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Survey Report YouGov /The Sun Survey Results Sample Size: 1102 Labour Voting Labour Party Affiliated Trade Unionists Fieldwork: 27th - 29th July 2010 First Choice Affiliated Trade Yourself on Left-Right Social First Choice Voting Intention VI Excluding Gender Age Unions scale Grade Mililands Very/ Diane Ed Andy David Ed Abbott, Balls & Slightly Centre Under Over Total Unison Unite GMB Fairly M F ABC1 C2DE Abbott Balls Burnham Miliband Miliband Burnham Left and Right 40 40 Left Weighted Sample 1094 148 100 116 301 230 364 357 346 166 455 347 171 654 440 279 815 621 473 Unweighted Sample 1102 150 100 116 309 232 366 481 305 122 467 354 171 703 399 276 826 635 467 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % As you probably know, the Labour Party is holding an election to decide its next leader. Where would you place each of the candidates on this scale?* Diane Abbott Very left-wing 17 12 15 26 20 23 17 16 19 18 22 20 12 21 13 21 16 21 13 Fairly left-wing 32 50 28 42 32 34 41 33 35 31 40 42 16 34 29 22 36 36 27 Slightly left-of-centre 14 20 18 14 14 14 17 14 15 15 17 17 11 16 12 12 15 13 15 Centre 5 5 6 3 5 7 5 5 4 8 5 4 9 5 5 7 5 6 4 Slightly right-of-centre 4 1 7 2 4 4 3 3 3 5 4 2 8 3 4 3 4 4 3 Fairly right-wing 1 1 0 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 0 2 1 1 Very right-wing 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 Don't know 26 12 26 11 24 14 15 27 22 22 12 14 39 19 36 34 23 19 34 Average* -56 -57 -49 -62 -56 -57 -56 -57 -57 -53 -59 -61 -32 -57 -54 -60 -54 -59 -55 * Very left-wing=-100; fairly left-wing=-67; slightly left-of- centre=-33; centre=0; slightly right-of-centre=+33; fairly right-wing=+67; very right-wing=+100 Ed Balls Very left-wing 1 0 4 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 2 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 Fairly left-wing 13 10 14 11 16 16 11 13 14 11 16 16 6 12 13 14 12 15 9 Slightly left-of-centre 34 31 44 46 35 40 39 29 40 36 41 41 26 39 27 29 36 34 35 Centre 19 26 14 26 19 20 23 20 18 25 22 23 19 20 17 16 20 20 17 Slightly right-of-centre 7 12 5 8 7 8 9 10 7 7 7 9 10 8 6 6 8 9 5 Fairly right-wing 3 6 2 1 1 4 4 2 4 1 3 1 7 3 3 2 3 3 2 Very right-wing 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Don't know 22 14 18 8 18 12 13 24 17 20 9 9 31 16 32 31 19 17 29 Average* -22 -9 -30 -21 -25 -21 -18 -18 -22 -20 -24 -23 -5 -21 -22 -24 -20 -21 -24 1 © 2010 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.com First Choice Affiliated Trade Yourself on Left-Right Social First Choice Voting Intention VI Excluding Gender Age Unions scale Grade Mililands Very/ Diane Ed Andy David Ed Abbott, Balls & Slightly Centre Under Over Total Unison Unite GMB Fairly M F ABC1 C2DE Abbott Balls Burnham Miliband Miliband Burnham Left and Right 40 40 Left Weighted Sample 1094 148 100 116 301 230 364 357 346 166 455 347 171 654 440 279 815 621 473 Unweighted Sample 1102 150 100 116 309 232 366 481 305 122 467 354 171 703 399 276 826 635 467 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Andy Burnham Very left-wing 2 0 3 4 3 0 2 1 2 3 3 2 0 2 2 3 1 2 2 Fairly left-wing 15 9 12 27 15 17 16 16 14 15 22 14 5 14 16 13 15 16 12 Slightly left-of-centre 26 25 21 42 29 35 30 22 31 31 30 36 16 32 18 24 27 27 26 Centre 16 22 13 14 18 19 17 16 17 18 19 18 18 19 12 13 17 17 15 Slightly right-of-centre 5 13 11 5 3 4 10 5 7 5 6 5 8 7 3 3 6 6 4 Fairly right-wing 2 3 1 1 1 3 2 1 2 2 2 1 6 1 3 2 2 2 1 Very right-wing 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 Don't know 33 28 39 8 30 21 24 38 27 25 19 25 46 25 47 42 31 29 39 Average* -27 -11 -22 -36 -30 -22 -23 -25 -25 -26 -30 -28 -2 -24 -29 -28 -24 -24 -28 David Miliband Very left-wing 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 Fairly left-wing 6 4 10 4 9 4 6 8 5 4 8 6 3 5 7 4 6 5 6 Slightly left-of-centre 25 20 16 28 37 24 22 23 29 26 32 31 11 27 22 27 25 28 22 Centre 27 32 22 36 25 36 30 26 26 32 30 31 29 30 22 23 28 28 25 Slightly right-of-centre 15 20 22 15 10 19 19 14 18 15 15 19 18 17 12 13 16 16 13 Fairly right-wing 4 8 5 9 2 4 7 5 4 2 6 3 7 5 3 2 5 5 4 Very right-wing 1 4 0 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 Don't know 21 12 25 7 15 11 14 23 17 20 7 8 30 14 31 28 18 16 28 Average* -6 8 -3 1 -16 0 2 -5 -4 -5 -7 -5 8 -4 -9 -7 -3 -4 -6 Ed Miliband Very left-wing 1 0 1 0 2 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 Fairly left-wing 11 7 9 9 14 17 8 11 13 10 17 10 5 10 13 14 10 12 10 Slightly left-of-centre 32 31 23 38 35 45 31 29 35 37 40 40 17 36 26 30 33 34 30 Centre 22 27 27 28 23 20 27 23 21 22 23 26 27 24 19 17 24 25 19 Slightly right-of-centre 9 14 11 13 7 5 13 9 10 9 8 12 10 11 5 5 10 10 7 Fairly right-wing 3 5 4 5 2 1 5 2 2 2 2 2 7 3 3 2 3 2 4 Very right-wing 1 3 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 Don't know 22 13 25 7 16 11 14 24 17 20 7 9 32 15 32 29 19 16 29 Average* -16 -5 -11 -12 -22 -27 -8 -17 -19 -18 -22 -16 0 -15 -20 -24 -14 -17 -16 And yourself Very left-wing 8 16 6 7 4 12 10 11 8 4 20 0 0 7 10 12 7 10 7 Fairly left-wing 33 45 26 37 27 44 37 32 36 37 80 0 0 34 32 32 33 38 28 Slightly left-of-centre 32 24 29 42 44 25 31 32 31 33 0 100 0 36 26 25 34 33 29 Centre 11 6 16 4 13 7 8 9 11 9 0 0 69 12 9 10 11 8 15 Slightly right-of-centre 2 1 4 3 1 4 3 2 3 2 0 0 16 3 2 3 2 2 3 Fairly right-wing 2 2 4 3 2 1 3 3 1 0 0 0 13 2 3 1 2 1 3 Very right-wing 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 Don't know 11 7 14 4 8 8 8 10 9 14 0 0 0 7 17 16 9 8 15 Average* -44 -56 -34 -44 -38 -51 -46 -45 -45 -46 -74 -33 16 -42 -44 -48 -43 -49 -38 2 © 2010 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.com First Choice Affiliated Trade Yourself on Left-Right Social First Choice Voting Intention VI Excluding Gender Age Unions scale Grade Mililands Very/ Diane Ed Andy David Ed Abbott, Balls & Slightly Centre Under Over Total Unison Unite GMB Fairly M F ABC1 C2DE Abbott Balls Burnham Miliband Miliband Burnham Left and Right 40 40 Left Weighted Sample 1094 148 100 116 301 230 364 357 346 166 455 347 171 654 440 279 815 621 473 Unweighted Sample 1102 150 100 116 309 232 366 481 305 122 467 354 171 703 399 276 826 635 467 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Which of the candidates, if any, do you think...? Would be most effective, as leader of the opposition, at holding the present government to account David Miliband 31 12 8 14 84 12 11 32 29 29 26 43 27 36 23 33 30 32 28 Ed Miliband 18 6 3 10 2 66 7 17 19 23 23 15 13 19 15 19 17 20 15 Ed Balls 12 11 72 8 3 8 27 12 13 9 14 12 8 12 11 8 13 12 12 Diane Abbott 7 44 1 2 1 2 19 7 9 5 10 7 4 7 8 8 7 7 8 Andy Burnham 7 1 0 53 1 2 18 6 7 10 7 8 7 8 5 4 8 6 7 None of them 7 13 8 5 2 3 9 6 6 8 8 4 16 6 9 3 9 6 9 Don't know 19 13 8 7 8 8 10 20 16 18 13 12 25 12 29 25 16 17 21 Is most likeable David Miliband 20 9 9 5 52 9 8 17 18 23 16 24 22 23 14 20 19 17 23 Ed Miliband 19 8 9 6 16 55 7 20 22 19 23 18 18 20 17 22 18 23 14 Andy Burnham 14 7 8 65 9 10 26 12 15 25 16 20 5 16 11 11 15 16 12 Diane Abbott 13 57 6 4 6 9 26 15 12 8 17 12 7 13 13 18 11 15 11 Ed Balls 9 3 52 9 6 6 18 12 9 6 10 8 13 7 13 5 11 9 9 None of them 7 5 5 6 4 2 5 6 8 6 6 4 15 7 7 3 8 5 10 Don't know 18 10 12 6 7 10 9 18 17 13 12 13 21 14 24 21 17 15 21 Most shares your political views Diane Abbott 16 69 5 7 5 16 32 17 16 14 27 11 5 16 15 15 16 18 13 David Miliband 16 1 5 3 50 2 3 13 17 15 10 23 22 20 10 17 15 15 17 Ed Miliband 14 0 0 4 8 52 1 13 14 18 17 15 9 16 11 18 12 15 12 Andy Burnham 12 2 4 64 8 8 23 12 11 19 13 14 7 14 8 10 12 13 10 Ed Balls 9 1 60 6 5 6 19 9 11 3 9 10 10 9 9 5 11 8 10 None of them 8 6 6 8 6 5 7 8 7 6 8 6 14 7 10 4 9 8 8 Don't know 26 20 20 8 18 11 16 28 23 25 17 21 33 19 37 31 24 24 29 Is most in touch with the lives of ordinary voters Diane Abbott 18 64 12 8 14 12 32 22 18 14 24 19 8 19 17 16 19 21 14 Andy Burnham 17 6 7 68 12 22 26 14 19 28 21 20 13 19 14 19 17 20 14 David Miliband 12 2 2 3 39 3 2 10 12 15 8 16 17 15 9 12 12 10 15 Ed Miliband 9 2 1 1 5 32 1 8 10 10 11 8 6 9 8 13 8 9 9 Ed Balls 8 1 51 2 6 6 15 10 7 5 8 8 11 8 9 4 10 7 10 None of them 13 11 11 13 9 13 12 11 14 11 12 14 17 14 12 7 15 11 15 Don't know 22 14 15 4 17 13 11 25 19 17 17 16 28 17 31 29 20 21 24 3 © 2010 YouGov plc.
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