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High-Speed Rail Development Programme 2008/9 Principal Consultant

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High-Speed Rail Development Programme 2008/9 Principal Consultant High-Speed Rail Development Programme 2008/9 Principal Consultant Final Report for Workstream 1 6th January 2009 Table of Contents 1 BACKGROUND......................................................................................................................................................4 1.1 INTRODUCTION .........................................................................................................................................................4 1.2 OBJECTIVES FOR WORKSTREAM 1.................................................................................................................................4 1.3 THE ATKINS REPORT ...................................................................................................................................................5 1.4 OTHER REVIEW WORK UNDERTAKEN ............................................................................................................................5 1.5 FUTURE REVIEW WORK ..............................................................................................................................................6 1.6 BIBLIOGRAPHY ..........................................................................................................................................................6 2 OBJECTIVES AND CONTEXT...................................................................................................................................7 2.1 INTRODUCTION .........................................................................................................................................................7 2.2 OBJECTIVES FOR HSR.................................................................................................................................................7 2.3 CONTEXT OF A HIGH -SPEED NETWORK ..........................................................................................................................8 3 NETWORK CONSTRUCTION ..................................................................................................................................9 3.1 ROUTES CONSIDERED .................................................................................................................................................9 3.2 OVERVIEW OF HIGH SPEED RAIL .................................................................................................................................10 3.3 STATIONS : INTEGRATION OF HIGH -SPEED RAIL WITH OTHER TRANSPORT MODES .................................................................11 3.4 HIGH -SPEED TECHNOLOGY : INFRASTRUCTURE ...............................................................................................................12 3.4.1 General Information Related to Infrastructure............................................................................................12 3.4.2 Tracks...........................................................................................................................................................12 3.4.3 Route Alignment..........................................................................................................................................13 3.4.4 Structures.....................................................................................................................................................13 3.4.5 Signalling .....................................................................................................................................................13 3.4.6 Energy..........................................................................................................................................................13 3.4.7 Stations........................................................................................................................................................14 3.4.8 Workshop and Depot...................................................................................................................................14 3.5 CONSTRUCTION COSTS .............................................................................................................................................14 3.5.1 Overall Costs................................................................................................................................................14 3.5.2 Unit Costs.....................................................................................................................................................15 3.5.3 Comparative Analysis of Construction Costs ...............................................................................................15 3.5.4 Further Cost Information .............................................................................................................................15 3.6 NETWORK CONSTRUCTION AND PHASING .....................................................................................................................16 3.6.1 Phasing Principles........................................................................................................................................16 3.6.2 Project Phasing within the Authorising [Statutory] Instrument ..................................................................16 3.6.3 Phasing Case Studies ...................................................................................................................................17 4 NETWORK OPERATIONS.....................................................................................................................................18 4.1 HIGH -SPEED TECHNOLOGY : ROLLING -STOCK ................................................................................................................18 4.1.1 High-Speed Rail Rolling-Stock used Internationally.....................................................................................18 4.1.2 The French High-Speed System....................................................................................................................18 4.1.3 Pendolino Trains: Pros and Cons..................................................................................................................18 4.2 TRAIN SERVICE SCHEDULE .........................................................................................................................................19 4.3 OPERATIONAL COSTS ................................................................................................................................................19 4.3.1 Cost Information in the Context of the UK...................................................................................................19 4.3.2 Cost Information from Projects Outside UK.................................................................................................20 5 DEMAND AND REVENUE FORECASTING .............................................................................................................21 5.1 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................................................21 Page 2 of 44 5.2 CURRENT MARKETS ..................................................................................................................................................21 5.3 GROWTH ASSUMPTIONS ...........................................................................................................................................21 5.4 FORECASTING METHODOLOGY ...................................................................................................................................21 5.5 DEMAND FORECASTS FOR SPECIFIC SCHEMES .................................................................................................................22 5.6 BENCHMARKING ......................................................................................................................................................22 5.7 CONCLUSIONS .........................................................................................................................................................22 6 APPRAISAL METHODS ........................................................................................................................................23 6.1 FRAMEWORK FOR PREVIOUS APPRAISAL STUDIES ...........................................................................................................23 6.2 OVERALL BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC CASE , AND DIRECT ECONOMIC BENEFITS .....................................................................24 6.2.1 The Atkins Report ........................................................................................................................................24 6.2.2 Other Papers................................................................................................................................................25 6.3 WIDER ECONOMIC BENEFITS .....................................................................................................................................25 6.3.1 Quantitative Studies ....................................................................................................................................25 6.3.2 The Eddington Transport Study, December 2006 ........................................................................................26 6.3.3 Other Qualitative Studies ............................................................................................................................27
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