NASA and the New Commercial Space Sector “Taking Advantage of Space Business”

National Aeronautics and Space Administration National Aeronautics and Space Administration

Rob Kelso Manager, Lunar Commercial Development Exploration System Mission Directorate

27 October 2008 Presentation to the NASA Johnson Space Center, Houston, Texas Agenda

• The Emerging “NewSpace” Sector • NASA’s Interactions With “NewSpace” • NASA’s “NewSpace” Approach… • A Look at How NASA Can Take Advantage on Lunar Commercial Activities

Taking Advantage of Space Business Presentation to the NASA Johnson Space Center, Houston, Texas What Does “NewSpace” Mean?

• Low Cost Focus • Demand Elasticity / Consumer Markets • Incremental Development • Operations Are Key • Innovation •Small Teams • Fixed-Price Only • Humans in Space

Taking Advantage of Space Business Presentation to the NASA Johnson Space Center, Houston, Texas The Emerging NewSpace Sector

“Quad” Vehicle “Mod” Vehicle

Taking Advantage of Space Business Presentation to the NASA Johnson Space Center, Houston, Texas “WHAT” IS THE NCDP?

• Vision – Global Exploration Strategy Goal “Economic Expansion” – Private Industry Meets NASA’s Fundamental Exploration Goals – Economic Sphere Increases as NASA Extends its Reach to Moon and Beyond • Value – Increase Performance, Sustainability – Decrease Cost, Cost Risk

Taking Advantage of Space Business Presentation to the NASA Johnson Space Center, Houston, Texas “HOW” IS NCDP IMPLEMENTED? (2)

• Does This Meet a NASA Need? – NASA Needs Analysis • Is This Feasible In The Near-Term? – Time-Phased Industry Sector Analysis • Do Non-NASA Customers Exist? – Market Analysis • Is This Worthwhile To NASA? – Cost-Benefit Analysis

Taking Advantage of Space Business Presentation to the NASA Johnson Space Center, Houston, Texas Lunar Commercial Payload Delivery

(Lun-EX)

Taking Advantage of Space Business Presentation to the NASA Johnson Space Center, Houston, Texas Google Lunar X-Prize: Seeding the Market Google Lunar X PRIZE: International competition to safely land a robot on the surface of the Moon, travel 500 meters, & send images/data to Earth. Teams must be at least 90% privately funded & be registered by 12/31/10. Maximum potential prize of $30M to winner.

Odyssey Moon Astrobotic Team Italia Micro Space Mystery Team FredNet

ARCA LunaTrex Quantum3 Chandah Advaeros STELLAR JURBAN Preferred Partners:

Taking Advantage of Space BusinessMoon 2.0: Join thePresentation Revolution to the NASA Johnson Space Center, Houston, Texas Defining the Marketplace

• Market Supply side – commercially provided transportation – GLXP winner(s) – COTS/CRS winner(s) – Constellation Launch Service Providers – Other Commercially Provided Vehicles (New Space and Old Space) • Market Demand side – government, industry, university- based, and entrepreneurial customer payloads – Communication nodes and infrastructure – Power and mobility infrastructure – Surface cargo transporters – Science of the Moon (e.g. ALSAP-type) and science from the Moon (e.g. observatories) – Habitat technology demonstration/validation/application – Entertainment and education

Taking Advantage of Space Business Presentation to the NASA Johnson Space Center, Houston, Texas Potential Global Demand: Space Agencies and Commercial Space

Entrepreneurial Missions Must Start Early to Capture Demand X PPA? 20 International Lunar Network X Lunar Data collection

NASA X 10 Proof of concept missions UK NASA

Cumulative Demand Altair 3 / NASA-ESMD 5 X Orion 17 GLXP2 B-EXnt -1 ISRO NASA NASA-ILN NASA NASA DLR

Altair 3 / NASA-ESMD 0 GLXP1 A-Ent-1 China JAX NASA-ILN UK ESA China NASA Orion 17 X Commercial Lunar Support Services O8 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Note: ENT missions not counted Cumulative Missions 2 4 8 10 12 14 16 19 20 20 22 Taking Advantage of Space Business Presentation to the NASA Johnson Space Center, Houston, Texas Motivation for Relay Telecommunications

• Direct-to-Earth link – Constrained EIRP – Large comm path length – Low data rates, high energy cost – Limited to Earth in view

• Telecommunications relay – Short comm path length – High data rates (even with simple omni links), low energy cost – Contact at times when Earth is not in view – Connectivity is strong function Taking Advantage of Space Business Presentation to the NASA Johnson Space Center, Houston, Texas of orbit Taking Advantage of Space Business Presentation to the NASA Johnson Space Center, Houston, Texas