Download the Charts (PDF)

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

2015 POLITICAL MONITOR LABOUR’S LEADERSHIP ELECTION Who would Britons like to see lead the Labour Party? AS YOU MAY KNOW, THE LABOUR PARTY IS CURRENTLY IN THE PROCESS OF SELECTING A NEW PARTY LEADER. 3 WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING POLITICIANS I AM GOING TO READ OUT, IF ANY, WOULD YOU LIKE TO SEE LEAD THE LABOUR PARTY? June 2015 15% Andy Burnham 23% 14% Yvette Cooper 20% 11% Liz Kendall 11% 5% Jeremy Corbyn 9% 3% Stewart Lewis* 6% 18% None of these 7% 34% Don't know 24% BRITISH ADULTS 18+ LABOUR SUPPORTERS Base: 1,005 British adults 18+, 275 Labour supporters 14th -16th June 2015 Source: Ipsos MORI *Red herring Which past Labour leader should the new leader most be like? AND STILL THINKING ABOUT THE LABOUR LEADERSHIP CONTEST, WHICH PAST LABOUR LEADER, IF ANY, SHOULD THE NEXT LEADER MOST RESEMBLE TO MAKE YOU MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR THE LABOUR PARTY? 4 June 2015 19% Tony Blair 23% 7% John Smith 8% 5% Harold Wilson 6% 4% Gordon Brown 7% 3% Ed Miliband 7% 3% Neil Kinnock 3% 2% Clement Attlee 4% 2% James Callaghan 1% 9% Wouldn't vote Labour 0% 12% None of them 7% 32% Don't know 29% BRITISH ADULTS 18+ LABOUR SUPPORTERS Base: 1,005 British adults 18+, 14th -16th June 2015 Source: Ipsos MORI Only showing Labour leaders with 2% or more of mentions. Please see computer tables for full results VOTING INTENTIONS Voting Intention HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW? 6 All giving a voting intention Headline voting intention CONSERVATIVE 8% 8% LABOUR 10% 9% UKIP 5% 39% 6% 39% GREEN 7% 8% LIB DEM OTHER 31% 30% Conservative lead = +8 Conservative lead = +9 Base: 1,005 British adults 18+, 14th -16th June 2015, all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections = 742. Headline voting intention is based on a method that would have given most accurate results in the 2015 GE; Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor this is an interim measure whilst our internal review is carried out. 2015 POLITICAL MONITOR .

Copy Link

Recommended publications

The Labour Party Is More Than the Shadow Cabinet, and Corbyn Must Learn to Engage with It
The Labour Party is more than the shadow cabinet, and Corbyn must learn to engage with it blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/the-labour-party-is-more-than-the-shadow-cabinet/ 1/11/2016 The three-day reshuffle of the shadow cabinet might have helped Jeremy Corbyn stamp his mark on the party but he needs to do more to ensure his leadership lasts, writes Eunice Goes. She explains the Labour leader must engage with all groups that have historically made up the party, while his rhetoric should focus more on policies that resonate with the public. Doing so will require a stronger vision of what he means by ‘new politics’ and, crucially, a better communications strategy. By Westminster standards Labour’s shadow cabinet reshuffle was ‘shambolic’ and had the key ingredients of a ‘pantomime’. At least, it was in those terms that it was described by a large number of Labour politicians and Westminster watchers. It certainly wasn’t slick, or edifying. Taking the best of a week to complete a modest shadow cabinet reshuffle was revealing of the limited authority the leader Jeremy Corbyn has over the Parliamentary Labour Party (PLP). Against the wishes of the Labour leader, the Shadow Foreign Secretary Hilary Benn and the Shadow Chief Whip Rosie Winterton kept their posts. However, Corbyn was able to assert his authority in other ways. He moved the pro-Trident Maria Eagle from Defence and appointed the anti-Trident Emily Thornberry to the post. He also imposed some ground rules on Hillary Benn and got rid of Michael Dugher and Pat McFadden on the grounds of disloyalty.
[Show full text]
Jeremy Corbyn Leadership Poll Prepared on Behalf of the Mail on Sunday
Jeremy Corbyn Leadership Poll Methodology Jeremy Corbyn Leadership Poll Prepared on behalf of the Mail on Sunday 1. Jeremy Corbyn has just been elected as the new leader of the Labour Party. Of the two options below, who do you think would make the best Prime Minister? Base: All respondents Age Sex Region 2015 Vote Total Midlands & North & Did not 18 - 34 35 - 54 55 + Male Female South CON LAB UKIP LibDem Wales Scotland vote Unweighted total 1033 340 392 301 412 621 403 240 390 264 278 111 79 181 Weighted total 1033 305 360 368 512 520 469 221 343 302 222 99 66 252 Jeremy Corbyn 26.6% 34.0% 24.9% 21.9% 26.6% 26.6% 21.7% 30.2% 31.1% 4.6% 60.1% 18.2% 28.8% 21.7% 275 104 90 81 136 138 102 67 107 14 133 18 19 55 David Cameron 44.2% 29.4% 43.5% 57.0% 51.7% 36.8% 48.4% 44.6% 38.1% 89.4% 11.7% 45.5% 51.5% 24.9% 456 90 156 210 265 191 227 99 130 269 26 45 34 63 Don't know 29.2% 36.6% 31.6% 20.8% 21.6% 36.6% 29.9% 25.2% 30.8% 6.3% 28.3% 36.4% 19.7% 53.4% 302 112 114 77 111 190 140 56 106 19 63 36 13 134 Prepared by Survation on behalf of the Mail on Sunday Survation. Jeremy Corbyn Leadership Poll Prepared on behalf of the Mail on Sunday 2.
[Show full text]
Personal Histories in Health Research ~
Personal Histories in Health Research ~ Edited by Adam Oliver ISBN: 1 905030 11 8 Personal Histories in Health collection © The Nuffield Trust 2005 ‘Ploughing a furrow in ethics’ © Raanan Gillon and The Nuffield Trust 2005 Published by The Nuffield Trust 59 New Cavendish Street London WC1 7LP telephone 020 7631 8450 fax 020 7613 8451 email: [email protected] website: www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk charity number 209201 designed and printed by Q3 Digital Litho telephone 01509 213 456 website: www.Q3group.co.uk Contents 1 Healthy Lives: reflecting on the reflections Adam Oliver 3 2 Health inequalities: from science to policy David Blane 15 3 In sickness and in health: working in medical sociology Mike Bury 29 4 Random assignments: my route into health policy: a post-hoc rationalisation Anna Coote 47 5 Last Season’s fruit John Grimley Evans 65 6 Ploughing a furrow in ethics Raanan Gillon 85 7 The Jungle: an explorer’s experiences of health services research Walter W Holland 101 8 Confessions of a graduate nurse Alison Kitson 121 9 Confessions of an accidental policy analyst, or why I am not a health service researcher Rudolf Klein 139 10 Seeking somewhere to stop Jennie Popay 155 11 Political ideals and personal encounters Albert Weale 173 12 Discovering the QALY, or how Rachel Rosser changed my life Alan Williams 191 13 Health policy, management and gardening Robert Maxwell 207 About the authors About the authors vii David Blane is Professor of Medical Sociology at Imperial College London. He trained in medicine and sociology, and enjoys teaching medical sociology as an applied subject to large classes of trainee doctors, and as an academic discipline to smaller numbers of interested medical students.
[Show full text]
(CUWS) Outreach Journal #1183
USAF Center for Unconventional Weapons Studies (CUWS) Outreach Journal CUWS Outreach Journal 1183 18 September 2015 Feature Item: “The U.S.-China Military Scorecard: Forces, Geography, and the Evolving Balance of Power, 1996–2017”. Authored by Eric Heginbotham, Michael Nixon, Forrest E. Morgan, Jacob Heim, Jeff Hagen, Sheng Li, Jeffrey G. Engstrom, Martin C. Libicki, Paul DeLuca, David A. Shlapak, David R. Frelinger, Burgess Laird, Kyle Brady, and Lyle J. Morris; published by RAND Corporation; 2015; 430 pages. http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR300/RR392/RAND_RR392.pdf Over the past two decades, the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has transformed itself from a large but antiquated force into a capable, modern military. In many areas, its technology and the skill levels lag behind those of the United States, but it has narrowed the gap. Moreover it enjoys the advantage of proximity in most plausible Asian conflict scenarios and has developed capabilities that capitalize on that advantage. How would Chinese and U.S. forces perform in operations against one another in such a conflict? What is the balance of power? What are the prospects for deterrence, and what can be done to strengthen them? This volume examines relative U.S. and Chinese military capabilities in ten operational areas, covering the air and missile, maritime, space and counterspace, cyber, and nuclear domains. It looks at trends across time, from 1996 to the present, as well as potential developments through 2017. And it examines the impact of distance and geography on military power by assessing capabilities in the context of two scenarios at different distances from China: one centered on Taiwan and the other on the Spratly Islands.
[Show full text]
Yougov / the Sunday Times Survey Results
YouGov / The Sunday Times Survey Results Sample Size: 1011 Labour Party Members Fieldwork: 7th - 9th September 2010 1st Preference - September 2010 1st Preference - July 2010 September Choice July Choice Gender Age Diane Andy David Ed Diane Andy David Ed David Ed David Ed Total Ed Balls Ed Balls Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Abbott Burnham Miliband Miliband Abbott Burnham Miliband Miliband Miliband Miliband Miliband Miliband Weighted Sample 1008 106 86 91 354 287 99 45 65 244 209 431 474 320 340 577 432 331 303 374 Unweighted Sample 1011 102 89 97 344 296 93 45 69 239 221 429 485 310 353 654 357 307 317 387 % %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% 1st Preference - September 2010 [Excluding Don't know and Wouldn't Vote] David Miliband 38 0001000824 9 79 16 83 0 68 11 36 42 41 39 35 Ed Miliband 31 00001001114 13 11 69 1 62 11 50 31 31 33 28 33 Diane Abbott 11 1000000702 3144164181112131111 Andy Burnham 10 001000029 66 4 6 7 10 10 10 12 7 8 10 11 Ed Balls 9 0100000852 10 5 6 5 12 7 11 10 8 5 13 10 Weighted Sample 846 92 82 84 320 268 84 41 55 214 186 384 427 279 296 493 353 280 258 308 Unweighted Sample 849 90 85 89 308 277 80 41 58 207 199 380 438 268 309 555 294 260 266 323 %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% 2nd Preference - September 2010 [Excluding Don't know and Wouldn't Vote] Ed Miliband 30 53 48 34 43 0 42 32 25 33 22 35 27 30 29 29 32 32 33 26 Ed Balls 22 200 2825251936 26 23 21 23 21 24 22 23 21 20 23 23 Andy Burnham 19 14 17 0 21 24 14 18 19 21 18 19 19 19 18 18 20 21 20 16 David Miliband 17 13 20 30 0 35 13 12 24 10 27 13 21 16 20 17 17 15 12 23 Diane Abbott 11 0 15 8 11 16 11 2 7 12 12 9 12 11 11 12 10 12 11 12 Weighted Sample 905 90 74 75 351 285 82 40 56 233 203 431 474 299 319 519 387 303 267 336 Unweighted Sample 914 87 78 84 341 293 79 40 60 228 214 429 485 290 334 592 322 283 280 351 %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% Miliband preference - September [Excluding definitely wouldn't vote] David Miliband 48 19 28 41 100 1 25 34 37 86 17 100 0 80 17 47 49 48 46 48 Ed Miliband 52 81 72 59 0 99 75 66 63 14 83 0 100 20 83 53 51 52 54 52 1 © 2010 YouGov plc.
[Show full text]
Research Note: Former Special Advisers in Cabinet, 1979-2013
Research Note: Former Special Advisers in Cabinet, 1979-2013 Executive Summary Sixteen special advisers have gone on to become Cabinet Ministers. This means that of the 492 special advisers listed in the Constitution Unit database in the period 1979-2010, only 3% entered Cabinet. Seven Conservative party Cabinet members were formerly special advisers. o Four Conservative special advisers went on to become Cabinet Ministers in the 1979-1997 period of Conservative governments. o Three former Conservative special advisers currently sit in the Coalition Cabinet: David Cameron, George Osborne and Jonathan Hill. Eight Labour Cabinet members between 1997-2010 were former special advisers. o Five of the eight former special advisers brought into the Labour Cabinet between 1997-2010 had been special advisers to Tony Blair or Gordon Brown. o Jack Straw entered Cabinet in 1997 having been a special adviser before 1979. One Liberal Democrat Cabinet member, Vince Cable, was previously a special adviser to a Labour minister. The Coalition Cabinet of January 2013 currently has four members who were once special advisers. o Also attending Cabinet meetings is another former special adviser: Oliver Letwin as Minister of State for Policy. There are traditionally 21 or 22 Ministers who sit in Cabinet. Unsurprisingly, the number and proportion of Cabinet Ministers who were previously special advisers generally increases the longer governments go on. The number of Cabinet Ministers who were formerly special advisers was greatest at the end of the Labour administration (1997-2010) when seven of the Cabinet Ministers were former special advisers. The proportion of Cabinet made up of former special advisers was greatest in Gordon Brown’s Cabinet when almost one-third (30.5%) of the Cabinet were former special advisers.
[Show full text]
Education Committee Formal Minutes
Education Committee Formal minutes Wednesday 14 July 2010 Members present Mr Graham Stuart, in the Chair1 Conor Burns Charlotte Leslie Nic Dakin Ian Mearns Pat Glass Tessa Munt Damian Hinds Lisa Nandy Liz Kendall Craig Whittaker 1. Declaration of interests Members declared their interests, in accordance with the Resolution of the House of 13 July 1992 (see Appendix 1). 2. Committee working methods Ordered, That the public be admitted during the examination of witnesses unless the Committee orders otherwise. Resolved, That the Committee approves the use of electronic equipment by Members during public and private meetings, provided that they are used in accordance with the rules and customs of the House. 3. Future programme Resolved, That the Committee take oral evidence on the Building Schools for the Future programme and on the Department’s future capital spending, from Tim Byles CBE, Chief Executive, Partnerships for Schools, and from the Rt Hon Ed Balls MP. Resolved, That the Committee take oral evidence from the Secretary of State for Education, on his responsibilities. 1 Mr Graham Stuart was elected as the Chair of the Committee on 9 June 2010, in accordance with Standing Order No. 122B (see House of Commons Votes and Proceedings, 10 June 2010) Resolved, That the Committee hold private seminars on matters relating to education and to children’s services. [Adjourned till Wednesday 21 July at 9.15 am. Wednesday 21 July 2010 Members present Mr Graham Stuart, in the Chair Pat Glass Ian Mearns Damian Hinds Tessa Munt Liz Kendall Lisa Nandy Charlotte Leslie Craig Whittaker 1. Declaration of interests Charlotte Leslie declared interests, in accordance with the Resolution of the House of 13 July 1992 (see Appendix 1).
[Show full text]
THE BRITISH GENERAL ELECTION of 1992 Other Books in This Series
THE BRITISH GENERAL ELECTION OF 1992 Other books in this series THE BRITISH GENERAL ELECTION OF 1945 R. B. McCallum and Alison Readman THE BRITISH GENERAL ELECTION OF 1950 H. G. Nicholas THE BRITISH GENERAL ELECTION OF 1951 David Butler THE BRITISH GENERAL ELECTION OF 1955 David Butler THE BRITISH GENERAL ELECTION OF 1959 David Butler and Richard Rose THE BRITISH GENERAL ELECTION OF 1964 David Butler and Anthony King THE BRITISH GENERAL ELECTION OF 1966 David Butler and Anthony King THE BRITISH GENERAL ELECTION OF 1970 David Butler and Michael Pinto-Duschinsky THE BRITISH GENERAL ELECTION OF FEBRUARY 1974 David Butler and Dennis Kavanagh THE BRITISH GENERAL ELECTION OF OCTOBER 1974 David Butler and Dennis Kavanagh THE 1975 REFERENDUM David Butler and Uwe Kitzinger THE BRITISH GENERAL ELECTION OF 1979 David Butler and Dennis Kavanagh EUROPEAN ELECTIONS AND BRITISH POLITICS David Butler and David Marquand THE BRITISH GENERAL ELECTION OF 1983 David Butler and Dennis Kavanagh PARTY STRATEGIES IN BRITAIN David Butler and Paul Jowett THE BRITISH GENERAL ELECTION OF 1987 David Butler and Dennis Kavanagh The British General Election of 1992 David Butler Fellow ofNuffield College, Oxford Dennis Kavanagh Professor of Politics, University of Nottingham M St. Martin's Press ©David Butler and Dennis Kavanagh 1992 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No paragraph of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, 90 Tottenham Court Road, London WlP 9HE.
[Show full text]
Welfare Reform and Political Theory
WELFARE REFORM AND POLITICAL THEORY WELFARE REFORM AND POLITICAL THEORY LAWRENCE M. MEAD AND CHRISTOPHER BEEM EDITORS Russell Sage Foundation • New York The Russell Sage Foundation The Russell Sage Foundation, one of the oldest of America’s general purpose foundations, was established in 1907 by Mrs. Margaret Olivia Sage for “the improvement of social and living conditions in the United States.” The Founda- tion seeks to fulﬁll this mandate by fostering the development and dissemina- tion of knowledge about the country’s political, social, and economic problems. While the Foundation endeavors to assure the accuracy and objectivity of each book it publishes, the conclusions and interpretations in Russell Sage Founda- tion publications are those of the authors and not of the Foundation, its Trustees, or its staff. Publication by Russell Sage, therefore, does not imply Foundation endorsement. BOARD OF TRUSTEES Robert E. Denham, Chair Alan S. Blinder Larry V. Hedges Alan B. Krueger Christine K. Cassel Jennifer L. Hochschild Cora B. Marrett Thomas D. Cook Timothy A. Hultquist Eric Wanner Christopher Edley Jr. Kathleen Hall Jamieson Mary C. Waters John A. Ferejohn Melvin J. Konner Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Welfare reform and political theory / Lawrence M. Mead and Christopher Beem, editors. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 0-87154-595-0 1. Public welfare—United States. 2. Public welfare—Great Britain. 3. Welfare recipients—Employment—United States. 4. Welfare recipients—Employment— Great Britain. 5. United States—Social policy—1993- 6. Great Britain—Social policy—1979- 7. Public welfare—Political aspects. 8. Citizenship. I. Mead, Lawrence M. II.
[Show full text]
Download (9MB)
A University of Sussex PhD thesis Available online via Sussex Research Online: http://sro.sussex.ac.uk/ This thesis is protected by copyright which belongs to the author. This thesis cannot be reproduced or quoted extensively from without first obtaining permission in writing from the Author The content must not be changed in any way or sold commercially in any format or medium without the formal permission of the Author When referring to this work, full bibliographic details including the author, title, awarding institution and date of the thesis must be given Please visit Sussex Research Online for more information and further details 2018 Behavioural Models for Identifying Authenticity in the Twitter Feeds of UK Members of Parliament A CONTENT ANALYSIS OF UK MPS’ TWEETS BETWEEN 2011 AND 2012; A LONGITUDINAL STUDY MARK MARGARETTEN Mark Stuart Margaretten Submitted for the degree of Doctor of PhilosoPhy at the University of Sussex June 2018 1 Table of Contents TABLE OF CONTENTS ........................................................................................................................ 1 DECLARATION .................................................................................................................................. 4 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ...................................................................................................................... 5 FIGURES ........................................................................................................................................... 6 TABLES ............................................................................................................................................
[Show full text]
Political Affairs Brief a Daily Summary of Political Events Affecting the Jewish Community
23 November 2009 Political Affairs Brief A daily summary of political events affecting the Jewish Community Scottish Council of Jewish Communities SCoJeC Contents Home Affairs Relevant Legislation Community Relations Other Relevant Information Israel Consultations Your feedback is important! Please help us to make Political Affairs Brief meet your needs by completing the short questionnaire at http://tinyurl.com/y9y8vs6 Home Affairs UK Parliamentary Question Michael Savage Lord Pearson of Rannoch: To ask Her Majesty's Government whether the United States radio host Mr Michael Savage has been banned from entering the United Kingdom; and, if so, why. [HL6210] The Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State, Home Office (Lord West of Spithead): As was announced by the former Home Secretary in the press release of 5 May 2009, Michael Savage was excluded from the United Kingdom as he was considered to be engaging in unacceptable behaviour by seeking to provoke others to serious criminal acts and fostering hatred which might lead to inter- community violence. This exclusion remains in place. http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld200910/ldhansrd/text/91119w0001.htm#0911 1942000018 UK Ministerial Statement Primary Schools The Secretary of State for Children, Schools and Families (Ed Balls): Following the announcement in the Queen's speech yesterday about our intention to introduce a new primary national curriculum from September 2011, I am today publishing the details of what the primary curriculum will look like and announcing improved accountability arrangements for primary schools from 2010. 1 Primary Curriculum The new national curriculum has been developed following an independent review of the primary curriculum by Sir Jim Rose.
[Show full text]
Labour's Last Fling on Constitutional Reform
| THE CONSTITUTION UNIT NEWSLETTER | ISSUE 43 | SEPTEMBER 2009 | MONITOR LABOUR’S LAST FLING ON CONSTITUTIONAL REFORM IN THIS ISSUE Gordon Brown’s bold plans for constitutional constitutional settlement …We will work with the reform continue to be dogged by bad luck and bad British people to deliver a radical programme of PARLIAMENT 2 - 3 judgement. The bad luck came in May, when the democratic and constitutional reform”. MPs’ expenses scandal engulfed Parliament and government and dominated the headlines for a Such rhetoric also defies political reality. There is EXECUTIVE 3 month. The bad judgement came in over-reacting a strict limit on what the government can deliver to the scandal, promising wide ranging reforms before the next election. The 2009-10 legislative which have nothing to do with the original mischief, session will be at most six months long. There PARTIES AND ELECTIONS 3-4 and which have limited hope of being delivered in is a risk that even the modest proposals in the the remainder of this Parliament. Constitutional Reform and Governance Bill will not pass. It was not introduced until 20 July, DEVOLUTION 4-5 The MPs’ expenses scandal broke on 8 May. As the day before the House rose for the summer the Daily Telegraph published fresh disclosures recess. After a year’s delay, the only significant day after day for the next 25 days public anger additions are Part 3 of the bill, with the next small HUMAN RIGHTS 5 mounted. It was not enough that the whole steps on Lords reform (see page 2); and Part 7, to issue of MPs’ allowances was already being strengthen the governance of the National Audit investigated by the Committee on Standards in Office.
[Show full text]