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8th March 2019 Women in Statistics: Present Professor Deborah Ashby School of Public Health Imperial College London Stella Cunliffe (1917-2012) • one of the first from her school to attend university • In first group of civilians to enter the Bergen-Belsen concentration camp in Germany. • first female head of the Government Statistical Service, a position she held until 1977 • first female RSS President 1975 BSc Exeter MSc LSHTM, then PhD Royal Free Early days….. Research Assistant, Royal Free Medical School Chambers Medal awarded since 1977 • 1986 Joyce Snell • 2010 Sheila Bird • 2014 Jenny Lannon Early days….. University of Liverpool: Lecturer/ Senior Lecturer/ Reader Guy Medal in Bronze- awarded since 1936 • 1988 Sarah Darby • 1989 Sheila Gore (now Bird) • 1990 Valerie Isham • 1994 Ms R F A Poultney • 2004 Nicky Best • 2008 Fiona Steele Greenfield Industrial Medal awarded since 1991 • 1995 Amy Racine-Poon • 2005 Sue Lewis Opportunity 2000…. ..with thanks to Virginia Bottomley …….Commission on Human Medicines Denise Lievesley • Many roles including • Director (1991-1997) of the UK Data Archive • President of the International Association for Official Statistics (1995 – 1997) • Director of Statistics at UNESCO • second female RSS President 1999 • President of the International Statistical Institute (2007 – 2009) • Principal of Green Templeton College Bradford Hill Medal awarded since 1994 • 2000 Sheila Bird • 2018 Nicky Best Honorary Fellows- 33 current • 2001 Clare Short • 2007 Baroness Onora O’Neill • 2010 Janet Darbyshire West Medal awarded since 2002 • 2006 Angela Dale • 2018 Jill Leyland Guy Medal in Silver- awarded since 1893 • 1928 Ethel Newbold • 2009 Sylvia Richardson • 2016 Nancy Reid • 2019 Susan Murphy Valerie Isham • won Guy Medal in Bronze • professor of probability and statistics at UCL since 1992 • research in applied probability in point processes, the dynamics of processes on networks, and hydrological applications. • third female RSS President 2011 • served on advisory committees and expert groups including official working groups on HIV, foot and mouth disease and the biological impacts of climate change. Howard Medal awarded since 2015 • 2015 Sheila Bird Sheila Bird Jane Hutton Louisa McCutcheon Guy Medal in Gold- awarded since 1892 Diversity is multidimensional..…… Deborah Ashby • Director of the School of Public Health, Imperial College • fourth female RSS President 2019 • served on advisory committees and expert groups including in UK and EU drug regulation 2019 Barnett Awarded since 2015 • 2019 Marian Scott .

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School of Social Sciences Economics Division University of Southampton Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK Discussion Papers in Economics and Econometrics Mathematics in the Statistical Society 1883-1933 John Aldrich No. 0919 This paper is available on our website http://www.southampton.ac.uk/socsci/economics/research/papers ISSN 0966-4246 Mathematics in the Statistical Society 1883-1933* John Aldrich Economics Division School of Social Sciences University of Southampton Southampton SO17 1BJ UK e-mail: [email protected] Abstract This paper considers the place of mathematical methods based on probability in the work of the London (later Royal) Statistical Society in the half-century 1883-1933. The end-points are chosen because mathematical work started to appear regularly in 1883 and 1933 saw the formation of the Industrial and Agricultural Research Section– to promote these particular applications was to encourage mathematical methods. In the period three movements are distinguished, associated with major figures in the history of mathematical statistics–F. Y. Edgeworth, Karl Pearson and R. A. Fisher. The first two movements were based on the conviction that the use of mathematical methods could transform the way the Society did its traditional work in economic/social statistics while the third movement was associated with an enlargement in the scope of statistics. The study tries to synthesise research based on the Society’s archives with research on the wider history of statistics. Key names : Arthur Bowley, F. Y. Edgeworth, R. A. Fisher, Egon Pearson, Karl Pearson, Ernest Snow, John Wishart, G. Udny Yule. Keywords : History of Statistics, Royal Statistical Society, mathematical methods.
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IMS Presidential Address(Es) Each Year, at the End of Their Term, the IMS CONTENTS President Gives an Address at the Annual Meeting
Volume 50 • Issue 6 IMS Bulletin September 2021 IMS Presidential Address(es) Each year, at the end of their term, the IMS CONTENTS President gives an address at the Annual Meeting. 1 IMS Presidential Addresses: Because of the pandemic, the Annual Meeting, Regina Liu and Susan Murphy which would have been at the World Congress in Seoul, didn’t happen, and Susan Murphy’s 2–3 Members’ news : Bin Yu, Marloes Maathuis, Jeff Wu, Presidential Address was postponed to this year. Ivan Corwin, Regina Liu, Anru The 2020–21 President, Regina Liu, gave her Zhang, Michael I. Jordan Address by video at the virtual JSM, which incorpo- 6 Profile: Michael Klass rated Susan’s video Address. The transcript of the two addresses is below. 8 Recent papers: Annals of 2020–21 IMS President Regina Liu Probability, Annals of Applied Probability, ALEA, Probability Regina Liu: It’s a great honor to be the IMS President, and to present this IMS and Mathematical Statistics Presidential address in the 2021 JSM. Like many other things in this pandemic time, this year’s IMS Presidential Address will be also somewhat different from those in the 10 IMS Awards past. Besides being virtual, it will be also given jointly by the IMS Past President Susan 11 IMS London meeting; Olga Murphy and myself. The pandemic prevented Susan from giving her IMS Presidential Taussky-Todd Lecture; Address last year. In keeping with the IMS tradition, I invited Susan to join me today, Observational Studies and I am very pleased she accepted my invitation. Now, Susan will go first with her 12 Sound the Gong: Going 2020 IMS Presidential Address.
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AMSTATNEWS the Membership Magazine of the American Statistical Association •
May 2021 • Issue #527 AMSTATNEWS The Membership Magazine of the American Statistical Association • http://magazine.amstat.org 2021 COPSS AWARD WINNERS ALSO: ASA, International Community Continue to Decry Georgiou Persecution Birth of an ASA Outreach Group: The Origins of JEDI AMSTATNEWS MAY 2021 • ISSUE #527 Executive Director Ron Wasserstein: [email protected] Associate Executive Director and Director of Operations Stephen Porzio: [email protected] features Senior Advisor for Statistics Communication and Media Innovation 3 President’s Corner Regina Nuzzo: [email protected] 5 ASA, International Community Continue to Decry Director of Science Policy Georgiou Persecution Steve Pierson: [email protected] Director of Strategic Initiatives and Outreach 8 What a Year! Practical Significance Celebrates Resilient Donna LaLonde: [email protected] Class of 2021 Director of Education 9 Significance Launches Data Economy Series with April Issue Rebecca Nichols: [email protected] 10 CHANCE Highlights: Spring Issue Features Economic Managing Editor Impact of COVID-19, Kullback’s Career, Sharing Data Megan Murphy: [email protected] 11 Forget March Madness! Students Test Probability Skills Editor and Content Strategist with March Randomness Val Nirala: [email protected] 12 My ASA Story: James Cochran Advertising Manager Joyce Narine: [email protected] 14 StatFest Back for 21st Year in 2021 Production Coordinators/Graphic Designers 15 Birth of an ASA Outreach Group: The Origins of JEDI Olivia Brown: [email protected] Megan Ruyle: [email protected] 18 2021 COPSS Award Winners Contributing Staff Members 23 A Story of COVID-19, Mentoring, and West Virginia Kim Gilliam Amstat News welcomes news items and letters from readers on matters of interest to the association and the profession.
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Higher-Order Asymptotics
Higher-Order Asymptotics Todd Kuffner Washington University in St. Louis WHOA-PSI 2016 1 / 113 First- and Higher-Order Asymptotics Classical Asymptotics in Statistics: available sample size n ! 1 First-Order Asymptotic Theory: asymptotic statements that are correct to order O(n−1=2) Higher-Order Asymptotics: refinements to first-order results 1st order 2nd order 3rd order kth order error O(n−1=2) O(n−1) O(n−3=2) O(n−k=2) or or or or o(1) o(n−1=2) o(n−1) o(n−(k−1)=2) Why would anyone care? deeper understanding more accurate inference compare different approaches (which agree to first order) 2 / 113 Points of Emphasis Convergence pointwise or uniform? Error absolute or relative? Deviation region moderate or large? 3 / 113 Common Goals Refinements for better small-sample performance Example Edgeworth expansion (absolute error) Example Barndorff-Nielsen’s R∗ Accurate Approximation Example saddlepoint methods (relative error) Example Laplace approximation Comparative Asymptotics Example probability matching priors Example conditional vs. unconditional frequentist inference Example comparing analytic and bootstrap procedures Deeper Understanding Example sources of inaccuracy in first-order theory Example nuisance parameter effects 4 / 113 Is this relevant for high-dimensional statistical models? The Classical asymptotic regime is when the parameter dimension p is fixed and the available sample size n ! 1. What if p < n or p is close to n? 1. Find a meaningful non-asymptotic analysis of the statistical procedure which works for any n or p (concentration inequalities) 2. Allow both n ! 1 and p ! 1. 5 / 113 Some First-Order Theory Univariate (classical) CLT: Assume X1;X2;::: are i.i.d.
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IMS Bulletin July/August 2004
Volume 33 Issue 4 IMS Bulletin July/August 2004 A Message from the (new) President Louis H Y Chen, Director of the Institute CONTENTS for Mathematical Sciences at the 2-3 Members’ News; National University of Singapore, is the Contacting the IMS IMS President for 2004–05. He says: hen I was approached by the 4 Profi le: C F Jeff Wu WCommittee on Nominations in 5 IMS Election Results: January 2003 and asked if I would be President-Elect and Council willing to be a possible nominee for IMS 7 UK Research Assessment; President-Elect, I felt that it was a great Tweedie Travel Award honor for me. However, I could not help 8 Mini-meeting Reports but think that the outcome of the nomi- nation process would most likely be a 10 Project Euclid & Google nominee who is based in the US, because, 11 Calls Roundup except for Willem van Zwet, Nancy Reid of probabilists and statisticians. 14 IMS Meetings and Bernard Silverman, all the 68 past Although IMS is US-based, its infl u- Presidents of IMS were US-based. When ence goes far beyond the US due to its 20 Other Meetings and I was fi nally chosen as the nominee for several fi rst-rate publications and many Announcements President-Elect, I was pleased, not so high quality meetings. Also, IMS has 23 Employment much because I was chosen, but because I reduced membership dues for individuals Opportunities took it as a sign that the outlook of IMS in developing countries to encourage 25 International Calendar of was becoming more international.
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Sir Richard Doll, Epidemiologist – a Personal Reminiscence with a Selected Bibliography
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|||GET||| Routledge Revivals: Charles Booths London (1969) 1St
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BERNOULLI NEWS, Vol 22 No 2
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Elect New Council Members
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Letter from the RSS Covid-19 Task Force To
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