing one.

In 2004/05 a total number of 6,205 Work-based Learning (WBL) episodes were recorded for Cardiff, the majority of which (52%) were undertaken by male learners. 34% were undertaken by learners aged 18yrs and under, 31% by learners aged 19 – 24, and 35% by learners aged 25 and over 30. There continue to be poor attainment rates in WBL 31 though the reasons for this are complex: 33% of those who participated in a recent survey cited employment as a reason for non-completion, with other reasons given being as : wrong course (11%), personal reasons (8%) , health reasons (5%), and financial reasons (5%) 32.

26 Annual Local Labour Force Survey 2004, NOS 27 Schools and Lifelong :Learning Service, Cardiff Council 28 GCSE results 2206 provisional summary, Cardiff County Council Schools Service 29 Cardiff Pupil Destinations 2005, Careers Wales Cardiff and the Vale 30 Learning Network Analysis 2004/5, ELWa 31 Learning and Skills Assessment 2006, DELLS 32 FE/WBL Early leavers Research June 2006, DELLS Page 10

Foundation Modern Apprenticeships (FMAs, equivalent to NVQ 2) and Modern Apprenticeships (MAs, equivalent to NVQ 3 and 4) offer training in the workplace integrated with off-the-job training with a training provider or a local FE College. The training usually takes between 2 – 4 yrs to complete. During 2004/5, 2115 Cardiff residents were on FMAs with a further 2185 on MAs 5 .

According to the audit of literacy and numeracy skills conducted in Wales between 1997 – 1999 by the Basic Skills Agency 18, 26% of people in Cardiff were judged to have either low or very low literacy skills and 28% to have low or very low numeracy skills. There was significant variation at ward level, however, with Butetown and Ely recording figures as high as 46% and 39%. As has been noted elsewhere (cf ‘demography’ above), the expansion of the tourism and hospitality industry in Cardiff , as well as construction activity, has led to an increase in the number of skilled workers migrating to the city. This has led to a significant increase in the demand for ESOL provision, a demand that is set to increase in the mid and long term for several additional reasons: - the requirement for citizenship applicants to participate in ESOL where necessary - a programme of managed migration into the UK , outlined in the August 2005 ‘Selective Admission: Making Migration Work for Britain’ document produced by the Home Office and supported by the CBI and TUC addressing skills shortages in prioritised sectors. Another factor affecting the delivery of ESOL in the city – as elsewhere in Wales – is the discontinuation of the Welsh Assembly Government’s grant supporting ESOL provision for Asylum Seekers.

According to the Future Skills Wales 2003 Generic Skills survey – whose aim was to audit the skills needs of employers in Wales and the skills offered by the people who live there - the top rated skills identified by employers in Cardiff now and over the next two years were: understanding customer needs; communication; ability to follow instructions; team working, and adaptability and flexibility.

Other key findings of the Future Skills Wales 2003 Generic Skills survey, as they pertain to Cardiff, are as follows: ™ whilst 55% of employers in Cardiff have provided off-the-job training in the last 12 months, 9% of these have experienced difficulties in finding an appropriate training provider. ™ 68% of Cardiff residents expressed an interest in being involved in some form of learning though a significant number (41%) experienced some form of barrier to accessing learning whether it be financial or practical. ™ Of those who had recently accessed learning, the most popular reasons given were either to develop new skills or update existing ones usually for work.

Educational infrastructure

Educational provision within Cardiff is rich and diverse. There are 23 secondary schools which fall into the following categories:

12 Community High Schools of which : a. 8 are 11-18 schools b. 4 are 11-16 schools

3 11-16 Catholic High Schools

2 11-18 Church in Wales High Schools

Page 11 2 11-18 Welsh-medium High Schools

1 11-18 Community College

3 Special Schools that include students in the 14-19 age range

A Pupil Referral Unit also provides support for secondary school students

For post-16 students there is, in addition to the 6th form provision listed above, a choice of:

FE colleges at Coleg Glan Hafren (with sites in the centre and east of Cardiff) and Barry College, in the Vale to the west of Cardiff but with a significant Construction Centre in the centre of Cardiff, developed in partnership with Cardiff Council.

St. David’s Catholic Sixth Form College towards the NE of Cardiff.

Higher Education is well represented with the large campuses of UWIC and Cardiff University.

Prior to Learning Pathways 14-19 was identified as a priority within Cardiff. There were three major partnership undertakings in Cardiff all with a good track record of collaboration. The Faith-based network comprising St.David’s College and the 5 Faith Schools in Cardiff along with a number of other Faith schools from neighbouring networks. The second group is the Collegium, which represents a network of secondary schools, initially 11-16 schools but now expanded, that formed a partnership with Coleg Glan Hafren that helped support a wider curriculum offer. The third group is the Cardiff Learning Partnership that comprises 3 11-18 Community High Schools towards the city centre that have developed a collaborative post-16 arrangement with joint timetabling provision. In addition to these there have been some bilateral arrangements, the recent development of partnership activity amongst 2 High Schools and a Community College in the west of Cardiff and some links with Barry College.

A significant centrally managed provision for 14-16 year olds is the “Extended Opportunities programme”. This provides a wide variety of opportunities, often in work-based training provider settings, for students for whom the school-based curriculum is not wholly appropriate. For a further minority of students in 14-16 extended work-based placements are considered as another suitable alternative.

Within Cardiff there is also an extensive provision of Youth Centres and Community and Adult Learning Centres that 14-19 year olds can access. There are also other providers such as voluntary groups that deal with young people who find themselves on the fringe of the educational provision in Cardiff.

Recent Developments

During 2005/06 Cardiff Council and the 14-19 Network commissioned the Universities of Lincoln and York to prepare a report to provide “Specialist Advice on 14-19 arrangements in Cardiff”. This report was finalised in late Page 12 March 2006 and presented to the Secondary Headteachers at their annual conference in May 2006. The Executive Summary of the report is appended to this document. Amongst its recommendations was that to set up two Partnership Boards in the east and west of the city each supported by a structure of management and working groups. In the final analysis it was felt by the Heads and Local Authority that a Cardiff wide strategic approach was needed and a structure was developed around this during the summer of 2006. The Local Authority appointed an Education Development Adviser to lead on 14-19 initiatives and in the autumn of 2006 work started with Headteachers and College Principals to construct an effective set of manageable and workable partnerships of schools and colleges. A planning process that engaged with all stakeholders across Cardiff was also developed so that the widest possible cross section of views could be represented. Alongside this an efficient management and decision-making structure was established. The three slides below illustrate these partnerships and processes:-

The Partnerships are comprised of 4 geographical groupings of all the High Schools across Cardiff with specific recognition of the dimensions offered by the Faith based network and the Welsh medium schools. The Colleges are seen to serve the needs of all the Partnerships.

Cardiff High Bishop of Corpus Christi Mary Immaculate Whitchurch St.Illtyd’s St. Teilo’s

Coleg Glan Hafren Rumney Glantaf St.David’s Plasmawr Llanedeyrn Barry College Willows

Michaelston Cantonian Glyn Derw Cathays Fitzalan Woodlands

The Cardiff Partnerships

Page 13 CARDIFF 14-19 LEARNING PATHWAYS – STRATEGY

WAG 14-19 ACTION PLAN Learning for Prosperity Forum Schools Regional skills CARDIFF 14-19 Options Menu NETWORK

Other reports & intelligence Executive Board Colleges WBTPs Commissioning

Cardiff 14-19 Cardiff 14-19 Standing Conference Standing Conference of Voluntary & of Heads & Principals WBTP sector

3 year strategy ***** Autumn 1 year Curriculum Conference Action Plan

The Learning for Prosperity Forum provides a common ground for education, training, skills, lifelong learning, economic policy and development and employers to develop a comprehensive view of developments in Cardiff. The Cardiff strategy emerges through the Autumn conference of stakeholders and is worked up into proposals through the services of the Local Authority Education Development Team 14-19, the Standing Conferences and the Executive Board before final presentation to the Cardiff 14-19 Network.

Proposals for future development are then commissioned from Partnerships of providers with the deliberate intent to reduce competitive bidding between providers in Cardiff and develop high quality provision for the city based on collaborative working arrangements.

The attendance list for the Autumn Conference held in November 2006 is attached to provide evidence of the wide range of stakeholders who were involved. There were some …….. attendees. The opening speakers provided delegates with a view from Jo Farrar, the Assistant Chief Executive of Cardiff Council, on the council’s new strategy and the place of 14-19 within that; The Chief Officer for Schools and Lifelong Learning , Hugh Knight, provided a schools perspective with learners at the ; Paul Orders, Head of Policy and Economic Development for Cardiff provided a clear view of Cardiff’s economy and the role of the 14-19Learning Pathways initiative. The conference then broke out into facilitated workshops sessions that covered 19 of the 39 vocational sectors described in our Options Menu. The discussions were recorded, written up and emailed to the groups who reconvened a week later to turn these into sets of recommendations. The final sets of recommendations from the conference are appended to this document along with slides from the key note speakers.

Page 14 14-19 Network

Executive Board Heads & Principals conference

Operational Managers Group Curriculum & Learning Pathways

Quality Learner Learning Equality & Assurance Support Core Resources

The Management of the Cardiff 14-19 Network

3. Strategy

Over the next three years our strategy will be developed over 3 broad areas.

The Curriculum

• We will continue to strengthen the work of the new partnerships, building on the good practice of the past, to embed curriculum and timetabling structures in the future that will enable us to offer a wider provision that is accessible to all learners. • We will continue to extend the range and quality of the provision available through the Options Menu and using a wider range of providers. • Existing quality assurance and leaner support frameworks will be built upon so that all partners can be assured that there is excellent provision and that all learners have access to the highest standards of guidance and support which enables them to be following the most appropriate pathway matched to their individual needs. • A three year capital investment programme will be undertaken which is clearly matched to Cardiff’s needs, which maximises the opportunity to collaborate with other partners and which brings convergent funding sources together. • It is our intention to impact on the core through work on the 3 core subjects alongside developments in the Learning Core including the Welsh Bac. with the intention of driving up standards of achievement.

Page 15 “Winning Hearts and Minds”

• This is a theme that was prominent in the conference workshops and relates to getting across the message to students, parents and employers about the benefits of the more vocational elements in Learning Pathways • We would want to ensure that we create opportunities for learners of all abilities to take advantage of the expanding Options Menu - this will require collaboration, curriculum change and in varying degrees cultural shifts in our institutions and communities. • A consistent policy and practice will be established to ensure that the voice of the learners is heard and that they can contribute to and influence the planning and decision making process in Cardiff. • We will continue to engage with all our stakeholders across Cardiff at least through the mechanism of the Annual Conference that was so successful this year.

Developing e-strategies

• We will begin and sustain a commitment to developing a city-wide strategy for e-learning based on Moodle and related technologies springing from existing good practice in St David’s 6th form college, Coleg Glan Hafren and the Local Authority Advisory Service • We will support the development of Careers Wales On-line in all our Cardiff schools • We will support and strengthen ways in which learners can record their achievements and gain recognition for activities they have undertaken and skills they have developed.

4. Strategic Priorities

1. Partnership development through curriculum and timetable integration, expansion of the options menu, the development of QA frameworks and high quality provision and providers.

2. Progressive capital development programme.

3. The establishment and implementation of the Learner Support Framework that then ensures that learners are on individually planned pathways matched to their needs.

4. Stakeholder engagement through publicity, activities with learners and parents, listening and responding to the learner voice and holding the annual conference.

5. The development of e-strategies in learning environments involving, for example, Moodle, Careers Wales On-line project, e-portfolio and the skills passport.

Page 16 5. Option Menu

A copy of the Options Menu is attached to this document. Due to the large size of the Cardiff network and the range of providers there is an extremely comprehensive provision that covers 39 sectors in the 5 domains. We have developed a database from the spreadsheets prepared last year and are currently in the process of updating this database and adding information on course capacity and uptake. As this is a very extensive task, a fully detailed analysis will not be available until later in the summer.

However, that is not to say that certain priority issues have emerged from the conference and discussions with Headteachers and operational managers. The following have been identified:-

The Extended Opportunities programme: there is considerable support for this off-site provision and an increasing demand for places. We are expanding the number of and type of courses on offer whilst we work on streamlining the provision with partnerships and managing a £250,000 reduction in funding from Cymorth. In addition to 14-19 and Cymorth funding schools buy into this provision to the tune of £300,000 – £350,000.

Alternative provision and extended work experience placements: there is a shortage of provision for students that are unable to remain fully engaged with the mainstream school curriculum. We are aiming to remedy this and ensure that such provision is properly funded.

Minority subjects: collaboration is developing to support the maintenance of minority subjects such as Music and Modern Languages especially in the west of Cardiff.

There is a recognition that there is a shortage of good vocational options for learners who wish to stay on in school 6th forms. We will be addressing this and researching suitable progression routes through partnership collaboration especially in areas such as Applied Science and related technical qualifications, CACHE and retail (especially towards management).

The capital build programmes in Phase 1 arise out of regional and local skills needs (Construction, Catering) and intelligence drawn from CIF funded research (Heating, Ventilation, Automotive) and a lack of facilities to host provision. All these developments will add new programmes and progression routes to our Options Menu.

Our current capital programmes in Painting & Decorating, Multimedia, Manufacture & Fabrication will result in new additions to our Options Menu in Sept.2007.

6. What are we currently doing?

• The Executive Board is establishing protocols and processes that are open and transparent so that there is equity in the network and no partners are disadvantaged. • The Curriculum Managers of the Learning Pathways and Curriculum Entitlement group are working closely to co-ordinate timetable and curriculum structures across Cardiff and within local partnerships so that access to provision can be enhanced and made more efficient Page 17 • The four key working groups are being established and will begin to work up their briefs which will reflect different aspects of both this and next year’s plans • The Collegium and Cardiff Partnership continue to function but will be working on a transition process that then embeds their work within the 14-19 Network • Work continues on CIF funded projects relating to provision in Painting and Decorating, Multi-media, Manufacture & Fabrication and Moodle VLE developments with new courses set to start in Sept. 2007 • Three pilot schools in Cardiff are working with the Careers Wales On- line development project with Years 9 and 11 • The Extended Opportunities programme is working well and we are planning expansion for next year • 12 Learning coaches are under training and we are working with the group to establish ways of developing good practice to make use of their skills and abilities within their institutions and partnerships • We are updating the Options Menu within a new database and attempting to establish the nature of capacity in provision across Cardiff • We have a range of smaller projects working to support NEETS, BME groups through EMAS, publicity & communications, volunteering, accreditation via work experience or part-time work, engagement with employers and Sector Skills Councils, Welsh medium music technology and the support of informal and non-formal learning. All these projects involve collaboration and co-operation with a range of partners including the YPP and Youth Service.

7. What does our analysis and research tell us?

Our evidence base is drawn from analysis carried out by the Cardiff 14-19 Network and its associated partners and groups. It has taken account of National priorities and the Regional Statement of Needs and the contextualisation of these with the CCET Annual Learning Recommendations for Cardiff. In addition to this we have the results of the CIF project commissioned through Coleg Glan Hafren to undertake an analysis of 14-19 Vocational Pathways in Cardiff. Also attached to this annex are the outcomes and recommendations from the very successful stakeholder conference the Cardiff Network hosted in November 2006.

The result of this analysis and research has led the Cardiff 14-19 Network to establish the following priorities for action in 2007-8:-

• The expansion of the Options Menu provision by developing additional facilities to meet training needs in Construction, Catering, Automotive Engineering, Heating & Ventilation and Electrical installation. • The continued development of the Extended Opportunities programme to increase its capacity and add new provision in Retail and Customer Care.

Page 18 • To develop the infrastructure facilities across Cardiff to maximise the impact of new technologies on the delivery and management of learning. This will focus on the development of Managed Learning Environments within Moodle and an increase in good video- conferencing facilities. • The Conference gave the Network a clear steer in terms of marketing and publicity and engagement with learners, their parents and the full range of stakeholders in the Learning Pathways 14-19 initiative. • There is a clear intention to take forward a number of developments associated with the Learning Core. These include:- o Providing more opportunities for informal and non-formal learning o To expand the volunteering programme o To ensure there is a properly structured arrangement for listening to and responding to the Learner Voice o To improve the risk management and quality of extended work placements o Support for the roll-out of the Welsh Bac o Support for the development, recognition and accreditation of the full range of key skills in our learners to support them into progression and employment o To respond to the needs of core subjects within the curriculum – this will be Science in the first year but English and Maths in later years

• The Network continues to support the development of vocational provision in the Welsh medium schools in Cardiff

• Many partners in the Network have recognised the need to support those learners who are currently NEET within Cardiff and, through a significantly improved Framework of Learner Support reduce the chances of learners falling into this category in the future. The Network also recognises that this is a major agenda item not just in Cardiff but also across Wales and the UK. The Network has therefore developed a major project submission through the collaborative efforts of many of its partners. Within this context the special issues that are faced by BME communities are recognised and the Network has developed a response to these in support of learners from those BME groups who are identified as being most at risk of under-achieving.

8 & 9 Targets and suggested responses

Targets Possible responses To embed consistent and appropriate Through the work of the Curriculum curriculum structures and timetable Managers Group with implementation

Page 19 arrangements that will enable in Sept. 07 learners to access Network provision To enhance and/or develop quality Taking forward the 3 year capital facilities fit for purpose and bring new strategy and working collaboratively provision on stream with partners to develop these facilities To continue to expand the range of Continue to asses the regional and vocational / extended provision local skills need; to carry out further analysis on the Options Menu and respond to gaps, duplication and inefficient group size To establish a common framework for Multi-agency co-operation learner support that integrates the A developed framework with work of schools and external protocols and processes = best agencies, guidance, coaching and practice model mentoring so that learners are placed Enhanced support provision for the on the learning pathway appropriate most disadvantaged to their needs and access the support Developing the role of the learning needed to maintain them on it coach To establish QA protocols and Take existing practice and upgrade to processes across all providers in the make it fit for purpose in new model Network of partnerships and delivery Tasked to the QA working group To improve learner outcomes in More appropriate options leading to relation to levels of attendance, engagement reduced exclusions, standards of Development of new skills achievement, level and numbers of Improved motivation through finding qualifications gained success in new environments

10 Communication

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Cardiff 14-19 Network Communication Strategy

We are currently communicating to our local community the Learning Pathways agenda by:

• A Publicity and Information sub-group has been established (November 2004); meets bimonthly; • Communications Strategy developed and updated annually; • 14-19 corporate identity developed (logo, letterhead, PowerPoint template); • In consultation with young people a bilingual full colour information leaflet for learners has been developed and disseminated to learning providers; • Information for young people has been hosted on a range of partner web sites; • Generic briefing papers developed for learning providers and community and voluntary groups; • Bilingual materials hosted on Careers Wales Online/ Cardiff and Vale; • 14-19 Employer’s questionnaire developed and distributed via Chamber of Commerce and other networks; • Systems for securing positive press coverage in local news media have been established; • Dissemination of WAG Learning Pathways DVD to network partners; • Trialling 14-19 Learning Pathways awareness raising activities for year 9 pupils (to link with Careers Wales Online options menu pilot project); • Draft information and frequently asked questions for parents/carers and employers has been prepared; • Annual 14-19 Conference for key stakeholders

We will be delivering our communications strategy in 2007-2008 by:

• Further consultation with young people; • Development of bilingual 14-19 display stands; • Develop a web strategy for the Cardiff 14-19 Network to raise awareness of the work of the Network and increase accessibility of information for key audiences via the development of a Cardiff 14-19 website; • Awareness raising workshop sessions for stakeholder organisations; • Development of audience specific publications e.g. preparation of a bilingual 14-19 information brochure for parents, young people etc., preparation of a bilingual 14-19 ‘Extended Opportunities ‘information brochure for parents and young people; introduction of a student 14-19 newsletter with a YP editorial team and journalists; • A higher profile at relevant public events; developing a list of events at which the Cardiff Network requires a presence.

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