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Ukraine Analyst Contents 1 Ukraine Analyst, 2008-2011, Volumes 1-3 Editor, Dr.Taras Kuzio 1.1 (14 September 2008) Ukraine’s September 2008 Crisis Profile. Viktor Baloga, Head of Ukraine’s Presidential Secretariat. 1.2. (30 September 2008) Accusations and Counter-Accusations: Who Works for Russia? Western Experts on Ukraine’s Crisis The Georgian Crisis and Domestic Ukrainian Politics 1.3 (14 October 2008) Ukraine’s Security Vacuum Strategy for Pre-Term Elections Paul D’Anieri, Expert on Party Strategy Roman Kupchinsky, Vanco’s Ukraine Contract: Why It Became a Scandal Igor Burakovsky, Pre-Term Elections are a Dangerous Experiment 1.4 (31 October 2008) Ukraine Needs Stability, Not Elections Condemning Totalitarianism in Ukraine Tim Ash, Expert Commentary on the Global Crisis and Ukraine Twelve Wealthiest and Influential Ukrainians 1.5 (14 November 2008) What an Obama President Means for Ukraine Pre-Term Elections Postponed, Indefinitely? Georgian Crisis and Ukrainian Politics Ukraine Party Position on the Georgian Crisis Tim Ash, Ukraine’s IMF Package and Socio-Economic Crisis 2 1.6 (30 November 2008) Dmytro Tupchienko, Ukraine’s Rule of Law: Still in Need of Radical Reform Expert Commentaries on the Orange Revolution Viktor Yushchenko and Yulia Tymoshenko, 2000-2008 1.7-8 (16 and 31 December 2008) The December NATO Summit and Ukraine Ukraine and NATO: Time for a New Relationship Interview with US Ambassador William Taylor Arseny Yatseniuk: Quo Vadis? Olga Pogarska and Ediberto L.Segura, Ukraine’s Economic Outlook 1.9 (15 January 2009) Behind the Gas Crisis Oberezhno: Dezynformatsiya Mykola Riabchuk, The 2009 Gas Crisis: A View From Ukraine Commentary by Adrian Karatnycky The Party of Regions: A Profile Jim Davis, The Cruel Cross-Currents of 2009 1.10 (31 January 2009) Ukraine Faces Two Strategic Challenges in 2009 Comparison of 2006 and 2009 Gas Contracts Behind the Gas Crisis (2) Ihor Zhdanov, The Ukrainian-Russian Gas Crisis: Did Ukraine Really Lose? Edward Chow, Energy Reform: A Missed Opportunity Roman Kupchinsky, Who Sought to Undermine Negotiations Tim Ash, A Good Result Profile: Parliamentary Speaker Volodymyr Lytvyn Convulsions Surround the National Bank 1.11 (15 February 2009) US Political Consultants and Ukrainian Politics Roman Kupchinsky, Covert US Support for Ukraine in the Cold War: The Case of Prolog Taras Kuzio, Who’s Who in Washington DC on Ukraine United States-Ukraine Charter on Strategic Partnership 3 1.12 (28 February 2009) Will the President Sink the Prime Minister? Tymoshenko Government Wins Second No Confidence Vote PR, Foreign Policy and International Image: The 2009 Gas Crisis Taras Kuzio, Why the Russian-Ukrainian Gas Contract is Good for Europe Jim Davis, New Investors Put Off by Old Problems 1.13 (15 March 2009) Taras Kuzio, The Disintegration of Ukraine’s Centre-Right, 2005-2009 Paul McCabe, President Unites with Prime Minister to Engage the IMF Ukraine’s Economic Crisis: Will it Default? Levko Ivanytsky, It’s a Gas. Political Players, RosUkrEnergo, and Naftohaz Ukrainy 1.14 (31 March 2009) Ternopil Elections: Flash in a Pan or a Harbinger? Bankrupt President’s Party 1.15 (15 April 2009) Arseniy Yatseniuk’s Three Choices The European Union (EU) and Ukraine’s Gas Pipelines 1.16 (30 April 2009) Populist-Nationalists in Ukraine Taras Kuzio, Russia Sees Ukraine as a Failed State Tim Ash, Ukraine and the IMF 1.17 (15 May 2009) Bureaucracy and Nepotism Taras Kuzio, Grand Coalition, Again Dmytro Tupchienko, Simultaneous Elections Nico Lange, Ten Steps to Ukraine Joining the EU European Peoples Party and Ukraine 4 1.18 (31 May 2009) A Tale of Two Viktors: The President and Chief of Staff Petro Buslenko, Why Yushchenko Changed Horses in Midstream Battling Corruption and Political Will Soviet Bank Deposits and Voters 1.19 (15 June 2009) Coalitions and Constitutional Reforms Bohdan Futey, Constitutional Reforms and Legal Chaos Western Expert Community on Constitutional Reforms in Ukraine 1.20 (30 June 2009) The President, Coalition and Government Taras Kuzio, Who Will the West Support in Ukraine’s Presidential Election? Ukraine’s Presidential Candidate 1: Yulia Tymoshenko Paul Goble, Educational Policies for National Minorities in Ukraine and Russia 1.21-22 (15 and 31 July 2009) Bankrupt, Dysfunctional and Failed. Are We Really Talking About Ukraine? The Presidents Multi-Vector Domestic Policy Ukraine’s Presidential Candidates 2: Viktor Yanukovych Book Review, Gwendolyn Sasse, The Crimea Question. Identity, Transition, and Conflict (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2007). 1.23-24 (15 and 31 August 2009) Ukraine’s Presidential Candidates 2: Arseniy Yatseniuk Pragmatism, Ideology and Ukrainian Foreign Policy Overseas Private Investment Corporation and Ukraine Mend Fences Borys Wrzesniewski, The Euro-Atlantic Future of Ukraine – A Canadian Perspective 5 2.1 (15 September 2009) Ukraine’s Presidential Candidates 4: Viktor Yushchenko On the Ninth Anniversary of Georgi Gongadze’s Murder Can Anyone Stop Yanukovych From Being Elected the Next President of Ukraine 2.2 (30 September 2009) Political Fragmentation in Ukraine: Centre-right Centre-left Who Will Our Ukraine Support in the Presidential Elections? Tim Ash, Ukraine’s Economy Hits Bottom 2.3 (15 October 2009) Ukraine’s Presidential Candidates 5: Anatoliy Grytsenko Taras Kuzio, Tymoshenko, Yushchenko and NATO Tim Ash, Russia, Gas and Jazz Tim Ash, Restructuring Ukraine’s Gas Debts 2.4 (31 October 2009) Presidential Campaign Begins Business Sponsors and Campaign Budgets of Candidates Ukraine’s Presidential Candidates 2: Serhiy Tihipko Taras Kuzio, Party of Regions: Analysis of a Divided ‘Party’ Tim Ash, Will Naftohaz Ukrainy Default? Petro Poroshenko: Profile 2.5 (15 November 2009) Viktor Yushchenko’s Five Years in Office (Part 1) Interview with Anders Aslund Taras Kuzio, Yushchenko Leaves out NATO (Again) Tim Ash, Ukraine Election Politics Suggests IMF Takes a Time-Out 6 2.6 (30 November 2009) Fifth Anniversary of the Orange Revolution Expert Commentaries on Five Years of Yushchenko’s Presidency V.Yushchenko’s Five Years in Office 11 Tim Ash, Ukraine-IMF Relations Take Centre Stage 2.7-8 (15 and 31 December 2009) Taras Kuzio, Political Instability and Crises in Ukraine Eric Jardine, Ukraine-Russia Relations Set to Improve Tim Ash, It’s Still a Gas Tim Ash, Ukraine: Questions and Answers on Policies, Gas and Default Probabilities 2.9-10 (15-31 January 2010) Round 1 Election Results: What Do They Mean and What Do They Portend for Russia? Western Ukraine Will Decide Who is Elected in 2010 Tim Ash, Why Ukraine’s 2010 Elections Matter Yushchenko and Orange Revolution Promises Viktor Baloga and Trans-Carpathian Separatism 2.11 (28 February 2010) She Did Very Well, But it Was Not Enough Taras Kuzio, Tymoshenko and Yanukovych: Why She Lost and He Won, and What This Entails Serhiy Vasylchenko, He Who Won Was the One Who Lost the Least Alexandria Hrycak, Yulia’s Defeat and ender Biases in the Ukrainian Political System Taras Kuzio, Election Fraud in Ukraine’s 2010 Elections Tim Ash, The Election Results and Yanukovych’s Options James Sherr, The Strategic Implications of Ukraine’s 2010 Elections Anders Aslund, Reform Proposals for Ukraine 7 2.12 (March 2010) Unconstitutional First Steps Taras Kuzio, Opposition De Ja Vu With Four Nuances Myroslava Oleksiuk, Gender and the Opposition Paul Goble, Russian Opposition Sets Up Base in Ukraine Kuzio versus Kudelia: Debate on the 2010 Election Campaign 2.13 (April 2010) Ukraine Signs 25 Year Extension of Black Sea Fleet Base Taras Kuzio, Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan Ivan Lozowy, The Maidan Cometh Zenon Zawada, Ukraine’s Political Crisis: Background and Prognosis Penta Centre, The Azarov Government Taras Kuzio, Separatism in Ukraine Paul Goble, Federalism in Ukraine Tim Ash, New Gas Price Deal with Russia Tim Ash, Approaching an IMF Agreement 2.14 (May 2010) Media Under Attack in Ukraine Taras Kuzio, How to Fashion a New Authoritarian Political System Paul Goble, FSB Return to the Crimea: National Security Implications for Ukraine Tim Ash, Ukraine’s Recovery. But Risks Remain 2.15 (June 2010) Taras Kuzio, Viktor Yanukovych’s First 100 Days in Office The First 100 Days: A Chronology Nicholas Lange, The First 100 Days: Authoritarian Trend and Rapprochement with Russia Jakob Hadenskog, Kyiv’s Rapid Drift Back to Moscow 2.16-17 (July-August 2010) Taras Kuzio, Ukraine’s Relations with the West 8 Steven Pifer, Ukraine Not Yet Lost Vitaly Sych and Taras Kuzio on Georgia and Ukraine 2.18 (September 2010) Svoboda has no Place in the Democratic Opposition Return to Soviet ‘Anti-Nationalism’ Russia and Ukraine are a ‘Single People’? 2.19 (October 2010) Constitutional Court Changes Parliamentary to Presidential System Nico Lange, Between Re-Sovietisation and Corporate Interests Viktor Yanukovych: The Counter) Revolutionary OPORA on the Local Election Campaign Alexander J.Motyl, Fighting Corruption with Corruption 2.20 (November 2010) Small Business Repeats Orange Revolution Demands Alexander J.Motyl, Ukraine’s Orange Blues Constitutional Reforms, Political Expediency and Rule of Law Yanukovych’s Honeymoon is Over President and the Holodomor 2.21 (December 2010) Stefan Jajecznyk, An Unlikely Victim of the Wikileaks ‘Fallout’ Ukraine’s October 2010 Local Elections Analysis of Conduct and Results Taras Kuzio, Ukrainian Foreign and Security Policy, Multi-Vector or Pro- Russian? Ukraine Legal Group:
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