Previous Recipients of the Society's Honours
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School of Social Sciences Economics Division University of Southampton Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK Discussion Papers in Economics and Econometrics Mathematics in the Statistical Society 1883-1933 John Aldrich No. 0919 This paper is available on our website http://www.southampton.ac.uk/socsci/economics/research/papers ISSN 0966-4246 Mathematics in the Statistical Society 1883-1933* John Aldrich Economics Division School of Social Sciences University of Southampton Southampton SO17 1BJ UK e-mail: [email protected] Abstract This paper considers the place of mathematical methods based on probability in the work of the London (later Royal) Statistical Society in the half-century 1883-1933. The end-points are chosen because mathematical work started to appear regularly in 1883 and 1933 saw the formation of the Industrial and Agricultural Research Section– to promote these particular applications was to encourage mathematical methods. In the period three movements are distinguished, associated with major figures in the history of mathematical statistics–F. Y. Edgeworth, Karl Pearson and R. A. Fisher. The first two movements were based on the conviction that the use of mathematical methods could transform the way the Society did its traditional work in economic/social statistics while the third movement was associated with an enlargement in the scope of statistics. The study tries to synthesise research based on the Society’s archives with research on the wider history of statistics. Key names : Arthur Bowley, F. Y. Edgeworth, R. A. Fisher, Egon Pearson, Karl Pearson, Ernest Snow, John Wishart, G. Udny Yule. Keywords : History of Statistics, Royal Statistical Society, mathematical methods. -
Applications and Issues in Assessment
meeting of the Association of British Neurologists in April vessels: a direct comparison between intravenous and intra-arterial DSA. 1992. We thank Professor Charles Warlow for his helpful Cl/t Radiol 1991;44:402-5. 6 Caplan LR, Wolpert SM. Angtography in patients with occlusive cerebro- comments. vascular disease: siews of a stroke neurologist and neuroradiologist. AmcincalsouraalofNcearoradiologv 1991-12:593-601. 7 Kretschmer G, Pratschner T, Prager M, Wenzl E, Polterauer P, Schemper M, E'uropean Carotid Surgery Trialists' Collaboration Group. MRC European ct al. Antiplatelet treatment prolongs survival after carotid bifurcation carotid surgerv trial: interim results for symptomatic patients with severe endarterectomv. Analysts of the clinical series followed by a controlled trial. (70-90()',) or tvith mild stenosis (0-299',Y) carotid stenosis. Lantcet 1991 ;337: AstniSuirg 1990;211 :317-22. 1 235-43. 8 Antiplatelet Trialists' Collaboration. Secondary prevention of vascular disease 2 North American Svmptotnatic Carotid Endarterectomv Trial Collaborators. by prolonged antiplatelet treatment. BM7 1988;296:320-31. Beneficial effect of carotid endarterectomv in svmptomatic patients with 9 Murie JA, Morris PJ. Carotid endarterectomy in Great Britain and Ireland. high grade carotid stenosis. VEngl 7,1Med 1991;325:445-53. Br7Si(rg 1986;76:867-70. 3 Hankev CJ, Warlows CP. Svmptomatic carotid ischaemic events. Safest and 10 Murie J. The place of surgery in the management of carotid artery disease. most cost effective way of selecting patients for angiography before Hospital Update 1991 July:557-61. endarterectomv. Bt4 1990;300:1485-91. 11 Dennis MS, Bamford JM, Sandercock PAG, Warlow CP. Incidence of 4 Humphrev PRD, Sandercock PAG, Slatterv J. -
AMSTATNEWS the Membership Magazine of the American Statistical Association •
May 2021 • Issue #527 AMSTATNEWS The Membership Magazine of the American Statistical Association • http://magazine.amstat.org 2021 COPSS AWARD WINNERS ALSO: ASA, International Community Continue to Decry Georgiou Persecution Birth of an ASA Outreach Group: The Origins of JEDI AMSTATNEWS MAY 2021 • ISSUE #527 Executive Director Ron Wasserstein: [email protected] Associate Executive Director and Director of Operations Stephen Porzio: [email protected] features Senior Advisor for Statistics Communication and Media Innovation 3 President’s Corner Regina Nuzzo: [email protected] 5 ASA, International Community Continue to Decry Director of Science Policy Georgiou Persecution Steve Pierson: [email protected] Director of Strategic Initiatives and Outreach 8 What a Year! Practical Significance Celebrates Resilient Donna LaLonde: [email protected] Class of 2021 Director of Education 9 Significance Launches Data Economy Series with April Issue Rebecca Nichols: [email protected] 10 CHANCE Highlights: Spring Issue Features Economic Managing Editor Impact of COVID-19, Kullback’s Career, Sharing Data Megan Murphy: [email protected] 11 Forget March Madness! Students Test Probability Skills Editor and Content Strategist with March Randomness Val Nirala: [email protected] 12 My ASA Story: James Cochran Advertising Manager Joyce Narine: [email protected] 14 StatFest Back for 21st Year in 2021 Production Coordinators/Graphic Designers 15 Birth of an ASA Outreach Group: The Origins of JEDI Olivia Brown: [email protected] Megan Ruyle: [email protected] 18 2021 COPSS Award Winners Contributing Staff Members 23 A Story of COVID-19, Mentoring, and West Virginia Kim Gilliam Amstat News welcomes news items and letters from readers on matters of interest to the association and the profession. -
BERNOULLI NEWS, Vol 24 No 2 (2017)
Vol. 24 (2), November 2017 Published twice per year by the Bernoulli Society ISSN 1360–6727 CONTENTS News from the Bernoulli A VIEW FROM THE PRESIDENT Society p. 1 Awards and Prizes p. 2 New Executive Members in the Bernoulli Society p. 3 Articles and Letters On Bayesian Measures for Some Statistical Inverse Problems with Partial Differential Equations p. 5 Obituary Alastair Scott p. 10 Past Conferences, Susan A. Murphy receives the Bernoulli Book from Sara van de Geer during the General Assembly of the Bernoulli Society ISI World Congress in Marrakech, Morocco. Meetings and Workshops p. 11 Dear Members of the Bernoulli Society, Next Conferences, Meetings and Workshops It is an honor to assume the role of Bernoulli Society president, particularly be- cause this is a very exciting time to be a statistician or probabilist! As all of us have and Calendar of Events become, ever-more acutely aware, the role of data in society and in science is dramat- p. 13 ically changing. Many new challenges are due to the complex, and vast amounts of, data resulting from the development of new data collection tools such as wearable Book Reviews sensors in clothing, on eyeglasses, in toothbrushes and most commonly on our phones. Indeed there are now wearable radar sensors that provide data that might be used Editor to improve the safety of bicyclists or help visually impaired individuals gain greater MIGUEL DE CARVALHO independence. There are also wearable respiratory sensors that provide data that School of Mathematics could be used to help us investigate the impact of dietary and exercise regimens, or THE UNIVERSITY of EDINBURGH EDINBURGH, UK identify nutritional imbalances. -
Higher-Order Asymptotics
Higher-Order Asymptotics Todd Kuffner Washington University in St. Louis WHOA-PSI 2016 1 / 113 First- and Higher-Order Asymptotics Classical Asymptotics in Statistics: available sample size n ! 1 First-Order Asymptotic Theory: asymptotic statements that are correct to order O(n−1=2) Higher-Order Asymptotics: refinements to first-order results 1st order 2nd order 3rd order kth order error O(n−1=2) O(n−1) O(n−3=2) O(n−k=2) or or or or o(1) o(n−1=2) o(n−1) o(n−(k−1)=2) Why would anyone care? deeper understanding more accurate inference compare different approaches (which agree to first order) 2 / 113 Points of Emphasis Convergence pointwise or uniform? Error absolute or relative? Deviation region moderate or large? 3 / 113 Common Goals Refinements for better small-sample performance Example Edgeworth expansion (absolute error) Example Barndorff-Nielsen’s R∗ Accurate Approximation Example saddlepoint methods (relative error) Example Laplace approximation Comparative Asymptotics Example probability matching priors Example conditional vs. unconditional frequentist inference Example comparing analytic and bootstrap procedures Deeper Understanding Example sources of inaccuracy in first-order theory Example nuisance parameter effects 4 / 113 Is this relevant for high-dimensional statistical models? The Classical asymptotic regime is when the parameter dimension p is fixed and the available sample size n ! 1. What if p < n or p is close to n? 1. Find a meaningful non-asymptotic analysis of the statistical procedure which works for any n or p (concentration inequalities) 2. Allow both n ! 1 and p ! 1. 5 / 113 Some First-Order Theory Univariate (classical) CLT: Assume X1;X2;::: are i.i.d. -
2015 Conference Directory
RSS International Conference 2015 The conference for all statisticians and users of data sponsored by 7 – 10 September 2015 Exeter University www.rss.org.uk/conference2015 Welcome Outline Timetable Wednesday 9 September 9am – 10am Invited/Contributed sessions (5) It is my great honour to welcome you all to Exeter for the 10.05am – 11.25pm 2015 RSS Conference! After listening to your feedback, you Monday 7 September Invited sessions (6) will see that this year we have adopted a new streaming 9.30am – 5.30pm format to Conference which should allow you to easily 11.25am – 11.50am Pre-conference short courses and workshops identify sessions that are directly relevant to your area of Refreshment break (The Forum) expertise and interests. That being said, I do hope that you 11.50am – 1.10pm will take advantage of this unique opportunity to pop into 7pm – 9pm Invited sessions (7) sessions that you may not have access to elsewhere. Welcome Reception (Royal Albert Memorial Museum) 1.10pm – 2.10pm Lunch We have a great line-up of speakers and sessions organised for you, but I also hope that you will find some time for 2.10pm – 3.10pm exploration. The Conference will be hosted in three Tuesday 8 September Plenary 3 – Significance lecture outstanding venues - The Forum (which all you Broadchurch fans may recognise as the 3.15pm – 4.15pm 9am – 9.30am Courtroom in the second series), the award winning Royal Albert Memorial Museum Invited/Contributed sessions (8) and the University’s Great Hall. The Young Statisticians’ Guide to the Conference 4.15pm – 4.40pm Exeter is an ancient city with many notable landmarks, including the Cathedral which 9.30am – 10.30am Refreshment break boasts an astronomical clock and the longest uninterrupted vaulted ceiling in England. -
JSM 2017 in Baltimore the 2017 Joint Statistical Meetings in Baltimore, Maryland, Which Included the CONTENTS IMS Annual Meeting, Took Place from July 29 to August 3
Volume 46 • Issue 6 IMS Bulletin September 2017 JSM 2017 in Baltimore The 2017 Joint Statistical Meetings in Baltimore, Maryland, which included the CONTENTS IMS Annual Meeting, took place from July 29 to August 3. There were over 6,000 1 JSM round-up participants from 52 countries, and more than 600 sessions. Among the IMS program highlights were the three Wald Lectures given by Emmanuel Candès, and the Blackwell 2–3 Members’ News: ASA Fellows; ICM speakers; David Allison; Lecture by Martin Wainwright—Xiao-Li Meng writes about how inspirational these Mike Cohen; David Cox lectures (among others) were, on page 10. There were also five Medallion lectures, from Edoardo Airoldi, Emery Brown, Subhashis Ghoshal, Mark Girolami and Judith 4 COPSS Awards winners and nominations Rousseau. Next year’s IMS lectures 6 JSM photos At the IMS Presidential Address and Awards session (you can read Jon Wellner’s 8 Anirban’s Angle: The State of address in the next issue), the IMS lecturers for 2018 were announced. The Wald the World, in a few lines lecturer will be Luc Devroye, the Le Cam lecturer will be Ruth Williams, the Neyman Peter Bühlmann Yuval Peres 10 Obituary: Joseph Hilbe lecture will be given by , and the Schramm lecture by . The Medallion lecturers are: Jean Bertoin, Anthony Davison, Anna De Masi, Svante Student Puzzle Corner; 11 Janson, Davar Khoshnevisan, Thomas Mikosch, Sonia Petrone, Richard Samworth Loève Prize and Ming Yuan. 12 XL-Files: The IMS Style— Next year’s JSM invited sessions Inspirational, Mathematical If you’re feeling inspired by what you heard at JSM, you can help to create the 2018 and Statistical invited program for the meeting in Vancouver (July 28–August 2, 2018). -
NEWSLETTER Issue: 491 - November 2020
i “NLMS_491” — 2020/10/28 — 11:56 — page 1 — #1 i i i NEWSLETTER Issue: 491 - November 2020 COXETER THE ROYAL INSTITUTION FRIEZES AND PROBABILIST’S CHRISTMAS GEOMETRY URN LECTURER i i i i i “NLMS_491” — 2020/10/28 — 11:56 — page 2 — #2 i i i EDITOR-IN-CHIEF COPYRIGHT NOTICE Eleanor Lingham (Sheeld Hallam University) News items and notices in the Newsletter may [email protected] be freely used elsewhere unless otherwise stated, although attribution is requested when reproducing whole articles. Contributions to EDITORIAL BOARD the Newsletter are made under a non-exclusive June Barrow-Green (Open University) licence; please contact the author or David Chillingworth (University of Southampton) photographer for the rights to reproduce. Jessica Enright (University of Glasgow) The LMS cannot accept responsibility for the Jonathan Fraser (University of St Andrews) accuracy of information in the Newsletter. Views Jelena Grbic´ (University of Southampton) expressed do not necessarily represent the Cathy Hobbs (UWE) views or policy of the Editorial Team or London Christopher Hollings (Oxford) Mathematical Society. Stephen Huggett Adam Johansen (University of Warwick) ISSN: 2516-3841 (Print) Susan Oakes (London Mathematical Society) ISSN: 2516-385X (Online) Andrew Wade (Durham University) DOI: 10.1112/NLMS Mike Whittaker (University of Glasgow) Early Career Content Editor: Jelena Grbic´ NEWSLETTER WEBSITE News Editor: Susan Oakes Reviews Editor: Christopher Hollings The Newsletter is freely available electronically at lms.ac.uk/publications/lms-newsletter. CORRESPONDENTS AND STAFF MEMBERSHIP LMS/EMS Correspondent: David Chillingworth Joining the LMS is a straightforward process. For Policy Digest: John Johnston membership details see lms.ac.uk/membership. -
IMS Bulletin July/August 2004
Volume 33 Issue 4 IMS Bulletin July/August 2004 A Message from the (new) President Louis H Y Chen, Director of the Institute CONTENTS for Mathematical Sciences at the 2-3 Members’ News; National University of Singapore, is the Contacting the IMS IMS President for 2004–05. He says: hen I was approached by the 4 Profi le: C F Jeff Wu WCommittee on Nominations in 5 IMS Election Results: January 2003 and asked if I would be President-Elect and Council willing to be a possible nominee for IMS 7 UK Research Assessment; President-Elect, I felt that it was a great Tweedie Travel Award honor for me. However, I could not help 8 Mini-meeting Reports but think that the outcome of the nomi- nation process would most likely be a 10 Project Euclid & Google nominee who is based in the US, because, 11 Calls Roundup except for Willem van Zwet, Nancy Reid of probabilists and statisticians. 14 IMS Meetings and Bernard Silverman, all the 68 past Although IMS is US-based, its infl u- Presidents of IMS were US-based. When ence goes far beyond the US due to its 20 Other Meetings and I was fi nally chosen as the nominee for several fi rst-rate publications and many Announcements President-Elect, I was pleased, not so high quality meetings. Also, IMS has 23 Employment much because I was chosen, but because I reduced membership dues for individuals Opportunities took it as a sign that the outlook of IMS in developing countries to encourage 25 International Calendar of was becoming more international. -
The American Statistician
This article was downloaded by: [T&F Internal Users], [Rob Calver] On: 01 September 2015, At: 02:24 Publisher: Taylor & Francis Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: 5 Howick Place, London, SW1P 1WG The American Statistician Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/utas20 Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials Published online: 27 Aug 2015. Click for updates To cite this article: (2015) Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials, The American Statistician, 69:3, 244-252, DOI: 10.1080/00031305.2015.1068616 To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00031305.2015.1068616 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & Francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the “Content”) contained in the publications on our platform. However, Taylor & Francis, our agents, and our licensors make no representations or warranties whatsoever as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability for any purpose of the Content. Any opinions and views expressed in this publication are the opinions and views of the authors, and are not the views of or endorsed by Taylor & Francis. The accuracy of the Content should not be relied upon and should be independently verified with primary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for any losses, actions, claims, proceedings, demands, costs, expenses, damages, and other liabilities whatsoever or howsoever caused arising directly or indirectly in connection with, in relation to or arising out of the use of the Content. This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. -
Gladstone and the Bank of England: a Study in Mid-Victorian Finance, 1833-1866
GLADSTONE AND THE BANK OF ENGLAND: A STUDY IN MID-VICTORIAN FINANCE, 1833-1866 Patricia Caernarv en-Smith, B.A. Thesis Prepared for the Degree of MASTER OF ARTS UNIVERSITY OF NORTH TEXAS May 2007 APPROVED: Denis Paz, Major Professor Adrian Lewis, Committee Member and Chair of the Department of History Laura Stern, Committee Member Sandra L. Terrell, Dean of the Robert B. Toulouse School of Graduate Studies Caernarven-Smith, Patricia. Gladstone and the Bank of England: A Study in Mid- Victorian Finance, 1833-1866. Master of Arts (History), May 2007, 378 pp., 11 tables, bibliography, 275 titles. The topic of this thesis is the confrontations between William Gladstone and the Bank of England. These confrontations have remained a mystery to authors who noted them, but have generally been ignored by others. This thesis demonstrates that Gladstone’s measures taken against the Bank were reasonable, intelligent, and important for the development of nineteenth-century British government finance. To accomplish this task, this thesis refutes the opinions of three twentieth-century authors who have claimed that many of Gladstone’s measures, as well as his reading, were irrational, ridiculous, and impolitic. My primary sources include the Gladstone Diaries, with special attention to a little-used source, Volume 14, the indexes to the Diaries. The day-to-day Diaries and the indexes show how much Gladstone read about financial matters, and suggest that his actions were based to a large extent upon his reading. In addition, I have used Hansard’s Parliamentary Debates and nineteenth-century periodicals and books on banking and finance to understand the political and economic debates of the time. -
MODES for Windows Print
Marshall Library of Economics J.N. Keynes Papers Sections 2 - 5 Identity code JNKeynes 2/1 Previous number Keynes 3(37-48) Description level 4 Record creation Date 8.6.1951 (postmark) Place Document form Record type Correspondence Specific type Envelope Language English Acquisition Summary Deposited by Mrs. J.N. [Florence Ada] Keynes Content Summary Envelope addressed to Mrs. F.A. Keynes, J.P., but address crossed out. Annotated in ink, in Mrs. Keynes's hand, "Letters in reference to 'Formal Logic' by J.N.K." Once contained letters now numbered JNKeynes 2/2 - 2/13. Free field Subject keywords JNKeynes - Studies and Exercises in Formal Logic Physical descript Summary Brown manila envelope, 229 mm x 151 mm Condition Somewhat creased; small tear and small red stain on reverse Identity code JNKeynes 2/2 Previous number Keynes 3(38) Description level 4 Record creation Person Role Writer Name Bryant, Sophie Descriptor Doctor of Science, Moral Science branch, London University Person Role Recipient Name Keynes, John Neville Descriptor Lecturer in Moral Science, Cambridge University Date 10.4.1884 Place London, N., 2 Anson Road Document form Record type Correspondence Specific type Letter Language English Acquisition Summary Deposited by Mrs. J.N. [Florence Ada] Keynes Content Summary Thanks Keynes for sending her copy of ['Studies and Exercises in] Formal Logic'. Compliments him on methodology. Subject keywords JNKeynes - Studies and Exercises in Formal Logic Physical descript Summary 1 sheet; 3 pp. text Condition Sound Publication record Type Reference Identity code JNKeynes 2/3 Previous number Keynes 3(37) Description level 4 Record creation Person Role Writer Name d'Alfonso, Nicolo Descriptor Professor of Philosophy Person Role Recipient Name Keynes, John Neville Descriptor Lecturer in Moral Science, Cambridge University Date 5.6.1886 Place Italy, Santa Severina di Calabria Document form Record type Correspondence Specific type Letter Language French Acquisition Summary Deposited by Mrs.