AI I IIIAI 11111111111NR T I I III III I I II 3 ACKU 00008753 5

Drought: rapid survey, June 2000 Affected areas in Laghman, Kunar and Nuristan provinces

Evaluation section, Jalalabad, June 2000 MZP, NA Introduction

Since last year has been affected by a pronounced drought. The east of the country has not been spared.WFP, in consultation with the office of YAM', has evaluated the situation in 4 districts at the foot of the Spin Ghar chain, consideredas the most affected areas of (Rodat, Surkhrud, Chaprihar, Hesarak).

MADERA's team completed this evaluation in the most affected villages in the districts of Surkhrud and Chaprihar.Projects have been drawn up and presented to the WFP office in Jalalabad, with the aim of reducing the food shortage and avoiding compulsive migration of the population in the next few months.

On the other hand, information provided to us by our regional supervisors also highlighted many villages affected by drought in Kunar, Laghman and Nuristan provinces. We have therefore carried out a rapid survey in several districts of these three provinces with the objective of assessing the situation of drought in the most affected areas of Laghman, Kunar and Nuristan provinces.

Indicators

We have taken into account a limited number of indicators in order to carry out this work:

1. Availability of water for human consumption and for irrigation. 2. Areas cultivated in Autumn 1999 and Spring 2000. 3. Replacement of crops of strong potential by others, less demanding in water. 4. Yields of wheat sown in Autumn 1999 and harvested in Spring 2000. 5. Sales of animals and prices of meat. 6. Emigration of families due to the drought.

Methodology of the survey

First stage: Location of the most affected areas in each province by the regional directors of MADERA.

Second stage: Surveys at village level: In each of the areas defined by the regional directors, those closest- persons in charge of agricultural centres, veterinarians or forestry workers of MADERA, have brought to completion the surveys in 3, 4 or 5 villages, with the assistance of the regional director. The survey was held at village level, during a small meeting with the authorities.

This document presents the main conclusions of the survey and detailed analysis of the main indicators,.completed in the annex by the corresponding tables.

Vulnerability and Mapping section, WFP

2 Main conclusions of the survey

1. The entire area studied is affected by drought. Areas where thereare springs that provide drinking water or irrigation water, are more affected than those where theyuse water from the rivers.All the indicators observed are alarming: the water shortage is almost always higher than 50% of the normal output, the cultivatedareas decreasing in the same proportion, the fall in wheat yield is 65%on average, the sale of animals is 5 times greater than in a normal year.

2. Drought affects the three provinces we have studied ina different way:

The districts surveyed in are severely affected:more than 80% of villages have no water for irrigation this year, wheat yields have fallen in thesame proportion, also this year's grain -fields. As a consequence, 13% of families have already left their villages.According to persons questioned, a bigger exodus is predicted. Alishing district is particularly vulnerable: insome localities a quarter or a third of their inhabitants have left.

The situation of the tributary valleys of the River Kunar is also worrying: the deficit in irrigation water is in the order of 75% almost everywhere,areas cultivated in Spring have strongly decreased, wheat yields have fallen by 61%. The forced sale of animalsis greater here, particularly in Sarkano district, in the villages of Ganj gal and Sarkani, where the sale of livestock has been enormous.

Nuristan (East) seems for the moment to be least affected by drought:It is a more irrigated area because it still benefits from themonsoon rains.All the indicators are better there than in the two other provinces. Selectively, the situation ismore serious: for example, in the village of Pounce (Wama district), where 50% of familieshave emigrated.

3. The forced sale of animals means, for the time being, that animal sales enable the needs of the families to be partially met. But the abundant supplyon offer in the markets, by making prices fall, also reduces their purchasingpower. This also means a loss of capital that it will be difficult to build up again quickly, thus prolonging the effectof the drought over several years.

4. Emigration of families due to drought already represents 5% of the populationof the areas studied, 13% in Laghman andmore in some districts. The village authorities point out that this phenomenon could spread rapidly in thenear future.

3 Analysis of the Main Indicators

Availability of drinking water (see Table 1)

The survey shows a deficit in drinkingwater in 75% of localities.In the majority of cases, the output this year is lower bymore than 50% compared to normal. Two villages have no water at all (4% of the sample).

Villages supplied with springwater, the most numerous (81% of villages)are also the most affected: 82% of them suffer from lackof water. The villages using riverwater are only affected in 29% ofcases.

The situation is more serious in Kunar(89% of villages witha deficit in drinking water) than in Laghman (82 %) and Nuristan(42 %).

Availability of water for irrigation (see Table II)

The scarcity of water for irrigation isgeneral in all districts. The deficit issevere: it is % of the normal output in 44% of villagesand the deficiency is total in 35% ofcases.

There also, the areas that only havesprings available for irrigation (3/4 ofthe sample) are the most affected: 44% have less than'/ of the normal flow anda third are without water. In villages using rivers for irrigation,the figures are respectively 64% andalso a third without water.

By province, one can observe importantdifferences:

Nuristan seems least affected. 27% of villagessuffer from a shortage ofa quarter of the normal output, 27% of half, 36%of three -quarters and 9% haveno water.

In Kunar, all villages havea deficit higher than two -thirds of normaloutput. 11% of them have no water for irrigation.

The situation in Laghman province isthe most tragic: 94% ofareas studied have a deficit equal or higher than three-quarters of normal available output.In particular, 14 villages, i.e. 82% of the sample, haveno water.

4 Areas under cultivation (see Table III)

Area cultivated in Autumn 1999 and harvested in April -May 2000

The effects of the drought were already appreciable last year. In 56% of villages studied, farmers have sown less than usual: in 79% of cases, cultivated areaswere lower by a half or more.

Area cultivated in May and June 2000, to be harvested in September- October 2000

The reduction of areas sown has become more pronounced thisyear: in all villages (98 %), farmers have indicated to us a lowering of cultivated areas, of half or more in 85% of cases. Some villages have even indicated that the land has not been worked.

We find here the differences between provinces that we have mentioned for the availability of irrigation water. The reduction of cultivated areas in the Spring is less in Nuristan than in Kunar and Laghman. It is especially in this last province that future harvests are mortgaged: in 14 out of 17 villages (82 %) surveyed, the families have not been able to sow!

Change of cultivation (for produce less demanding in water) (see Table IV)

81% of villages have replaced traditional Spring crops by others, less demanding in water.In Kunar and Laghman provinces, maize is preferred to rice, in Nuristan, millet has sometimes been sown in place of maize.

Yield of wheat cultivation harvested in May -June 2000, in relation toa normal year (see Table IV)

Wheat yields show an average fall over the whole of the area studied of 65 %, from 105 ser /jerib to 37 ser /jerib (that is 3.670 t/ha to 1.295 t/ha).

There is no significant difference between the villages using springs for irrigation and those using rivers.

On the other hand, the differences between provinces are appreciable,as the table overleaf shows. They correspond to the shortage of irrigation water thatwe have commented on above:

in Laghman, the average fall in yield is 83 %. Some villages have harvested practically nothing, in the districts of Alishing and Alingar. in Kunar, thé drop is 61% on average. The districts of Monawara and Sarkano are the most affected ( -78% and -81% respectively).

5 in Nuristan, the production deficit ison average 49 %. It is more appreciable in Wama, Want and Zanjigaldistricts ( -57 %, -53 %, -50 %) thanat Kamdish, situated further to the east ( -20 %).

Wheat yield- harvest 2000 and a normal year

Ser per ¡erib District Wheat yield

99 -00 Normal Difference Decreased Asmar 36 88 -52 -59% Islam dara 45 79 -33 -42% Monawara 23 105 -82 -78% Naray 38 81 -43 -53% Ningalam 43 86 -43 -50% Sarkano 16 84 -68 -81% Wata poor 54 79 -25 -32% Total Kunar 34 86 -52 -61% Laghman Province Alingar 20 130 -111 -85% Alishing 14 150 -136 -91% Dawlat shah 34 95 -61 -64% Nangaraj 13 120 -108 -90% Total Laghman 21 122 -101 -83% Kamdish 48 60 -12 -20% Wama 62 143 -81 -57% Want 60 127 -67 -53% Zanjigal 67 133 -67 -50% Total Nuristan 59 116 - 57 -49%

Total3 37 105 -68 -65% provinces

Sale of animals and price ofmeat (see Table V)

We have rapidly evaluatedthe impact of the droughton animal husbandry through two indicators: the numberof animals currentlyon the market compared with a normal year and theevolution of prices of animal sales. Fòr the latter We have no previous, sufficiently reliable data,to establish a relevant comparison. Thesurvey in June should serve asa reference base in the monitoring of the markets thatwe will carry out in the future.

6 Regarding the number of animals sold during the year, there is a largeincrease of animal sales in all areas studied: farming families sold on average 5times more cows, 4 times more sheep and 3 times more goatsthan usual!

The differences between the three provinces:

Kunar province seems to experience a spectacular drop in livestock: thesale of bovines is 10.9 times more there than in a normal year, thoseof ovines 4.7 times and those of caprines 5.2 times more numerous. Sarkano district isthe most affected, for the three types of animals.However, the information should be verified, because the figures stated seem excessive.

Nuristan and Laghman provinces have similar situations, the sale of cattle is about 3.5 times the normal there, those of sheep 2.8 times and that of goats varies from 2.2 to 2.9 times the sales of a normal year.

Emigration of families due to drought

The number of families having left their village in the area studied represents 5%of the population.This average once again hides big provincial disparities: even though in Kunar and Nuristan provinces, this percentage is 2% and1 %, it reaches 13% in Laghman. Alishing district, with 28% of families having emigrated, is the most affected. In Masamood village, a third of the population have left!

However, it is convenient to point out the difficult situation of the Nuristani village of Pounce, where 30 of the 60 families in the locality have emigrated which is 50 %. In this village, the water deficit for irrigation is 75 %, ground sown in the Spring has decreased in the same proportion, even though they have sold 4 times more cattle than usual and 6 times more goats.

7 Annex of tables

I Availability of drinking water

II Availability of irrigation water

III Cultivated areas

IV Yield

V Sales of animals and prices

VI Emigration

8 MADERA Table I Evaluation Section

Rapid drought survey- June 2000 Availability of drinking water in Kunar,Laghman and Nooristan Drinking water availibility district village Main sources Enough Decreasing spring fkareez !river (other water -1/4 I-1/2 I-2/3 I-3/4 !no water Kunar Province Asmar Nishagam yes no yes Asmar Patoso naw yes yes no yes Asmar Zoor asmar yes no yes Total Asmar 2 2 3 1 1 1 Islam dara Kanday yes yes no yes Islam dara Mashura yes no yes Islam dara Sarigal yes no yes Total Islam Dara 3 1 3 1 2 Monawara Bache yes well no yes Monawara Esara yes yes Monawara Monawara loi kalay yes well no yes Total Monawara 1 1 1 2 2 2 Naray Barikot yes no yes Naray Naray yes yes Naray pashangar yes no yes Total Naray 2 1 2 1 1 Ningalam Wardish yes no yes Total Ningalam 1 1 Sarkano barogay yes no yes Sarkano Donaee well no yes Sarkano ganj gal yes no yes Sarkano Sarkani yes well no yes Total Sarkano 3 2 4 2 1 1 Wata poor Gabat yes no yes Wata poor Kolak yes no yes Total Watapoor 2 2 2 Total Kunar 19 14 1 5 4 17 2 4 2 7 1 89%

drought- rapidsurvey0600 23/06/00 MADERA Table I Evaluation Section

Rapid drought survey - June 2000 Availibility of drinking water in Kunar, Laghman and Nooristan Drinking water availibility district village Main sources Enough Decreasing spring 1 kareez Iriver 'other water - 1/4 1- 1 /2 I- 2/3 1- 3/4 Jno water Laghman Province

Alingar Gularam yes no yes Alingar Kachoor yes well no yes Alingar Kahoo Mazary yes no yes Alingar Kisirdaka yes well no yes Alingar Miakhil yes well yes Alingar Parwaee yes well yes Total Alingar 3 3 4 4 2 2 Alishing Kasigar yes no yes Alishing Kordi Salab yes well no yes Alishing Masamood yes no yes Alishing Shamatak yes no yes Total Alishing 4 1 4 2 2 Dawlat shah Bombai yes no yes Dawlat shah Gonapal yes no yes Dawlat shah kanderkori yes yes no yes Dawlat shah Malangani yes yes Total Dawlat shah 4 1 3 1 2 Nangaraj Nangaraj yes yes no yes Nangaraj Panada kachi yes no yes Nangaraj Sonderwa yes no yes Total Nangaraj 3 1 3 1 1 1 Total Laghman 17 14 5 5 14 5 1 7 1 82% 29%29% 82% 29% 6% 41% 6% Nooristan Province Kamdish Bazgal yes no yes Kamdish Papristan yes stream yes Kamdish Samar bagh yes no yes Total Kamdish 3 1 2 1 1 wama Kurdar paeen yes yes wama Pounce yes no yes wama wama bala yes no yes Total Wama 3 2 1 1 Want Kigal yes yes Want Kund kalay yes yes Want Mundish yes yes Total Want 3 zanjigal Arance yes yes yes zanjigal Waigal yes yes zanjigal Zarrio yes no yes Total Zanjigal 2 2 1 1 Total Nooristan 12 11 2 1 5 1 2 2 92% 17% 8% 42% 8% 17% 17% Total 3 provinces

e:>8t°ro 25°le::>::19% 75% tr4 IN 4% 4% drought- rapidsurvey0600 23/06/00 MADERA Table Il Evaluation Section

Rapid drought survey- June 2000 Availibility of irrigation water in Kunar, Laghman and Nooristan irrigation water availibility district village Main sources irrigation Enough Decreasing

spring lkareez river 'other water -1/4 I-1/2 1-2/3 j- 3/4 'no water Kunar Province Asmar Nishagam yes no yes Asmar Patoso naw yes no yes Asmar Zoor asmar yes no yes Total Asmar 2 1 3 2 Islam dara Kanday yes no yes Islam dara Mashura yes no yes Islam dara Sarigal yes no yes Total Islam Dara 3 3 3 Monawara Bache yes no yes Monawara Esara yes no yes Monawara Monawara loi kalay yes yes no yes Total Monawara 2 2 3 2 Naray Barikot yes no yes Naray Naray yes no yes Naray pashangar yes no yes Total Naray 2 1 3 1 2 Ningalam Wardish yes no yes Total Ningalam 1 1 1 Sarkano barogay yes no yes Sarkano Donaee yes no yes Sarkano ganj gal yes no yes Sarkano Sarkani yes no yes Total Sarkano 2 2 4 1 3 Wata poor Gabat yes no yes Wata poor Kolak yes no yes Total Watapoor 2 2 2 Total Kunar 19 14 2 4 19 2 15 2 100% 11% 79% 11%

drought- rapidsurvey0600 23/06/00 MADERA Table II Evaluation Section

Rapid drought survey - June 2000 Availibility of irrigation water in Kunar, Laghman and Nooristan irrigation water availibility district village Main sources irrigation Enough Decreasing spring Jkareez(river other water - 1/4 I- 1/2 I- 2/3 I- 3/4 Ino water Laghman Province Alingar Gularam yes no yes Alingar Kachoor yes no yes Alingar Kahoo Mazary yes no yes Alingar Kisirdaka yes yes well no yes Alingar Miakhil yes no yes Alingar Parwaee yes no yes

Total Alingar 3 4 1 6 1 5 Alishing Kasigar yes no yes Alishing Kordi Salab yes yes no yes Alishing Masamood yes no yes Alishing Shamatak yes no yes Total Alishing 4 1 4 4 Dawlat shah Bombai yes no yes Dawlat shah Gonapal yes no yes Dawlat shah kanderkori yes yes no yes Dawlat shah Malangani yes yes no yes Total Dawlat shah 3 3 4 2 2 Nangaraj Nangaraj yes yes no yes Nangaraj Panada kachi yes no yes Nangaraj Sonderwa yes no yes Total Nangaraj 2 2 3 3 Total Laghman 17 12 10 1 17 1 2 14 71% 59% 6% 100% 6% 12% 82% Nooristan Province Kamdish Bazgal yes no yes Kamdish Papristan yes stream no yes Kamdish Samar bagh yes stream no yes

Total Kamdish 3 3 1 2 wama Kurdar paeen yes no yes wama Pounce yes no yes wama wama bala yes no yes Total Wama 2 1 3 2 1 Want Kigal yes no yes Want Kund kalay yes no yes Want Mundish yes no yes

Total Want 3 3 2 1 zanjigal Arance yes yes no yes zanjigal Waigal yes no zanjigal Zamio yes no yes Total Zanjigal 2 2 3 1 1 Total Nooristan 12 10 3 12 3 3 4 1 83% 25% 100% 27% 27% 36% 9% Total 3 provinces

$ »_ <' 10 98 4 a. 2 2t"...... 0' '' .... s:::75.í4 4% 3.5% 1o0% o 6% 4% 44% 35%

drought- rapidsurvey0600 23/06/00 MADERA Table Ill Evaluation Section

Rapid drought survey- June 2000 Cultivated area in autumn 1999 and spring2000

Cultivated area Cultivated area district village Aver. /fam Decreasing of cultivated land in autumn 99 Decreasing of cultivated land in spring 2000 jeribs yes or no I- 1/4 I- 1/2 I- 2/3 I- 3/4 Ino cult.yes or noI- 1/4 I- 1/2 I- 2/3 I- 3/4 Ino Kunar Province cult. Asmar Nishagam 2.0 no no Asmar Paloso naw 4.0 no yes x Asmar Zoor asmar 4.0 no yes x Total Asmar 3.3 2 1 1 Islam dara Kanday 2.0 yes x yes x Islam dara Mashura 2.5 yes x yes x Islam dara Sarigal 1.5 yes x yes Total Islam dara x 2.0 3 2 1 3 2 1 Monawara Bache 8.0 no yes x Monawara Esara 5.0 yes x yes x Monawara Monawara loi kalay 9.0 no yes x Total Monawara 7.3 1 1 3 3 Naray Barikot 1.0 yes x yes x Naray Naray 2.5 no yes x Naray pashangar 6.0 yes x yes x total Naray 3.2 2 2 3 1 1 1 Ningalam Wardish 1.3 no yes Total Ningalam x 1.3 1 1 2 1 Sarkano 1 barogay yes x yes x Sarkano Donaee 3.0 yes x yes x Sarkano ganj gal 2.0 yes x yes x Sarkano Sarkani 2.0 yes x yes x Total Sarkano 2.3 4 4 4 1 3 wata poor Gabat 2.0 no yes x wata poor Kolak 1.5 no yes x Total Wata Poor 1.8 2 Total Kunar 1 1 19 3.3 11 10 1 19 1 : B 2 8 58% 100% 5%42%11%42%

drought- rapidsurvey0600 23/06/00 MADERA Table Ill Evaluation Section

Rapid drought survey- June 2000 Cultivated area in autumn 1999 and spring2000

Cultivated area Cultivated area district village Aver. /fam Decreasing of cultivated land in autumn 99 Decreasing of cultivated land in spring 2000 jeribs yes or no I- 1/4 I- 1/21-2/3[3/4 (no cult.yes or noIT 1/4 [-1/2 I- 2/3 I- 3/4 Ino cult. Laghman Province

Alingar Gularam 0.5 yes x yes x Alingar Kachoor 4.0 no yes x Alingar Kahoo Mazary 1.0 no yes x Alingar Kisirdaka 3.5 no yes x Alingar Miakhil 3.0 no yes x Alingar Parwaee 3.0 no yes x total Alingar 2.5 1 1 6 1 5 Alishing Kasigar 0.5 yes x yes x Alishing Kordi Salab 2.0 no yes x Alishing Masamood 1.0 yes x yes x Alishing Shamatak 4.0 no yes , x Total Alishing 1.9 2 1 1 4 4 Dawlat shah Bombai 0.5 yes yes yes x Dawlat shah Gonapal 1.0 no x yes x Dawlat shah kanderkori 0.5 no x yes x Dawlat shah Malangani 2.0 yes yes Total Dawlat Sha x 1.0 2 1 1 1 4 1 1 2 Nangaraj Nangaraj 4.0 no yes x Nangaraj Panada kachi 1.5 yes yes yes x Nangaraj Sonderwa 2.0 yes yes yes Total Nangaraj x 2.5 1 2 3 Total Lagh 3 17 2.0 6 2 2 1 3 17 2 1 14 35% 100% 12% Nooristan Province 6% 82% Kamdish Bazgal 5.0 yes x yes x Kamdish Papristan 1.3 yes x yes x Kamdish Samar bagh 0.8 yes x yes Total Kamdish x 2.3 2 1 3 ; 2 1 wama Kurdar paeen 2.0 no yes x wama Pounce 10.0 no yes x wama wama bala 2.5 no yes x Total Wama 4.8 3 3 2 1 Want Kigal 2.0 yes x yes x Want Kund kalay 1.0 no yes x Want Mundish 1.0 yes yes Total Want x 1.3 1 1 3 2 1 zanjigal Arance 1.0 yes yes zanjigal Waigal 1.0 no yes zanjigal Zamio 2.0 yes x yes Total Zanjigal x 1.3 1 1 3 1 Total Noori 12 2.5 5 2 2 1 12 2 4 1 2 1 42% 100% 20 °I7 40%110%ri0%t 10% Total 3 provinces

411: 28 27 4 1 1 2 # . 6 t2 2 it 15 46% 15%48% 4% 7% 1 >jla " 68: 1110° S% 4% -23°fa 3

drought- rapidsurvey0600 23/06/00 Evaluation Section MADERA Table IV

Rapid drought survey - June 2000 Yield of wheat, 2000 compared to a normal year

district village Cultivate the same crops wheat yield

yes or no replaced crop 99 -00 Normal I Difference decreased Kunar Province -42% Asmar Nishagam no rice /maize 50 86 -36 -60% Asmar Paloso naw yes 29 71 -43 -73% Asmar Zoor asmar no 29 107 -79 Total Asmar 2 36 88 -52 -59% -50% Islam dara Kanday no rice /maize 43 86 -43 Islam dara Mashura no 50 86 -36 -42% Islam dara Sarigal no 43 64 -21 -33% Total Islam dara 3 45 79 -33 -42% Monawara Bache no 29 100 -71 -71% Monawara Esara no 11 100 -89 -89% -75% Monawara Monawara loi kalay no 29 114 -86 Total Monawara 3 23 105 -82 -78% Naray Barikot no rice /maize 43 86 -43 -50% Naray Naray no rice /maize 21 64 -43 -67% Naray pashangar no rice /maize 50 93 -43 -46% total Naray 3 38 81 -43 -53% Ningalam Wardish no rice /maize 43 86 -43 -50% Total Ningalam 2 43 86 -43 -50% Sarkano barogay no 29 71 -43 -60% Sarkano Donaee no 24 80 -56 -70% Sarkano ganj gal no 5 71 -66 -93% Sarkano Sarkani no 7 114 -107 -94% Total Sarkano 4 16 84 -68 -81% wata poor Gabat no rice /maize 43 71 -29 -40% wata poor Kolak no rice /maize 64 86 -21 -25% Total Wata Poor 2 54 79 -25 -32% Total Kunar 19 34 86 : -52 -61%

drought- rapidsurvey0600 23/06/00 MADERA Table IV Evaluation Section

Rapid drought survey - June 2000 Yield of wheat, 2000 compared to a normal year

district village Cultivate the same crops wheat yield yes or no replaced crop 99-00 Normal Difference decreased Laghman Province Alingar Gularam yes 10 160 -150 -94% Alingar Kachoor no Alingar Kahoo Mazary yes Alingar Kisirdaka no 10 120 -110 -92% Alingar Miakhil no 8 120 -112 -93% Alingar Parwaee no 50 120 -70 -58% total Alingar 4 20 130 -111 -85% Alishing Kasigar Alishing Kordi Salab no 25 160 -135 -84% Alishing Masamood no 10 120 -110 -92% Alishing Shamatak no 7 170 -163 -96% Total Alishing 3 14 150 -136 -91% Dawlat shah Bombai no 25 100 -75 -75% Dawlat shah Gonapal no 40 80 -40 -50% Dawlat shah kanderkori no 20 100 -80 -80% Dawlat shah Malangani no 50 100 -50 -50% Total Dawlat Sha 4 34 95 -61 -64% Nangaraj Nangaraj no 5 120 -115 -96% Nangaraj Panada kachi no Nangaraj Sonderwa no 20 120 -100 -83% Total Nangaraj 3 13 120 -108 -90% Total Laghman 17 14 21 122 -101 -83%

Nooristan Province Kamdish Bazgal no 36 50 -14 -29% Kamdish Papristan no 50 64 . -14 -22% Kamdish Samar bagh no 57 64 -7 -11% Total Kamdish 3 48 60 -12 -20% wama Kurdar paeen 71 143 -71 -50% wama Pounce no maize/melit 57 143 -85.7 40% wama wama bala 57 143 -86 40% Total Wama 1 62 143 -81 -57% Want Kigal no 65 130 -65 50% Want Kund kalay 50 120 -70 42% Want Mundish no 65 130 -65 50% Total Want 2 60 127 -67 -53% zanjigal Arance 70 140 -70 50% zanjigal Waigal no 60 120 -60 50% zanjigal Zamio 70 140 -70 50% Total Zanjigal 1 67 133 -67 -50% Total Nooristan 12 7 59 116 - 57 -49%

Total 3 provinces i 4it 0 -ar 105 81% drought-rapidsurvey0600 23/06/00 MADERA Table V Evaluation Section

Rapid drought survey - June 2000 Selling of animals " Selling 99 -00 divided by normal selling

district village Sold cattle Sold sheep Selling goats

99 -00NormaII I Price 99-001 Normal " Price 99 -00 I Normal * I Price 1 Kunar Province Asmar Nishagam 45 11 4.1 7000 10 2 5.0 1200 40 5 8.0 900

Asmar Paloso naw 25 2 12.5 8000 10 1 10.0 1500 20 3 6.7 800 Asmar Zoor asmar 50 13 3.8 4000 20 3 6.7 1500 40 5 8.0 700 Total Asmar 120 26 4.6 6333 40 6 6.7 1400 100 13 7.7 800 Islam dara Kanday 40 5 8.0 5000 85 10 8.5 500 200 20 10.0 450 Islam dara Mashura 30 7 4.3 4000 15 6 2.5 400 150 20 7.5 500 Islam dara Sarigal 20 5 4.0 5000 90 10 9.0 500 200 15 13.3 600 Total Islam Dara 90 17 5.3 4667 190 26 7.3 467 550 55 10.0 517 Monawara Bache 160 30 5.3 8000 60 4 15.0 1000 100 20 5.0 800 Monawara Esara 80 20 4.0 7000 100 80 1.3 1200 120 18 6.7 900 Monawara Monawara loi kalay 270 50 5.4 5500 17 8 2.1 1800 90 40 2.3 700 Total Monawara 510 100 5.1 6833 177 92 1.9 1333 310 78 4.0 800 Naray Barikot 50 15 3.3 4000 350 120 2.9 800 800 200 4.0 600 Naray Naray 160 60 2.7 6000 200 80 2.5 900 1100 500 2.2 800 Naray pashangar 30 10 3.0 4000 400 170 2.4 800 1200 50 24.0 700 Total Naray 240 85 2.8 4667 950 370 2.6833.3 3100 750 4.1 700 Ningalam Wardish 90 15 6.0 3000 160 20 8.0 500 Total Ningalam 90 15 6.0 3000 160 20 8.0 500 Sarkano barogay 50 5000 50 700 200 30 6.7 400 Sarkano Donaee 100 600 200 18 11.1 600 300 50 6.0 500 Sarkano ganj gal 4000 300 13.3 50001500 500 3.0 600 2000 600 3.3 500 Sarkano Sarkani 2000 100 20.0 40003000 300 10.0 700 3200 350 9.1 400 Total Sarkano 6150 40015.4 36504750 818 5.8 650 5700 1030 5.5 450 wata poor Gabat 70 20 3.5 3500 330 35 9.4 500 wata poor Kolak 40 10 4.0 4000 90 15 6.0 500 Total Wata Poor 110 30 3.7 3750 420 50 8.4 500 Total Kunar 7310 673 10.9 48746107 1312 4.7 91910340 1996 5.2 618 Laghman province Alingar Gularam 900 150 6.0 2976 800 300 2.67 935 Alingar Kachoor 150 30 5.0 3401 60 20 3.0 765 :40 20 2.00 595 Alingar Kahoo Mazary 800 350 2.3 2976 30 10 3.0 850 1500 700 2.14 680 Alingar Kisirdaka 1300 500 2.6 2976 900 200 4.50 595 Alingar Miakhil 600 100 6.0 2976 300 200 1.5 595 30 10 3.00 510 Alingar Parwaee 200 50 4.0 2976 200 100 2.0 Total Alingar 3950 1180 3.3 3047 590 330 1.8 737 3270 1230 2.66 663 Alishing Kasigar 900 150 6.0 4252 2000 400 5.00 Alishing Kordi Salab 300 100 3.0 3401 100 50 2.0 1020 600 200 3.00 595 Alishing Masamood - 1200 400 3.0 4252 3000 2700 1.11 128 Alishing Shamatak 200 90 2.2 2976 120 50 2.4 1190 700 300 2.33 680 Total Alishing 2600 740 3.5 3720 220 100 2.2 1105 6300 3600 1.75 468 Dawlat shah Bombai 200 20 10.0 4252 500 100 5.00 128 Dawlat shah Gonapal 15 8 1.9 5102 40 15 2.67 680 Dawlat shah kanderkori 5102 1701 128 Dawlat shahMalangani 200 100 2.0 5102 400 250 1.6 1276 800 400 2.00 850 Total Dawlat Sha 415 128 3.2 4889 400 250 1.6 1488 1340 515 2.60 446 Nangaraj Nangaraj 200 40 5.0 2551 800 100 8.0 595 1200 300 4.00 510 Nangaraj Panada kachi 50 10 5.0 120 20 6.0 300 70 4.29 510 Nangaraj Sonderwa 120 20 6.0 200 40 5.0 300 80 3.75 425 Total Nangaraj 370 70 5.3 2551 1120 160 7.0595.2 1800 450 4.00481.86 Total Laghman 7335 2118 3.5 37522330 840 2.8 91012710 5795 2.19 530

drought- rapidsurvey0600 23/06100 MADERA Table V Evaluation Section

Rapid drought survey - June 2000 Selling of animals " : Selling 99 -00 divided by normal selling

district village Sold cattle Sold sheep Selling goats 99 -00 'Normal' * Price99 -00 I Normal' * I I Price 99 -00I Normal' " Price Nooristan Province I Kamdish Bazgal 25 10 2.5 5500 130 40 3.25 1200 Kamdish Papristan 30 12 2.5 5500 140 40 3.50 1200 Kamdish Samar bagh 20 10 2.0 5500 100 30 3.33 1200 Total Kamdish 75 32 2.3 5500 370 110 3.36 1200 wama Kurdar paeen 30 5 6.0 5000 10 1000 200 30 6.67 850 wama Pounce 20 5 4.0 5000 5 1200 180 30 6.00 850 wama wama bala 40 10 4.0 5000 200 40 5.00 750 Total Wama 90 20 4.5 5000 15 1100 580 100 5.80816.67 Want Kigal 140 20 7.0 7000 100 10 10.0 1200 300 40 7.50 1200 Want Kund kalay 80 30 2.7 7000 100 20 5.0 1200 300 100 3.00 1200 Want Mundish 120 10 12.0 7000 50 5 10.0 1200 150 30 5.00 1200 Total Want 340 60 5.7 7000 250 35 7.1 1200 750 170 4.41 1200 zanjigal Arance 200 50 4.0 140 70 2.0 400 200 2.00 zanjigal Waigal 200 100 2.0 7000 300 200 1.5 1200 400 300 1.33 1200 zanjigal Zamio 100 10 10.0 7000 200 22 9.1 1200 2130 720 2.96 Total Zanjigal 500 160 3.1 7000 640 292 2.2 1200 2930 1220 2.4 1200 Total Nooristan 1005 272 3.7 6045 905 327 2.8 1171 4630 1600 2.9 1085

drought- rapidsurvey0600 23/06/00 MADERA Table VI Evaluation Section

Rapid drought survey - June 2000 Migration of the families due to the drought

District village No Migrated families Why families No % Kunar Province Asmar Nishagarn 460 no Asmar Paloso naw 50 no drinking water is far away Asmar Zoor asmar 300 5 2% due to drought Total Asmar 810 5 1% Islam dara Kanday 300 8 3% due to drought Islam dara Mashura 250 no Islam dara Sarigal 450 6 1°A due to drought' Total Islam Dara 1000 14 1% Monawara Bache 400 no if the drought be continoused 70% of the people will be displaced

Monawara Esara 80 1 1% due to drought Monawara Monawara loi kalay 400 3 1% due to drought Total Monawara 880 4 0% Aa ay Barikot 350 5 1% due to drought Naray Naray 800 no Naray pashangar BO no if the drought be continoused , 50 % of the people will be (migrated to other places Total Naray 1230 5 0% Ningalam Wardish 120 5 4% due to drought Total Ningalarn 1430 10 1% Sarkano barogay 120 no Sarkano Donaee 220 no Sarkano ganj gal 750 70 9% due to drought displaced Sarkano Sarkani 500 no Total Sarkano 1590 70 4%

wate poor Gabat 85 6 7% due to drought wata poor Kolak 220 no Total Wata Poor 305 6 Total Kunar 5935 123 2%

Laghman Province Alingar Gularam 500 100 20% due to lake of water and shortage of food Ahogar Kachoor 200 22 11%due to lake of drinking water and pasture for their animals Alingar Kahoo Mazary 730 50 7% due to lake of water and shortage of food Alingar Kisirdaka 1000 60 6% due to drought Alingar Miakhil 300 no Alingar Parwaee 500 no in the future, the people will imegrate Total Alingar 3230 232 7% Alishing Kasigar 200 50 25%due to drought Alishing Kordi Salab 100 3 3% due to lake of water and damage of pasture Alishing Masamood 900 300 33%due to drought, there was no pasture for their animals and food for the villagers Alishing Shamatak 80 10 13%due to lake of water for their animals Total Alishing 128Q 363 28 Dawlat shah Bombai 250 50 20%due to lake of water Dawlat shah Gonapal 40 no Dawlat shah kanderkori 80 no Dawlat shah Malangani 170 no Total Dawlat Sha 540 50 9% Nangaraj Nangaraj 100 no Nangaraj Panada kachi 40 10 25%due to lake of water and no cultivation of land Nangaraj Sonderwa 100 10 10% due to drought Total Nangaraj 240 20 8% Total Laghman 5290 665 13%

drought- rapidsurvey0600 23/06/00 MADERA Table VI Evaluation Section

Rapid drought survey - June 2000 Migration of the families due to the drought

District village No Migrated families Why families No % Nooristan Province Kamdish Bazgal 250 no Kamdish Papristan 500 no Kamdish Samar bagh 200 no Total Kamdlsh 950 0 0% warns Kurdar paean 250 no wama Pounce 60 30 50% warns wama bala 200 no Total Warns 510 30 6% Want Kigal 300 no Want Kund kalay 400 no Want Mundish 150 no Total Want 850 0 0% zanjigal Arance 450 no zanjigal Waigal 1000 no zanjigal Zamio 200 no Total Zanjigal 1650 0 0% Total Nooristan 3960 30 1%

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drought- rapidsurvey0600 23106/00 MADERA - Evaluation section

Rapid drought survey June 2000 - Affected areas in Laghman, Kunar and Nooristan Evaluation Section, Jalalabad, 30 of May 2000, MZP, NA

Antecedents :

Since the last year, the drought affected Afghanistan. The Eastern region of the country is also concerned by the problem. The WFP, with the collaboration of the VAM office, carried out a survey in 4 district of the Nangarhar province, located at the foothill of the Spinghar mountains (Rodat, Surkhrud, Chaprihar, Hesarak)

MADERA teams completed the assessment by its specific survey in the most affected villages of the Surkhud and Chaprihar districts. Proposals were elaborated to reduce the future food shortage and prevent of migration of the families in the next months. They were submitted to the WFP office in Jalalabad.

The responsible of the UNRCO -UNOCHA, Mr Abu Diek indicated that his office will be interested to extend the surveyto the other provinces and districts of the Eastern zone. Nevertheless, he mentioned that he has no specific budget at the moment to realise this work. He expects to integrate the cost of these surveys in the future projects. He indicated also that UNOCHA will ensure the cash requirements of the projects presented to the WFP.

MADERA Regional Directors proposed to realise a survey as soon as possible, as a first step to analyse the drought situation and prepare proposal for the future. These must be oriented, in the short term, to compensate for food shortage and in the medium term, to rebuild the means of agricultural and livestock production for the next campaign (autumn 2000, spring 2001)

In the meeting which was held on the 29`h of May, Regional directors, Denis and Evaluation Section de- fine the frame work of the survey to carry out in the first days of June in Laghman, Kunar and Nooristan.

In the districts where MADERA is not working, we will co- ordinate with other NGOs to check if assessment are forecasted for these areas.

Objective of the survey : To assess the drought situation in the most affected zones of the provinces of Laghman, Kunar and Nooristan.

Indicators

Availability of water (drinking water and irrigation water), in this time , regarding normal situation

Cultivated area : Cultivated area in autumn 1999 (harvested in May 2000) Cultivated area in this moment (May to June 2000, to be harvested in September - October 2000) Crop that were replaced with other crop, demanding less water.

Yield of the crops (harvested in May -June 2000) regarding the yield of a normal year

Livestock situation - Number of selling animals, regarding normal year - Price of selling (the assessment should be done to evaluate the pastures production and availability of fodder. It is too complicated to do it in a short time, so we will only asses the number of sold animal).

Migration

Number of families that left the village (because the drought) zI Methodology of the survey :

Localisation of the most affected zones in each province :

This work was carried out by the Regional directors

Surveys at the village level : In each zone defined by the Regional Directors, the Agriculture, Research,Forestry and Veterinary responsible of the nearest MADERA centre must select 3, 4 or 5 villages to carry out the survey. The Regional Director must help the responsible in this task.

The survey must be carried out at the village level. The surveyor will contact the people of the selected villages (elders, beneficiaries of MADERA activities) and hold a small meeting withthem. The surveyor will fill out the questionnaire with the help of the villagers.

Schedule and deadline

- The survey will take place in the first week of June 2000. - Deadline for submitting the questionnaire to the Regional Directors :Thursday8`a of June. - Deadline to produce the report : Wednesday 14th of June - The report must send to Paris for the General Assembly of MADERA

Responsibility by centre

Under the responsibility of the Regional Directors, eachresponsible of Centre will carry out the survey as we specify in the following table

No Province and centres Responsible Zone No of villages to be surveyed Kunar 3 villages 1 Bagh e salar Forestry centre Mr. Taher Stanikzay Sarkani 2 Chagasaraie, researh centre Eng. Ajab Khan Marawara 3 villages 3 Kandey, agriculture centre Mr. Wall MohammadIslam Dam 3 villages 4 Ningalam, agriculture centre Mr. Azizullah Wata poor 3 villages 5 Asmar, Forestry centre Abdul Kayoum Asmar 3 villages 6 Barikot Veterinary centre Khan Rahman Barikot 3 villages Laghman 7 Alingar, Veterinary Centre Zalmay Alingar S villages 8 Nangaraj, veterinary centre Sardar Mohammad Nangaraj 4 villages 9 Alishing, veterinary centre Abdel Malek Alishing 4 villages 10 Dowlat Shah, veterinary centre Rahmatullah Dawlat Shah 4 villages Nooristan 11 Want, Veterinary Centre Dr. Shafiq Want 3 villages 12 Zonchigal Nisha Kanladarshah Zonchigal Nisha 3 villages 13 Wama, research centre Wama 3 villages 14 Kamdesh, Forestry centre Asadullah Kamdesh 3 villages

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MADERA - Evaluation section

Survey of the drought affected area 0r X'/TX'

Name of the Surveyor : Date :

1. Identification

a. District : b. Village c. Name of the interviewed persons (1)_,!), >-°v4=;/

2. Total number of families in the village ? families jrYu"

3. Availability of water ¡v 5 What is the main source of drinking water in the village? >"-%i CS. 1 % tl , ( Spring Kareez River. Other Is it enough drinking water at this moment ? yes or no S c'd`Cï / Ì '.eY' If not, how much less than a normal year ? (J4 %1(5- ci C;r> Less than Half, 2/3, no water the half rte'' i

What is the sources of irrigation water in the villages ?

Spring Kareez River Other . ,-,"L?;` i Is it enough in this moment to irrigate.your land ? yes or no

L If not, how much less than a normal year ? I f 1d íJ1 Ci C% ! }, A,LT cf eí

Less than Half, 2/3, 3 no water the half 4. Cultivated area: ,0

Average of cultivated jerib per family :

Did you cultivatethe samequantity ofjeribsin last autumn as a normalyear ? yes or t r /c:; c:/. / no If not, how muchless thana normal year -¡tvl,vl.I r

Less than Half, 2/3, 3/, the Not heehhalf cultivated

Did you cultivatethe samequantity ofjeribsin thistime (May- June) as a normalyear ? yes or no d s; /) ,-.2,j tt yci ;v 6i c:(:.2C:J If not how muchless thana normal year t ' v t

Less than Half, 2/3, the half Not cultivated Livr-

Did you cultivate in 2000 thesame crop as usually ? yes or no If not, whichkind of crop did you change? Ve,e rrJtí or t/`' 20ao / / %/ f3r c Ce.' f f'fl ¡ (i fU' r/ v CJ I 5. Yield of the croas per erib / f c"'2 Wheat f.` Maize is A° Paddy 1999 -2000 ti 4.3 Other -0

Normal year dt :,cJ.-"-- Difference C.,, t)

6. Selling animals , How many animals didyou sell this year ? More or lessas a normal year ? wr°ijtJc-,dt/ -1;r lI.s? '" - Cows - ./tr Sheep : %i Goats 1999 -2000 j Other j Normal year J &:r dî Difference

. migration :: 7 t. r How many families left the villagesince the beginning of theyear `' Why ? 5 /