IMS Bulletin July/August 2004
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AMSTATNEWS the Membership Magazine of the American Statistical Association •
May 2021 • Issue #527 AMSTATNEWS The Membership Magazine of the American Statistical Association • http://magazine.amstat.org 2021 COPSS AWARD WINNERS ALSO: ASA, International Community Continue to Decry Georgiou Persecution Birth of an ASA Outreach Group: The Origins of JEDI AMSTATNEWS MAY 2021 • ISSUE #527 Executive Director Ron Wasserstein: [email protected] Associate Executive Director and Director of Operations Stephen Porzio: [email protected] features Senior Advisor for Statistics Communication and Media Innovation 3 President’s Corner Regina Nuzzo: [email protected] 5 ASA, International Community Continue to Decry Director of Science Policy Georgiou Persecution Steve Pierson: [email protected] Director of Strategic Initiatives and Outreach 8 What a Year! Practical Significance Celebrates Resilient Donna LaLonde: [email protected] Class of 2021 Director of Education 9 Significance Launches Data Economy Series with April Issue Rebecca Nichols: [email protected] 10 CHANCE Highlights: Spring Issue Features Economic Managing Editor Impact of COVID-19, Kullback’s Career, Sharing Data Megan Murphy: [email protected] 11 Forget March Madness! Students Test Probability Skills Editor and Content Strategist with March Randomness Val Nirala: [email protected] 12 My ASA Story: James Cochran Advertising Manager Joyce Narine: [email protected] 14 StatFest Back for 21st Year in 2021 Production Coordinators/Graphic Designers 15 Birth of an ASA Outreach Group: The Origins of JEDI Olivia Brown: [email protected] Megan Ruyle: [email protected] 18 2021 COPSS Award Winners Contributing Staff Members 23 A Story of COVID-19, Mentoring, and West Virginia Kim Gilliam Amstat News welcomes news items and letters from readers on matters of interest to the association and the profession. -
Higher-Order Asymptotics
Higher-Order Asymptotics Todd Kuffner Washington University in St. Louis WHOA-PSI 2016 1 / 113 First- and Higher-Order Asymptotics Classical Asymptotics in Statistics: available sample size n ! 1 First-Order Asymptotic Theory: asymptotic statements that are correct to order O(n−1=2) Higher-Order Asymptotics: refinements to first-order results 1st order 2nd order 3rd order kth order error O(n−1=2) O(n−1) O(n−3=2) O(n−k=2) or or or or o(1) o(n−1=2) o(n−1) o(n−(k−1)=2) Why would anyone care? deeper understanding more accurate inference compare different approaches (which agree to first order) 2 / 113 Points of Emphasis Convergence pointwise or uniform? Error absolute or relative? Deviation region moderate or large? 3 / 113 Common Goals Refinements for better small-sample performance Example Edgeworth expansion (absolute error) Example Barndorff-Nielsen’s R∗ Accurate Approximation Example saddlepoint methods (relative error) Example Laplace approximation Comparative Asymptotics Example probability matching priors Example conditional vs. unconditional frequentist inference Example comparing analytic and bootstrap procedures Deeper Understanding Example sources of inaccuracy in first-order theory Example nuisance parameter effects 4 / 113 Is this relevant for high-dimensional statistical models? The Classical asymptotic regime is when the parameter dimension p is fixed and the available sample size n ! 1. What if p < n or p is close to n? 1. Find a meaningful non-asymptotic analysis of the statistical procedure which works for any n or p (concentration inequalities) 2. Allow both n ! 1 and p ! 1. 5 / 113 Some First-Order Theory Univariate (classical) CLT: Assume X1;X2;::: are i.i.d. -
Annual Report 2005
DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS ANNUAL REPORT 2005 PREAMBLE The Department of Mathematics comprises over 60 established and temporary staff, based on both the City and Tamaki campuses. The number of equivalent full-time students totalled about 851 in 2005. The Department is therefore one of the largest in the University of Auckland, and offers courses at all levels for students in several Faculties. Highlights for the Department in 2005 were: • Professor James Sneyd was elected as a Fellow of the Royal Society of New Zealand. • Professor James Sneyd was a joint winner of the NZ Mathematical Society 2005 Research Award. • Professor Boris Pavlov, Dr Colin Fox, and Dr Mike Meylan won funding for an NZIMA's thematic programme in 2006/07. • Marsden Grants were awarded in the 2005 round to both Professor David Gauld and Dr David Bryant. • Professor James Sneyd won a grant from the University of Massachusetts Medical Centre, and has had his NIH grant for an international project fully funded for the next five years • Dr Arkadii Slinko became a founding member of the ARC Economic Design Network which received $AU300,000 per year from the Australian Research Council for the next 5 years. • Dr Arkadii Slinko led the New Zealand International Mathematics Olympiad team to its best ever results in the competition in Mexico. One silver and two bronze medals put us in the top half of all teams, not far behind France. • The Department, jointly with DALSL, signed an agreement with Majlis Amanah Rakyat (MARA) in Malaysia to provide a 20-week course for 25 mathematics and science teachers. -
BFF Workshop Participant List April 28 – May 1, 2019
BFF Workshop Participant List April 28 – May 1, 2019 Pierre Barbillon Gonzalo Garcia-Donato AgroParisTech Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha Samopriya Basu Edward George UNC - Chapel Hill Wharton, University of Pennsylvania Jim Berger Malay Ghosh Duke University University of Florida David R. Bickel Subhashis Ghoshal University of Ottawa North Carolina State University Alisa Bokulich Ruobin Gong Boston University Rutgers University Sudip Bose Mengyang Gu George Washington University Johns Hopkins University Fang Cai Yawen Guan Stanford University NC State University / SAMSI Hongyuan Cao Jan Hannig Florida State University UNC Chapel Hill Iain Carmichael Leah Henderson UNC Chapel Hill University of Groningen Jesse Clifton Wei Hu North Carolina State University Univeristy of California, Irvine Philip Dawid Michael Jordan University of Cambridge University of California, Berkeley David Dunson Kevin Kelly Duke University Carnegie Mellon University Anabel Forte-Deltell Todd Kuffner Universitat de Valencia Washington University, St. Louis Donald Fraser Subrata Kundu University of Toronto George Washington University BFF Workshop Participant List April 28 – May 1, 2019 Thomas Lee Shyamal Peddada University of California, Davis University of Pittsburgh Xinyi Li Elmor Peterson SAMSI Retired Gang Li Bruce Pitman University of North Carolina at Chapel University at Buffalo Hill Zhengling Qi Cong Lin University of North Carolina at Chapel East China Normal University Hill Regina Liu Nancy Reid Rutgers University University of Toronto Pulong Ma Ramchandra -
Karen Vogtmann
CURRICULUM VITAE -KAREN VOGTMANN Mathematics Institute Office: C2.05 Zeeman Bldg. Phone: +44 (0) 2476 532739 University of Warwick Email: [email protected] Coventry CV4 7AL PRINCIPAL FIELDS OF INTEREST Geometric group theory, Low-dimensional topology, Cohomology of groups EDUCATION B.A. University of California, Berkeley 1971 Ph.D. University of California, Berkeley 1977 ACADEMIC POSITIONS University of Warwick, Professor, 9/13 to present Cornell University – Goldwin Smith Professor of Mathematics Emeritus, 7/15 to present – Goldwin Smith Professor of Mathematics, 7/11 to 7/15 – Professor, 1/94 to 7/11 – Associate Professor, 7/87 to 12/93 – Assistant Professor, 7/85 to 6/87 – Visiting Assistant Professor, 9/84 to 6/85 Columbia University, Assistant Professor, 7/79 to 6/86 Brandeis University, Visiting Assistant Professor, 9/78 to 12/78 University of Michigan, Visiting Assistant Professor, 9/77 to 6/78 and 1/79 to 6/79 RESEARCH AND SABBATICAL POSITIONS MSRI, Berkeley, CA 8/19 to 11/19 Newton Institute, Cambridge, Mass, 3/17 to 5/17 MSRI, Berkeley, CA 8/16 to 12/16 Research Professor, ICERM, Providence, RI, 9/13 to 12/13 Freie Universitat¨ Berlin, Berlin, Germany, 6/12 Mittag-Leffler Institute, Stockholm, Sweden, 3/12 to 5/12 Visiting Researcher, Oxford University, Oxford, England, 2/12 Professeur invite, Marseilles, France, 5/11 Hausdorff Institute for Mathematics, 9/09 to 12/09 and 5/10-8/10 Mathematical Sciences Research Institute, Berkeley, CA, 8/07-12/07 I.H.E.S., Bures-sur-Yvette, France 3/04 Professeur Invite,´ Marseilles, France, 3/00 Mathematical Sciences Research Institute, Berkeley, 1/95 to 7/95 I.H.E.S., Bures-sur-Yvette, France, 1/93-8/93 Chercheur, C.N.R.S., E.N.S. -
Curriculum Vitae
Curriculum Vitae Nancy Margaret Reid O.C. April, 2021 BIOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION Personal University Address: Department of Statistical Sciences University of Toronto 700 University Avenue 9th floor Toronto, Ontario M5S 1X6 Telephone: (416) 978-5046 Degrees 1974 B.Math University of Waterloo 1976 M.Sc. University of British Columbia 1979 Ph.D. Stanford University Thesis: “Influence functions for censored data” Supervisor: R.G. Miller, Jr. 2015 D.Math. (Honoris Causa) University of Waterloo Employment 1-3/2020 Visiting Professor SMRI University of Sydney 1-3/2020 Visiting Professor Monash University Melbourne 10-11/2012 Visiting Professor Statistical Science University College, London 2007-2021 Canada Research Chair Statistics University of Toronto 2003- University Professor Statistics University of Toronto 1988- Professor Statistics University of Toronto 2002-2003 Visiting Professor Mathematics EPF, Lausanne 1997-2002 Chair Statistics University of Toronto 1987- Tenured Statistics University of Toronto 1986-88 Associate Professor Statistics University of Toronto Appointed to School of Graduate Studies 1986/01-06 Visiting Associate Professor Mathematics Univ. of Texas at Austin 1985/07-12 Visiting Associate Professor Biostatistics Harvard School of Public Health 1985-86 Associate Professor Statistics Univ. of British Columbia Tenured Statistics Univ. of British Columbia 1980-85 Assistant Professor Statistics & Mathematics Univ. of British Columbia 1979-80 Nato Postdoctoral Fellow Mathematics Imperial College, London 1 Honours 2020 Inaugural -
New Applied Statistics Specialist Program
Awards: Faculty & Students Program News Congratulations to Alison Gibbs wins Dean’s Outstanding Tenure & Promotion GRADUATE STUDIES REPORT Don Fraser! Teaching Award by Sebastian Jaimungal, Associate Chair for Graduate Studies, Associate Professor, Dept. Statistics, U. Toronto Congratulations to Andrei Badescu who has been First off, I would like to thank Prof. Knight, my our faculty’s research problems, but are acces- Congratulations to Don Fraser For her clear leadership and achievements in manuscript Lessons from Medicine for the training granted tenure and was promoted to the rank of predecessor, for handling the reigns as sible to non-experts. This year we have for his recent appointment by teaching and the widespread enthusiasm for her of Statistical Consultants. She chairs the Statistical Associate Professor on July 1, 2011. Professor Graduate Chair so expertly, for his guidance introduced: Statistical Dependence: Copula the Governor General as an performance as an instructor. Dr. Gibbs is a lead- Education Committee for the SSC and attends Badescu is a Professor in Actuarial Science. He is an and for his assistance in bringing me up to Models and Beyond; Functional Data Analysis Officer of the Order of Canada. This honour was ing innovator of statistics education and several conferences on statistics education on an internationally renowned expert in ruin theory, par- speed—thanks Keith! Second, I would like to and Related Topics; Monte Carlo Estimation; bestowed upon Don for his contributions to the curriculum renewal in our Department and more annual basis. She was Guest editor for the ticularly for his work connecting risk processes with thank the staff: Andrea, Angela, Annette and Advanced Monte Carlo Methods and advancement of statistical sciences in Canada broadly the Faculty of Arts and Science at the Canadian Journal of Statistics, is an Associate stochastic fluid flows. -
Scientific Workplace· • Mathematical Word Processing • LATEX Typesetting Scientific Word· • Computer Algebra
Scientific WorkPlace· • Mathematical Word Processing • LATEX Typesetting Scientific Word· • Computer Algebra (-l +lr,:znt:,-1 + 2r) ,..,_' '"""""Ke~r~UrN- r o~ r PooiliorK 1.931'J1 Po6'lf ·1.:1l26!.1 Pod:iDnZ 3.881()2 UfW'IICI(JI)( -2.801~ ""'"""U!NecteoZ l!l!iS'11 v~ 0.7815399 Animated plots ln spherical coordln1tes > To make an anlm.ted plot In spherical coordinates 1. Type an expression In thr.. variables . 2 WMh the Insertion poilt In the expression, choose Plot 3D The next exampfe shows a sphere that grows ftom radius 1 to .. Plot 3D Animated + Spherical The Gold Standard for Mathematical Publishing Scientific WorkPlace and Scientific Word Version 5.5 make writing, sharing, and doing mathematics easier. You compose and edit your documents directly on the screen, without having to think in a programming language. A click of a button allows you to typeset your documents in LAT£X. You choose to print with or without LATEX typesetting, or publish on the web. Scientific WorkPlace and Scientific Word enable both professionals and support staff to produce stunning books and articles. Also, the integrated computer algebra system in Scientific WorkPlace enables you to solve and plot equations, animate 20 and 30 plots, rotate, move, and fly through 3D plots, create 3D implicit plots, and more. MuPAD' Pro MuPAD Pro is an integrated and open mathematical problem solving environment for symbolic and numeric computing. Visit our website for details. cK.ichan SOFTWARE , I NC. Visit our website for free trial versions of all our products. www.mackichan.com/notices • Email: info@mac kichan.com • Toll free: 877-724-9673 It@\ A I M S \W ELEGRONIC EDITORIAL BOARD http://www.math.psu.edu/era/ Managing Editors: This electronic-only journal publishes research announcements (up to about 10 Keith Burns journal pages) of significant advances in all branches of mathematics. -
Mathematics People
Mathematics People Ooguri Receives Chunichi Turaev and Virelizier Awarded Cultural Award Balaguer Prize Hirosi Ooguri of the California Vladimir Turaev of Indiana Uni- Institute of Technology has been versity and Alexis Virelizier of honored with the 2016 Chunichi Université Lille 1 have been awarded Cultural Award. The award carries the 2016 Ferran Sunyer i Balaguer a cash prize of 2 million yen (ap- Prize for their monograph Monoidal proximately US$20,000). Categories and Topological Field According to the prize citation, Theory. The monograph introduces Ooguri was honored for the “devel- monoidal categories and Penrose’s opment of innovative methods of graphical calculus; gives an alge- modern mathematics in high energy braic description of the center of Hirosi Ooguri theory.” His work involves “creating monoidal categories based on the Vladimir Turaev new theoretical tools in quantum theory of Hopf monads as devel- field theory and superstring theory.” He is especially oped by Virelizier and coauthors; known for his work on topological string theory, “which explains topological quantum field has had broad applications ranging from black hole phys- theories, including fundamental ics to algebraic geometry and knot theory in mathematics.” earlier work of Reshetihkin-Turaev Ooguri is a past recipient of the AMS Eisenbud Prize and Turaev-Viro; and shows how to (2008), a Humboldt Research Award (2008), the Nishina present ribbon graphs by diagrams Memorial Prize (2009), a Simons Investigator Award on skeletons of 3-manifolds and (2012), and the Kodansha Prize for Science Books of define graph topological quantum Japan (2014) for his popular science book, Introduction to field theories by means of state Superstring Theory. -
By Alex Reinhart Yosihiko Ogata
STATISTICAL SCIENCE Volume 33, Number 3 August 2018 A Review of Self-Exciting Spatio-Temporal Point Processes and Their Applications .................................................................................Alex Reinhart 299 Comment on “A Review of Self-Exciting Spatiotemporal Point Process and Their Applications”byAlexReinhart.............................................Yosihiko Ogata 319 Comment on “A Review of Self-Exciting Spatio-Temporal Point Process and Their Applications”byAlexReinhart..........................................Jiancang Zhuang 323 Comment on “A Review of Self-Exciting Spatio-Temporal Point Processes and Their Applications”byAlexReinhart..................................Frederic Paik Schoenberg 325 Self-Exciting Point Processes: Infections and Implementations .............Sebastian Meyer 327 Rejoinder: A Review of Self-Exciting Spatio-Temporal Point Processes and Their Applications..................................................................Alex Reinhart 330 On the Relationship between the Theory of Cointegration and the Theory of Phase Synchronization..................Rainer Dahlhaus, István Z. Kiss and Jan C. Neddermeyer 334 Confidentiality and Differential Privacy in the Dissemination of Frequency Tables ......................Yosef Rinott, Christine M. O’Keefe, Natalie Shlomo and Chris Skinner 358 Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes for Continuous-Time Monte Carlo .....................Paul Fearnhead, Joris Bierkens, Murray Pollock and Gareth O. Roberts 386 Fractionally Differenced Gegenbauer Processes -
October 2004
THE LONDON MATHEMATICAL SOCIETY NEWSLETTER No. 330 October 2004 Forthcoming LMS 2004 ELECTIONS SUBSCRIPTIONS Society AND OFFICERS AND PERIODICALS Meetings The ballot papers for the The annual subscription to the November elections to Council London Mathematical Society 2004 and Nominating Committee are for the 2004-05 session shall be: Friday 19 November being circulated with this copy Ordinary Members £33.00; London of the Newsletter. Nine candi- Reciprocity Members £16.50; Annual General dates for Members-at-Large of Associate Members £8.25. The Meeting Council were proposed by the prices of the Society’s periodi- D. Olive Nominating Committee. In cals to Ordinary, Reciprocity and P. Goddard addition, H.G. Dales was nomi- Associate Members for the (Presidential Address) nated directly by D. Salinger, 2004-05 session shall be: 1 [page 3] seconded by J.R. Partington, Proceedings £66; Journal J.K. Truss and R.B.J.T. Allenby, in £66.00; Bulletin £33.00; 2005 accordance with By-Law II.2. Nonlinearity £47.00; Journal of Friday 25 February Tony Scholl has completed his Computation and Mathematics London term as a Vice-President and Martin remains free. S. Lauritzen Bridson is nominated in his place. E. Thompson Please note that completed ANNUAL (Mary Cartwright ballot papers must be returned Lecture) by Thursday 11 November 2004. SUBSCRIPTION Norman Biggs The LMS annual subscription, Wednesday 18 May General Secretary including payment for publica- Birmingham tions, for the session Midlands Regional ANNUAL DINNER November 2004–October 2005 Meeting is due on 1 November 2004. The Annual Dinner will be held Together with this Newsletter after the Annual General is a renewal form to be com- Meeting on Friday 19 November pleted and returned with your at 7.30pm at the Bonnington remittance in the enclosed Hotel, London WC1. -
UK Royal Statistical Society Awards for Smith, Reid, Cressie
Volume 45 • Issue 3 IMS Bulletin April/May 2016 UK Royal Statistical Society CONTENTS awards for Smith, Reid, Cressie 1 RSS Awards: Adrian Smith, The UK’s Royal Statistical Society (RSS) has announced the recipients of its honours for Nancy Reid, Noel Cressie 2016. Three IMS Fellows were selected to receive the Guy Medals in Gold and Silver, and 2 Members’ News: Peter the Barnett Award. Whittle; Xihong Lin; Dennis The Guy Medal in Gold is awarded to SirAdrian Smith for sustained excellence in the Cook development of Bayesian statistical methodology and its application. Professor Sir Adrian Smith, FRS, is vice-chancellor of the University of London; he was formerly the Queen 3 Profile: Sanghamitra Bandyopadhyay; Geetha Mary University principal and worked at the UK Government’s Department for Business, Ramachandran, 1949–2016 Innovation and Skills. His work in statistics has been critical to the transformation of Bayesian thinking from 4 Obituary: Peter Gavin Hall philosophical debate to practical methodology, includ- 5 Student Puzzle 13: ing path-breaking work on the now ubiquitous use deadline extended of Monte Carlo methods for conducting inference in 6 Calls for nominations; realistically complex models. He played an instrumental Tweedie Award winner role in broadening the focus of the RSS from the statistical community to the impact that the discipline 7 Medallion Lecture preview: Adrian Smith Gerda Claeskens of statistics has on modern society, an approach that he continued within the Civil Service on leaving academia. 8 Recent papers: Stochastic Systems; Probability Surveys The Guy Medal in Silver for 2016 is awarded toNancy Reid for her path-breaking paper “Parameter Orthogonality and Approximate Vlada’s Point: Peer Review I 9 Conditional Inference,” written jointly with Sir David 10 Buy IMS books Cox, which is one of the most highly cited and influen- tial papers in RSS journals within the last 30 years.