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Memorandum Prepare to Be Amazed Memorandum Prepare To Be Amazed Oshawa Municipal Airport Date: September 26, 201 1 File: AIR-1 1-21 To: Airport Advisory Committee From: Stephen Wilcox, Airport Manager Re: Report DS-11-333 'Needs Assessment Study - Pickering Airport Lands' On September 26, 201 1, Council accepted DSC Report #DS-11-333 Needs Assessment Study - Pickering Airport Lands. Attached is a copy of that report for your review. Stephen Wilcox, Airport Manager Oshawa Municipal Airport Total Aviation & Airport Solutions Report To: Development Services Committee Item: Date of Report: DS-11-333 September 7,201 1 From: Commissioner, Development File: Date of Meeting: Services Department F-2500 September 12,2011 Subject: Needs Assessment Study, Pickering Airport Lands PUBLIC REPORT 1.0 PURPOSE The purpose of this report is to provide an update on the status of the Pickering Airport Lands. 2.0 RECOMMENDATION That the Development Services Committee recommend to City Council that Report DS-11- 333, dated September 7, 201 1 be received for information and staff continue to monitor issues associated with the proposed Pickering Airport. 3.0 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 4.0 INPUT FROM OTHER SOURCES 4.1 Other Departments and Agencies > The Airport Manager has contributed to this report. 4.2 Auditor General > The Auditor General has no comments. 5.0 ANALYSIS > On July Ilth,201 1 Transport Canada released the Needs Assessment Study for the- propo'sed Pickering Airport Lands. > The Executive Summary of the Study is available at www.tc.qc.calena1ontariol~ickerinqstudv.htm. Report to the Development Item: DS-11-333 Sewices Committee (Continued) -2- Meeting Date: September 7,2011 9 The Study is dated March, 2010 and utilizes data primarily gathered in 2008 and 2009. 9 The planning horizon for the Study is 2032. 9 The purpose of the Study was to: Review all previous studies relevant to the need for an airport on the Pickering Lands; Undertake a demand-capacity study of Greater Golden Horseshoe (GGH) airports; and Assess the future need for an airport on the Pickering lands and identify its likely timing. 9 The Study examined airport capacity and airport demand at present and in the future within €he GGH. 9 The Study included 10 existing airports: Toronto Pearson, Hamilton International, Waterloo International, Toronto City Centre, Buttonville, Oshawa, Peterborough, Lake Simcoe, Brampton and Burlington. 9 The Study also looked at a variety of scenarios where Buttonville, Oshawa or the City Centre airports could close in combinations of one, two or all three airports. 9 ~amiltonInternational, Waterloo International and Pickering were looked at as the primary air carrier reliever airports for Toronto Pearson. 9 Although the Study examines scenarios which include the closure of Oshawa, the Study acknowledges that the City of Oshawa has committed to operate the airport until at least 2033. 9 The Study utilized well established forecast models developed by Transport Canada which segment aviation demand generally into the following 3 categories: Corporate Jet and General Aviation (CJIGA) which includes flight training; Air Cargo which includes air cargo carried in passenger flights; Air Carrier Movements which represent commercial passenger flights. 9,Key findings of the Study are as follows: That a CJlGA airport on the Pickering lands is not required within the planning horizon. That an Air Cargo airport on the Pickering lands is not required within the planning horizon and would be unlikely to capture a significant share of the GGH cargo market due primarily to the existing cargo infrastructure in place in Hamilton and Toronto and the associated capital cost's of relocating. Report to the Development Item: DS-I 1-333 Services Committee (Continued) - 3 - Meeting Date: September 7, 2011 That Toronto Pearson airport has a maximum capacity of 54 million passengers annually and this number could be increased to 60 million passengers annually if the CJIGA traffic were removedldisplaced from the traffic mix. That Toronto Pearson's capacity is exceeded: - By 2023 assuming that Hamilton and Waterloo are not developed to their full capacity; - By 2027-2029 assuming that Hamilton and Waterloo are developed to their most likely capacity; and - By 2032-2033 assuming Hamilton and Waterloo are developed to an enhanced capacity. That the demand noted above would slip or move out by 7-8 years using Transport Canada's pessimistic traffic forecasts. = That a commercial airport is needed on the Pickering lands within 2027-2037. 9 As it relates specifically to Oshawa the Study also identified two key findings: The Study agrees with the 1995 Southern Ontario Area Airport Study which states that an airport on the east side of the GTA with a runway longer than 4000 feet would be a benefit to the CJlGA category. This is particularly important relating to the displacement impacts on the CJlGA category. The Study further states that Oshawa's commitment to operate the airport to at least 2033 in combination with a 5000 foot runway potentially provides a solution to the CJlGA displacement concern without building a new airport in Pickering. 9 The Study clearly recognizes Council's proactive initiatives to advance the Oshawa Municipal Airport and its role in the GGH's air infrastructure. 6.0 FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS 9 There are no financial implications associated with this report. Report to the Development Item: DS-11-333 Services Committee (Continued) - 4 - Meeting Date: September 7,2011 7.0 RESPONSE TO THE COMMUNITY STRATEGIC PLAN > Monitoring issues associated with the proposed Pickering Airport responds to Goal B (A Green and Sustainable Community) of the City's Community Strategic Plan by managing growth and improving transportation modes and establishing short and long term options for the airport. -. Development Sewices Department .
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