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Yougov / the Sunday Times Survey Results YouGov / The Sunday Times Survey Results Sample Size: 1011 Labour Party Members Fieldwork: 7th - 9th September 2010 1st Preference - September 2010 1st Preference - July 2010 September Choice July Choice Gender Age Diane Andy David Ed Diane Andy David Ed David Ed David Ed Total Ed Balls Ed Balls Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Abbott Burnham Miliband Miliband Abbott Burnham Miliband Miliband Miliband Miliband Miliband Miliband Weighted Sample 1008 106 86 91 354 287 99 45 65 244 209 431 474 320 340 577 432 331 303 374 Unweighted Sample 1011 102 89 97 344 296 93 45 69 239 221 429 485 310 353 654 357 307 317 387 % %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% 1st Preference - September 2010 [Excluding Don't know and Wouldn't Vote] David Miliband 38 0001000824 9 79 16 83 0 68 11 36 42 41 39 35 Ed Miliband 31 00001001114 13 11 69 1 62 11 50 31 31 33 28 33 Diane Abbott 11 1000000702 3144164181112131111 Andy Burnham 10 001000029 66 4 6 7 10 10 10 12 7 8 10 11 Ed Balls 9 0100000852 10 5 6 5 12 7 11 10 8 5 13 10 Weighted Sample 846 92 82 84 320 268 84 41 55 214 186 384 427 279 296 493 353 280 258 308 Unweighted Sample 849 90 85 89 308 277 80 41 58 207 199 380 438 268 309 555 294 260 266 323 %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% 2nd Preference - September 2010 [Excluding Don't know and Wouldn't Vote] Ed Miliband 30 53 48 34 43 0 42 32 25 33 22 35 27 30 29 29 32 32 33 26 Ed Balls 22 200 2825251936 26 23 21 23 21 24 22 23 21 20 23 23 Andy Burnham 19 14 17 0 21 24 14 18 19 21 18 19 19 19 18 18 20 21 20 16 David Miliband 17 13 20 30 0 35 13 12 24 10 27 13 21 16 20 17 17 15 12 23 Diane Abbott 11 0 15 8 11 16 11 2 7 12 12 9 12 11 11 12 10 12 11 12 Weighted Sample 905 90 74 75 351 285 82 40 56 233 203 431 474 299 319 519 387 303 267 336 Unweighted Sample 914 87 78 84 341 293 79 40 60 228 214 429 485 290 334 592 322 283 280 351 %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% Miliband preference - September [Excluding definitely wouldn't vote] David Miliband 48 19 28 41 100 1 25 34 37 86 17 100 0 80 17 47 49 48 46 48 Ed Miliband 52 81 72 59 0 99 75 66 63 14 83 0 100 20 83 53 51 52 54 52 1 © 2010 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.com 1st Preference - September 2010 1st Preference - July 2010 September Choice July Choice Gender Age Diane Andy David Ed Diane Andy David Ed David Ed David Ed Total Ed Balls Ed Balls Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Abbott Burnham Miliband Miliband Abbott Burnham Miliband Miliband Miliband Miliband Miliband Miliband Weighted Sample 1008 106 86 91 354 287 99 45 65 244 209 431 474 320 340 577 432 331 303 374 Unweighted Sample 1011 102 89 97 344 296 93 45 69 239 221 429 485 310 353 654 357 307 317 387 % %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% Do you think that David Cameron is doing well or badly as Prime Minister? Very well 1 1010113 011000110110 Fairly well 13 7 8 12 18 10 14 5 16 16 12 17 9 15 12 13 13 14 9 16 TOTAL WELL 14 8 8 13 18 11 15 8 16 17 13 17 9 15 13 14 13 15 10 16 Fairly badly 37 33 37 38 35 38 32 35 30 39 35 36 38 38 35 36 38 35 39 37 Very badly 47 55 53 46 44 50 50 57 53 43 51 44 50 44 50 48 45 47 50 44 TOTAL BADLY 84 88 90 84 79 88 82 92 83 82 86 80 88 82 85 84 83 82 89 81 Don't know 2 4232140 120322223323 Do you think that Nick Clegg is doing well or badly as leader of the Liberal Democrats? Very well 0 1001000 110101000001 Fairly well 8 83710682 79610696610859 TOTAL WELL 89371168281061161066108510 Fairly badly 21 16 21 25 22 18 22 15 15 22 21 21 21 21 21 19 24 23 18 22 Very badly 70 71 75 66 66 75 65 83 77 69 72 68 72 69 72 74 65 69 76 66 TOTAL BADLY 91 87 96 91 88 93 87 98 92 91 93 89 93 90 93 93 89 92 94 88 Don't know 1 4111050 001111211112 How well or badly do you think each of the following did as prime Minister? Tony Blair Very well 37 22 41 34 51 25 28 36 32 49 30 52 23 48 27 39 33 30 40 40 Fairly well 44 42 34 52 40 49 37 36 51 41 46 39 50 40 46 44 44 52 44 37 TOTAL WELL 81 64 75 86 91 74 65 72 83 90 76 91 73 88 73 83 77 82 84 77 Fairly badly 13 21 16 11 5 20 24 15 14 6 18 5 19 8 19 12 15 13 11 14 Very badly 6 1383471013 346484857548 TOTAL BADLY 19 34 24 14 9 27 34 28 17 10 24 9 27 12 27 17 22 18 15 22 Don't know 0 2100010 000000001010 Gordon Brown Very well 18 23 17 24 16 18 19 32 20 18 21 17 17 20 20 18 18 19 16 20 Fairly well 51 35 66 45 53 55 38 49 51 51 57 51 54 49 52 48 56 55 51 49 TOTAL WELL 69 58 83 69 69 73 57 81 71 69 78 68 71 69 72 66 74 74 67 69 Fairly badly 23 31 15 22 24 22 35 15 22 23 14 24 22 23 21 24 21 21 25 23 Very badly 7 9297674 688768794677 TOTAL BADLY 30 40 17 31 31 28 42 19 28 31 22 31 28 31 28 33 25 27 32 30 Don't know 0 2100010 000000001011 2 © 2010 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.com 1st Preference - September 2010 1st Preference - July 2010 September Choice July Choice Gender Age Diane Andy David Ed Diane Andy David Ed David Ed David Ed Total Ed Balls Ed Balls Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Abbott Burnham Miliband Miliband Abbott Burnham Miliband Miliband Miliband Miliband Miliband Miliband Weighted Sample 1008 106 86 91 354 287 99 45 65 244 209 431 474 320 340 577 432 331 303 374 Unweighted Sample 1011 102 89 97 344 296 93 45 69 239 221 429 485 310 353 654 357 307 317 387 % %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% How would you rate the Labour government from 1997 to 2010, in marks out of ten, for its record in the following areas? Reducing poverty 0 1 2000130 001010110210 1 1 5110032 200010111011 2 0 1000013 000000110011 3 2 3121330 301121221113 4 3 7412354 124231523342 5 8 14 6 11 8 5 10 11 865877778958 6 19 17 17 22 16 22 18 18 20 16 24 16 23 17 20 19 18 21 15 20 7 26 22 27 27 25 25 23 22 31 27 23 26 26 27 27 26 25 23 29 25 8 24 18 28 23 22 29 18 25 21 26 27 22 26 24 25 25 24 24 27 22 9 10 8991271011 6 12 6 12 8 12 6 8 12 9 10 9 10 7 35413444 510812310577659 Don't know 1 1200120 200101111110 AVERAGE 7.0 6.2 7.1 6.9 7.4 6.9 6.4 6.8 6.8 7.5 7.1 7.4 6.8 7.4 6.8 7.0 7.2 6.9 7.0 7.0 Improving public services such as health and education 0 0 0000000 001000000000 1 0 0100000 000000000000 2 0 1000010 000000000000 3 0 1000100 000010010110 4 0 1000010 000000000000 5 2 8081170 212121322321 6 6 5537782 577667658865 7 13 20 16 12 12 11 18 19 13 11 14 12 15 11 17 13 14 14 10 15 8 31 31 25 25 31 33 24 29 34 29 33 30 33 29 32 31 31 33 33 27 9 26 18 38 32 24 28 22 35 30 21 25 25 26 23 25 27 25 20 29 28 10 20 15 15 20 26 18 18 15 17 30 18 25 17 28 16 21 19 20 19 22 Don't know 0 1000000 000000000000 AVERAGE 8.4 7.8 8.4 8.3 8.5 8.3 7.9 8.4 8.3 8.5 8.2 8.5 8.2 8.5 8.2 8.4 8.3 8.2 8.3 8.4 3 © 2010 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.com 1st Preference - September 2010 1st Preference - July 2010 September Choice July Choice Gender Age Diane Andy David Ed Diane Andy David Ed David Ed David Ed Total Ed Balls Ed Balls Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Abbott Burnham Miliband Miliband Abbott Burnham Miliband Miliband Miliband Miliband Miliband Miliband Weighted Sample 1008 106 86 91 354 287 99 45 65 244 209 431 474 320 340 577 432 331 303 374 Unweighted Sample 1011 102 89 97 344 296 93 45 69 239 221 429 485 310 353 654 357 307 317 387 % %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% Northern Ireland 0 0 1000010 001010000000 1 0 0100002 000000000000 2 0 0000000 010001000000 3 0 1000000 000000000000 4 0 0000000 000000000000 5 3 8134176 222412424512 6 2 3402214 213221323232 7 8 89878118 10 9 10 6 9 9 10 8 8 7 8 8 8 20 26 27 21 15 19 23 23 13 15 21 17 22 16 21 19 21 21 19 19 9 28 23 29 27 24 34 25 22 29 27 30 26 31 30 26 30 26 27 29 29 10 36 29 30 42 44 34 32 31 43 42 32 42 34 38 33 38 35 33 39 37 Don't know 2 1003104 031313104401 AVERAGE 8.8 8.3 8.6 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.5 8.4 9.0 8.9 8.6 8.9 8.8 8.9 8.7 8.9 8.7 8.7 8.9 8.9 Iraq 0 15 29 21 7 9 21 30 25 7 8 18 8 24 6 24 17 13 15 14 16 1 13 22 7 16 8 17 16 10 15 8 15 8 17 11 15 12 13 13 12 13 2 11 14 8 15 7 13 13 5 14 8 11 7 15 9 12 10 12 13 9 11 3 9 108139785 119 10109 8 9 9 1012135 4 10 9 1210108 10 4 15 11 8 11 7 11 9 8 12 10 10 8 5 13 6 11 7 18 14 7 18 7 1814151117111116141413 6 9 3158116 513 91171161169971010 7 9 289117511 12 13 7 12 6 12 7 9 7 8 7 10 8 5 2578252 574827364366 9 2 1274115 442415241124 10 2 1204103 132413232331 Don't know 1 2111110 001110112112 AVERAGE 3.7 2.2 3.8 3.9 4.7 2.9 2.6 3.8 4.0 4.6 3.4 4.7 2.7 4.6 3.0 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.8 3.8 Tackling the recession after 2007 0 0 2010020 011010010100 1 0 1000003 010000010100 2 1 5020040 001111111200 3 1 5021020 210111112022 4 2 1003110 031313113420 5 6 154255152 157564957774 6 10 13 12 9 9 12 10 13 12 9 11 10 12 11 10 8 14 11 10 11 7 16 14 14 15 14 18 16 9 19 16 14 15 17 15 17 15 18 20 17 13 8 22 20 24 26 21 23 19 21 31 20 19 22 22 21 21 23 20 20 22 24 9 21 10 24 21 24 22 15 36 16 26 22 22 21 24 21 23 19 17 21 25 10 18 15 21 21 20 17 16 16 19 18 23 20 18 19 18 20 15 18 17 20 Don't know 1 1002000 011101111110 AVERAGE 7.8 6.7 8.2 7.9 8.0 7.9 7.1 8.1 8.0 7.8 7.9 7.9 7.8 7.9 7.8 7.9 7.5 7.5 7.8 8.1 If a referendum were held tomorrow on whether to stick with first-past-the-post or switch to the Alternative Vote for electing MPs, how would you vote? I would vote in favour of switching to the Alternative Vote 45 53 45 43 40 49 55 51 39 40 44 40 50 43 45 45 43 52 41 41 I would vote in favour of keeping first-past-the-post 46 36 45 52 52 43 31 36 57 53 49 53 40 49 47 47 44 40 49 49 I wouldn't vote 1 5000240 002020221103 Don't know 8 795761012 46567876118107 Some people talk about 'left', 'right' and 'centre' to describe parties and politicians.
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